This opponent (Wigan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wigan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.30
0.79
1.43
0.94
1.19
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
1.92
0.88
1.88
0.60
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.81
0.67
0.83
1.10
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.0%
@ 1.95-8.3%
Under 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.82+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1 ✓
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
Blackpool goals ↓
Wigan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.2%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.8%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.0%
8.2%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Blackpool goals (down), columns = Wigan goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Portsmouth
2.11
Derby
2.00
Bolton
1.89
Peterboro
1.83
Oxford
1.67
Barnsley
1.65
Lincoln
1.61
Blackpool
1.59
Stevenage
1.54
Wigan
1.52
Leyton Orient
1.41
Wycombe
1.41
Exeter
1.33
Northampton
1.30
Reading
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.24
Charlton
1.15
Cambridge
1.04
Shrewsbury
1.04
Burton
1.00
Cheltenham
0.96
Fleetwood Town
0.93
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.65
Blackpool is 0.07 points better than Wigan in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.52).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Peterboro
1.93
Bolton
1.87
Barnsley
1.78
Oxford
1.72
Derby
1.70
Portsmouth
1.70
Reading
1.48
Lincoln
1.41
Blackpool
1.41
Charlton
1.39
Wigan
1.37
Wycombe
1.30
Northampton
1.24
Stevenage
1.24
Leyton Orient
1.15
Bristol Rvs
1.13
Fleetwood Town
1.07
Exeter
1.00
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.89
Cheltenham
0.89
Cambridge
0.85
Burton
0.85
Shrewsbury
0.76
Blackpool is 0.04 goals better than Wigan in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derby
0.80
Lincoln
0.87
Portsmouth
0.89
Stevenage
1.00
Blackpool
1.04
Bolton
1.11
Leyton Orient
1.20
Wycombe
1.20
Oxford
1.22
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Peterboro
1.33
Barnsley
1.39
Charlton
1.41
Cheltenham
1.41
Northampton
1.43
Shrewsbury
1.46
Burton
1.46
Bristol Rvs
1.48
Reading
1.52
Fleetwood Town
1.57
Port Vale
1.61
Carlisle
1.76
Blackpool is 0.17 goals better than Wigan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.04 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Peterboro
62%
Bolton
60%
Portsmouth
59%
Exeter
54%
Barnsley
54%
Wigan
53%
Blackpool
53%
Reading
53%
Oxford
52%
Leyton Orient
52%
Charlton
52%
Derby
51%
Port Vale
49%
Northampton
49%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Wycombe
46%
Carlisle
46%
Stevenage
45%
Cambridge
44%
Cheltenham
44%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
41%
Burton
41%
Blackpool is 0.4 percentage points worse than Wigan in terms of average possession (53% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Blackpool
For 5.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 11.2 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wigan
For 4.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.9 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Blackpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.3
10.8
3.8
3.6
3.9
22.1
21.8
22.4
vs Stronger (20)
11.1
9.2
13.0
4.0
3.7
4.4
23.8
22.7
24.8
vs Similar (30)
9.4
9.4
9.3
3.6
3.6
3.6
21.0
21.1
20.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
40%
64%
52%
52%
52%
62%
60%
64%
% under line
48%
60%
36%
48%
48%
48%
38%
40%
36%
This opponent (Wigan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wigan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
7.4
10.5
3.9
3.8
3.9
21.8
22.1
21.5
vs Stronger (22)
9.3
7.9
10.7
3.6
3.3
3.9
22.2
22.0
22.4
vs Similar (27)
8.8
6.9
10.6
4.0
4.2
3.8
21.5
22.2
20.9
vs Weaker (1)
8.0
-
8.0
6.0
-
6.0
21.0
-
21.0
% over line
40%
21%
58%
58%
54%
62%
54%
62%
46%
% under line
60%
79%
42%
42%
46%
38%
46%
38%
54%
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wycombe
11.5
Bristol Rvs
11.1
Exeter
11.0
Burton
10.9
Derby
10.8
Oxford
10.7
Fleetwood Town
10.5
Charlton
10.5
Portsmouth
10.4
Shrewsbury
10.3
Bolton
10.3
Barnsley
10.2
Peterboro
10.1
Port Vale
10.1
Blackpool
10.1
Cambridge
9.6
Carlisle
9.6
Reading
9.5
Northampton
9.2
Lincoln
9.2
Cheltenham
9.0
Wigan
9.0
Leyton Orient
8.7
Stevenage
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fleetwood Town
4.7
Oxford
4.5
Shrewsbury
4.4
Portsmouth
4.3
Bristol Rvs
4.2
Barnsley
4.0
Northampton
3.9
Cambridge
3.9
Bolton
3.9
Leyton Orient
3.9
Wigan
3.9
Derby
3.8
Port Vale
3.8
Reading
3.8
Blackpool
3.8
Lincoln
3.8
Peterboro
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Stevenage
3.6
Cheltenham
3.5
Carlisle
3.5
Exeter
3.4
Wycombe
3.3
Burton
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.7
Oxford
24.6
Stevenage
24.4
Fleetwood Town
23.3
Bristol Rvs
22.9
Peterboro
22.8
Northampton
22.7
Bolton
22.6
Port Vale
22.2
Blackpool
22.1
Charlton
21.9
Barnsley
21.9
Wigan
21.8
Leyton Orient
21.6
Cambridge
21.6
Lincoln
21.6
Wycombe
21.2
Shrewsbury
21.1
Reading
21.0
Derby
20.4
Burton
20.3
Carlisle
20.0
Exeter
19.8
Cheltenham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
18.3%
Under 21.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Blackpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.69
0.62
0.21
0.71
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.55
0.50
0.67
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.74
0.80
0.60
0.11
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Wigan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wigan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.60
0.21
0.71
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.92
0.25
0.88
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.38
0.17
0.50
0.50
0.30
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Blackpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Blackpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.44
0.50
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.91
0.33
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.63
0.50
0.20
0.33
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Wigan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wigan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.57
0.71
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.00
0.62
1.00
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.44
0.50
0.33
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Blackpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Blackpool · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Bowler60%
Dion Charles33%
Kylian Kouassi33%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
J. Williams20%
Leighton Clarkson20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Finley Munroe50%
Hayden Coulson33%
Z. Ashworth33%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton20%
J. Williams20%
G. Honeyman20%
Josh Bowler20%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dion Charles33%
B. Peacock-Farrell20%
G. Honeyman20%
Oliver Casey20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Josh Bowler0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Karoy Anderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Bowler40%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Wigan · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Weir25%
M. Power25%
D. Costelloe25%
Jon Mellish0%
Fraser Murray0%
J. Walsh0%
Finley Burns0%
S. Perkins0%
Luke Harris0%
Connor Barrett0%
J. Carragher0%
Akeel Higgins0%
Archie Harris0%
R. Walsh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Finley Burns33%
Archie Harris33%
Jon Mellish25%
J. Weir25%
M. Power25%
D. Costelloe25%
J. Carragher25%
Fraser Murray0%
J. Walsh0%
S. Perkins0%
Luke Harris0%
Connor Barrett0%
Akeel Higgins0%
R. Walsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Power25%
J. Carragher25%
Jon Mellish0%
J. Weir0%
Fraser Murray0%
D. Costelloe0%
J. Walsh0%
Finley Burns0%
S. Perkins0%
Luke Harris0%
Connor Barrett0%
Akeel Higgins0%
Archie Harris0%
R. Walsh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fraser Murray67%
S. Perkins50%
R. Walsh33%
J. Weir25%
M. Power25%
D. Costelloe25%
Jon Mellish0%
J. Walsh0%
Finley Burns0%
Luke Harris0%
Connor Barrett0%
J. Carragher0%
Akeel Higgins0%
Archie Harris0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
CAR (1)
€0m
Blackpool's squad is €3m more valuable than Wigan's (€11m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
OXF (8)
€6m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Blackpool's attack is €2m more valuable than Wigan's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (6)
€14m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Blackpool and Wigan have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
Blackpool's defence is €2m more valuable than Wigan's (€4m vs €3m).
England: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Portsmouth
Derby
Bolton
Peterboro
Oxford
Barnsley
Lincoln
Stevenage
Wycombe
Leyton Orient
Exeter
Northampton
Reading
Bristol Rvs
Charlton
Cambridge
Shrewsbury
Burton
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
Port Vale
Carlisle