This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.83
1.07
1.33
1.07
2.33
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
2.11
0.50
1.25
0.80
2.80
vs Similar (21)
1.24
1.71
1.27
1.36
1.20
2.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
Bohemians goals ↓
Sligo Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
5.3%
3.6%
1.3%
0.4%
1
9.0%
12%
6.2%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.7%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
3
5.1%
5.6%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.2%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bohemians goals (down), columns = Sligo Rovers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Bohemians is 0.36 points better than Sligo Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
Bohemians is 0.17 goals better than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
Bohemians is 0.42 goals better than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
Bohemians is 7.4 percentage points better than Sligo Rovers in terms of average possession (56% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bohemians
For 7.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
For 4.6 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.8
9.7
5.3
6.0
4.7
24.3
23.8
24.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
10.7
11.8
9.7
5.3
6.0
4.7
24.3
23.8
24.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
67%
48%
78%
88%
68%
70%
71%
70%
% under line
43%
33%
52%
22%
12%
32%
30%
29%
30%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.0
10.9
5.0
5.0
5.0
24.2
24.8
23.7
vs Stronger (16)
9.8
9.2
10.2
5.7
5.0
6.2
25.1
24.7
25.3
vs Similar (34)
10.0
8.9
11.3
4.7
4.9
4.4
23.8
24.8
22.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
35%
67%
66%
68%
64%
70%
78%
62%
% under line
49%
65%
33%
34%
32%
36%
30%
22%
38%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.8
Cork City
10.3
Waterford
10.2
St Patrick's Athl.
10.1
Sligo Rovers
10.1
Galway United
10.0
Drogheda United
9.8
Shamrock Rovers
9.3
Shelbourne
8.7
Derry City
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.7
Shelbourne
5.7
Bohemians
5.7
Waterford
5.4
Sligo Rovers
5.4
St Patrick's Athl.
5.2
Shamrock Rovers
5.2
Cork City
5.1
Galway United
4.9
Drogheda United
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cork City
25.1
Derry City
24.7
Bohemians
24.4
Sligo Rovers
24.3
Waterford
24.3
Galway United
23.9
St Patrick's Athl.
23.2
Shelbourne
23.0
Drogheda United
22.1
Shamrock Rovers
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
68.2%
Under 9.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.0%
Under 3.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.8%
Under 21.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.53
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.93
0.33
0.73
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.22
0.25
0.75
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.81
0.36
0.73
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.57
0.43
0.69
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.63
0.47
0.57
0.43
0.69
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.73
0.60
0.47
1.20
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.89
0.25
0.50
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.90
0.91
0.64
0.50
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Douglas James-Taylor30%
James Clarke19%
Ross Tierney18%
Dawson Devoy16%
Lys Mousset12%
Sean Grehan12%
Archie Meekison12%
Dayle Rooney12%
Colm Whelan10%
James McManus9%
Jordan Flores6%
Rhys Brennan6%
Connor Parsons5%
Robert Cornwall4%
Keith Buckley4%
Niall Morahan3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Liam Smith0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Markuss Strods0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dawson Devoy28%
Robert Cornwall25%
Dayle Rooney24%
Adam McDonnell23%
Cian Byrne23%
Leigh Kavanagh21%
James Clarke19%
Jordan Flores19%
Sean Grehan19%
Liam Smith15%
Niall Morahan15%
Rhys Brennan12%
Ross Tierney12%
John Mountney12%
Douglas James-Taylor10%
Connor Parsons10%
Colm Whelan10%
James McManus9%
Keith Buckley7%
Kacper Chorążka4%
Lys Mousset0%
Archie Meekison0%
James Talbot0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Markuss Strods0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dayle Rooney18%
Ross Tierney12%
Archie Meekison12%
Leigh Kavanagh11%
Douglas James-Taylor10%
James Clarke10%
Dawson Devoy9%
Keith Buckley4%
Colm Whelan3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Lys Mousset0%
Liam Smith0%
Jordan Flores0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Niall Morahan0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Connor Parsons0%
Sean Grehan0%
James McManus0%
Markuss Strods0%
Rhys Brennan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ross Tierney33%
Douglas James-Taylor30%
James Clarke19%
Dayle Rooney18%
Dawson Devoy16%
Sean Grehan12%
Colm Whelan10%
Rhys Brennan6%
Leigh Kavanagh5%
Jordan Flores3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Lys Mousset0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Keith Buckley0%
Niall Morahan0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Connor Parsons0%
James McManus0%
Markuss Strods0%
Sligo Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Owen Elding33%
Ryan O'Kane18%
Francely Lomboto17%
Jad Hakiki16%
Cian Kavanagh15%
Patrick McClean14%
Wilson Waweru12%
Gareth McElroy11%
Reece Hutchinson10%
Oliver Denham5%
Stephen Mallon0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Connor Malley0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
John Mahon0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Ronan Manning0%
Matthew Wolfe0%
Oskar van Hattum0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Sean Stewart0%
Harvey Lintott0%
Seb Quirk0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jake Doyle Hayes53%
John Mahon47%
Connor Malley40%
Ciaron Harkin33%
Edwin Agbaje33%
Cian Kavanagh23%
Conor Reynolds22%
Matthew Wolfe19%
Jad Hakiki19%
Harvey Lintott18%
Daire Patton17%
Oliver Denham16%
Gareth McElroy16%
James McManus15%
Owen Elding15%
Reece Hutchinson15%
Patrick McClean14%
Francely Lomboto13%
William Fitzgerald12%
Ronan Manning12%
Oskar van Hattum10%
Sean Stewart10%
Seb Quirk8%
Kyle McDonagh7%
Sam Sargeant7%
Stephen Mallon0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Conor Walsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Fitzgerald18%
Owen Elding12%
Jake Doyle Hayes12%
Ciaron Harkin11%
Connor Malley10%
Oskar van Hattum10%
Matthew Wolfe10%
Harvey Lintott9%
Daire Patton8%
Ronan Manning6%
Gareth McElroy5%
Reece Hutchinson5%
Cian Kavanagh4%
Jad Hakiki3%
Stephen Mallon0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Patrick McClean0%
John Mahon0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Oliver Denham0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Francely Lomboto0%
Sean Stewart0%
Seb Quirk0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Owen Elding33%
Jad Hakiki25%
Ryan O'Kane18%
Cian Kavanagh15%
Gareth McElroy11%
Seb Quirk8%
Francely Lomboto4%
Stephen Mallon0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Connor Malley0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Patrick McClean0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
John Mahon0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ronan Manning0%
Matthew Wolfe0%
Oskar van Hattum0%
Oliver Denham0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Sean Stewart0%
Harvey Lintott0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Bohemians's squad is €2m more valuable than Sligo Rovers's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Sligo Rovers have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Sligo Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Sligo Rovers have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Galway United
Cork City
Bray Wanderers