This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.10
1.13
1.07
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.95
1.36
1.00
1.27
0.91
1.45
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.38
1.50
0.50
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.5%
Under 1.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.1%
Under 2.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.2%
Under 3.5
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
Bohemians goals ↓
St Patrick's Athl. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.4%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.0%
8.6%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.6%
3.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bohemians goals (down), columns = St Patrick's Athl. goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shelbourne
1.75
Shamrock Rovers
1.69
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.53
Galway United
1.44
Sligo Rovers
1.36
Waterford
1.25
Bohemians
1.17
Drogheda United
1.00
Dundalk
0.72
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Bohemians is 0.47 points worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
St Patrick's Athl.
1.42
Shamrock Rovers
1.39
Derry City
1.33
Waterford
1.19
Drogheda United
1.19
Shelbourne
1.11
Sligo Rovers
1.11
Bohemians
1.08
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Galway United
0.92
Dundalk
0.64
Bohemians is 0.33 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shelbourne
0.75
Galway United
0.81
Derry City
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.97
St Patrick's Athl.
1.03
Bohemians
1.19
Waterford
1.31
Dundalk
1.39
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.59
Bray Wanderers
3.00
Bohemians is 0.17 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
St Patrick's Athl.
53%
Bohemians
52%
Waterford
50%
Dundalk
48%
Sligo Rovers
48%
Drogheda United
39%
Galway United
39%
Bohemians is 0.4 percentage points worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average possession (52% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bohemians
For 5.1 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St Patrick's Athl.
For 5.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 14.2 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
9.4
12.7
3.2
4.0
2.4
24.8
25.2
24.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
10.9
9.4
12.7
3.2
4.0
2.4
24.8
25.2
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
47%
79%
48%
60%
36%
74%
76%
71%
% under line
39%
53%
21%
52%
40%
64%
26%
24%
29%
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.6
10.4
3.9
4.1
3.7
25.9
26.2
25.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
9.5
9.0
10.1
4.2
4.6
3.7
25.9
26.7
25.1
vs Weaker (15)
9.2
7.4
11.5
3.3
3.0
3.6
25.9
24.8
27.2
% over line
44%
39%
50%
54%
56%
52%
79%
78%
81%
% under line
56%
61%
50%
46%
44%
48%
21%
22%
19%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.9
Galway United
10.4
Shamrock Rovers
10.3
Waterford
9.8
Derry City
9.7
St Patrick's Athl.
9.5
Drogheda United
9.4
Shelbourne
9.0
Sligo Rovers
8.9
Dundalk
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St Patrick's Athl.
5.9
Shelbourne
5.9
Sligo Rovers
5.4
Bohemians
5.3
Dundalk
5.3
Waterford
5.1
Derry City
4.9
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Galway United
4.6
Drogheda United
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundalk
26.8
Sligo Rovers
26.7
Shelbourne
26.2
St Patrick's Athl.
25.9
Waterford
25.1
Bohemians
24.8
Galway United
24.2
Derry City
24.1
Shamrock Rovers
23.9
Drogheda United
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.4%
Under 9.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.7%
Under 3.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.7%
Under 21.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.62
0.69
0.36
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.50
0.50
0.62
0.69
0.36
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.47
0.33
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.32
0.50
0.18
0.36
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
1.25
0.25
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
1.00
0.44
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.80
0.63
1.00
0.44
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.67
0.73
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.86
0.82
0.91
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (8)
0.25
0.12
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dawson Devoy33%
Ross Tierney23%
Dayle Rooney21%
Archie Meekison20%
James Akintunde19%
Sten Reinkort12%
Daniel Grant11%
Filip Piszczek10%
James Clarke9%
Jordan Flores7%
Aboubacar Keita6%
Jevon Mills4%
Declan McDaid4%
Jake Carroll0%
Adam McDonnell0%
Luke Matheson0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Liam Smith0%
Michael Lilander0%
Martin Miller0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Brian McManus0%
Alex Greive0%
James McManus0%
Nickson Okosun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dawson Devoy50%
Leigh Kavanagh43%
Jordan Flores39%
Filip Piszczek38%
Paddy Kirk28%
Cian Byrne28%
Aboubacar Keita25%
Ross Tierney23%
Daniel Grant21%
James Clarke21%
Dylan Connolly21%
Martin Miller21%
Adam McDonnell21%
James McManus18%
Jevon Mills17%
Declan McDaid15%
Dayle Rooney15%
Jake Carroll12%
Brian McManus12%
Liam Smith11%
Archie Meekison10%
James Akintunde4%
Kacper Chorążka3%
Luke Matheson0%
Michael Lilander0%
Sten Reinkort0%
Alex Greive0%
Nickson Okosun0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dayle Rooney24%
Dawson Devoy17%
Dylan Connolly11%
Luke Matheson10%
James Akintunde7%
Aboubacar Keita6%
Adam McDonnell6%
Declan McDaid4%
Jordan Flores4%
Daniel Grant4%
Paddy Kirk3%
James Clarke3%
Jake Carroll0%
Filip Piszczek0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
Michael Lilander0%
Martin Miller0%
Sten Reinkort0%
Ross Tierney0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Brian McManus0%
Alex Greive0%
James McManus0%
Jevon Mills0%
Nickson Okosun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ross Tierney23%
Dawson Devoy17%
Dayle Rooney15%
James Akintunde7%
Jordan Flores7%
James Clarke6%
Filip Piszczek5%
Declan McDaid4%
Daniel Grant4%
Adam McDonnell3%
Jake Carroll0%
Luke Matheson0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
Michael Lilander0%
Martin Miller0%
Sten Reinkort0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Cian Byrne0%
Aboubacar Keita0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Brian McManus0%
Alex Greive0%
James McManus0%
Jevon Mills0%
Nickson Okosun0%
St Patrick's Athl.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aidan Keena50%
Ruairi Keating18%
Jake Mulraney16%
Mason Melia16%
Brandon Kavanagh15%
Al-Amin Kazeem14%
Joe Redmond13%
Zachary Elbouzedi10%
Alex Nolan9%
Christopher Forrester9%
Tom Grivosti8%
Luke Turner7%
Jamie Lennon6%
Cian Kavanagh6%
Romal Palmer6%
Conor Keeley5%
Jason McClelland5%
Anto Breslin3%
Ryan McLaughlin0%
Danny Rogers0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Axel Sjoberg0%
Kieran Freeman0%
Joseph Anang0%
Marcelo Pitaluga0%
Kian Leavy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcelo Pitaluga50%
Ryan McLaughlin40%
Tom Grivosti38%
Jamie Lennon33%
Conor Keeley32%
Christopher Forrester20%
Joe Redmond19%
Aaron Bolger18%
Anto Breslin17%
Luke Turner15%
Al-Amin Kazeem14%
Alex Nolan14%
Axel Sjoberg11%
Romal Palmer11%
Mason Melia10%
Ruairi Keating9%
Jake Mulraney6%
Brandon Kavanagh6%
Cian Kavanagh6%
Danny Rogers5%
Kian Leavy3%
Aidan Keena0%
Zachary Elbouzedi0%
Jason McClelland0%
Kieran Freeman0%
Joseph Anang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brandon Kavanagh30%
Zachary Elbouzedi30%
Jake Mulraney13%
Christopher Forrester9%
Tom Grivosti8%
Joe Redmond6%
Cian Kavanagh6%
Axel Sjoberg6%
Romal Palmer6%
Conor Keeley5%
Jason McClelland5%
Anto Breslin3%
Mason Melia3%
Kian Leavy3%
Jamie Lennon3%
Ryan McLaughlin0%
Aidan Keena0%
Danny Rogers0%
Ruairi Keating0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Luke Turner0%
Kieran Freeman0%
Joseph Anang0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Marcelo Pitaluga0%
Alex Nolan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ruairi Keating23%
Brandon Kavanagh21%
Aidan Keena20%
Zachary Elbouzedi10%
Christopher Forrester9%
Jake Mulraney6%
Jamie Lennon3%
Ryan McLaughlin0%
Danny Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Cian Kavanagh0%
Jason McClelland0%
Anto Breslin0%
Conor Keeley0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Axel Sjoberg0%
Joe Redmond0%
Luke Turner0%
Kieran Freeman0%
Joseph Anang0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Marcelo Pitaluga0%
Romal Palmer0%
Kian Leavy0%
Alex Nolan0%
Mason Melia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
BW (1)
€0m
Bohemians and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Bohemians and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Bray Wanderers