This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Preston
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.50
1.00
1.44
1.07
1.57
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.60
1.00
1.00
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.08
1.48
1.00
1.50
1.18
1.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Under
Unibet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
Betano
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
888Sport
2.00
Under
SBO
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.63
888Sport
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
BetVictor
1.75
Betano
1.75
No
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.05
888Sport
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Betano
2.00
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Bolton is 0.31 points worse than Preston in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Bolton is 0.25 goals worse than Preston in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Bolton is 0.42 goals worse than Preston in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bolton
For 5.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 13.4 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Preston
For 5.1 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bolton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
11.0
9.5
3.5
4.0
3.0
22.4
21.6
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
10.6
11.6
9.6
3.7
4.2
3.1
22.4
21.6
23.3
vs Weaker (19)
9.7
10.0
9.3
3.2
3.6
2.8
22.3
21.6
23.0
% over line
56%
62%
50%
46%
60%
32%
56%
38%
75%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
54%
40%
68%
44%
62%
25%
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Preston
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.2
10.2
3.4
3.7
3.0
20.0
19.5
20.5
vs Stronger (7)
11.0
12.5
9.0
2.4
3.5
1.0
18.3
17.0
20.0
vs Similar (42)
10.6
11.0
10.2
3.6
3.7
3.4
20.3
19.9
20.6
vs Weaker (1)
14.0
-
14.0
1.0
-
1.0
20.0
-
20.0
% over line
60%
69%
50%
46%
54%
38%
28%
27%
29%
% under line
40%
31%
50%
54%
46%
62%
72%
73%
71%
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.6
Middlesbrough
10.9
Southampton
10.9
West Ham
10.9
Millwall
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Preston
10.8
Stoke
10.7
Cardiff
10.6
Blackburn
10.5
Norwich
10.4
QPR
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Watford
10.2
Bolton
10.1
Wrexham
10.1
Swansea
10.1
Bristol City
9.9
Derby
9.9
Charlton
9.5
Wolves
9.5
West Brom
9.3
Burnley
9.3
Lincoln
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.3
Derby
4.1
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Southampton
4.0
Portsmouth
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Bristol City
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.8
Wolves
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.7
Bolton
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Charlton
3.6
Millwall
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Preston
3.4
Burnley
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.3
Lincoln
22.8
Derby
22.7
Swansea
22.6
West Ham
22.5
Bolton
22.4
Southampton
22.4
Portsmouth
22.2
Birmingham
22.0
Charlton
21.6
Sheffield United
21.6
Middlesbrough
21.5
Watford
21.3
Norwich
21.3
Blackburn
21.2
Bristol City
21.1
QPR
20.8
Cardiff
20.8
Millwall
20.8
Stoke
20.6
West Brom
20.5
Burnley
20.5
Preston
20.0
Wrexham
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.3%
@ 1.61+3.7%
Under 9.5
38.7%
@ 2.18-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.61
Betfair
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Under
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.26
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.4%
@ 1.73-1.5%
Under 3.5
47.6%
@ 2.02+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Unibet
1.72
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
1.97
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
45.4%
Under 21.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bolton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.73
0.40
0.13
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.44
0.80
0.60
0.00
0.25
vs Weaker (12)
0.42
0.33
0.60
0.00
0.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Preston
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.31
0.56
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.68
0.36
0.57
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bolton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bolton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.77
1.33
0.93
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.17
1.00
1.40
1.10
0.88
0.88
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.42
1.20
0.60
1.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Preston
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.69
0.88
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.80
0.64
0.93
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bolton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.7%
1.37
Unibet
1.37
-
-
-
-
+15.0%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.9%
1.34
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
+4.4%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bolton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Dalby40%
Thierry Gale20%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
J. Sheehan0%
John McAtee0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Hardie33%
Akin Famewo20%
J. Sheehan20%
John McAtee20%
Thierry Gale20%
Gaizka Larrazabal20%
Chris Forino20%
S. Dalby0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
John McAtee20%
Thierry Gale20%
S. Dalby0%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
J. Sheehan0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Sheehan40%
John McAtee40%
S. Iling-Junior25%
S. Dalby20%
Thierry Gale20%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Preston
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jusef Erabi33%
J. Thompson17%
Andrew Hughes0%
D. Iversen0%
C. Lang0%
J. Storey0%
L. Lindsay0%
L. Leroy0%
Delano Burgzorg0%
A. Vukčević0%
Pol Valentín0%
Ali McCann0%
Andrew Moran0%
H. Clarke0%
L. Gibson0%
Alfie Devine0%
O. Offiah0%
T. Small0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ali McCann75%
L. Leroy40%
Andrew Hughes33%
J. Thompson33%
Pol Valentín33%
H. Clarke25%
L. Lindsay20%
A. Vukčević20%
Jusef Erabi17%
D. Iversen0%
C. Lang0%
J. Storey0%
Delano Burgzorg0%
Andrew Moran0%
L. Gibson0%
Alfie Devine0%
O. Offiah0%
T. Small0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Delano Burgzorg33%
A. Vukčević20%
Andrew Hughes0%
D. Iversen0%
C. Lang0%
J. Storey0%
L. Lindsay0%
J. Thompson0%
L. Leroy0%
Pol Valentín0%
Ali McCann0%
Andrew Moran0%
H. Clarke0%
L. Gibson0%
Alfie Devine0%
O. Offiah0%
T. Small0%
Jusef Erabi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
L. Leroy20%
Jusef Erabi17%
Andrew Hughes0%
D. Iversen0%
C. Lang0%
J. Storey0%
L. Lindsay0%
J. Thompson0%
Delano Burgzorg0%
A. Vukčević0%
Pol Valentín0%
Ali McCann0%
Andrew Moran0%
H. Clarke0%
L. Gibson0%
Alfie Devine0%
O. Offiah0%
T. Small0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Bolton's squad is €26m less valuable than Preston's (€17m vs €43m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Bolton's attack is €13m less valuable than Preston's (€4m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Bolton and Preston have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Bolton's defence is €14m less valuable than Preston's (€9m vs €22m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
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Swansea
QPR
Charlton
Southampton
Wolves
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
West Brom
Birmingham
Sheffield United
Millwall
Wrexham
West Ham
Blackburn
Watford
Derby
Lincoln
Cardiff
Norwich
Portsmouth
Stoke
Burnley