Boluspor are favoured to win, with a 42% chance of triumph, a 26% chance of a draw and a 32% chance of Keçiörengücü taking the win. The model expects 3.1 goals on average, but the most likely total is two goals, a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7% chance. At home Boluspor average 1.47 goals scored and 1.20 conceded against similarly strong opposition, while Keçiörengücü, playing away, average 1.75 scored and 1.83 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.4%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.1%), Under 6.5 (95.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.0%), and Home under 3.5 goals (90.9%). Boluspor’s recent three defeats and Keçiörengücü’s draw-heavy run set the tone for a cautious, low-scoring encounter.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Keçiörengücü snapped Boluspor’s five-game losing streak with a 2-0 victory. The pre-match favourite was the home win, given a 43% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 0-2 confirmed the away win. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 98.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.3%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.3%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.2%, and Home under 3.5 goals hit at 90.4%. The match stayed low-scoring, with the total at two goals, well below the model’s 3.2 expectation.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Boluspor win✗ Miss
43.2%
Avg Implied 17.4% · @ 5.23
Edge
+25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.60
1xBet
5.54
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Pinnacle
5.35
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.13
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.35
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.25
BetVictor
4.20
Keçiörengücü win✓ Hit
31.3%
Avg Implied 60.6% · @ 1.50
Edge
-29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.52
Superbet
1.52
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Boluspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.83
1.40
1.33
1.13
2.33
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
3.00
1.00
2.00
0.67
3.33
vs Similar (26)
1.35
1.65
1.43
1.29
1.25
2.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Keçiörengücü) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keçiörengücü
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.50
2.80
1.20
1.40
1.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (26)
2.35
1.46
2.86
1.14
1.75
1.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Boluspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
@ 1.16+3.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
@ 4.64-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.19
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Pinnacle
4.93
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.1%
@ 1.56+1.5%
Under 2.5
38.9%
@ 2.30-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Bet365
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.7%
@ 2.38-0.2%
Under 3.5
61.3%
@ 1.52+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.45
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.6%
@ 1.65+7.5%
No
36.4%
@ 2.10-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
No
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%@ 7.52+5.7%
2-1
9.0%@ 14.90+6.1%
1-2
7.6%@ 7.32+1.6%
2-2
6.5%@ 13.07+3.1%
2-0
6.3%@ 30.72+4.8%
1-0
6.3%@ 16.62+3.6%
0-0
5.3%@ 14.16+2.2%
3-1
5.2%@ 40.54+4.1%
Boluspor goals ↓
Keçiörengücü goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
5.1%
4.4%
2.1%
0.8%
1
6.3%
12%
7.6%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.3%
9.0%
6.5%
3.1%
1.1%
3
3.6%
5.2%
3.7%
1.8%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Boluspor goals (down), columns = Keçiörengücü goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Boluspor is 1.60 points worse than Keçiörengücü in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Boluspor is 2.20 goals worse than Keçiörengücü in terms of goals scored per game (0.20 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Boluspor is 0.60 goals worse than Keçiörengücü in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Boluspor is 4.2 percentage points worse than Keçiörengücü in terms of average possession (41% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Boluspor
For 2.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Keçiörengücü
For 4.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Boluspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.9
8.4
4.4
3.9
4.8
26.0
24.8
27.1
vs Stronger (7)
9.4
7.0
11.0
4.1
4.3
4.0
26.0
31.0
22.7
vs Similar (43)
8.0
8.0
8.1
4.4
3.8
5.0
26.0
24.2
27.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
32%
43%
60%
52%
68%
71%
68%
74%
% under line
62%
68%
57%
40%
48%
32%
29%
32%
26%
This opponent (Keçiörengücü) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keçiörengücü
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
8.5
7.8
3.9
3.9
3.8
23.6
23.9
23.3
vs Stronger (7)
6.8
5.5
7.5
3.4
3.5
3.4
20.8
24.0
19.2
vs Similar (43)
8.3
8.8
7.8
4.0
4.0
4.0
24.0
23.8
24.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
27%
29%
26%
58%
62%
54%
75%
71%
78%
% under line
73%
71%
74%
42%
38%
46%
25%
29%
22%
This opponent (Boluspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.2
Bodrum FK
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Iğdır FK
9.0
Esenler Erokspor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Mardin 1969
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Pendikspor
8.5
İstanbulspor
8.4
Keçiörengücü
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Boluspor
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.9
Muğlaspor
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.7
Batman Petrolspor
6.5
Antalyaspor
5.3
Vanspor FK
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Pendikspor
5.1
Boluspor
5.0
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Iğdır FK
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.6
İstanbulspor
4.6
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.2
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
33.0
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
28.8
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.2
Pendikspor
26.8
Batman Petrolspor
25.8
Boluspor
25.7
Kayserispor
24.9
Bandırmaspor
24.1
Bodrum FK
24.1
Iğdır FK
23.6
Sarıyer
23.6
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Sivasspor
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.3
Ümraniyespor
23.1
Mardin 1969
23.0
Esenler Erokspor
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
28.0%
@ 2.28-12.3%
Under 9.5
72.0%
@ 1.55+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.32
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.21
Pinnacle
2.21
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.3%
Under 3.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.1%
Under 21.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Boluspor or Draw✗ Miss
68.7%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.36
Edge
+29.7%
43%
25%
31%
covers Boluspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.45
BetVictor
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Boluspor or Keçiörengücü✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 78.5% · @ 1.17
Edge
-4.0%
43%
25%
31%
covers Boluspor + Keçiörengücü
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw or Keçiörengücü✓ Hit
56.8%
Avg Implied 82.6% · @ 1.11
Edge
-25.7%
43%
25%
31%
covers Draw + Keçiörengücü
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Boluspor over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
82.0%
@ 1.47+19.0%
Under
18.0%
@ 2.50-19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.68
BetVictor
2.55
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.51
Boluspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.2%
@ 3.26+22.7%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.29-22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Pinnacle
3.28
Marathonbet
3.26
10Bet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Boluspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.7%
@ 8.87+14.1%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.05-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
9.20
Superbet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Boluspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 20.50+4.8%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.01-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Keçiörengücü over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.3%
@ 1.08-9.5%
Under
23.7%
@ 6.54+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Under
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Keçiörengücü over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.2%
@ 1.50-19.8%
Under
57.8%
@ 2.44+19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.54
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Betano
2.45
Keçiörengücü over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.6%
@ 2.56-18.6%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.45+18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
BetVictor
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
Under
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Keçiörengücü over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 4.97-12.9%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.15+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Boluspor, so a minus line means Boluspor give that many goals of a start and Keçiörengücü receive them. At -1, Boluspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Boluspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Boluspor)Actual: Keçiörengücü
Boluspor -2
10.0%
@ 34.00+7.2%
Draw -2
13.3%
@ 17.00+7.8%
Keçiörengücü +2
76.7%
@ 1.03-15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
34.00
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
1.03
Handicap -1 (Boluspor)Actual: Keçiörengücü
Boluspor -1
23.3%
@ 10.00+14.6%
Draw -1
19.9%
@ 6.30+6.1%
Keçiörengücü +1
56.8%
@ 1.11-20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap +1 (Boluspor)Actual: Keçiörengücü
Boluspor +1
68.7%
@ 2.33+31.1%
Draw +1
16.5%
@ 3.56-8.1%
Keçiörengücü -1
14.8%
@ 2.31-23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.31
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.14
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
2.95
Away
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.33
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.18
Handicap +2 (Boluspor)Actual: Draw
Boluspor +2
85.2%
@ 1.50+26.3%
Draw +2
9.4%
@ 4.41-10.6%
Keçiörengücü -2
5.4%
@ 4.16-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.48
Unibet
1.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.80
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Boluspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.47
0.60
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.77
0.50
0.57
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Keçiörengücü) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keçiörengücü
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.77
1.60
0.67
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (26)
1.42
0.73
1.64
0.57
1.17
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Boluspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.7%
@ 1.26+1.5%
Under 0.5
25.3%
@ 3.45-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Under
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.6%
@ 2.26-0.2%
Under 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.56+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Betano
2.32
Unibet
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
Superbet
1.61
William Hil
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.0%
@ 5.12-3.0%
Under 2.5
85.0%
@ 1.13+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
William Hil
5.00
Under
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Boluspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.4%
@ 2.50+7.4%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.47-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Marathonbet
2.51
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
Boluspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.3%
@ 8.97+2.9%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.04-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
9.00
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
Boluspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keçiörengücü over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.4%
@ 1.55-9.5%
Under
49.6%
@ 2.32+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Under
Superbet
2.42
Pinnacle
2.41
1xBet
2.37
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.15
Keçiörengücü over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
18.7%
@ 3.56-7.0%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.24+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.74
Betano
3.55
1xBet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Keçiörengücü over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 8.70-6.9%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Boluspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.93
0.73
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.88
0.93
0.71
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Keçiörengücü) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keçiörengücü
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
1.20
0.53
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.73
1.21
0.57
0.58
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Boluspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
79.9%
@ 1.15-0.8%
Under 0.5
20.1%
@ 4.79+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Superbet
4.65
Betano
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.9%
@ 1.77-4.3%
Under 1.5
52.1%
@ 1.94+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 3.33-7.2%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.27+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Boluspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.4%
@ 2.06+5.7%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.67-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Betano
2.02
Under
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Boluspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 6.43+5.3%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.08-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
6.50
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Boluspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 10.50-4.3%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Keçiörengücü over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.6%
@ 1.36-12.4%
Under
44.4%
@ 2.90+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Under
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Superbet
2.75
Keçiörengücü over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.7%
@ 2.60-12.7%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.43+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.67
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
Keçiörengücü over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 5.90-9.9%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.09+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.3%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.2%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+12.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.04
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
89.0%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.0%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.3%
1.16
Unibet
1.19
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
82.4%
1.45
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
Betfair
1.44
+18.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
82.0%
1.47
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
+19.0%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
81.8%
1.30
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
-
-
+11.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.3%
1.24
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-5.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.11
-0.8%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.27
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.9%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.43
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
-
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-15.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
10Bet
1.07
-9.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
75.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-14.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.7%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.5%
1.17
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
72.0%
1.55
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Betano
1.50
+12.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Boluspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Furkan Kaçmaz25%
Muhammed Mert0%
R. Rivas0%
E. Özkayımoğlu0%
A. Kırım0%
Kevin Cuesta0%
A. Tafas0%
Mustafa Alptekin Cayli0%
B. Göçmen0%
Tolunay Artuç0%
Muhammet Zeki Dursun0%
Jose Diaz Lopez0%
Juan Arguello0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Muhammet Zeki Dursun67%
Juan Arguello67%
A. Kırım50%
Mustafa Alptekin Cayli33%
Kevin Cuesta25%
Tolunay Artuç25%
Muhammed Mert0%
R. Rivas0%
E. Özkayımoğlu0%
A. Tafas0%
B. Göçmen0%
Jose Diaz Lopez0%
Furkan Kaçmaz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muhammed Mert0%
R. Rivas0%
E. Özkayımoğlu0%
A. Kırım0%
Kevin Cuesta0%
A. Tafas0%
Mustafa Alptekin Cayli0%
B. Göçmen0%
Tolunay Artuç0%
Muhammet Zeki Dursun0%
Jose Diaz Lopez0%
Juan Arguello0%
Furkan Kaçmaz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
E. Özkayımoğlu33%
Muhammed Mert0%
R. Rivas0%
A. Kırım0%
Kevin Cuesta0%
A. Tafas0%
Mustafa Alptekin Cayli0%
B. Göçmen0%
Tolunay Artuç0%
Muhammet Zeki Dursun0%
Jose Diaz Lopez0%
Juan Arguello0%
Furkan Kaçmaz0%
Keçiörengücü
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Diouf100%
İbrahim Akdağ33%
Süleyman Luş33%
Oğuzcan Çalışkan33%
Francis Ezeh25%
Ishak Karaoğul25%
H. Ayan25%
Moryke Fofana0%
O. Roshi0%
Jefferson0%
Wellington Nascimento0%
A. Çelik0%
E. Satılmış0%
M. Keskin0%
Enes Yilmaz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
İbrahim Akdağ100%
E. Satılmış33%
M. Diouf25%
O. Roshi25%
Wellington Nascimento25%
Francis Ezeh25%
M. Keskin25%
Moryke Fofana0%
Jefferson0%
A. Çelik0%
Süleyman Luş0%
Ishak Karaoğul0%
Oğuzcan Çalışkan0%
H. Ayan0%
Enes Yilmaz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
İbrahim Akdağ33%
O. Roshi25%
Jefferson25%
Francis Ezeh25%
H. Ayan25%
M. Diouf0%
Moryke Fofana0%
Wellington Nascimento0%
A. Çelik0%
E. Satılmış0%
M. Keskin0%
Süleyman Luş0%
Ishak Karaoğul0%
Oğuzcan Çalışkan0%
Enes Yilmaz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Francis Ezeh75%
M. Diouf50%
İbrahim Akdağ33%
Oğuzcan Çalışkan33%
Moryke Fofana0%
O. Roshi0%
Jefferson0%
Wellington Nascimento0%
A. Çelik0%
E. Satılmış0%
M. Keskin0%
Süleyman Luş0%
Ishak Karaoğul0%
H. Ayan0%
Enes Yilmaz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Boluspor's squad is €4m less valuable than Keçiörengücü's (€3m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Boluspor's attack is €1m less valuable than Keçiörengücü's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Boluspor's midfield is €1m less valuable than Keçiörengücü's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Boluspor's defence is €1m less valuable than Keçiörengücü's (€1m vs €3m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor