Bradford’s recent draw against Burnley leaves them in a defensive slump, while Burnley’s own last five results show a steady decline, making the away side the clear favourite. The model rates an away win at 76%, with a 7% chance of a home victory and a 17% chance of a draw, and it picks an away win as the most likely outcome. The expected total of 2.9 goals translates to an average of 2.9, but the single most likely scoreline is 0-2, a 14.7% probability, reflecting Burnley’s superior attack against Bradford’s weak home form. Bradford’s home scoring and conceding against this tier is low, while Burnley’s away scoring and conceding is strong. The suggested picks are: Home under 3.5 goals99.7% (edge 5%); Under 7.599.0%; Away +2 handicap98.3% (edge 13%); Home under 2.5 HT goals98.1%; Home under 2.5 goals97.8% (edge 11%); Home under 2.5 2H goals97.6% (edge 4%); Under 6.597.0% (edge 0%); Away under 2.5 HT goals96.4% (edge 3%).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, an away win at 76%, failed to materialise as the match finished 0-0, a draw that extends both sides’ recent stalemates. The model’s call was wrong. Bradford, coming off a draw, and Burnley, also coming off a draw, produced a low-scoring affair that matched the model’s most likely 2-goal total, yet the scoreline was 0-0. Every suggested pick was settled: Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.7%, Under 7.5 hit at 99.0%, Away +2 handicap hit at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 goals hit at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.6%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.0%, and Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.4%. The model’s selections performed well, despite the upset.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bradford win✗ Miss
6.9%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.28
Edge
-21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Draw✓ Hit
17.2%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.34
Edge
-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.50
1xBet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.45
BetVictor
3.40
Burnley win✗ Miss
75.9%
Avg Implied 43.2% · @ 2.18
Edge
+32.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.24
Pinnacle
2.23
Dafabet
2.23
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bradford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.07
1.13
0.53
1.00
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.04
1.07
1.07
0.57
1.00
1.57
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.90
1.29
1.71
0.85
2.15
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.43
1.50
1.75
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.10
2.10
1.27
1.73
0.90
2.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.6%
@ 1.30+7.7%
Under 1.5
20.4%
@ 3.32-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.57
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.36
1xBet
3.36
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.9%
@ 1.95+7.4%
Under 2.5
44.1%
@ 1.84-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Under
SBO
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Betfair
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.5%
@ 3.32+5.4%
Under 3.5
66.5%
@ 1.29-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.42
Betano
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
BetVictor
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.9%
@ 1.75-12.4%
No
59.1%
@ 1.99+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.75
William Hil
1.75
No
Betfair
2.10
BetVictor
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.7%@ 9.86+10.2%
0-1
11.8%@ 7.18+5.7%
0-3
11.4%@ 18.52+9.0%
1-2
8.6%@ 8.10+3.2%
1-1
8.1%@ 5.93+0.7%
1-3
6.7%@ 15.51+3.9%
0-4
6.7%@ 46.16+5.7%
0-0 ✓
6.1%@ 9.33+1.4%
Bradford goals ↓
Burnley goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
12%
15%
11%
6.7%
1
2.4%
8.1%
8.6%
6.7%
3.9%
2
0.9%
2.2%
2.5%
2.0%
1.2%
3
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bradford goals (down), columns = Burnley goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
3.00
Cardiff
2.40
Millwall
2.33
Arsenal
2.17
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Accrington
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Wigan
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Chelsea
1.80
Newcastle
1.80
Wrexham
1.75
Fulham
1.75
Grimsby
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Crystal Palace
1.67
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Stockport
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Everton
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Preston
1.50
Charlton
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Liverpool
1.50
Mansfield
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
Leeds
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barnet
1.00
Salford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leicester
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Manchester United
1.00
Hull
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bolton
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Sheffield Weds
0.67
Huddersfield
0.67
Burton
0.50
AFC Wimbledon
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Stoke
0.50
Derby
0.50
Newport County
0.50
Rochdale
0.48
York
0.36
Sheffield United
0.00
West Ham
0.00
Blackburn
0.00
Blackpool
0.00
Shrewsbury
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Exeter
0.00
QPR
0.00
Oldham
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Crawley Town
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Watford
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Nottingham Forest
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Luton
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Bradford is 0.50 points better than Burnley in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brighton
4.00
Hull
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Wolves
2.67
Manchester City
2.33
Wrexham
2.25
Chelsea
2.20
Cardiff
2.00
West Ham
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Barnet
2.00
QPR
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Swansea
2.00
Nottingham Forest
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Brentford
2.00
Newcastle
1.80
Southampton
1.67
Cambridge
1.67
Accrington
1.67
Lincoln
1.67
Crystal Palace
1.67
Stockport
1.50
Grimsby
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Arsenal
1.50
Reading
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Millwall
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.33
Fulham
1.25
Wycombe
1.25
Coventry
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Sheffield United
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackburn
1.00
Shrewsbury
1.00
Stevenage
1.00
AFC Wimbledon
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Cheltenham
1.00
Oldham
1.00
Crawley Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Watford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Norwich
1.00
Derby
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Swindon
1.00
Huddersfield
1.00
Peterboro
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Liverpool
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Port Vale
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Rochdale
0.56
Burton
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
York
0.42
Blackpool
0.00
Exeter
0.00
Salford
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Stoke
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Luton
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Bradford is 0.50 goals better than Burnley in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Salford
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Manchester City
0.33
Wycombe
0.50
Southampton
0.67
Cambridge
0.67
Port Vale
0.67
Millwall
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Crystal Palace
0.67
Brighton
0.67
Fulham
0.75
Brentford
0.75
Arsenal
0.83
Coventry
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackpool
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Burton
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Rotherham
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Northampton
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leyton Orient
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Tottenham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Luton
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Cardiff
1.20
Reading
1.33
Accrington
1.33
Newcastle
1.40
AFC Wimbledon
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Stoke
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Derby
1.50
Newport County
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.67
Bradford
1.67
Huddersfield
1.67
Wrexham
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Chelsea
1.80
Sheffield United
2.00
Blackburn
2.00
Barnet
2.00
Exeter
2.00
Grimsby
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Watford
2.00
Bournemouth
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Milton Keynes Dons
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Portsmouth
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
West Ham
3.00
Shrewsbury
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Barnsley
3.00
QPR
3.00
Oldham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Nottingham Forest
3.00
Hull
3.00
Oxford
3.00
Crewe
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Rochdale
3.31
Middlesbrough
4.00
York
4.45
Bradford is 0.17 goals worse than Burnley in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Leeds
80%
Barnet
77%
Peterboro
72%
Chesterfield
71%
Ipswich
71%
Manchester United
70%
Sunderland
70%
Stoke
66%
Manchester City
66%
Blackburn
65%
Bournemouth
65%
Notts County
64%
Portsmouth
63%
Tranmere
63%
Birmingham
62%
Fulham
62%
Middlesbrough
62%
Hull
61%
Chelsea
60%
Leicester
60%
Liverpool
60%
Stevenage
58%
Oldham
58%
Preston
58%
Brighton
57%
Blackpool
57%
Bristol Rvs
57%
Cardiff
57%
Everton
56%
Coventry
56%
Barnsley
56%
Stockport
55%
West Brom
55%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Tottenham
54%
Arsenal
54%
Aston Villa
54%
Bristol City
54%
Exeter
53%
Newcastle
53%
Bolton
53%
Norwich
52%
Plymouth
52%
Salford
51%
Gillingham
51%
Burnley
51%
Wycombe
50%
Oxford
50%
AFC Wimbledon
50%
Millwall
50%
Doncaster
49%
West Ham
49%
Southampton
49%
Leyton Orient
49%
Swansea
49%
Charlton
48%
Wolves
48%
Lincoln
47%
Reading
46%
Sheffield United
46%
Luton
46%
Wrexham
46%
Derby
45%
Brentford
44%
Grimsby
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Watford
44%
Crewe
44%
Rotherham
44%
Northampton
43%
Burton
42%
Cheltenham
42%
Wigan
42%
Crystal Palace
42%
Sheffield Weds
40%
Crawley Town
39%
Cambridge
37%
Colchester
37%
Accrington
35%
Fleetwood Town
35%
Milton Keynes Dons
35%
Bradford
33%
Huddersfield
32%
Mansfield
32%
QPR
31%
Port Vale
31%
Newport County
30%
Bromley
30%
Swindon
27%
Walsall
26%
Bradford is 18.0 percentage points worse than Burnley in terms of average possession (33% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bradford
For 6.7 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Burnley
For 4.2 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bradford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.5
9.6
4.0
4.3
3.8
24.8
25.0
24.5
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
-
9.5
2.5
-
2.5
22.0
-
22.0
vs Similar (46)
10.0
10.5
9.6
4.2
4.4
4.0
25.1
25.4
24.7
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
12.0
-
1.0
2.0
0.0
16.0
16.0
-
% over line
55%
58%
52%
60%
67%
54%
76%
83%
68%
% under line
45%
42%
48%
40%
33%
46%
24%
17%
32%
This opponent (Burnley) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.4
9.2
3.2
2.7
3.9
20.3
20.0
20.7
vs Stronger (14)
9.9
9.6
10.1
2.9
2.1
3.7
20.4
20.6
20.1
vs Similar (34)
9.2
9.5
8.8
3.3
2.7
3.9
19.9
19.2
20.9
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
8.5
-
4.5
4.5
-
25.5
25.5
-
% over line
48%
50%
45%
44%
32%
59%
40%
32%
50%
% under line
52%
50%
55%
56%
68%
41%
60%
68%
50%
This opponent (Bradford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
12.0
York
12.0
Sheffield United
11.4
Barnsley
11.3
Oxford
11.3
Swindon
11.2
Plymouth
11.2
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Leicester
10.9
Southampton
10.9
Cardiff
10.8
Middlesbrough
10.8
Portsmouth
10.7
Millwall
10.7
Preston
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Blackburn
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Grimsby
10.6
Walsall
10.5
Rochdale
10.5
Stoke
10.5
Bromley
10.4
Norwich
10.4
Birmingham
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Wrexham
10.4
Luton
10.4
Blackpool
10.4
Hull
10.4
Port Vale
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.3
Watford
10.2
Chesterfield
10.2
Exeter
10.2
Barnet
10.2
Liverpool
10.2
QPR
10.2
Northampton
10.2
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Bolton
10.2
Fleetwood Town
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Peterboro
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Tranmere
10.0
Derby
10.0
Stockport
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Oldham
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Tottenham
9.9
AFC Wimbledon
9.8
Salford
9.7
Accrington
9.7
Rotherham
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Cheltenham
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Charlton
9.7
Gillingham
9.7
Crewe
9.6
Leyton Orient
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Bristol Rvs
9.5
Leeds
9.5
Wolves
9.4
Aston Villa
9.4
Notts County
9.4
Burnley
9.3
West Brom
9.3
Reading
9.3
Everton
9.2
Colchester
9.2
Sunderland
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Cambridge
9.0
Lincoln
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.7
Stevenage
8.7
Shrewsbury
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Tottenham
4.6
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Bournemouth
4.5
Watford
4.5
Notts County
4.4
Crawley Town
4.4
Shrewsbury
4.3
Peterboro
4.3
Lincoln
4.2
Newcastle
4.2
Ipswich
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Hull
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Derby
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Rotherham
4.0
Accrington
4.0
Leyton Orient
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Gillingham
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Portsmouth
3.9
Newport County
3.9
York
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Swansea
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Wolves
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Crewe
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.7
Salford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Luton
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Grimsby
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Walsall
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bolton
3.7
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Coventry
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Liverpool
3.6
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Port Vale
3.6
Barnet
3.6
Leeds
3.5
Cheltenham
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Millwall
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Preston
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Exeter
3.5
Oxford
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Stockport
3.3
Rochdale
3.3
Burnley
3.2
AFC Wimbledon
3.2
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crawley Town
25.3
Oldham
25.3
Crewe
25.2
Colchester
25.0
Salford
24.8
Notts County
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Stevenage
24.6
Plymouth
24.5
Huddersfield
24.2
Luton
24.0
Rochdale
24.0
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Barnet
23.9
Gillingham
23.9
Ipswich
23.8
Grimsby
23.8
Rotherham
23.7
Peterboro
23.7
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.5
Leyton Orient
23.4
Blackpool
23.4
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Wigan
23.3
Bournemouth
23.3
Wolves
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Newport County
23.1
Lincoln
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Tottenham
23.0
Tranmere
22.8
Fleetwood Town
22.8
Derby
22.8
Walsall
22.8
Sunderland
22.7
Shrewsbury
22.7
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Doncaster
22.5
Reading
22.4
Leicester
22.4
Swansea
22.4
Southampton
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
Accrington
22.2
Bolton
22.2
Leeds
22.2
Mansfield
22.2
Brighton
22.2
West Ham
22.2
Burton
22.2
Cheltenham
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Chesterfield
22.0
Northampton
22.0
Everton
22.0
Exeter
22.0
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Birmingham
21.8
Newcastle
21.8
Port Vale
21.7
Bromley
21.7
Manchester United
21.7
Sheffield United
21.6
Charlton
21.6
Middlesbrough
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.5
Wycombe
21.4
Norwich
21.3
Coventry
21.3
Liverpool
21.3
Manchester City
21.3
Bristol City
21.2
Watford
21.1
Hull
21.0
Blackburn
21.0
Stockport
20.9
Stoke
20.8
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.7
Millwall
20.7
West Brom
20.7
Barnsley
20.4
Swindon
20.4
Burnley
20.3
Preston
20.1
Fulham
20.1
Brentford
19.8
Wrexham
19.4
York
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.3%
@ 1.95-1.3%
Under 9.5
53.7%
@ 1.77+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.1%
@ 1.72-3.0%
Under 3.5
49.9%
@ 1.95+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.72
Under
Superbet
1.95
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
60.4%
Under 21.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bradford or Draw✓ Hit
24.1%
Avg Implied 56.3% · @ 1.67
Edge
-32.2%
7%
17%
76%
covers Bradford + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Bradford or Burnley✗ Miss
82.8%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.30
Edge
+10.5%
7%
17%
76%
covers Bradford + Burnley
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Draw or Burnley✓ Hit
93.1%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.32
Edge
+21.6%
7%
17%
76%
covers Draw + Burnley
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
10Bet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bradford over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
44.5%
@ 1.38-22.9%
Under
55.5%
@ 2.85+22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Under
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
Marathonbet
2.89
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Bradford over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 2.84-21.0%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.39+21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.98
Marathonbet
2.92
Superbet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bradford over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 7.26-10.6%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.07+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Bradford over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
@ 17.17-5.3%
Under
99.7%
@ 1.01+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Burnley over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
90.3%
@ 1.23+14.7%
Under
9.7%
@ 3.81-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.99
Unibet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.82
Burnley over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
67.6%
@ 2.15+24.3%
Under
32.4%
@ 1.65-24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.21
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Under
Unibet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Burnley over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
41.2%
@ 4.76+21.7%
Under
58.8%
@ 1.16-21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
Under
Unibet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
Burnley over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.7%
@ 11.17+12.2%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.03-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bradford, so a minus line means Bradford give that many goals of a start and Burnley receive them. At -1, Bradford must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bradford win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bradford)Actual: Burnley
Bradford -2
0.3%
@ 18.00-4.8%
Draw -2
1.4%
@ 9.35-8.3%
Burnley +2
98.3%
@ 1.07+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
19.00
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Draw
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.40
10Bet
8.00
Away
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Handicap -1 (Bradford)Actual: Burnley
Bradford -1
1.7%
@ 7.23-10.8%
Draw -1
5.2%
@ 4.82-13.6%
Burnley +1
93.1%
@ 1.32+24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.30
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Handicap +1 (Bradford)Actual: Bradford
Bradford +1
24.1%
@ 1.68-29.5%
Draw +1
22.7%
@ 3.77-1.2%
Burnley -1
53.2%
@ 3.99+30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Handicap +2 (Bradford)Actual: Bradford
Bradford +2
46.8%
@ 1.19-28.5%
Draw +2
22.6%
@ 6.09+7.9%
Burnley -2
30.6%
@ 9.03+20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Marathonbet
6.65
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
9.30
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bradford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.53
0.33
0.33
0.20
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.25
0.54
0.29
0.36
0.21
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.59
1.00
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
1.10
0.55
1.18
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.8%
@ 1.39+1.7%
Under 0.5
31.2%
@ 2.84-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
1xBet
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.6%
@ 2.81-0.6%
Under 1.5
67.4%
@ 1.40+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
Under
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.0%
@ 7.22-1.9%
Under 2.5
89.0%
@ 1.07+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bradford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.5%
@ 2.31-1.8%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.56+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.36
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Under
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Bradford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 8.20-2.4%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Bradford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 29.00-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.1%
@ 1.94-3.9%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.79+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Burnley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.9%
@ 5.92-0.8%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.10+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
Betano
5.80
Superbet
5.70
10Bet
5.50
Under
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Burnley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 15.38-2.6%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bradford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.80
0.20
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.54
0.79
0.21
0.79
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.71
0.71
0.46
1.15
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.57
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
1.00
0.73
0.55
0.40
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
80.6%
@ 1.25+6.0%
Under 0.5
19.4%
@ 3.68-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
Superbet
3.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.2%
@ 2.17+5.1%
Under 1.5
51.8%
@ 1.65-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.5%
@ 4.79+0.9%
Under 2.5
79.5%
@ 1.17-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
10Bet
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bradford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.7%
@ 1.94-1.1%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.78+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Bradford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 5.79-2.8%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.10+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Bradford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 15.25-3.8%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Burnley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
64.1%
@ 1.68+8.8%
Under
35.9%
@ 2.08-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Burnley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.2%
@ 4.34+3.8%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.18-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Burnley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 11.25-3.4%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
98.3%
1.07
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
+13.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
97.8%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
+10.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
90.3%
1.23
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
+14.7%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.10
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.8%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
82.8%
1.30
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
79.6%
1.30
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.30
+7.7%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
79.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-12.2%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.4%
1.26
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.1%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bradford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aden Baldwin50%
W. Swan20%
B. Pointon20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
N. Powell0%
C. Connolly0%
M. Pennington0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Pennington25%
I. Touray20%
C. Connolly20%
M. Gillesphey0%
N. Powell0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
W. Swan0%
B. Pointon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Pennington25%
C. Connolly20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
N. Powell0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
W. Swan0%
B. Pointon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Beesley40%
R. Welch25%
N. Powell20%
W. Swan20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
C. Connolly0%
M. Pennington0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
Jon McCracken0%
B. Pointon0%
Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zian Flemming50%
Josh Laurent20%
Ugo Raghouber17%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Mike Trésor0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Armando Broja0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Max Alleyne0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zian Flemming25%
Oliver Sonne25%
Josh Laurent20%
Marcus Edwards20%
Hannibal Mejbri17%
Ugo Raghouber17%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Mike Trésor0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Armando Broja0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Max Alleyne0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Max Alleyne25%
Marcus Edwards20%
Jacob Bruun Larsen17%
Zeki Amdouni17%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Josh Laurent0%
Zian Flemming0%
Mike Trésor0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Armando Broja0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Ugo Raghouber0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming75%
Josh Laurent20%
Aaron Ramsey20%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Mike Trésor0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Armando Broja0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Alleyne0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Ugo Raghouber0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Bradford's squad is €108m less valuable than Burnley's (€7m vs €115m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Bradford's attack is €67m less valuable than Burnley's (€3m vs €70m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Bradford's midfield is €7m less valuable than Burnley's (€1m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Bradford's defence is €34m less valuable than Burnley's (€3m vs €37m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
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