This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.17
1.47
0.87
0.93
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.21
1.33
0.92
0.92
1.50
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.9%
Under 1.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.6%
@ 2.36+3.8%
Under 2.5
56.4%
@ 1.56-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
0-0 ✓
10.2%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.5%
Brescia goals ↓
Juve Stabia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.6%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.2%
2.7%
0.7%
2
7.6%
8.4%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.3%
3.7%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brescia goals (down), columns = Juve Stabia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Brescia is 0.36 points worse than Juve Stabia in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.49).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Brescia is 0.01 goals better than Juve Stabia in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Brescia is 0.17 goals worse than Juve Stabia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Brescia is 5.3 percentage points worse than Juve Stabia in terms of average possession (46% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brescia
For 4.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 15.4 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Juve Stabia
For 4.1 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 19.6 · Against 16.8 · Total 36.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.5
10.6
5.0
4.9
5.1
28.9
28.2
29.5
vs Stronger (23)
10.2
9.5
11.0
5.2
4.8
5.6
28.6
28.9
28.3
vs Similar (26)
9.0
7.4
10.3
4.8
4.8
4.7
29.2
27.7
30.3
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
9.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
50%
38%
62%
72%
67%
77%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
50%
62%
38%
28%
33%
23%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.9
6.1
5.7
6.4
33.9
33.2
34.5
vs Stronger (2)
7.0
6.0
8.0
3.0
2.0
4.0
35.5
24.0
47.0
vs Similar (38)
9.9
10.6
9.3
5.8
5.4
6.1
33.7
32.8
34.5
vs Weaker (10)
11.4
10.4
12.4
7.8
7.6
8.0
34.3
36.8
31.8
% over line
54%
50%
58%
90%
88%
92%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
10%
12%
8%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Palermo
10.5
Cosenza
10.2
Juve Stabia
10.1
Spezia
9.7
Brescia
9.6
Carrarese
9.5
Frosinone
9.5
Bari
9.4
Salernitana
9.4
Sampdoria
9.3
Sudtirol
9.2
Catanzaro
9.2
Sassuolo
9.0
Cesena
9.0
Cremonese
9.0
Cittadella
9.0
Modena
9.0
Mantova
8.6
Reggiana
8.5
Pisa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.1
Juve Stabia
6.1
Spezia
5.9
Reggiana
5.8
Mantova
5.6
Sampdoria
5.4
Modena
5.3
Bari
5.3
Cremonese
5.0
Cittadella
5.0
Brescia
5.0
Pisa
5.0
Carrarese
4.9
Sudtirol
4.9
Cesena
4.8
Frosinone
4.8
Palermo
4.7
Catanzaro
4.7
Salernitana
4.5
Sassuolo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
35.2
Spezia
34.4
Juve Stabia
33.9
Cittadella
31.6
Reggiana
31.0
Sudtirol
30.6
Sampdoria
30.3
Bari
29.5
Cesena
29.4
Cremonese
29.4
Brescia
28.9
Frosinone
28.7
Palermo
28.7
Cosenza
28.6
Pisa
28.4
Salernitana
28.3
Carrarese
28.0
Modena
27.7
Catanzaro
27.6
Sassuolo
24.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.7%
Under 9.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.4%
Under 3.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.0%
Under 21.5
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.64
0.71
0.50
0.44
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
0.64
1.00
0.67
0.38
0.62
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.50
0.38
0.75
0.62
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.87
0.27
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.50
0.92
0.25
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.64
1.00
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.21
0.67
1.67
0.25
0.88
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.44
0.62
0.50
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.71
0.42
0.67
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Moncini20%
Gennaro Borrelli19%
Flavio Bianchi17%
Birkir Bjarnason15%
Riccardo Fogliata14%
Matthias Verreth12%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah8%
Davide Adorni8%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Ante Matej Jurić6%
Gabriele Calvani5%
Andrea Cistana4%
Nicolas Galazzi4%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Dimitri Bisoli3%
Michele Besaggio3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Lorenzo Dickmann0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabrizio Paghera38%
Davide Adorni30%
Lorenzo Dickmann26%
Dimitri Bisoli26%
Matthias Verreth24%
Gennaro Borrelli22%
Ante Matej Jurić19%
Andrea Papetti16%
Birkir Bjarnason15%
Giacomo Olzer15%
Michele Besaggio14%
Gabriele Calvani14%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah12%
Luca D'Andrea11%
Andrea Cistana9%
Flavio Bianchi8%
Nicolas Galazzi8%
Gabriele Moncini8%
Luca Lezzerini8%
Alexander Jallow6%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi21%
Dimitri Bisoli19%
Ante Matej Jurić9%
Andrea Cistana9%
Lorenzo Dickmann5%
Niccolò Corrado5%
Andrea Papetti5%
Gabriele Moncini4%
Birkir Bjarnason4%
Giacomo Olzer4%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Matthias Verreth3%
Gennaro Borrelli3%
Davide Adorni0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Flavio Bianchi0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Borrelli33%
Gabriele Moncini24%
Luca D'Andrea11%
Matthias Verreth9%
Davide Adorni8%
Lorenzo Dickmann8%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Massimo Bertagnoli7%
Dimitri Bisoli6%
Flavio Bianchi4%
Birkir Bjarnason4%
Ante Matej Jurić3%
Andrea Cistana0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Nicolas Galazzi0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Juve Stabia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Adorante42%
Francesco Folino19%
Leonardo Candellone13%
Gabriele Artistico12%
Nicola Mosti9%
Kevin Piscopo8%
Niccolò Fortini7%
Fabio Maistro7%
Marco Bellich6%
Marco Varnier4%
Christian Pierobon3%
Giuseppe Leone3%
Romano Floriani Mussolini3%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Cristian Andreoni0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Demba Thiam0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Davide Buglio0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Marco Meli0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Patryk Peda0%
Matteo Baldi0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Tommaso Di Marco0%
Yuri Rocchetti0%
Alessandro Louati0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davide Buglio33%
Francesco Folino31%
Marco Ruggero31%
Christian Pierobon24%
Marco Bellich22%
Danilo Quaranta22%
Romano Floriani Mussolini19%
Matteo Baldi19%
Andrea Adorante17%
Leonardo Candellone15%
Niccolò Fortini15%
Cristian Andreoni13%
Gabriele Artistico12%
Yuri Rocchetti12%
Demba Thiam12%
Giuseppe Leone12%
Marco Varnier11%
Nicola Mosti9%
Lorenzo Sgarbi9%
Kevin Piscopo8%
Patryk Peda8%
Fabio Maistro7%
Marco Meli6%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Tommaso Di Marco0%
Alessandro Louati0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin Piscopo22%
Edgaras Dubickas20%
Nicola Mosti14%
Niccolò Fortini11%
Christian Pierobon9%
Marco Ruggero8%
Patryk Peda8%
Giuseppe Leone6%
Andrea Adorante6%
Romano Floriani Mussolini6%
Leonardo Candellone5%
Davide Buglio3%
Demba Thiam2%
Marco Varnier0%
Marco Bellich0%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Cristian Andreoni0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Fabio Maistro0%
Marco Meli0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Gabriele Artistico0%
Matteo Baldi0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Tommaso Di Marco0%
Yuri Rocchetti0%
Alessandro Louati0%
Francesco Folino0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrea Adorante17%
Kevin Piscopo8%
Fabio Maistro7%
Nicola Mosti5%
Niccolò Fortini4%
Christian Pierobon3%
Leonardo Candellone3%
Marco Varnier0%
Marco Bellich0%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Cristian Andreoni0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Demba Thiam0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Davide Buglio0%
Giuseppe Leone0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Marco Meli0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Gabriele Artistico0%
Patryk Peda0%
Matteo Baldi0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Tommaso Di Marco0%
Yuri Rocchetti0%
Romano Floriani Mussolini0%
Alessandro Louati0%
Francesco Folino0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sassuolo
Pisa
Spezia
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Cesena
Palermo
Bari
Sudtirol
Modena
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Reggiana
Frosinone
Salernitana
Cittadella
Cosenza