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Brighton vs Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 3-2
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
54%
25%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wolves
Wolves
England: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Brighton are tipped to win, with a 54% chance of taking the match at home, a 25% draw probability and a 21% chance of a Wolves victory. The average goal total sits at 2.9, but the most likely single scoreline is a 1-1 draw, which carries a 11.8% probability. Brighton’s home form shows they average 1.33 goals scored and 0.75 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Wolves, on the road, average 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Under 6.5 (97%), Under 5.5 (92.3%), Home +2 handicap (91.6%), Over 19.5 fouls (91%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.2%) and Home under 3.5 goals (88.5%). All these picks carry their own probabilities and are highlighted as the model’s choices.

Results analysis

The model’s forecast proved accurate as Brighton secured a 3-2 win, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 54% probability and the prediction was correct. The final score matched the actual result, a home victory. The model’s selections performed well: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.5%, Under 6.5 at 97.0%, Under 5.5 at 92.3%, Home +2 handicap at 91.6%, Away under 2.5 goals at 90.2%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 88.5%. All picks settled as hits, underscoring the model’s strong accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✓ Hit
53.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wolves win✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L10W11D12L02L30W21W40W11D00DA·BOU28/04H·AST05/05A·NEW11/05H·CHE15/05H·MAN19/05A·EVE17/08H·MAN24/08H·CRA27/08A·ARS31/08H·IPS14/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.331.331.070.931.60
vs Stronger (5)0.402.400.003.500.671.67
vs Similar (23)1.221.041.330.751.091.36
vs Weaker (2)2.002.004.000.000.004.00
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WolvesWolves

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L21W15L13L02L02L26L20W11D12LH·BOU24/04H·LUT27/04A·MAN04/05H·CRY11/05A·LIV19/05A·ARS17/08H·CHE25/08H·BUR28/08A·NOT31/08H·NEW15/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.771.381.621.141.93
vs Stronger (13)1.232.621.603.001.002.38
vs Similar (17)1.291.121.271.001.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
Brighton goals ↓
Wolves goals →
01234
06.4%4.8%3.2%1.2%0.3%
18.7%12%5.9%2.1%0.6%
29.0%9.8%5.4%2.0%0.5%
35.5%6.0%3.3%1.2%0.3%
42.5%2.8%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Wolves goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Coventry
2.00
Derby
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Watford
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Stoke
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Southampton
1.75
Preston
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Birmingham
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Cardiff
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Reading
1.00
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Hull
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Brighton is 0.50 points better than Wolves in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Notts County
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Stoke
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Swindon
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Sheffield United
2.00
Everton
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Reading
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Preston
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Brentford
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Stockport
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Hull
1.00
Derby
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Colchester
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Brighton is 1.00 goals better than Wolves in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Everton
0.50
Fulham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Blackpool
0.67
Coventry
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bournemouth
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Preston
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Tranmere
2.00
Salford
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Carlisle
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Hull
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Barnsley
2.67
Leeds
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Cheltenham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Morecambe
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Swindon
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Wrexham
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Brighton is 0.17 goals worse than Wolves in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 5.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1209273445175464873284411108612101210108H·IPSA·ARSH·MANA·EVEH·MANH·CHEA·NEWH·ASTA·BOUH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

7043241212132343212227633457342H·IPSA·ARSH·MANA·EVEH·MANH·CHEA·NEWH·ASTA·BOUH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

30014167129138810913141691310101410330192216192725232413H·IPSA·ARSH·MANA·EVEH·MANH·CHEA·NEWH·ASTA·BOUH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WolvesWolves

For 3.7 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

20047375528210836448121211101010121168203H·NEWA·NOTH·CHEA·ARSA·LIVH·CRYA·MANH·LUTH·BOUH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

7033432322213343142326754364465H·NEWA·NOTH·CHEA·ARSA·LIVH·CRYA·MANH·LUTH·BOUH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 12.1 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

330176181513131417111413121741414101714923332631252521282723H·NEWA·NOTH·CHEA·ARSA·LIVH·CRYA·MANH·LUTH·BOUH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.610.09.25.04.85.222.823.721.8
vs Stronger (7)9.910.79.24.42.75.822.424.021.2
vs Similar (41)9.59.99.15.25.35.122.723.721.7
vs Weaker (2)11.0-11.02.00.04.027.0-27.0
% over line53%54%52%70%68%72%59%71%48%
% under line47%46%48%30%32%28%41%29%52%
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WolvesWolves

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.510.14.85.64.024.224.024.5
vs Stronger (22)10.610.510.84.86.13.524.025.023.1
vs Similar (28)10.010.59.64.85.14.524.423.225.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line57%54%60%76%88%64%71%71%72%
% under line43%46%40%24%12%36%29%29%28%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.5
Plymouth
12.5
Manchester United
12.3
Exeter
11.9
Coventry
11.8
Fleetwood Town
11.7
Bournemouth
11.7
Tranmere
11.6
Bromley
11.5
Southampton
11.5
Everton
11.3
Blackburn
11.2
Derby
11.2
Huddersfield
11.2
QPR
11.2
Peterboro
11.1
Harrogate
11.1
Wrexham
11.1
Liverpool
11.1
Middlesbrough
11.0
Luton
11.0
Grimsby
11.0
Port Vale
11.0
West Brom
11.0
Stoke
10.9
Barnsley
10.9
Charlton
10.8
Notts County
10.8
Newcastle
10.8
Sheffield Weds
10.8
Manchester City
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
Crawley Town
10.7
Hull
10.7
Morecambe
10.7
Bolton
10.7
Bristol City
10.7
Crewe
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Burnley
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Leeds
10.5
Wycombe
10.5
Walsall
10.5
Brentford
10.5
Oxford
10.5
Mansfield
10.5
Birmingham
10.4
Bristol Rvs
10.4
Swindon
10.4
Swansea
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Norwich
10.3
Doncaster
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Leyton Orient
10.3
Reading
10.3
Shrewsbury
10.3
Wolves
10.2
Sunderland
10.2
Chelsea
10.2
Colchester
10.2
Cheltenham
10.1
Stevenage
10.1
Millwall
10.1
Accrington
10.1
Bradford
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.0
Gillingham
10.0
Watford
9.9
Portsmouth
9.9
Carlisle
9.9
West Ham
9.8
Barrow
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Newport County
9.8
Salford
9.7
Aston Villa
9.7
Cambridge
9.6
Brighton
9.6
AFC Wimbledon
9.6
Blackpool
9.5
Lincoln
9.5
Cardiff
9.5
Preston
9.5
Stockport
9.3
Wigan
9.2
Arsenal
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Northampton
8.8
Burton
8.6
Chesterfield
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Wigan
5.2
Aston Villa
5.1
Brighton
5.1
Chelsea
5.1
Portsmouth
5.0
Tottenham
4.9
Sunderland
4.9
Southampton
4.9
Wolves
4.8
Lincoln
4.7
Colchester
4.6
Newcastle
4.6
Stevenage
4.6
Bradford
4.5
Exeter
4.5
Crawley Town
4.5
Burnley
4.5
QPR
4.4
Bolton
4.4
Watford
4.4
Blackpool
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Salford
4.3
Doncaster
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Bristol Rvs
4.3
Morecambe
4.3
Leeds
4.3
Crewe
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Notts County
4.2
Oxford
4.2
Plymouth
4.2
Bournemouth
4.2
AFC Wimbledon
4.2
Milton Keynes Dons
4.2
Cheltenham
4.2
Fleetwood Town
4.2
Norwich
4.2
Cambridge
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Hull
4.2
Brentford
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Barrow
4.1
Charlton
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield Weds
4.1
Tranmere
4.1
Port Vale
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Gillingham
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
West Ham
4.0
Wycombe
4.0
Barnsley
4.0
Birmingham
3.9
Burton
3.9
Huddersfield
3.9
Shrewsbury
3.9
Luton
3.9
Accrington
3.9
Wrexham
3.9
Mansfield
3.9
Arsenal
3.9
Walsall
3.8
Leyton Orient
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Preston
3.8
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Derby
3.7
Reading
3.6
Stockport
3.6
Cardiff
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Swindon
3.5
Grimsby
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Carlisle
3.5
Newport County
3.4
Harrogate
3.3
Peterboro
3.3
Bristol City
3.3
Rotherham
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
25.7
Portsmouth
24.9
Wigan
24.9
Accrington
24.6
Bromley
24.5
Tottenham
24.2
Wolves
24.2
Cheltenham
23.9
Doncaster
23.8
Luton
23.8
Aston Villa
23.7
Birmingham
23.7
Chesterfield
23.7
Crystal Palace
23.6
Watford
23.4
Sunderland
23.4
Grimsby
23.3
Bolton
23.3
Cambridge
23.2
Ipswich
23.2
Newcastle
23.2
Leeds
23.1
Chelsea
23.1
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Salford
23.1
Bradford
23.0
Swansea
23.0
Preston
23.0
Huddersfield
22.9
Millwall
22.9
Blackpool
22.8
AFC Wimbledon
22.8
Brighton
22.8
Coventry
22.8
Bournemouth
22.7
Hull
22.7
Bristol Rvs
22.7
Stockport
22.7
QPR
22.6
Lincoln
22.6
Sheffield Weds
22.6
Shrewsbury
22.5
Southampton
22.4
Plymouth
22.3
Stoke
22.3
Barrow
22.1
Exeter
22.1
Fleetwood Town
22.0
Liverpool
22.0
Colchester
21.9
Crewe
21.9
Burton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Arsenal
21.8
Newport County
21.8
Reading
21.7
Leicester
21.6
Oxford
21.6
Burnley
21.6
Morecambe
21.6
Derby
21.5
Walsall
21.5
Fulham
21.5
Everton
21.4
Norwich
21.3
Wycombe
21.2
Mansfield
21.1
West Ham
21.1
Gillingham
20.9
Charlton
20.9
Rotherham
20.8
Brentford
20.8
Crawley Town
20.7
Wrexham
20.7
Bristol City
20.7
Leyton Orient
20.7
Port Vale
20.7
Peterboro
20.3
Swindon
20.3
Northampton
20.3
Blackburn
20.2
Cardiff
20.2
Tranmere
20.2
Manchester United
20.1
Harrogate
20.0
Barnsley
20.0
Carlisle
20.0
Sheffield United
19.8
Notts County
19.5
West Brom
18.9
Manchester City
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.3%
Under 9.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.6%
Under 3.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.0%
Under 21.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Brighton or Draw✓ Hit
78.6%
Avg Implied -
54%
25%
21%
covers Brighton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton or Wolves✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied -
54%
25%
21%
covers Brighton + Wolves
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Wolves✗ Miss
46.3%
Avg Implied -
54%
25%
21%
covers Draw + Wolves
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Brighton over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.1%
Under
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.8%
Under
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.5%
Under
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.9%
Under
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Brighton, so a minus line means Brighton give that many goals of a start and Wolves receive them. At -1, Brighton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Brighton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Brighton)Actual: Wolves
Brighton -2
14.4%
Draw -2
16.8%
Wolves +2
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Brighton)Actual: Draw
Brighton -1
31.2%
Draw -1
22.5%
Wolves +1
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Brighton)Actual: Brighton
Brighton +1
78.6%
Draw +1
13.0%
Wolves -1
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Brighton)Actual: Brighton
Brighton +2
91.6%
Draw +2
5.9%
Wolves -2
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D11D01L00D10W10W10W01L00DA·BOU28/04H·AST05/05A·NEW11/05H·CHE15/05H·MAN19/05A·EVE17/08H·MAN24/08H·CRA27/08A·ARS31/08H·IPS14/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.600.330.400.80
vs Stronger (5)0.201.200.002.000.330.67
vs Similar (23)0.570.350.670.080.450.64
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.000.000.003.00
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WolvesWolves

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W03L02L02L01L22D10W11D10WH·BOU24/04H·LUT27/04A·MAN04/05H·CRY11/05A·LIV19/05A·ARS17/08H·CHE25/08H·BUR28/08A·NOT31/08H·NEW15/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.620.620.641.29
vs Stronger (13)0.461.310.601.000.381.50
vs Similar (17)0.760.650.640.451.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W00D11D02L20W11D30W10W00DA·BOU28/04H·AST05/05A·NEW11/05H·CHE15/05H·MAN19/05A·EVE17/08H·MAN24/08H·CRA27/08A·ARS31/08H·IPS14/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.730.730.530.80
vs Stronger (5)0.201.200.001.500.331.00
vs Similar (23)0.650.700.670.670.640.73
vs Weaker (2)1.500.503.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WolvesWolves

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D12L11D00D01L04L10W00D02LH·BOU24/04H·LUT27/04A·MAN04/05H·CRY11/05A·LIV19/05A·ARS17/08H·CHE25/08H·BUR28/08A·NOT31/08H·NEW15/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.751.000.500.64
vs Stronger (13)0.771.311.002.000.620.88
vs Similar (17)0.530.470.640.550.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap91.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls91.0%--------
Away under 2.5 goals90.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals88.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.8%--------
Home over 0.5 goals84.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.582.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls82.0%--------
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw78.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap78.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.6%--------
Home or Away75.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals72.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards70.6%--------
Away under 1.5 goals70.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matheus Cunha44%
Jørgen Strand Larsen32%
Marshall Munetsi12%
Rayan Aït Nouri12%
Gonçalo Guedes12%
Pablo Sarabia11%
Rodrigo Gomes11%
João Gomes10%
Hee-Chan Hwang8%
Matt Doherty6%
Emmanuel Agbadou6%
Mario Lemina5%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde5%
Tommy Doyle4%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Podence0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Santiago Bueno0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yerson Mosquera40%
João Gomes28%
Nélson Semedo24%
Mario Lemina21%
Toti Gomes21%
André19%
Carlos Forbs18%
Matt Doherty17%
Rayan Aït Nouri17%
Emmanuel Agbadou17%
Pablo Sarabia14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen13%
Craig Dawson12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Santiago Bueno9%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde8%
Tommy Doyle8%
José Sá7%
Gonçalo Guedes3%
Daniel Podence0%
Marshall Munetsi0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Hee-Chan Hwang0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Podence33%
Pedro Lima17%
Mario Lemina16%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde15%
Gonçalo Guedes15%
Rayan Aït Nouri15%
Matheus Cunha14%
Nélson Semedo14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen13%
Pablo Sarabia7%
Marshall Munetsi6%
Matt Doherty6%
João Gomes5%
Hee-Chan Hwang4%
Tommy Doyle4%
Toti Gomes3%
Santiago Bueno3%
José Sá0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matheus Cunha39%
Jørgen Strand Larsen16%
Marshall Munetsi12%
Mario Lemina11%
Gonçalo Guedes9%
João Gomes5%
Toti Gomes3%
Santiago Bueno3%
Rayan Aït Nouri2%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Podence0%
Pablo Sarabia0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde0%
Hee-Chan Hwang0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
Brighton's squad is €346m more valuable than Wolves's (€620m vs €273m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Brighton's attack is €111m more valuable than Wolves's (€190m vs €79m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Brighton's midfield is €102m more valuable than Wolves's (€180m vs €79m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Brighton's defence is €133m more valuable than Wolves's (€249m vs €116m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
BHA wins
2
Draws
2
WOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Wolves · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
22/01/24HBHA Vs Wolves0-0
19/08/23AWolves Vs BHA1-4
29/04/23HBHA Vs Wolves6-0
05/11/22AWolves Vs BHA2-3
30/04/22AWolves Vs BHA0-3
15/12/21HBHA Vs Wolves0-1
09/05/21AWolves Vs BHA2-1
02/01/21HBHA Vs Wolves3-3

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24HBHA Vs Ipswich0-0
31/08/24AArsenal Vs BHA1-1
27/08/24HBHA Vs Crawley Town4-0
24/08/24HBHA Vs Manchester United2-1
17/08/24AEverton Vs BHA0-3
19/05/24HBHA Vs Manchester United0-2
15/05/24HBHA Vs Chelsea1-2
11/05/24ANewcastle Vs BHA1-1
05/05/24HBHA Vs Aston Villa1-0
28/04/24ABournemouth Vs BHA3-0

WolvesWolves

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/24HWOL Vs Newcastle1-2
31/08/24ANottingham Forest Vs WOL1-1
28/08/24HWOL Vs Burnley2-0
25/08/24HWOL Vs Chelsea2-6
17/08/24AArsenal Vs WOL2-0
19/05/24ALiverpool Vs WOL2-0
11/05/24HWOL Vs Crystal Palace1-3
04/05/24AManchester City Vs WOL5-1
27/04/24HWOL Vs Luton2-1
24/04/24HWOL Vs Bournemouth0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.44
HomeLLWWD1.72
AwayDLDWD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%28%
AVG goals2.882.723.04
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.441.521.36
Conceded1.441.201.68
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.559.969.16
Cards5.085.005.16
Wolves
Wolves
England: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.14
HomeWLLWL1.48
AwayDLLLD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals3.062.963.16
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.221.401.04
Conceded1.841.562.12
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners10.3110.5010.12
Cards4.905.794.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches