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Brinje-Grosuplje vs Dekani Result & Analysis

Date: 21/04/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Brinje-Grosuplje
Brinje-Grosuplje
Vs
37%
32%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brinje-Grosuplje win✓ Hit
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dekani win✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D20W11D41W11D10W10W51W02L43WA·GOR05/11H·FUŽ11/11A·PRI19/11H·TAB02/03A·BEL10/03H·TOL17/03A·TRI25/03A·BIL30/03H·RUD06/04A·NAF14/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.201.211.291.941.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.840.841.440.782.200.90
vs Weaker (11)1.181.820.802.201.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W32W01L00D11D12L14L01L01L00DA·DRA04/11H·KRK11/11A·BIS19/11H·ILI02/03A·GOR09/03H·FUŽ16/03A·PRI24/03H·TAB29/03A·BEL07/04H·TOL14/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.271.191.441.001.07
vs Stronger (9)0.781.111.001.400.500.75
vs Similar (21)1.241.331.271.451.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.4%
Under 1.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.2%
Under 2.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-1 ✓
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
Brinje-Grosuplje goals ↓
Dekani goals →
01234
013%10%5.9%2.0%0.5%
112%15%6.8%2.3%0.6%
27.6%7.7%4.0%1.4%0.3%
32.9%3.0%1.5%0.5%0.1%
40.8%0.9%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brinje-Grosuplje goals (down), columns = Dekani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Primorje
2.00
Nafta
1.93
Beltinci
1.87
Gorica
1.77
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Triglav
1.60
Bistrica
1.47
Rudar
1.23
Dekani
1.20
Bilje
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Dravinja
1.13
Krka
1.10
Tabor Sežana
1.00
Ilirija
1.00
Fužinar
0.80
Brinje-Grosuplje is 0.53 points better than Dekani in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nafta
1.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Gorica
1.70
Beltinci
1.63
Primorje
1.63
Bistrica
1.50
Bilje
1.47
Triglav
1.47
Krka
1.33
Tabor Sežana
1.27
Dekani
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Fužinar
1.10
Rudar
1.10
Ilirija
1.03
Dravinja
0.97
Brinje-Grosuplje is 0.60 goals better than Dekani in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.80
Primorje
0.83
Gorica
0.93
Nafta
1.03
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Dekani
1.23
Dravinja
1.40
Ilirija
1.47
Tolmin
1.50
Bistrica
1.53
Krka
1.63
Rudar
1.63
Bilje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.97
Fužinar
2.03
Brinje-Grosuplje is 0.07 goals better than Dekani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D20W00D10W10W30W00D11DA·GOR05/11H·FUŽ11/11A·PRI19/11H·TAB02/03A·BEL10/03H·TOL17/03A·TRI25/03A·BIL30/03H·RUD06/04A·NAF14/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.430.710.361.250.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.210.371.000.221.400.50
vs Weaker (11)0.640.550.200.601.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D10W01L02L01L00D00DA·DRA04/11H·KRK11/11A·BIS19/11H·ILI02/03A·GOR09/03H·FUŽ16/03A·PRI24/03H·TAB29/03A·BEL07/04H·TOL14/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.440.810.570.57
vs Stronger (9)0.560.330.600.600.500.00
vs Similar (21)0.480.860.360.910.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D21W11D00D00D21W02L32WA·GOR05/11H·FUŽ11/11A·PRI19/11H·TAB02/03A·BEL10/03H·TOL17/03A·TRI25/03A·BIL30/03H·RUD06/04A·NAF14/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.500.930.690.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.630.470.440.560.800.40
vs Weaker (11)0.551.270.601.600.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D00D00D01L11D12L00D01L00DA·DRA04/11H·KRK11/11A·BIS19/11H·ILI02/03A·GOR09/03H·FUŽ16/03A·PRI24/03H·TAB29/03A·BEL07/04H·TOL14/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.750.620.430.50
vs Stronger (9)0.220.780.400.800.000.75
vs Similar (21)0.760.480.910.550.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
Brinje-Grosuplje's squad is €2m more valuable than Dekani's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Brinje-Grosuplje and Dekani have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Brinje-Grosuplje and Dekani have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Brinje-Grosuplje and Dekani have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
BRI wins
3
Draws
0
DEK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brinje-Grosuplje vs Dekani · H/A from BRI
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23ADekani Vs BRI1-1
30/04/23HBRI Vs Dekani1-1
15/10/22ADekani Vs BRI1-1

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/24ANafta Vs BRI3-4
06/04/24HBRI Vs Rudar0-2
30/03/24ABilje Vs BRI1-5
25/03/24ATriglav Vs BRI0-1
17/03/24HBRI Vs Tolmin1-0
10/03/24ABeltinci Vs BRI1-1
02/03/24HBRI Vs Tabor Sežana4-1
19/11/23APrimorje Vs BRI1-1
11/11/23HBRI Vs Fužinar2-0
05/11/23AGorica Vs BRI1-1

DekaniDekani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/24HDEK Vs Tolmin0-0
07/04/24ABeltinci Vs DEK1-0
29/03/24HDEK Vs Tabor Sežana0-1
24/03/24APrimorje Vs DEK4-1
16/03/24HDEK Vs Fužinar1-2
09/03/24AGorica Vs DEK1-1
02/03/24HDEK Vs Ilirija0-0
19/11/23ABistrica Vs DEK1-0
11/11/23HDEK Vs Krka3-2
04/11/23ADravinja Vs DEK0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brinje-Grosuplje
Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.56
HomeWWWWL1.28
AwayDDWWW1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%40%52%
AVG goals2.522.442.60
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %34%36%32%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.381.081.68
Conceded1.141.360.92
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet38%32%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.18
HomeWDLLD1.16
AwayWLDLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.002.121.88
Over 1.5 %52%56%48%
Over 2.5 %32%32%32%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored0.941.000.88
Conceded1.061.121.00
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PrimorjePrimorje3060
57%
2.0
4925+24
2.5
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.60.8
-
2NaftaNafta3058
60%
1.9
5531+24
2.9
77%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
3BeltinciBeltinci3056
57%
1.9
4924+25
2.4
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
4GoricaGorica3053
50%
1.8
5128+23
2.6
67%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
5Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3052
50%
1.7
5235+17
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.2
-
6TriglavTriglav3048
47%
1.6
4435+9
2.6
80%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7BistricaBistrica3044
43%
1.5
4546-1
3.0
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
8RudarRudar3037
33%
1.2
3349-16
2.7
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.11.6
-
9DekaniDekani3036
30%
1.2
3437-3
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
10BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
4451-7
3.2
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.7
-
11TolminTolmin3034
27%
1.1
3445-11
2.6
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12DravinjaDravinja3034
30%
1.1
2942-13
2.4
63%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
13KrkaKrka3033
30%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
80%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.6
-
14IlirijaIlirija3030
23%
1.0
3144-13
2.5
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.5
-
15Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3030
23%
1.0
3859-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.32.0
-
16FužinarFužinar3024
20%
0.8
3361-28
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
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Slovenia: 2. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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