Budapest Honved are tipped to take the win, with a 52% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of a Zalaegerszegi TE victory. The model’s pick is a home win, and the expected total of 2.9 goals points to a moderate scoring affair. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12% probability, while the average total of 2 goals is the most common goal count. Budapest Honved, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, typically score 1.6 goals and concede 1.0, whereas Zalaegerszegi TE away, also against a similar tier, average 0.92 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (97.1% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.2% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.7% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.5% with a 2% edge) and Under 5.5 (92.5% with a 4% edge). Budapest Honved’s recent form shows a string of losses, while Zalaegerszegi TE has endured three straight defeats, setting the stage for a cautious, low-scoring contest.
Results analysis
Budapest Honved’s win extends their recent run, ending a five-match sequence with a victory over Zalaegerszegi TE. The model predicted a home win with a 52% probability and was right, as the final score was 1-0. The favoured outcome was the home win, and the model’s call proved correct. The model’s selections also performed well: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.3%, Under 6.5 at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.8%, and Under 5.5 at 92.5%. All these picks were settled and hit.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Budapest Honved win✓ Hit
51.9%
Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.03
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.11
William Hil
2.10
Dafabet
2.07
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.41
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Zalaegerszegi TE win✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.25
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.45
Unibet
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.35
Dafabet
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Budapest Honved
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.97
1.62
0.94
1.21
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.39
0.96
1.60
1.00
1.15
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.80
0.80
0.80
1.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.23
1.85
0.77
0.92
1.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.7%
@ 1.20+2.0%
Under 1.5
20.3%
@ 4.16-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Betano
4.05
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.5%
@ 1.65-1.0%
Under 2.5
44.5%
@ 2.14+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.18
Bet365
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
@ 2.59-2.8%
Under 3.5
66.9%
@ 1.45+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
Unibet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.1%
@ 1.55-2.3%
No
42.9%
@ 2.28+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Superbet
1.55
No
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%@ 6.27+5.1%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.64+4.1%
2-0
8.7%@ 10.12+4.4%
1-0 ✓
8.7%@ 8.28+3.4%
0-0
6.6%@ 11.83+2.9%
1-2
6.1%@ 10.15+1.8%
3-1
5.8%@ 13.05+2.5%
2-2
5.5%@ 10.62+1.4%
Budapest Honved goals ↓
Zalaegerszegi TE goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.0%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
1
8.7%
12%
6.1%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.8%
5.5%
2.0%
0.6%
3
5.2%
5.8%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.3%
2.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Budapest Honved goals (down), columns = Zalaegerszegi TE goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Budapest Honved is 0.70 points better than Zalaegerszegi TE in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Budapest Honved is 0.77 goals better than Zalaegerszegi TE in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Budapest Honved is 0.90 goals better than Zalaegerszegi TE in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Budapest Honved is 3.4 percentage points better than Zalaegerszegi TE in terms of average possession (52% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Budapest Honved
For 5.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zalaegerszegi TE
For 3.7 · Against 4.1 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Budapest Honved
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.7
7.0
8.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
23.3
28.0
21.0
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
-
8.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (48)
7.5
7.0
8.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
23.0
28.0
18.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
2%
4%
0%
67%
100%
50%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
98%
96%
100%
33%
0%
50%
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.4
8.7
3.2
3.6
2.8
23.8
24.4
23.1
vs Stronger (5)
7.5
5.5
9.5
3.2
4.5
2.3
19.2
17.5
21.0
vs Similar (45)
8.6
8.7
8.5
3.2
3.5
2.9
24.4
25.3
23.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
47%
27%
44%
56%
32%
69%
76%
60%
% under line
62%
53%
73%
56%
44%
68%
31%
24%
40%
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
10.3
Ujpest
10.0
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Puskas Academy
9.8
MTK Budapest
9.8
Gyori ETO FC
9.8
Kisvarda FC
9.8
Ferencvarosi TC
9.5
Budapest Honved
9.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.0
Vasas
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.2
Paks
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Vasas
5.0
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.3
Kisvarda FC
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
28.5
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Ferencvarosi TC
27.5
Puskas Academy
27.5
Ujpest
26.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Gyori ETO FC
24.2
Kisvarda FC
24.0
Budapest Honved
23.3
Vasas
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
40.7%
@ 1.87-8.3%
Under 9.5
59.3%
@ 1.80+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.87
Under
Unibet
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.5%
Under 3.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.2%
Under 21.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Budapest Honved or Draw✓ Hit
77.3%
Avg Implied 72.0% · @ 1.28
Edge
+5.4%
52%
25%
23%
covers Budapest Honved + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Budapest Honved or Zalaegerszegi TE✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.25
Edge
+0.7%
52%
25%
23%
covers Budapest Honved + Zalaegerszegi TE
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.25
Draw or Zalaegerszegi TE✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.71
Edge
-6.1%
52%
25%
23%
covers Draw + Zalaegerszegi TE
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
SBO
1.72
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.2%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Under
16.8%
@ 4.57-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.55
Betano
4.55
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.3%
@ 1.84+3.0%
Under
46.7%
@ 1.86-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.6%
@ 3.62+1.0%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.24-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Superbet
3.55
Under
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Budapest Honved over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 7.55-1.7%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.07+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.00
1xBet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.3%
@ 1.30-3.8%
Under
32.7%
@ 3.21+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.44
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Betano
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.8%
@ 2.47-6.7%
Under
69.2%
@ 1.48+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.57
Unibet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.45
Under
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 5.70-5.9%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.10+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 14.42-3.9%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Budapest Honved, so a minus line means Budapest Honved give that many goals of a start and Zalaegerszegi TE receive them. At -1, Budapest Honved must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Budapest Honved win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Budapest Honved)Actual: Zalaegerszegi TE
Budapest Honved -2
13.4%
@ 7.08+0.8%
Draw -2
16.2%
@ 5.67+0.5%
Zalaegerszegi TE +2
70.4%
@ 1.25-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.60
Unibet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Budapest Honved)Actual: Draw
Budapest Honved -1
29.6%
@ 3.54+4.6%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 3.79-1.0%
Zalaegerszegi TE +1
48.1%
@ 1.71-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Unibet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Handicap +1 (Budapest Honved)Actual: Budapest Honved
Budapest Honved +1
77.3%
@ 1.30+8.7%
Draw +1
13.6%
@ 5.06-4.0%
Zalaegerszegi TE -1
9.1%
@ 6.49-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.80
Away
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Handicap +2 (Budapest Honved)Actual: Budapest Honved
Budapest Honved +2
90.9%
@ 1.08+6.7%
Draw +2
6.4%
@ 9.20-3.6%
Zalaegerszegi TE -2
2.7%
@ 15.50-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.40
Away
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Budapest Honved
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.30
0.75
0.31
0.36
0.29
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.32
0.80
0.33
0.38
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.57
0.60
0.53
0.13
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.42
0.58
0.69
0.46
0.15
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.5%
@ 1.31-0.5%
Under 0.5
29.5%
@ 3.20+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Superbet
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.7%
@ 2.43-3.5%
Under 1.5
65.3%
@ 1.50+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.0%
@ 5.51-3.8%
Under 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.12+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.5%
@ 1.76-5.3%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.97+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.74
Unibet
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 4.65-5.3%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.16+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.70
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 12.17-2.5%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.9%
@ 2.12-0.7%
Under
57.1%
@ 1.64+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 6.65-3.4%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.07+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.80
Superbet
6.60
Betano
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 20.17-2.6%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Budapest Honved
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.88
0.62
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.64
0.80
0.67
0.77
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.20
0.27
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.65
1.15
0.31
0.77
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.17+1.9%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 4.43-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Under
Betano
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.40
William Hil
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.4%
@ 1.85+0.3%
Under 1.5
49.6%
@ 1.85-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.89
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.8%
@ 3.59-4.0%
Under 2.5
78.2%
@ 1.25+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
59.7%
@ 1.51-1.7%
Under
40.3%
@ 2.40+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.47
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 3.42-6.6%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.26+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 8.72-6.3%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Superbet
9.20
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.4%
@ 1.78+0.4%
Under
47.6%
@ 1.93-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 4.86-2.7%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.14+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.80
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 13.42-1.9%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.02+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.9%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.7%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.4%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.12
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.16
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.2%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.14
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
1.30
Unibet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+10.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.7%
1.20
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+2.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.26
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.2%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
77.3%
1.28
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.3%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.5%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.25
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
73.4%
1.24
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
1.50
Unibet
1.50
-
-
-
-
+10.0%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.31
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
70.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-1.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Budapest Honved
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Csontos50%
Ádam Szamosi50%
Ákos Baki33%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ádam Somogyi25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Deian Boldor50%
Szilveszter Hangya25%
Dominik Csontos25%
Kevin Kállai25%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Tamás Somogyi0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Csontos50%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádam Szamosi50%
Deian Boldor25%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Dominik Csontos0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Zalaegerszegi TE
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
José Calderón20%
Bence Babos20%
Arthur Henrique Marques20%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
Norbert Szendrei0%
Joseth Peraza0%
Queyrell Tchicamboud0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Fabricio Amato0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Moises Cedeno0%
Diogo Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joseth Peraza75%
Norbert Szendrei33%
Moises Cedeno33%
Queyrell Tchicamboud25%
José Calderón20%
Fabricio Amato20%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
Bence Babos0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Arthur Henrique Marques0%
Diogo Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
András Csonka20%
Bence Gundel-Takács20%
Bence Kiss0%
Norbert Szendrei0%
José Calderón0%
Joseth Peraza0%
Queyrell Tchicamboud0%
Bence Babos0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Fabricio Amato0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Moises Cedeno0%
Arthur Henrique Marques0%
Diogo Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norbert Szendrei33%
Moises Cedeno33%
Fabricio Amato20%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
José Calderón0%
Joseth Peraza0%
Queyrell Tchicamboud0%
Bence Babos0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Arthur Henrique Marques0%
Diogo Silva0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Budapest Honved and Zalaegerszegi TE have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Budapest Honved and Zalaegerszegi TE have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Budapest Honved and Zalaegerszegi TE have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Budapest Honved and Zalaegerszegi TE have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
MTK Budapest
Vasas
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC