Bukovyna face Dynamo Kyiv with the model favouring an away win, a 55% chance versus 18% for a home victory and 26% for a draw. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals (26% probability). The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.6% chance. Dynamo, playing away against a weaker opponent, averages two goals scored and 1.33 conceded, a solid offensive output that should outpace Bukovyna’s recent struggles after a 0-3 defeat to Karpaty. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.9%) and Under 5.5 (95.4%) with a 5% edge.
Results analysis
Bukovyna’s win over Dynamo Kyiv was a shock that overturned the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win at 54%. The final score of 3-0 confirmed the home side’s triumph, and the model’s prediction was wrong. The game delivered on every one of the model’s suggested picks: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.8%, and Under 5.5 at 95.4%. Bukovyna’s recent form, coming off a win, proved decisive, while Dynamo Kyiv, after a defeat, failed to secure the expected advantage.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bukovyna win✓ Hit
18.9%
Avg Implied 14.9% · @ 6.16
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
6.65
Marathonbet
6.65
Dafabet
6.40
Pinnacle
6.30
10Bet
6.20
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 3.94
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.04
Dafabet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Dynamo Kyiv win✗ Miss
54.4%
Avg Implied 61.8% · @ 1.48
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bukovyna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
0.70
2.25
0.62
2.43
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.50
1.25
1.00
1.25
2.00
1.25
vs Weaker (22)
2.64
0.50
2.67
0.42
2.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo Kyiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo Kyiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.23
2.06
0.94
1.57
1.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.27
1.64
2.00
1.20
0.67
2.00
vs Weaker (19)
2.16
1.00
2.09
0.82
2.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bukovyna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
@ 1.28+1.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
@ 3.30-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.32
Superbet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.0%
@ 1.93-1.6%
Under 2.5
53.0%
@ 1.83+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.96
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Under
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.85
1xBet
1.85
SBO
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.4%
@ 3.24-3.2%
Under 3.5
74.6%
@ 1.29+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Under
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.9%
@ 2.02+3.4%
No
51.1%
@ 1.70-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.10
William Hil
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
No
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 7.21+7.3%
0-1
11.8%@ 5.61+4.8%
0-2
10.7%@ 6.03+4.3%
1-2
9.6%@ 7.62+4.5%
0-0
8.9%@ 9.27+4.7%
0-3
6.0%@ 9.39+1.8%
1-0
5.8%@ 13.67+2.9%
1-3
5.3%@ 11.86+2.0%
Bukovyna goals ↓
Dynamo Kyiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
12%
11%
6.0%
2.5%
1
5.8%
13%
9.6%
5.3%
2.2%
2
3.1%
5.1%
4.3%
2.4%
1.0%
3
0.9%
1.5%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bukovyna goals (down), columns = Dynamo Kyiv goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Livyi Bereh
2.00
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Polessya
1.97
Dynamo Kyiv
1.90
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.70
Kolos Kovalivka
1.63
Kryvbas KR
1.60
Zorya Luhansk
1.53
Karpaty
1.37
Chornomorets
1.36
Bukovyna
1.29
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.03
Obolon'-Brovar
0.97
Kudrivka
0.94
Bukovyna is 0.61 points worse than Dynamo Kyiv in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.90).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.20
Kryvbas KR
1.77
Polessya
1.70
Zorya Luhansk
1.40
Karpaty
1.33
LNZ Cherkasy
1.30
Chornomorets
1.23
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.20
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.20
Bukovyna
1.17
Kudrivka
1.06
Kolos Kovalivka
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Veres Rivne
0.87
Obolon'-Brovar
0.86
Bukovyna is 1.03 goals worse than Dynamo Kyiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livyi Bereh
0.50
LNZ Cherkasy
0.57
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.63
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Polessya
0.70
Kolos Kovalivka
0.83
Karpaty
1.03
Zorya Luhansk
1.20
Dynamo Kyiv
1.20
Chornomorets
1.24
Bukovyna
1.30
Veres Rivne
1.33
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.50
Kryvbas KR
1.53
Kudrivka
1.56
Obolon'-Brovar
1.69
Bukovyna is 0.10 goals worse than Dynamo Kyiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
68%
Dynamo Kyiv
62%
Livyi Bereh
58%
Polessya
57%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
52%
Kolos Kovalivka
49%
Kudrivka
49%
Karpaty
49%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
48%
Kryvbas KR
48%
LNZ Cherkasy
44%
Veres Rivne
43%
Obolon'-Brovar
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bukovyna
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Dynamo Kyiv
For 6.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bukovyna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (34)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Dynamo Kyiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo Kyiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
11.1
9.2
1.9
2.0
1.8
20.1
21.6
18.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
9.8
10.8
8.8
2.7
3.1
2.4
21.2
25.2
17.2
vs Weaker (31)
10.5
11.2
9.6
1.4
1.3
1.4
19.3
19.4
19.3
% over line
64%
62%
67%
24%
28%
20%
36%
38%
33%
% under line
36%
38%
33%
76%
72%
80%
64%
62%
67%
This opponent (Bukovyna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zorya Luhansk
10.5
Kryvbas KR
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.8
Veres Rivne
9.8
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.7
Polessya
9.5
Kudrivka
9.4
Livyi Bereh
9.2
Obolon'-Brovar
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.1
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
Chornomorets
8.8
Kolos Kovalivka
8.6
Karpaty
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Karpaty
4.9
Obolon'-Brovar
4.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.6
LNZ Cherkasy
4.5
Veres Rivne
4.4
Chornomorets
4.4
Livyi Bereh
4.4
Polessya
4.2
Zorya Luhansk
4.1
Dynamo Kyiv
4.0
Kolos Kovalivka
3.9
Kudrivka
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.9
Livyi Bereh
26.2
Kudrivka
25.1
Kryvbas KR
24.6
Karpaty
24.2
Kolos Kovalivka
24.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
23.7
LNZ Cherkasy
23.0
Veres Rivne
22.8
Chornomorets
22.4
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Dynamo Kyiv
21.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.2
Polessya
20.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.4%
@ 1.99-2.2%
Under 9.5
55.6%
@ 1.74+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Superbet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.5%
Under 3.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
47.7%
Under 21.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bukovyna or Draw✓ Hit
45.6%
Avg Implied 37.5% · @ 2.48
Edge
+8.1%
19%
27%
54%
covers Bukovyna + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Betano
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Bukovyna or Dynamo Kyiv✓ Hit
73.3%
Avg Implied 77.4% · @ 1.20
Edge
-4.0%
19%
27%
54%
covers Bukovyna + Dynamo Kyiv
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Draw or Dynamo Kyiv✗ Miss
81.1%
Avg Implied 85.1% · @ 1.09
Edge
-4.0%
19%
27%
54%
covers Draw + Dynamo Kyiv
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bukovyna over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
59.0%
@ 1.76+6.5%
Under
41.0%
@ 1.95-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Bukovyna over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
22.4%
@ 4.76+3.0%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.15-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.87
Superbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bukovyna over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
6.1%
@ 11.67-1.9%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.01+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
1xBet
10.50
Bet365
10.50
Under
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bukovyna over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 21.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
81.0%
@ 1.13-1.1%
Under
19.0%
@ 5.18+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Under
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.25
Superbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
49.5%
@ 1.68-6.0%
Under
50.5%
@ 2.09+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Under
Marathonbet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.3%
@ 3.10-6.8%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.33+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.07
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
2.93
Under
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 6.06-6.4%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.08+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bukovyna, so a minus line means Bukovyna give that many goals of a start and Dynamo Kyiv receive them. At -1, Bukovyna must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bukovyna win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bukovyna)Actual: Bukovyna
Bukovyna -2
1.6%
@ 51.00-0.2%
Draw -2
4.9%
@ 21.00+0.4%
Dynamo Kyiv +2
93.4%
@ 1.02-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
51.00
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Handicap -1 (Bukovyna)Actual: Bukovyna
Bukovyna -1
6.6%
@ 17.00+1.1%
Draw -1
12.4%
@ 8.00+0.8%
Dynamo Kyiv +1
81.1%
@ 1.12-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
1.12
Handicap +1 (Bukovyna)Actual: Bukovyna
Bukovyna +1
45.6%
@ 2.50+9.8%
Draw +1
24.0%
@ 3.38-2.4%
Dynamo Kyiv -1
30.4%
@ 2.38-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Draw
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
10Bet
3.30
Away
10Bet
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.27
Handicap +2 (Bukovyna)Actual: Bukovyna
Bukovyna +2
69.6%
@ 1.49+10.4%
Draw +2
17.1%
@ 4.30-3.4%
Dynamo Kyiv -2
13.2%
@ 4.38-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Betfair
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Away
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.15
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bukovyna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.17
0.81
0.12
1.21
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.05
0.05
0.92
0.00
1.20
0.10
Clean sheet %
87% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo Kyiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo Kyiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.94
0.62
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.82
0.80
0.60
0.17
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.95
0.68
1.00
0.64
0.88
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bukovyna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
63.8%
@ 1.37-3.7%
Under 0.5
36.2%
@ 2.84+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.90
William Hil
2.90
1xBet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 2.73-3.8%
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.40+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
1xBet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
William Hil
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.8%
@ 6.70-3.1%
Under 2.5
89.2%
@ 1.08+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bukovyna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.4%
@ 3.15+15.0%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.31-15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Bukovyna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.7%
Under
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 1.64-23.3%
Under
67.0%
@ 2.12+23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 4.20-13.9%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.18+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bukovyna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.53
1.44
0.50
1.21
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.75
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (22)
1.59
0.45
1.75
0.42
1.40
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo Kyiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo Kyiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.50
1.12
0.31
1.00
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.82
1.20
0.60
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.21
0.32
1.09
0.18
1.38
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bukovyna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.1%
@ 1.24+1.6%
Under 0.5
23.9%
@ 3.65-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.68
1xBet
3.65
Superbet
3.65
William Hil
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.5%
@ 2.12-1.2%
Under 1.5
57.5%
@ 1.65+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.19
10Bet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.9%
@ 4.56-2.5%
Under 2.5
82.1%
@ 1.17+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.69
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Under
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bukovyna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.5%
@ 2.61+12.1%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.43-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.61
Superbet
2.57
Under
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Bukovyna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
16.2%
@ 10.25+7.2%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.02-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.02
Bukovyna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.3%
@ 1.45-17.5%
Under
53.7%
@ 2.56+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.52
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 3.01-17.8%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.32+17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.02
1xBet
3.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 8.10-8.2%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
93.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.0%
1.18
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
+13.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.3%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.2%
1.32
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
+17.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.8%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
-7.2%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.17
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
81.1%
1.09
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-4.0%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
81.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-1.9%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
81.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
-1.1%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.9%
1.25
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+4.8%
-
Home under 1.5 goals
77.6%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
-3.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
76.7%
1.33
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.30
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.1%
1.24
1xBet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.6%
1.29
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.5%
1.28
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.3%
1.20
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dynamo Kyiv · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matvii Ponomarenko64%
Andriy Yarmolenko38%
Oleksandr Yatsyk25%
Vitaliy Buyalskyi23%
Bogdan Redushko22%
Vladislav Blănuță20%
Vladyslav Kabaiev17%
Nazar Voloshyn16%
Taras Mykhavko13%
Aliou Thiare11%
Ogundana Shola11%
Volodymyr Brazhko10%
Denys Popov9%
Eduardo Guerrero8%
Mykola Shaparenko7%
Mykola Mykhailenko7%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok6%
Oleksandr Karavayev0%
Oleksandr Tymchyk0%
Vladyslav Dubinchak0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Ruslan Neshcheret0%
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko0%
Kristian Bilovar0%
Maksym Korobov0%
Vladyslav Zakharchenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aliou Thiare44%
Vladyslav Kabaiev33%
Vladyslav Zakharchenko33%
Vladyslav Dubinchak30%
Denys Popov27%
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko27%
Taras Mykhavko20%
Matvii Ponomarenko18%
Ogundana Shola11%
Volodymyr Brazhko10%
Eduardo Guerrero8%
Vitaliy Buyalskyi8%
Mykola Mykhailenko7%
Nazar Voloshyn5%
Mykola Shaparenko0%
Andriy Yarmolenko0%
Oleksandr Karavayev0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Oleksandr Tymchyk0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Ruslan Neshcheret0%
Kristian Bilovar0%
Oleksandr Yatsyk0%
Vladislav Blănuță0%
Maksym Korobov0%
Bogdan Redushko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok28%
Vitaliy Buyalskyi23%
Bogdan Redushko22%
Mykola Shaparenko21%
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko18%
Nazar Voloshyn16%
Oleksandr Karavayev15%
Vladyslav Dubinchak10%
Vladyslav Kabaiev8%
Eduardo Guerrero8%
Denys Popov0%
Andriy Yarmolenko0%
Oleksandr Tymchyk0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Ruslan Neshcheret0%
Mykola Mykhailenko0%
Kristian Bilovar0%
Oleksandr Yatsyk0%
Volodymyr Brazhko0%
Vladislav Blănuță0%
Aliou Thiare0%
Taras Mykhavko0%
Maksym Korobov0%
Matvii Ponomarenko0%
Vladyslav Zakharchenko0%
Ogundana Shola0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vitaliy Buyalskyi31%
Matvii Ponomarenko27%
Volodymyr Brazhko20%
Eduardo Guerrero17%
Bogdan Redushko11%
Vladyslav Kabaiev8%
Andriy Yarmolenko8%
Mykola Shaparenko7%
Taras Mykhavko7%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok6%
Nazar Voloshyn5%
Denys Popov0%
Oleksandr Karavayev0%
Oleksandr Tymchyk0%
Vladyslav Dubinchak0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Ruslan Neshcheret0%
Mykola Mykhailenko0%
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko0%
Kristian Bilovar0%
Oleksandr Yatsyk0%
Vladislav Blănuță0%
Aliou Thiare0%
Maksym Korobov0%
Vladyslav Zakharchenko0%
Ogundana Shola0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KAR (28)
€13m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
BUK (25)
€9m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
KUD (24)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
Bukovyna's squad is €82m less valuable than Dynamo Kyiv's (€9m vs €91m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
KUD (8)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
Bukovyna's attack is €29m less valuable than Dynamo Kyiv's (€4m vs €32m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KAR (5)
€2m
KK (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
KUD (6)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
Bukovyna's midfield is €23m less valuable than Dynamo Kyiv's (€2m vs €26m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KAR (15)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
KUD (10)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
Bukovyna's defence is €30m less valuable than Dynamo Kyiv's (€3m vs €33m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →