Feyenoord is the clear favourite to win this match, with a 71% probability of an away win. The model rates them so highly due to Cambuur's poor home form, particularly against stronger opponents, where they have averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded.
The expected total number of goals is 3.2, with the most likely total being 3 goals. The most likely score is 0-2 in favour of Feyenoord, with a probability of 11.7%.
Cambuur's home form against stronger opponents is mediocre, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. Feyenoord, on the other hand, has excelled away from home against weaker opponents, averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.43 conceded.
The model's selection is the away win, with a 71% probability. Other suggested picks include Draw or Away (95%), Home or Away (87.8%), Over 1.5 (83.2%), and Away win (71%). The home win percentage is 10%, the draw percentage is 19%, and the away win percentage is 71%.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on, as Feyenoord secured a 5-2away win, extending their unbeaten run of five games. The pre-match favourite, Away win, carried a 72 % probability and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 2-5 matched the actual result, confirming the favoured outcome. Every suggested selection performed as anticipated: Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.5 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9 %, Away +2 handicap at 98.6 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5 %, Home under 2.5 goals at 96.9 %, Under 7.5 at 96.8 %, Draw or Away at 94.9 %, and Away +1 handicap at 94.9 %. The model’s lineup of picks delivered a clean sweep of hits, underscoring its accuracy for this match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cambuur win✗ Miss
10.1%
Avg Implied 10.0% · @ 9.33
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
10.00
Betano
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Unibet
10.00
Dafabet
9.60
Draw✗ Miss
18.1%
Avg Implied 15.8% · @ 5.92
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
6.40
Pinnacle
6.37
1xBet
6.34
Betano
6.30
Superbet
6.10
Feyenoord win✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.26
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.29
Dafabet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cambuur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.53
1.86
1.21
1.81
1.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.83
1.53
1.86
1.21
1.81
1.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.60
2.27
1.67
1.27
1.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.00
2.50
vs Weaker (25)
2.00
1.52
2.58
1.67
1.46
1.38
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambuur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.2%
@ 1.10-1.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
@ 6.40+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Under
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Pinnacle
6.76
888Sport
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.8%
@ 1.37-5.7%
Under 2.5
37.2%
@ 2.98+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
3.16
Bet365
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Betano
3.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.6%
@ 1.95-7.8%
Under 3.5
59.4%
@ 1.83+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.00
SBO
1.99
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.9%
@ 1.70-2.9%
No
48.1%
@ 2.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
No
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.10
888Sport
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Betano
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.4%@ 7.59+5.5%
1-2
9.4%@ 8.33+4.0%
0-3
9.2%@ 8.59+4.0%
0-1
8.7%@ 9.66+4.0%
1-1
8.6%@ 10.91+4.4%
1-3
7.6%@ 9.30+2.7%
0-4
5.6%@ 12.05+1.8%
0-0
4.7%@ 20.89+2.5%
Cambuur goals ↓
Feyenoord goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
8.7%
11%
9.2%
5.6%
1
2.5%
8.6%
9.4%
7.6%
4.6%
2
1.3%
3.2%
3.9%
3.1%
1.9%
3
0.4%
0.9%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cambuur goals (down), columns = Feyenoord goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
Willem II
1.14
Excelsior
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Telstar
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.09
ADO Den Haag
1.08
Cambuur
1.03
Cambuur is 0.88 points worse than Feyenoord in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Telstar
1.44
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Groningen
1.40
Willem II
1.32
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
ADO Den Haag
1.25
Cambuur
1.20
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
Cambuur is 0.86 goals worse than Feyenoord in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 2.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
Willem II
1.90
ADO Den Haag
2.01
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Cambuur
2.10
Cambuur is 0.80 goals worse than Feyenoord in terms of goals conceded per game (2.10 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cambuur
For 6.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 15.7 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feyenoord
For 6.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cambuur
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.2
9.9
3.8
3.7
3.9
26.5
25.9
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
10.1
10.2
9.9
3.8
3.7
3.9
26.5
25.9
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
64%
64%
50%
40%
60%
76%
72%
80%
% under line
36%
36%
36%
50%
60%
40%
24%
28%
20%
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.5
9.7
3.5
2.9
4.1
22.7
22.5
23.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
10.1
8.9
11.5
4.5
3.6
5.5
25.4
23.7
27.3
vs Weaker (37)
10.2
11.2
9.1
3.1
2.6
3.7
21.8
22.0
21.5
% over line
48%
46%
50%
42%
38%
46%
54%
54%
54%
% under line
52%
54%
50%
58%
62%
54%
46%
46%
46%
This opponent (Cambuur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.2
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
Fortuna Sittard
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.8
Telstar
10.6
Willem II
10.6
AZ Alkmaar
10.5
ADO Den Haag
10.4
Feyenoord
10.1
Cambuur
10.1
Heerenveen
10.0
Groningen
10.0
Twente
9.9
NEC Nijmegen
9.8
Ajax
9.8
Utrecht
9.7
Excelsior
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NEC Nijmegen
4.0
Cambuur
4.0
AZ Alkmaar
3.9
Feyenoord
3.9
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
ADO Den Haag
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
Ajax
3.7
Twente
3.6
Groningen
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.4
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Telstar
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Excelsior
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
27.0
Cambuur
26.5
NEC Nijmegen
23.9
Fortuna Sittard
23.5
Utrecht
23.0
AZ Alkmaar
22.7
Feyenoord
22.7
PEC Zwolle
22.6
Willem II
22.5
Telstar
22.5
Ajax
22.1
Excelsior
21.8
Groningen
20.9
Sparta Rotterdam
20.5
Twente
20.4
Heerenveen
20.2
GO Ahead Eagles
18.9
PSV Eindhoven
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.9%
@ 1.45-3.6%
Under 9.5
40.1%
@ 2.51+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Under
Betano
2.57
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.3%
@ 2.50+18.0%
Under 3.5
45.7%
@ 1.43-18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.55
Unibet
2.45
Under
Unibet
1.47
Superbet
1.39
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
53.6%
Under 21.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cambuur or Draw✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.62
Edge
-8.7%
10%
18%
72%
covers Cambuur + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Betano
3.70
BetVictor
3.70
Cambuur or Feyenoord✓ Hit
87.7%
Avg Implied 84.7% · @ 1.11
Edge
+3.0%
10%
18%
72%
covers Cambuur + Feyenoord
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Draw or Feyenoord✓ Hit
94.9%
Avg Implied 89.3% · @ 1.06
Edge
+5.6%
10%
18%
72%
covers Draw + Feyenoord
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Bet365
1.06
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cambuur over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
49.0%
@ 1.60-9.1%
Under
51.0%
@ 2.21+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.31
BetVictor
2.25
888Sport
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
Cambuur over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
14.6%
@ 3.95-8.9%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.22+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.13
Unibet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
888Sport
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Cambuur over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 10.89-5.6%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Cambuur over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 29.62-2.8%
Under
99.5%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
36.00
888Sport
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
888Sport
1.01
Betano
1.01
Feyenoord over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
94.8%
@ 1.04+4.5%
Under
5.2%
@ 9.62-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Under
888Sport
11.00
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.20
Superbet
10.00
Unibet
10.00
Feyenoord over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
79.4%
@ 1.26+5.4%
Under
20.6%
@ 3.56-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.83
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Feyenoord over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
56.6%
@ 1.84+6.0%
Under
43.4%
@ 1.89-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
888Sport
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Feyenoord over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
34.2%
@ 3.16+4.7%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.32-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.28
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cambuur, so a minus line means Cambuur give that many goals of a start and Feyenoord receive them. At -1, Cambuur must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cambuur win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cambuur)Actual: Feyenoord
Cambuur -2
0.3%
@ 51.67-1.6%
Draw -2
1.1%
@ 20.33-3.6%
Feyenoord +2
98.6%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
71.00
Superbet
50.00
Bet365
34.00
Draw
Betfair
21.00
Superbet
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Handicap -1 (Cambuur)Actual: Feyenoord
Cambuur -1
1.4%
@ 17.52-3.8%
Draw -1
3.7%
@ 9.45-5.9%
Feyenoord +1
94.9%
@ 1.06+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Unibet
19.00
10Bet
17.00
Marathonbet
7.60
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
10.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Handicap +1 (Cambuur)Actual: Feyenoord
Cambuur +1
17.4%
@ 3.58-7.7%
Draw +1
18.2%
@ 4.05-4.0%
Feyenoord -1
64.4%
@ 1.71+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Unibet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Unibet
3.90
Away
10Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
Unibet
1.67
Handicap +2 (Cambuur)Actual: Feyenoord
Cambuur +2
35.6%
@ 2.03-8.6%
Draw +2
21.5%
@ 4.05-0.7%
Feyenoord -2
42.9%
@ 2.67+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Away
10Bet
2.85
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.70
Superbet
2.62
Unibet
2.60
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cambuur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.50
0.71
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.77
0.50
0.71
0.81
0.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
1.40
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.96
0.64
1.17
0.58
0.77
0.69
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambuur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.6%
@ 1.19-1.3%
Under 0.5
23.4%
@ 4.21+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Betano
4.20
William Hil
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.2%
@ 1.97+5.8%
Under 1.5
46.8%
@ 1.78-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.07
Pinnacle
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Under
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 4.00-2.9%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.21+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.20
William Hil
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cambuur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.2%
@ 2.80+1.9%
Under
64.8%
@ 1.40-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.17
Unibet
2.88
Superbet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.72
Betano
2.70
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Cambuur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 10.08-2.4%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.75
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Cambuur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 50.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
66.5%
@ 1.36-2.2%
Under
33.5%
@ 2.98+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.39
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.36
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Under
Superbet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Betano
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.94
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.1%
@ 2.63-1.3%
Under
65.9%
@ 1.44+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.60
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
14.5%
@ 6.16-0.5%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.09+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.50
1xBet
6.30
Superbet
5.90
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cambuur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.77
1.36
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.17
0.77
1.36
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
1.27
1.00
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
1.04
0.88
1.42
1.08
0.69
0.69
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambuur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
84.6%
@ 1.11+0.6%
Under 0.5
15.4%
@ 5.82-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Under
1xBet
6.80
Superbet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Betano
5.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.8%
@ 1.59+2.4%
Under 1.5
39.2%
@ 2.23-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.62
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.8%
@ 2.81-1.3%
Under 2.5
68.2%
@ 1.39+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.90
888Sport
2.90
Betano
2.85
Superbet
2.85
Unibet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cambuur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
39.2%
@ 2.30-1.1%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.55+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.33
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Cambuur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
8.3%
@ 7.67-3.8%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.05+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
7.70
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Cambuur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 20.75-3.1%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
71.8%
@ 1.23-3.8%
Under
28.2%
@ 3.82+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betano
3.65
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.8%
@ 2.06-0.1%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.68+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 4.27-3.4%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.18+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.35
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.5%
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
98.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
94.9%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Bet365
1.06
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
94.9%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
+9.7%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
94.8%
1.04
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.5%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
+1.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
91.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+3.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
87.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+0.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
85.4%
1.22
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
888Sport
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.11
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.2%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
84.1%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
+0.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
79.6%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals
79.4%
1.26
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.6%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals
71.8%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Away win
71.8%
1.26
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.29
Dafabet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.7%
1.24
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-1.8%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
70.2%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Bet365
1.33
-0.0%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cambuur
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafik El Arguioui50%
Ilyes Hamache25%
Nicky Souren0%
Nicolas Binder0%
Jamal Amofa0%
Thijs Jansen0%
Skye Vink0%
Ismaël Baouf0%
Morgan Costarelli0%
Iwan Henstra0%
Sami Bouhoudane0%
Lucas Jetten0%
Fabian Kvam0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicky Souren50%
Lucas Jetten25%
Nicolas Binder0%
Jamal Amofa0%
Thijs Jansen0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Rafik El Arguioui0%
Skye Vink0%
Ismaël Baouf0%
Morgan Costarelli0%
Iwan Henstra0%
Sami Bouhoudane0%
Fabian Kvam0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Binder33%
Nicky Souren25%
Jamal Amofa0%
Thijs Jansen0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Rafik El Arguioui0%
Skye Vink0%
Ismaël Baouf0%
Morgan Costarelli0%
Iwan Henstra0%
Sami Bouhoudane0%
Lucas Jetten0%
Fabian Kvam0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafik El Arguioui75%
Sami Bouhoudane25%
Nicky Souren0%
Nicolas Binder0%
Jamal Amofa0%
Thijs Jansen0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Skye Vink0%
Ismaël Baouf0%
Morgan Costarelli0%
Iwan Henstra0%
Lucas Jetten0%
Fabian Kvam0%
Feyenoord
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayase Ueda75%
Luciano Valente50%
Gjivai Zechiël50%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Vanhoutte25%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Ayase Ueda0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Luciano Valente0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Gjivai Zechiël0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oussama Targhalline33%
Ayase Ueda25%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Gjivai Zechiël25%
Gaoussou Diarra25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Luciano Valente0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayase Ueda75%
Anis Hadj Moussa50%
Gaoussou Diarra50%
Luciano Valente25%
Gjivai Zechiël25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
Cambuur's squad is €217m less valuable than Feyenoord's (€12m vs €229m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
Cambuur's attack is €89m less valuable than Feyenoord's (€3m vs €93m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
Cambuur's midfield is €42m less valuable than Feyenoord's (€1m vs €43m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
Cambuur's defence is €86m less valuable than Feyenoord's (€8m vs €93m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
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AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
GO Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Excelsior
Groningen
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Telstar
Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Utrecht