Casa Pia’s recent run of four straight losses fuels the narrative that the home side may struggle to overturn a low-scoring affair. The model still favours a Casa Pia win, assigning a 35% chance, with a draw at 34% and a Moreirense win at 31%. The expected total is 1.9 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 16.1% probability. Casa Pia scores at 0.78 goals per game and concedes 0.78 against similar opposition, whereas Moreirense nets 1.44 and concedes only 0.33 away. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (88.9%), Under 3.5 (87.3%), Over 2.5 cards (81.7%), Over 21.5 fouls (78.8%), Under 11.5 corners (72.7%), Under 5.5 cards (71.6%) and Under 2.5 (70.0%) with a 10% edge. The model’s edge on the Under 2.5 selection reflects the low expected goal total and the defensive solidity of both sides.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as Casa Pia failed to convert their home form into a win, falling 0-1 to Moreirense. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 35% probability, yet the model’s call proved wrong. The model’s selection of Over 19.5 fouls, with an 88.9% chance, hit, as did Under 3.5 at 87.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 81.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 78.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 72.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 71.6%, and Under 2.5 at 70%. All seven picks settled in the match, each achieving its predicted outcome. The game finished with Moreirense’s solitary goal, confirming the away side’s victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Casa Pia win✗ Miss
34.6%
Avg Implied 36.2% · @ 2.61
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 3.06
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Moreirense win✓ Hit
31.1%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.87
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Casa Pia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.53
0.60
1.00
1.53
2.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
2.40
0.40
1.60
1.40
3.20
vs Similar (18)
1.22
1.17
0.78
0.78
1.67
1.56
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.07
1.13
1.00
1.00
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
2.43
0.67
1.67
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.37
0.63
1.30
0.90
1.44
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
58.3%
Under 1.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.0%
@ 2.34-10.5%
Under 2.5
70.0%
@ 1.59+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.7%
Under 3.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.2%
No
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.1%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
0-1 ✓
12.3%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
Casa Pia goals ↓
Moreirense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
12%
6.3%
1.9%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.2%
1.9%
0.4%
2
7.2%
6.7%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
3
2.4%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Casa Pia goals (down), columns = Moreirense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AVS
3.00
Sporting CP
2.65
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.12
SC Braga
2.00
Guimaraes
1.85
Moreirense
1.62
Arouca
1.35
Famalicao
1.24
Casa Pia
1.12
Farense
1.09
Rio Ave
1.09
GIL Vicente
1.06
Estoril
0.97
Estrela
0.97
Boavista
0.94
Portimonense
0.89
Vizela
0.76
Chaves
0.68
Casa Pia is 0.50 points worse than Moreirense in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.82
Benfica
2.26
SC Braga
2.09
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
1.85
Arouca
1.59
Guimaraes
1.53
Estoril
1.44
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.24
Boavista
1.15
Portimonense
1.14
Casa Pia
1.12
Rio Ave
1.12
Famalicao
1.09
Vizela
1.06
Moreirense
1.06
Estrela
0.97
Chaves
0.91
Casa Pia is 0.06 goals better than Moreirense in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.79
Benfica
0.82
Sporting CP
0.85
AVS
1.00
Moreirense
1.03
Guimaraes
1.12
Famalicao
1.21
Rio Ave
1.26
Casa Pia
1.47
SC Braga
1.47
Arouca
1.47
Farense
1.50
GIL Vicente
1.53
Estrela
1.56
Estoril
1.71
Boavista
1.82
Vizela
1.94
Portimonense
2.11
Chaves
2.12
Casa Pia is 0.44 goals worse than Moreirense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Porto
64%
Benfica
59%
Sporting CP
59%
SC Braga
57%
Arouca
54%
Vizela
50%
GIL Vicente
49%
Rio Ave
49%
Estoril
49%
Guimaraes
48%
Boavista
48%
Famalicao
47%
Estrela
47%
Moreirense
46%
Portimonense
46%
Casa Pia
44%
Chaves
43%
Farense
42%
AVS
35%
Casa Pia is 2.5 percentage points worse than Moreirense in terms of average possession (44% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Casa Pia
For 4.4 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Moreirense
For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Casa Pia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
10.1
2.7
2.3
3.0
26.4
25.0
27.9
vs Stronger (17)
10.8
11.5
10.0
2.5
2.2
2.8
23.6
23.7
23.6
vs Similar (30)
9.8
10.1
9.6
2.9
2.2
3.5
27.7
25.7
29.6
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
7.0
15.0
1.7
4.0
0.5
29.5
27.0
32.0
% over line
50%
44%
56%
36%
28%
44%
78%
69%
88%
% under line
50%
56%
44%
64%
72%
56%
22%
31%
12%
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.9
9.0
4.6
3.8
5.4
27.3
26.5
28.1
vs Stronger (8)
9.1
10.5
7.8
4.8
5.5
4.0
26.6
27.2
26.0
vs Similar (29)
9.6
10.2
9.2
4.6
3.3
5.7
27.2
26.0
28.3
vs Weaker (13)
9.2
9.1
9.2
4.5
3.6
5.8
28.0
27.0
29.4
% over line
45%
46%
44%
64%
56%
72%
83%
79%
88%
% under line
55%
54%
56%
36%
44%
28%
17%
21%
12%
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Farense
11.8
AVS
11.6
Portimonense
11.1
Chaves
10.9
Estrela
10.8
Benfica
10.7
Guimaraes
10.6
Vizela
10.4
FC Porto
10.4
Rio Ave
10.3
Casa Pia
10.2
Estoril
10.1
Famalicao
9.9
SC Braga
9.7
Moreirense
9.5
Arouca
9.5
GIL Vicente
9.4
Boavista
9.4
Sporting CP
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Porto
6.6
Famalicao
6.4
Boavista
6.3
Chaves
6.0
Guimaraes
6.0
Arouca
5.8
Vizela
5.7
Portimonense
5.6
Estoril
5.6
AVS
5.5
Farense
5.4
Rio Ave
5.4
Sporting CP
5.2
GIL Vicente
5.1
Estrela
5.0
SC Braga
5.0
Benfica
5.0
Moreirense
4.8
Casa Pia
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.3
Rio Ave
30.3
Chaves
29.8
FC Porto
28.9
Boavista
28.9
Vizela
28.8
Farense
28.3
Guimaraes
27.6
Portimonense
27.5
AVS
27.5
Moreirense
27.2
Arouca
27.1
Estoril
26.9
GIL Vicente
26.4
Casa Pia
26.4
Estrela
25.7
SC Braga
24.2
Sporting CP
24.1
Benfica
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.8%
Under 9.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.4%
Under 3.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.8%
Under 21.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Casa Pia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.20
0.27
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.44
0.22
0.22
0.78
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.73
0.60
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.32
0.80
0.50
0.67
0.11
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Casa Pia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Casa Pia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.93
0.40
0.73
0.80
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.40
0.20
1.20
0.80
1.60
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.72
0.56
0.56
0.89
0.89
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
1.43
0.00
0.67
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.32
0.50
0.40
0.78
0.22
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Casa Pia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
70.0%
1.59
-
-
-
-
-
+10.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Casa Pia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Clayton29%
Saviour Godwin25%
Yuki Soma16%
Felippe Cardoso14%
Nuno Moreira13%
Pablo10%
Fernando Andrade10%
André Lacximicant8%
Duplexe Tchamba6%
Gaizka Larrazabal6%
João Nunes5%
Tiago Dias5%
Samuel Justo5%
Nermin Zolotić3%
Neto3%
Leonardo Lelo3%
Fernando Varela0%
Lucas Paes0%
Rúben Lameiras0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Vasco Fernandes0%
Ricardo Batista0%
André Geraldes0%
Rafael Brito0%
Telasco Segovia0%
Jajá0%
Beni Mukendi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Neto42%
Beni Mukendi32%
Duplexe Tchamba31%
Lucas Paes25%
Telasco Segovia25%
Felippe Cardoso24%
Pablo21%
Rúben Lameiras20%
Vasco Fernandes20%
Clayton17%
Nuno Moreira13%
André Geraldes12%
Gaizka Larrazabal12%
Nermin Zolotić10%
Yuki Soma9%
Fernando Varela8%
Ricardo Batista6%
João Nunes5%
Tiago Dias5%
Samuel Justo5%
Fernando Andrade0%
Saviour Godwin0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Rafael Brito0%
Leonardo Lelo0%
Jajá0%
André Lacximicant0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pablo21%
Beni Mukendi12%
Rafael Brito11%
Yuki Soma9%
André Lacximicant8%
Rúben Lameiras7%
Nuno Moreira7%
Duplexe Tchamba6%
Telasco Segovia6%
Leonardo Lelo6%
Tiago Dias5%
Samuel Justo5%
Fernando Varela4%
Clayton4%
Neto3%
Gaizka Larrazabal3%
Fernando Andrade0%
Nermin Zolotić0%
Saviour Godwin0%
Lucas Paes0%
Felippe Cardoso0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
João Nunes0%
Vasco Fernandes0%
Ricardo Batista0%
André Geraldes0%
Jajá0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saviour Godwin25%
Clayton25%
Felippe Cardoso17%
Pablo7%
Yuki Soma6%
Fernando Andrade0%
Fernando Varela0%
Nermin Zolotić0%
Lucas Paes0%
Rúben Lameiras0%
Duplexe Tchamba0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
João Nunes0%
Neto0%
Vasco Fernandes0%
Tiago Dias0%
Ricardo Batista0%
André Geraldes0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Rafael Brito0%
Leonardo Lelo0%
Telasco Segovia0%
Nuno Moreira0%
Jajá0%
Beni Mukendi0%
André Lacximicant0%
Samuel Justo0%
Moreirense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
André Luis40%
Madson de Souza Silva20%
Hernani Infande20%
Matheus Aiás11%
Maracás10%
João Camacho10%
Alan9%
Marcelo8%
André Castro7%
Pedro Aparício7%
Vinicius Mingotti6%
Gonçalo Franco6%
Fabiano Silva4%
Lawrence Ofori3%
Godfried Frimpong3%
Kobamelo Kodisang3%
Kewin0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Caio0%
Pedro Amador0%
Rúben Ramos Ismael0%
Dinis Pinto0%
Luís Asué0%
Wallisson Luiz0%
Jeremy Antonisse0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Macedo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lawrence Ofori29%
Rúben Ramos Ismael28%
Wallisson Luiz27%
André Luis27%
Dinis Pinto23%
Gonçalo Franco21%
Jeremy Antonisse21%
Fabiano Silva20%
Maracás17%
João Camacho17%
Marcelo15%
Alan15%
Carlos Ponck13%
Pedro Aparício13%
Vinicius Mingotti12%
Madson de Souza Silva8%
André Castro7%
Luís Asué7%
Godfried Frimpong6%
Kewin3%
Caio0%
Pedro Amador0%
Kobamelo Kodisang0%
Matheus Aiás0%
Hernani Infande0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Macedo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Caio25%
Dinis Pinto15%
João Camacho14%
Gonçalo Franco12%
Alan12%
Fabiano Silva8%
André Castro7%
André Luis7%
Godfried Frimpong6%
Kobamelo Kodisang6%
Pedro Amador5%
Jeremy Antonisse4%
Madson de Souza Silva4%
Marcelo4%
Lawrence Ofori3%
Maracás0%
Kewin0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Matheus Aiás0%
Vinicius Mingotti0%
Rúben Ramos Ismael0%
Pedro Aparício0%
Luís Asué0%
Wallisson Luiz0%
Hernani Infande0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Macedo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rodrigo Macedo20%
João Camacho14%
André Luis13%
Madson de Souza Silva12%
Carlos Ponck7%
Luís Asué7%
Gonçalo Franco6%
Alan6%
Marcelo4%
Maracás0%
Kewin0%
Caio0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
Godfried Frimpong0%
Pedro Amador0%
André Castro0%
Kobamelo Kodisang0%
Matheus Aiás0%
Vinicius Mingotti0%
Rúben Ramos Ismael0%
Dinis Pinto0%
Pedro Aparício0%
Wallisson Luiz0%
Jeremy Antonisse0%
Fabiano Silva0%
Hernani Infande0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
Casa Pia's squad is €5m more valuable than Moreirense's (€27m vs €22m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
POR (7)
€2m
Casa Pia's attack is €5m more valuable than Moreirense's (€9m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
EST (5)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
POR (5)
€1m
Casa Pia's midfield is €3m less valuable than Moreirense's (€6m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
Casa Pia's defence is €3m more valuable than Moreirense's (€12m vs €9m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Sporting CP
Benfica
FC Porto
SC Braga
Guimaraes
Arouca
Famalicao
Farense
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Estoril
Estrela
Boavista
Portimonense
Vizela
Chaves
AVS