The contest between Cercle Brugge and Gent is a tight one, with neither side clearly ahead. The model favours a home win, giving Cercle Brugge a 38% chance, a draw 26%, and Gent 36%. The expected total is 3.1 goals, with the most probable total being 2 goals at 23%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.8% probability. Cercle Brugge, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded, while Gent, away against a weaker side, averages 1.83 scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.4% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1% with a 7% edge), Under 6.5 (96.0% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.0% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (92.9% with a 4% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (92.4% with a 2% edge). Both teams have shown recent form swings, with Cercle Brugge on two straight defeats and Gent on a two-game winning run.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cercle Brugge win
37.8%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.79
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.90
1xBet
2.87
Betano
2.87
Pinnacle
2.86
Marathonbet
2.80
Draw
25.9%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.55
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.70
1xBet
3.62
Pinnacle
3.62
Unibet
3.55
Betano
3.55
Gent win
36.3%
Avg Implied 40.2% · @ 2.33
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.40
Dafabet
2.39
1xBet
2.37
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.36
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cercle Brugge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.70
1.27
1.87
1.67
1.53
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (22)
1.64
1.77
1.33
1.83
2.00
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gent
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.10
1.06
0.76
1.46
1.54
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.67
1.00
1.50
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.08
1.57
0.71
1.33
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
1.14
0.79
0.62
0.62
1.83
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.9%
@ 1.20+4.8%
Under 1.5
17.1%
@ 4.27-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Under
Unibet
4.80
Pinnacle
4.36
10Bet
4.20
BetVictor
4.20
Betano
4.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.4%
@ 1.66+3.7%
Under 2.5
39.6%
@ 2.18-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Under
Unibet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.17
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.1%
@ 2.64+2.6%
Under 3.5
61.9%
@ 1.45-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.57
Under
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.46
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
63.5%
@ 1.53+3.2%
No
36.5%
@ 2.33-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
No
Unibet
2.48
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.32
10Bet
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 6.36+4.9%
2-1
8.5%@ 8.93+3.6%
1-2
8.3%@ 8.12+2.9%
2-2
6.5%@ 10.41+2.3%
1-0
5.9%@ 9.88+1.4%
0-1
5.7%@ 9.00+0.9%
2-0
5.5%@ 13.75+2.3%
0-0
5.5%@ 12.19+1.9%
Cercle Brugge goals ↓
Gent goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
5.7%
5.3%
2.7%
1.0%
1
5.9%
12%
8.3%
4.3%
1.7%
2
5.5%
8.5%
6.5%
3.4%
1.3%
3
2.9%
4.5%
3.4%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.1%
1.8%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cercle Brugge goals (down), columns = Gent goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Cercle Brugge is 0.13 points worse than Gent in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Cercle Brugge is 0.18 goals better than Gent in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Cercle Brugge is 0.22 goals worse than Gent in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Cercle Brugge is 1.6 percentage points worse than Gent in terms of average possession (48% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cercle Brugge
For 7.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 12.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 8.9 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gent
For 5.2 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.6 · Total 19.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cercle Brugge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.5
11.0
3.8
3.5
4.1
22.7
22.3
23.1
vs Stronger (12)
10.8
9.2
12.2
4.1
4.5
3.7
22.5
23.6
21.7
vs Similar (38)
10.7
10.8
10.6
3.7
3.2
4.3
22.8
21.9
23.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
62%
67%
50%
38%
62%
58%
50%
67%
% under line
35%
38%
33%
50%
62%
38%
42%
50%
33%
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gent
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.5
3.4
3.7
3.0
20.9
21.1
20.7
vs Stronger (5)
12.0
11.7
12.5
3.8
5.3
1.5
20.2
21.7
18.0
vs Similar (22)
9.7
8.9
10.6
3.7
4.1
3.3
21.3
21.4
21.2
vs Weaker (23)
9.9
9.9
9.9
3.0
3.0
3.1
20.6
20.6
20.7
% over line
54%
46%
64%
40%
46%
33%
41%
46%
36%
% under line
46%
54%
36%
60%
54%
67%
59%
54%
64%
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
Charleroi
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Anderlecht
10.3
Kortrijk
10.1
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.8
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Antwerp
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.2
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.2
Lommel United
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
24.9
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.1
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.5
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
Gent
21.2
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.6%
@ 1.45-1.7%
Under 9.5
38.4%
@ 2.50+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.45
Under
Unibet
2.50
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
43.9%
@ 1.75-9.4%
Under 3.5
56.1%
@ 2.00+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
44.3%
Under 21.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cercle Brugge or Draw
63.7%
Avg Implied 59.8% · @ 1.57
Edge
+3.9%
38%
26%
36%
covers Cercle Brugge + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.63
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Cercle Brugge or Gent
74.1%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.3%
38%
26%
36%
covers Cercle Brugge + Gent
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Draw or Gent
62.2%
Avg Implied 66.5% · @ 1.41
Edge
-4.2%
38%
26%
36%
covers Draw + Gent
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5
Over
79.4%
@ 1.24+4.9%
Under
20.6%
@ 3.63-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.70
BetVictor
3.60
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5
Over
46.8%
@ 2.23+5.0%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.60-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.29
BetVictor
2.25
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5
Over
21.1%
@ 4.94+2.4%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.14-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Cercle Brugge over/under 3.5
Over
7.6%
@ 9.67-2.0%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.03+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
Gent over/under 0.5
Over
78.7%
@ 1.19+1.3%
Under
21.3%
@ 4.08-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Under
Unibet
4.40
BetVictor
4.10
Betano
4.05
1xBet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Gent over/under 1.5
Over
45.7%
@ 2.01-0.7%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.74+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Gent over/under 2.5
Over
20.3%
@ 4.20-1.8%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.19+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.20
Under
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Gent over/under 3.5
Over
7.1%
@ 9.02-3.1%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.60
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.00
Unibet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cercle Brugge, so a minus line means Cercle Brugge give that many goals of a start and Gent receive them. At -1, Cercle Brugge must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cercle Brugge win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cercle Brugge)
Cercle Brugge -2
7.7%
@ 12.25+0.3%
Draw -2
11.5%
@ 7.75-0.1%
Gent +2
80.8%
@ 1.11-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
11.50
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Away
Betfair
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Cercle Brugge)
Cercle Brugge -1
19.2%
@ 5.22+2.2%
Draw -1
18.6%
@ 4.47-1.3%
Gent +1
62.2%
@ 1.41-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Away
10Bet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Handicap +1 (Cercle Brugge)
Cercle Brugge +1
63.7%
@ 1.56+6.4%
Draw +1
18.2%
@ 4.06-3.8%
Gent -1
18.2%
@ 4.29-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Betfair
1.50
Draw
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Away
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
Unibet
3.90
Handicap +2 (Cercle Brugge)
Cercle Brugge +2
81.8%
@ 1.16+5.3%
Draw +2
11.1%
@ 6.57-2.5%
Gent -2
7.1%
@ 8.93-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
Unibet
6.00
Away
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
8.80
Unibet
8.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cercle Brugge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.88
0.67
1.00
0.80
0.80
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.68
0.58
0.75
1.10
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gent
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.59
0.47
0.69
0.54
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.38
1.00
0.43
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.36
0.25
0.38
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.8%
@ 1.31-0.5%
Under 0.5
29.2%
@ 3.25+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Unibet
3.35
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.25
1xBet
3.22
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.8%
@ 2.41-3.8%
Under 1.5
65.2%
@ 1.52+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.50
William Hil
2.45
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
10Bet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.5%
@ 5.53-4.2%
Under 2.5
87.5%
@ 1.11+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.80
Betano
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.8%
@ 1.98+2.9%
Under
50.2%
@ 1.75-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
1.98
Unibet
1.97
10Bet
1.93
Under
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Unibet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.8%
@ 6.03-1.5%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Unibet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.8%
@ 15.38-3.4%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Gent over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.3%
@ 1.85-8.8%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.85+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.83
Gent over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.1%
@ 5.26-6.4%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.12+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.30
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Under
Unibet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Gent over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 13.12-4.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cercle Brugge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.67
1.07
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.62
0.33
1.00
0.20
0.40
vs Similar (22)
0.82
1.09
0.75
1.08
0.90
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gent
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.47
0.29
0.77
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.69
0.57
0.29
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.43
0.38
0.25
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.1%
@ 1.17-1.2%
Under 0.5
21.9%
@ 4.49+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Under
Unibet
4.90
Betano
4.50
1xBet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.35
William Hil
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.3%
@ 1.85-3.0%
Under 1.5
52.7%
@ 1.88+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.74
Under
Unibet
1.98
Betano
1.91
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.0%
@ 3.65-6.4%
Under 2.5
81.0%
@ 1.24+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Betano
3.55
Unibet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.8%
@ 1.70+2.2%
Under
43.2%
@ 2.04-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Under
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.99
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.2%
@ 4.41-1.9%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.18+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.0%
@ 10.25-4.1%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Gent over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.7%
@ 1.60-6.5%
Under
48.3%
@ 2.22+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Gent over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.3%
@ 3.91-8.4%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.21+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Gent over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
@ 9.25-7.1%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.04+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+7.1%
Under 6.5
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
92.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+3.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
92.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
Under 5.5
90.3%
1.03
Betano
1.07
Unibet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+0.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.12
Unibet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+6.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
+4.2%
Under 5.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+1.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.21
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+8.4%
Under 25.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.9%
1.20
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
1xBet
1.17
+4.8%
Home +2 handicap
81.8%
1.16
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-
-
+5.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.24
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
+6.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+1.9%
Away +2 handicap
80.8%
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Unibet
1.11
-
-
-
-0.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
79.7%
1.19
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+1.8%
Under 4.5
79.4%
1.16
Unibet
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
BetVictor
1.13
-1.0%
Home over 0.5 goals
79.4%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+4.9%
Home under 2.5 goals
78.9%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
-2.4%
Away over 0.5 goals
78.7%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
+1.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.1%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
-1.2%
Under 4.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.1%
1.27
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Unibet
1.28
+0.3%
Over 8.5 corners
73.1%
1.27
Unibet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
Under 23.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.8%
1.31
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
-0.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cercle Brugge
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christiaan Ravych33%
Lukas Mondele25%
Steve Ngoura25%
Erick Nunes25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Dante Vanzeir0%
Gary Magnee0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Lucas Michal0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Valy Konaté0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Viggo Martens0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Geoffrey Kondo25%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby25%
Valy Konaté25%
Krys Kouassi25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Dante Vanzeir0%
Gary Magnee0%
Lukas Mondele0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Steve Ngoura0%
Lucas Michal0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Erick Nunes0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Viggo Martens0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dante Vanzeir25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Gary Magnee0%
Lukas Mondele0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Steve Ngoura0%
Lucas Michal0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby0%
Erick Nunes0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Valy Konaté0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Viggo Martens0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steve Ngoura50%
Christiaan Ravych33%
Lukas Mondele25%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Dante Vanzeir0%
Gary Magnee0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Lucas Michal0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Erick Nunes0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Valy Konaté0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Viggo Martens0%
Gent
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Y. Vergara Ortega60%
Ibrahima Cisse50%
Tiago Araújo40%
Christian Burgess20%
M. Sonko20%
D. Roef0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
L. Bénes0%
S. Van der Heyden0%
A. Kadri0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
M. Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tibe De Vlieger25%
Kyrell Wilson25%
Ibrahima Cisse25%
Christian Burgess20%
Leonardo Lopes20%
S. Van der Heyden20%
D. Roef0%
L. Bénes0%
A. Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
M. Sonko0%
M. Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
J. Y. Vergara Ortega0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Araújo40%
L. Bénes25%
S. Van der Heyden20%
M. Sonko20%
M. Volckaert20%
D. Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
A. Kadri0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
J. Y. Vergara Ortega0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Y. Vergara Ortega40%
Tiago Araújo20%
M. Sonko20%
D. Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
L. Bénes0%
S. Van der Heyden0%
A. Kadri0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
M. Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Cercle Brugge's squad is €17m less valuable than Gent's (€40m vs €58m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Cercle Brugge's attack is €2m more valuable than Gent's (€18m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Cercle Brugge's midfield is €17m less valuable than Gent's (€5m vs €22m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Cercle Brugge's defence is €2m less valuable than Gent's (€17m vs €19m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk