This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIL Vicente
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.30
1.20
1.00
0.67
1.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
2.57
0.33
1.67
0.50
3.25
vs Similar (19)
1.11
1.05
1.60
1.00
0.56
1.11
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (CF Os Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.9%
Under 2.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.5%
No
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2 ✓
14.5%
0-1
13.0%
0-3
10.1%
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-4
5.3%
CF Os Belenenses goals ↓
GIL Vicente goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
13%
15%
10%
5.3%
1
3.3%
9.5%
9.0%
6.3%
3.3%
2
1.3%
2.7%
2.8%
2.0%
1.0%
3
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CF Os Belenenses goals (down), columns = GIL Vicente goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Alverca
2.33
Santa Clara
2.33
Anadia
2.33
SC Braga
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
Amarante
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Moura
2.00
Varzim
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Operário
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Farense
2.00
Vila Real
1.75
Brito
1.75
Cinfães
1.75
Lusitânia
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
FC Porto
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Sertanense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Régua
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Aliança de Gandra
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Academica
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Vieira
1.50
CF Benfica
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Guarda
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Amora
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Gondomar
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Caldas
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Rio Ave
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Ovarense
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Joane
1.00
Estoril
1.00
Leça
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
União de Coimbra
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Coimbrões
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Maia Lidador
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Velense
0.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
0.00
Cardielense
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Portel
0.00
Monção
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Estarreja
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Vizela
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Tocha
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Fabril Barreiro
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
0.00
Vila Cortez
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Vieirense
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
Feirense
0.00
São Roque (Açores)
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
FC Barreirense
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Dumiense
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Trofense
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
CF Os Belenenses is 0.25 points worse than GIL Vicente in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estarreja
4.00
Benfica
3.29
Comércio Indústria
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Amarante
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Alcains
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
CF Benfica
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Vilaverdense
2.50
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Farense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
FC Porto
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Coimbrões
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
AVS
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Vila Cortez
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Leça
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
FC Barreirense
2.00
Dumiense
2.00
Moura
1.67
Varzim
1.67
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
SC Braga
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Régua
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Machico
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Moreirense
1.33
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Ovarense
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
Velense
1.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
1.00
Cardielense
1.00
Monção
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Tondela
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Tocha
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Operário
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Fabril Barreiro
1.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Sandinenses
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Vieirense
1.00
Academica
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Vieira
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
União de Coimbra
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Vila Real
0.75
Brito
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Pêro Pinheiro
0.50
Amora
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Sacavenense
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Portel
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Joane
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Estoril
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Trofense
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
CF Os Belenenses is 0.42 goals better than GIL Vicente in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Marinhense
0.00
Joane
0.00
Operário
0.00
Estoril
0.00
Fátima
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
Atlético CP
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Brito
0.50
Academica
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Arronches e Benfica
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
FC Porto
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Moura
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Portel
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Torreense
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Louletano
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Boavista
1.00
Machico
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
AVS
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Régua
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Madalena
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Maia Lidador
2.00
Pedras Salgadas
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Velense
2.00
Cardielense
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Monção
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Fabril Barreiro
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
Leça
2.00
São Roque (Açores)
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Amarante
2.00
União de Coimbra
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Farense
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Abrantes e Benfica
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Pombal
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Amora
2.50
Vilaverdense
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Coimbrões
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Oliveira de Frades
3.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
3.00
Resende (Portugal)
3.00
Juventude Gaula
3.00
Lagos
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Gavionenses
3.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
3.00
FC Barreirense
3.00
Ferreiras
3.00
Dumiense
3.00
Trofense
3.00
O Grandolense
3.00
CF Benfica
3.50
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Vizela
4.00
Tocha
4.00
Vila Cortez
4.00
Vieirense
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Ginásio Figueirense
5.00
Estarreja
5.00
Praia Milfontes
5.00
Valpaços
5.00
CF Os Belenenses is 0.75 goals worse than GIL Vicente in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
CF Os Belenenses
For 5.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GIL Vicente
For 2.8 · Against 6.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 15.7 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CF Os Belenenses
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
9.3
10.5
8.2
2.8
2.7
2.8
25.0
25.9
24.0
vs Stronger (18)
8.5
9.4
7.6
2.8
2.6
3.0
23.9
22.6
25.5
vs Similar (17)
10.2
11.6
8.8
2.9
2.9
2.9
26.0
29.2
22.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
60%
40%
39%
28%
50%
74%
80%
67%
% under line
50%
40%
60%
61%
72%
50%
26%
20%
33%
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIL Vicente
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.0
8.9
3.7
4.1
3.2
26.1
26.9
25.4
vs Stronger (13)
9.5
8.8
10.0
3.5
4.3
2.9
25.5
29.6
22.2
vs Similar (28)
9.0
9.5
8.5
4.2
4.9
3.4
25.8
26.2
25.2
vs Weaker (9)
7.7
7.3
8.0
2.3
1.6
3.2
28.8
25.3
32.3
% over line
40%
48%
33%
54%
60%
48%
74%
86%
62%
% under line
60%
52%
67%
46%
40%
52%
26%
14%
38%
This opponent (CF Os Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Farense
11.7
Nacional
11.6
Feirense
11.4
Guimaraes
11.4
Oliveirense
11.1
Tondela
11.1
AVS
11.0
Rio Ave
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
Benfica
10.7
Portimonense
10.7
Penafiel
10.6
Estrela
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
União de Leiria
10.5
Torreense
10.4
Chaves
10.3
Estoril
10.2
FC Porto
10.2
Academico Viseu
10.2
SC Braga
10.0
Casa Pia
10.0
Mafra
10.0
Vizela
10.0
Famalicao
10.0
Leixoes
9.8
Pacos Ferreira
9.8
Arouca
9.7
Maritimo
9.7
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Boavista
9.3
Moreirense
9.3
Alverca
9.0
GIL Vicente
8.9
Sporting CP
8.7
Santa Clara
8.7
Felgueiras 1932
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
FC Porto
6.4
Famalicao
6.3
Felgueiras 1932
6.2
Guimaraes
6.1
Santa Clara
6.0
Boavista
6.0
Maritimo
6.0
Chaves
5.8
Arouca
5.6
AVS
5.6
Oliveirense
5.5
Portimonense
5.5
Leixoes
5.4
Estoril
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Rio Ave
5.3
Vizela
5.2
Penafiel
5.2
Nacional
5.2
Pacos Ferreira
5.2
Tondela
5.0
União de Leiria
5.0
Estrela
4.9
Benfica
4.9
Sporting CP
4.9
Torreense
4.9
SC Braga
4.9
Academico Viseu
4.9
Moreirense
4.9
Farense
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
Feirense
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.6
Lusitânia Lourosa
4.5
Mafra
4.4
Casa Pia
4.3
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Alverca
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
30.7
Pacos Ferreira
30.1
Rio Ave
29.6
Santa Clara
28.9
Leixoes
28.8
Maritimo
28.7
Vilaverdense
28.5
FC Porto
28.5
SC Covilha
28.2
Chaves
28.2
Oliveirense
28.1
Boavista
27.9
Moreirense
27.5
Farense
27.5
Vizela
27.5
Nacional
27.3
Portimonense
27.1
Guimaraes
27.0
AVS
26.8
Penafiel
26.7
Casa Pia
26.5
Tondela
26.5
Estoril
26.4
Arouca
26.3
GIL Vicente
26.1
Estrela
26.1
Torreense
25.6
União de Leiria
25.0
Feirense
25.0
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Mafra
24.5
Sporting CP
24.5
Academico Viseu
24.3
SC Braga
23.9
Benfica
22.5
Felgueiras 1932
18.0
Alverca
15.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.4%
Under 9.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
59.5%
Under 21.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
CF Os Belenenses or Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
9%
20%
71%
covers CF Os Belenenses + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses or GIL Vicente✓ Hit
79.7%
Avg Implied -
9%
20%
71%
covers CF Os Belenenses + GIL Vicente
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or GIL Vicente✓ Hit
91.0%
Avg Implied -
9%
20%
71%
covers Draw + GIL Vicente
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.6%
Under
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.7%
Under
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.7%
Under
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to CF Os Belenenses, so a minus line means CF Os Belenenses give that many goals of a start and GIL Vicente receive them. At -1, CF Os Belenenses must win by two or more to land; a one-goal CF Os Belenenses win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (CF Os Belenenses)Actual: GIL Vicente
CF Os Belenenses -2
0.4%
Draw -2
1.9%
GIL Vicente +2
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (CF Os Belenenses)Actual: GIL Vicente
CF Os Belenenses -1
2.4%
Draw -1
6.6%
GIL Vicente +1
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (CF Os Belenenses)Actual: GIL Vicente
CF Os Belenenses +1
29.3%
Draw +1
24.2%
GIL Vicente -1
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (CF Os Belenenses)Actual: Draw
CF Os Belenenses +2
53.5%
Draw +2
21.9%
GIL Vicente -2
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
CF Os Belenenses
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.67
0.40
0.67
0.20
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.77
0.43
0.57
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.25
0.62
0.38
0.75
0.12
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIL Vicente
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.60
0.53
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.43
0.00
1.33
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.47
0.90
0.40
0.11
0.56
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (CF Os Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
CF Os Belenenses
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.67
0.60
0.60
1.40
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.15
0.29
0.86
0.67
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.88
1.00
0.38
0.50
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIL Vicente
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.60
0.47
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.14
0.33
0.33
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.58
0.70
0.60
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (CF Os Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CF Os Belenenses over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
GIL Vicente
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Félix Correia24%
Pablo Felipe15%
Santi García14%
Kanya Fujimoto10%
Jorge Aguirre9%
Sergio Bermejo9%
Mohamed Bamba8%
Cauê7%
Mory Gbane6%
Josué Sá5%
Tidjany Touré4%
Rúben Fernandes3%
Jordi Mboula0%
Jesús Castillo0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
João Teixeira0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Andrew0%
Zé Carlos0%
Jonathan Mutombo0%
Diego Collado0%
Facundo Cáseres0%
Carlos Eduardo0%
Kazu0%
Marvin Elimbi0%
Joao Marques0%
Depú0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Santi García39%
Sandro Cruz38%
Joao Marques25%
Mohamed Bamba25%
Cauê20%
Jonathan Mutombo19%
Kazu18%
Mory Gbane17%
Marvin Elimbi17%
Josué Sá16%
Zé Carlos16%
Facundo Cáseres15%
Rúben Fernandes14%
Carlos Eduardo12%
Tidjany Touré12%
Pablo Felipe10%
Sergio Bermejo9%
Félix Correia9%
Jordi Mboula8%
Jesús Castillo6%
Jorge Aguirre6%
Andrew6%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga5%
Kanya Fujimoto3%
João Teixeira0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Diego Collado0%
Depú0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kanya Fujimoto16%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga10%
Félix Correia9%
Jordi Mboula8%
Joao Marques8%
Tidjany Touré8%
Santi García7%
Jorge Aguirre6%
Rúben Fernandes3%
Jesús Castillo0%
João Teixeira0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Josué Sá0%
Andrew0%
Sergio Bermejo0%
Zé Carlos0%
Mory Gbane0%
Jonathan Mutombo0%
Diego Collado0%
Cauê0%
Facundo Cáseres0%
Carlos Eduardo0%
Kazu0%
Marvin Elimbi0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Depú0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kanya Fujimoto16%
Félix Correia9%
Mohamed Bamba8%
Tidjany Touré8%
Jorge Aguirre6%
Pablo Felipe5%
Jordi Mboula4%
Santi García4%
Jesús Castillo0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Rúben Fernandes0%
João Teixeira0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Josué Sá0%
Andrew0%
Sergio Bermejo0%
Zé Carlos0%
Mory Gbane0%
Jonathan Mutombo0%
Diego Collado0%
Cauê0%
Facundo Cáseres0%
Carlos Eduardo0%
Kazu0%
Marvin Elimbi0%
Joao Marques0%
Depú0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →