This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.87
1.00
1.80
0.93
1.93
vs Stronger (26)
1.04
1.92
1.08
1.77
1.00
2.08
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.5%
@ 1.63-8.3%
Under 2.5
50.5%
@ 2.23+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
6.6%
3-1 ✓
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
Charleroi goals ↓
Eupen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
5.1%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
4.8%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.7%
4.3%
1.2%
0.3%
3
6.6%
5.8%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.9%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Charleroi goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Antwerp
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
2.16
Genk
2.11
Gent
1.91
Club Brugge KV
1.68
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Anderlecht
1.57
OH Leuven
1.37
Standard Liege
1.35
St. Truiden
1.34
KVC Westerlo
1.32
KV Mechelen
1.16
Kortrijk
1.08
Zulte Waregem
0.92
Oostende
0.84
Eupen
0.82
AS Eupen
0.82
Seraing United
0.59
Seraing
0.59
Charleroi is 0.80 points better than Eupen in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 0.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Genk
2.30
Gent
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
1.95
Club Brugge KV
1.89
Antwerp
1.73
OH Leuven
1.71
KVC Westerlo
1.70
Cercle Brugge
1.68
Zulte Waregem
1.66
Anderlecht
1.57
Charleroi
1.46
Standard Liege
1.42
KV Mechelen
1.38
Eupen
1.18
AS Eupen
1.18
Oostende
1.16
St. Truiden
1.13
Kortrijk
1.11
Seraing United
0.82
Seraing
0.82
Charleroi is 0.28 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Antwerp
0.80
Gent
1.02
St. Truiden
1.13
Club Brugge KV
1.14
Genk
1.14
Anderlecht
1.19
Union St. Gilloise
1.20
Charleroi
1.32
Cercle Brugge
1.34
OH Leuven
1.45
Standard Liege
1.51
Kortrijk
1.66
KVC Westerlo
1.66
KV Mechelen
1.86
Seraing United
2.00
Seraing
2.00
Oostende
2.18
Eupen
2.21
AS Eupen
2.21
Zulte Waregem
2.24
Charleroi is 0.88 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 2.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Charleroi
For 4.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 9.6 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 10.0 · Total 19.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charleroi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.8
9.6
3.7
3.5
3.8
21.6
21.1
22.1
vs Stronger (11)
10.6
11.5
9.6
3.1
3.3
2.8
17.4
16.8
18.0
vs Similar (29)
10.0
9.9
10.0
4.1
3.7
4.4
22.9
22.6
23.2
vs Weaker (10)
10.4
12.2
8.6
3.1
3.0
3.2
22.3
21.8
22.8
% over line
58%
64%
52%
46%
40%
52%
54%
44%
64%
% under line
42%
36%
48%
54%
60%
48%
46%
56%
36%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.4
4.1
4.0
4.2
21.7
21.1
22.3
vs Stronger (43)
10.4
10.4
10.4
4.0
3.8
4.1
21.8
21.3
22.3
vs Similar (7)
9.1
8.5
10.0
4.9
4.8
5.0
21.1
20.0
22.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
60%
62%
60%
64%
52%
48%
56%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
38%
40%
36%
48%
52%
44%
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KV Mechelen
11.5
Antwerp
11.0
Club Brugge KV
10.8
OH Leuven
10.4
Union St. Gilloise
10.3
Oostende
10.2
Eupen
10.2
Charleroi
10.2
Gent
10.2
Kortrijk
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.0
Genk
9.9
Seraing
9.6
Cercle Brugge
9.6
St. Truiden
9.3
Standard Liege
9.1
Anderlecht
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.3
OH Leuven
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Antwerp
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Kortrijk
4.5
Gent
4.4
Seraing
4.3
Club Brugge KV
4.2
Eupen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.1
Oostende
4.0
KV Mechelen
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.8
Anderlecht
3.7
Charleroi
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.9
Cercle Brugge
26.4
Kortrijk
25.6
Union St. Gilloise
25.0
St. Truiden
24.0
Gent
23.9
KV Mechelen
23.1
Genk
23.0
Club Brugge KV
22.7
Oostende
22.6
OH Leuven
22.5
Seraing
22.3
Zulte Waregem
22.0
Anderlecht
21.8
Eupen
21.7
Charleroi
21.6
Antwerp
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.1%
Under 3.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.2%
Under 21.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Charleroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
0.67
0.40
1.07
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.25
0.00
0.75
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (17)
1.06
0.65
1.12
0.38
1.00
0.89
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.00
0.33
0.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.47
0.93
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (26)
0.54
0.96
0.54
1.00
0.54
0.92
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Charleroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.87
0.60
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.38
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.75
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.65
0.62
0.62
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.20
1.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.00
0.53
0.87
0.40
1.13
vs Stronger (26)
0.50
0.96
0.54
0.77
0.46
1.15
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Charleroi
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anass Zaroury40%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo30%
Youssouph Badji19%
Daan Heymans19%
Ken Nkuba14%
Ryota Morioka14%
Isaac Mbenza12%
Adem Zorgane10%
Marco Ilaimaharitra10%
Damien Marcq10%
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh9%
Loic Bessile8%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali7%
Ali Gholizadeh5%
Jonas Bager4%
Jackson Tchatchoua4%
Joris Kayembe Ditu3%
Jules Van Cleemput0%
Pierre Patron0%
Hervé Koffi0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Valentine Ozornwafor0%
Stelios Andreou0%
Anthony Descotte0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ken Nkuba39%
Stefan Knežević33%
Valentine Ozornwafor33%
Marco Ilaimaharitra26%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali21%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo20%
Damien Marcq19%
Jonas Bager17%
Joris Kayembe Ditu14%
Stelios Andreou14%
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh13%
Adem Zorgane13%
Jules Van Cleemput12%
Nikola Štulić12%
Hervé Koffi11%
Anthony Descotte11%
Mehdi Boukamir10%
Daan Heymans9%
Ryota Morioka9%
Youssouph Badji8%
Jackson Tchatchoua7%
Isaac Mbenza6%
Ali Gholizadeh0%
Pierre Patron0%
Loic Bessile0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adem Zorgane23%
Isaac Mbenza21%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo20%
Ken Nkuba18%
Ryota Morioka14%
Jules Van Cleemput12%
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh9%
Jackson Tchatchoua7%
Marco Ilaimaharitra6%
Ali Gholizadeh5%
Damien Marcq5%
Joris Kayembe Ditu3%
Daan Heymans0%
Jonas Bager0%
Pierre Patron0%
Loic Bessile0%
Hervé Koffi0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Valentine Ozornwafor0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Stelios Andreou0%
Anthony Descotte0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vakoun Issouf Bayo60%
Youssouph Badji15%
Ali Gholizadeh11%
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh9%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali7%
Jackson Tchatchoua7%
Daan Heymans6%
Isaac Mbenza6%
Ken Nkuba4%
Adem Zorgane3%
Marco Ilaimaharitra0%
Ryota Morioka0%
Damien Marcq0%
Jules Van Cleemput0%
Jonas Bager0%
Pierre Patron0%
Joris Kayembe Ditu0%
Loic Bessile0%
Hervé Koffi0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Valentine Ozornwafor0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Stelios Andreou0%
Anthony Descotte0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Oostende
AS Eupen
Seraing United