This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.11
2.00
1.20
1.80
1.00
2.25
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
2.00
1.20
1.80
1.00
2.25
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.4%
@ 1.64-8.2%
Under 2.5
50.6%
@ 2.23+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
Charleroi goals ↓
RWD Molenbeek goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
7.4%
5.3%
2.1%
0.7%
1
8.9%
14%
7.5%
3.1%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.8%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.4%
4.2%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Charleroi goals (down), columns = RWD Molenbeek goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.18
Anderlecht
2.02
Club Brugge KV
1.98
Gent
1.87
KV Mechelen
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.57
Genk
1.53
Lommel United
1.50
Antwerp
1.48
Charleroi
1.41
St. Truiden
1.30
OH Leuven
1.09
Standard Liege
1.07
KVC Westerlo
1.07
Kortrijk
1.00
RWDM
0.83
RWD Molenbeek
0.83
Eupen
0.78
AS Eupen
0.78
Charleroi is 0.58 points better than RWD Molenbeek in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.39
Union St. Gilloise
2.09
Gent
2.00
Anderlecht
1.80
Antwerp
1.59
Genk
1.53
KVC Westerlo
1.52
Cercle Brugge
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.45
Standard Liege
1.25
OH Leuven
1.18
St. Truiden
1.18
RWDM
1.08
RWD Molenbeek
1.08
Charleroi
1.05
Kortrijk
0.89
Eupen
0.81
AS Eupen
0.81
Lommel United
0.50
Charleroi is 0.04 goals worse than RWD Molenbeek in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lommel United
0.50
Club Brugge KV
0.84
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.07
Gent
1.11
Cercle Brugge
1.11
Union St. Gilloise
1.11
Genk
1.16
KV Mechelen
1.23
Charleroi
1.30
OH Leuven
1.48
St. Truiden
1.52
Standard Liege
1.64
Kortrijk
1.74
KVC Westerlo
1.75
Eupen
1.83
AS Eupen
1.83
RWDM
2.11
RWD Molenbeek
2.11
Charleroi is 0.82 goals better than RWD Molenbeek in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 2.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Lommel United
63%
Antwerp
58%
St. Truiden
58%
Club Brugge KV
56%
Gent
54%
Genk
53%
Anderlecht
52%
KV Mechelen
51%
Union St. Gilloise
49%
Standard Liege
49%
Charleroi
49%
KVC Westerlo
47%
RWDM
45%
AS Eupen
44%
Cercle Brugge
44%
Kortrijk
43%
OH Leuven
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Charleroi
For 6.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RM
RWD Molenbeek
For 3.4 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 10.6 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charleroi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.4
11.1
1.0
1.1
0.9
22.2
21.8
22.8
vs Stronger (13)
11.6
-
11.6
1.0
0.0
1.4
22.8
-
22.8
vs Similar (27)
9.9
10.0
9.0
1.0
1.4
0.3
22.1
21.8
24.0
vs Weaker (10)
9.2
7.5
11.0
1.1
0.8
1.4
21.8
21.5
22.0
% over line
62%
50%
75%
8%
8%
8%
62%
50%
75%
% under line
38%
50%
25%
92%
92%
92%
38%
50%
25%
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (9)
10.4
9.4
11.8
3.4
4.0
2.8
24.3
23.2
25.8
vs Stronger (9)
10.4
9.4
11.8
3.4
4.0
2.8
24.3
23.2
25.8
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
40%
75%
67%
80%
50%
78%
80%
75%
% under line
44%
60%
25%
33%
20%
50%
22%
20%
25%
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KV Mechelen
11.5
OH Leuven
11.3
Gent
11.2
Antwerp
10.9
Kortrijk
10.8
Charleroi
10.5
RWD Molenbeek
10.4
Eupen
10.4
Club Brugge KV
10.4
RWDM
10.4
Genk
10.0
Union St. Gilloise
9.8
KVC Westerlo
9.6
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Lommel United
9.5
Anderlecht
9.4
AS Eupen
9.3
St. Truiden
9.3
Standard Liege
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lommel United
5.5
Standard Liege
5.5
Kortrijk
5.0
OH Leuven
5.0
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Genk
4.4
Anderlecht
4.4
Antwerp
4.3
St. Truiden
4.3
Gent
4.3
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Eupen
4.2
KV Mechelen
4.0
Charleroi
3.8
AS Eupen
3.7
RWD Molenbeek
3.4
RWDM
3.4
KVC Westerlo
2.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cercle Brugge
27.2
Standard Liege
26.6
Kortrijk
25.0
Union St. Gilloise
25.0
RWDM
24.4
RWD Molenbeek
24.3
St. Truiden
24.1
Genk
23.9
AS Eupen
23.4
Anderlecht
23.4
Eupen
23.2
KVC Westerlo
22.6
OH Leuven
22.2
Club Brugge KV
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Gent
21.2
Charleroi
21.1
Antwerp
20.6
Lommel United
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.4%
Under 9.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.9%
Under 3.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.1%
Under 21.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Charleroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.83
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.62
0.44
0.44
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
1.22
0.80
1.40
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.22
0.80
1.40
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Charleroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.86
0.29
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.78
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.38
0.78
0.33
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (RWD Molenbeek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RM
RWD Molenbeek
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.78
0.40
0.40
0.25
1.25
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.78
0.40
0.40
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWD Molenbeek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Charleroi
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Achraf Dari33%
Parfait Guiagon21%
Oday Dabbagh19%
Antoine Bernier19%
Youssuf Sylla14%
Marco Ilaimaharitra10%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes10%
Daan Heymans9%
Nikola Štulić6%
Isaac Mbenza4%
Adem Zorgane4%
Stelios Andreou3%
Adrien Trebel0%
Ryota Morioka0%
Ken Nkuba0%
Damien Marcq0%
Jules Van Cleemput0%
Jonas Bager0%
Pierre Patron0%
Hervé Koffi0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Žan Rogelj0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali0%
Etienne Camara0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Roméo Monticelli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonas Bager30%
Marco Ilaimaharitra28%
Stefan Knežević25%
Jeremy Petris25%
Etienne Camara25%
Roméo Monticelli25%
Damien Marcq22%
Daan Heymans20%
Stelios Andreou18%
Žan Rogelj17%
Isaac Mbenza11%
Youssouph Badji9%
Mehdi Boukamir9%
Adem Zorgane7%
Nikola Štulić6%
Youssuf Sylla5%
Oday Dabbagh4%
Antoine Bernier4%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes3%
Parfait Guiagon3%
Hervé Koffi3%
Adrien Trebel0%
Ryota Morioka0%
Ken Nkuba0%
Jules Van Cleemput0%
Pierre Patron0%
Achraf Dari0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adem Zorgane14%
Parfait Guiagon14%
Oday Dabbagh11%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes10%
Jeremy Petris8%
Isaac Mbenza7%
Stelios Andreou6%
Daan Heymans6%
Jonas Bager4%
Antoine Bernier4%
Marco Ilaimaharitra3%
Žan Rogelj3%
Adrien Trebel0%
Ryota Morioka0%
Ken Nkuba0%
Damien Marcq0%
Jules Van Cleemput0%
Pierre Patron0%
Hervé Koffi0%
Achraf Dari0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali0%
Etienne Camara0%
Youssuf Sylla0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Roméo Monticelli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Youssouph Badji14%
Daan Heymans11%
Isaac Mbenza11%
Oday Dabbagh11%
Marco Ilaimaharitra7%
Parfait Guiagon7%
Adem Zorgane4%
Adrien Trebel0%
Ryota Morioka0%
Ken Nkuba0%
Damien Marcq0%
Jules Van Cleemput0%
Jonas Bager0%
Pierre Patron0%
Hervé Koffi0%
Achraf Dari0%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Žan Rogelj0%
Stelios Andreou0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali0%
Etienne Camara0%
Youssuf Sylla0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Roméo Monticelli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
Gent
KV Mechelen
Genk
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
Kortrijk
RWDM
AS Eupen
Lommel United