This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union St. Gilloise
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.19
0.81
1.86
0.93
2.54
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
2.63
0.95
2.30
1.10
3.00
0.78
Clean sheet %
48% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.74-2.4%
Under 2.5
48.2%
@ 2.06+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.8%
No
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.8%
0-1
12.9%
0-3 ✓
10.5%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
5.7%
Charleroi goals ↓
Union St. Gilloise goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
13%
15%
11%
5.7%
1
3.0%
9.1%
8.9%
6.4%
3.4%
2
1.2%
2.5%
2.7%
1.9%
1.0%
3
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Charleroi goals (down), columns = Union St. Gilloise goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.26
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
1.88
Antwerp
1.85
Gent
1.82
Charleroi
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.53
St. Truiden
1.50
Genk
1.50
Cercle Brugge
1.32
OH Leuven
1.21
Oostende
1.09
Kortrijk
1.09
Standard Liege
1.06
Zulte Waregem
0.94
Eupen
0.94
Seraing
0.82
Beerschot VA
0.47
Charleroi is 0.68 points worse than Union St. Gilloise in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 2.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.29
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
2.12
Genk
1.94
KV Mechelen
1.68
Gent
1.65
Antwerp
1.62
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.44
OH Leuven
1.38
Kortrijk
1.26
Zulte Waregem
1.24
St. Truiden
1.24
Eupen
1.09
Oostende
1.00
Beerschot VA
0.97
Standard Liege
0.94
Seraing
0.88
Charleroi is 0.68 goals worse than Union St. Gilloise in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 2.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.79
Gent
0.88
Anderlecht
1.06
Club Brugge KV
1.09
Antwerp
1.12
St. Truiden
1.18
Charleroi
1.35
Cercle Brugge
1.35
Genk
1.38
Kortrijk
1.41
Standard Liege
1.50
OH Leuven
1.71
Oostende
1.79
KV Mechelen
1.79
Eupen
1.79
Seraing
2.00
Zulte Waregem
2.03
Beerschot VA
2.24
Charleroi is 0.56 goals worse than Union St. Gilloise in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 0.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Charleroi
For 4.3 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.2 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Union St. Gilloise
For 5.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 11.9 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charleroi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.1
10.2
3.7
3.4
4.0
22.2
21.6
22.7
vs Stronger (10)
11.3
12.0
10.2
2.6
2.5
2.8
17.6
18.0
17.0
vs Similar (28)
10.5
10.2
10.7
4.2
3.9
4.5
23.6
23.1
24.1
vs Weaker (12)
10.3
12.0
8.7
3.5
3.3
3.7
22.6
22.0
23.2
% over line
62%
64%
60%
50%
40%
60%
62%
52%
72%
% under line
38%
36%
40%
50%
60%
40%
38%
48%
28%
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union St. Gilloise
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
10.2
10.1
10.3
4.8
5.1
4.4
25.1
26.2
23.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
10.0
9.5
10.5
4.2
3.5
5.0
24.4
25.8
23.0
vs Weaker (19)
10.3
10.4
10.2
5.0
5.8
4.1
25.4
26.4
24.3
% over line
59%
50%
69%
81%
79%
85%
74%
86%
62%
% under line
41%
50%
31%
19%
21%
15%
26%
14%
38%
This opponent (Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.3
Antwerp
11.1
KV Mechelen
10.9
Charleroi
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.6
Oostende
10.4
OH Leuven
10.3
Union St. Gilloise
10.2
Eupen
10.2
Gent
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.1
Kortrijk
10.0
Genk
9.9
Seraing
9.7
St. Truiden
9.5
Cercle Brugge
9.4
Standard Liege
9.3
Anderlecht
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
OH Leuven
5.1
Standard Liege
4.9
Cercle Brugge
4.8
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Antwerp
4.7
Seraing
4.7
Kortrijk
4.6
Beerschot VA
4.5
Gent
4.3
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Eupen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Oostende
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.9
Genk
3.8
KV Mechelen
3.7
Charleroi
3.7
Anderlecht
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.6
Cercle Brugge
26.3
Kortrijk
26.0
Gent
25.3
Union St. Gilloise
25.1
St. Truiden
24.6
Beerschot VA
24.6
KV Mechelen
23.7
Genk
23.6
OH Leuven
23.5
Anderlecht
23.5
Seraing
23.5
Zulte Waregem
23.4
Club Brugge KV
23.4
Oostende
22.8
Eupen
22.6
Charleroi
22.2
Antwerp
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
63.8%
Under 9.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
53.5%
Under 21.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Charleroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.29
0.57
1.06
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.00
0.33
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.71
0.29
0.57
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.43
0.50
0.75
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union St. Gilloise
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.96
0.33
0.71
0.43
1.23
0.23
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.12
0.50
0.00
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (19)
1.11
0.42
0.80
0.60
1.44
0.22
Clean sheet %
78% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Charleroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
1.00
0.57
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.82
0.71
0.71
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.14
1.50
0.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union St. Gilloise
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.22
0.48
1.14
0.50
1.31
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.38
0.25
0.50
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (19)
1.53
0.53
1.50
0.50
1.56
0.56
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Charleroi · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof50%
Aurélien Scheidler33%
Aiham Ousou33%
Cheick Keita33%
Antoine Colassin25%
Freddy Mbemba25%
Amine Boukamir25%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aiham Ousou33%
Antoine Bernier25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick Pflücke25%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof25%
Antoine Colassin25%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Adama Bojang25%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Pflücke75%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Union St. Gilloise · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Florucz50%
Guilherme Smith50%
R. Mofokeng50%
D. Olaru33%
M. Biondic33%
K. Mac Allister25%
L. Patris25%
B. Zeneli25%
A. Zorgane0%
R. Schoofs0%
K. Van de Perre0%
Ondrej Kricfalusi0%
M. Sylla0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
K. Mac Allister100%
K. Van de Perre50%
R. Florucz25%
Guilherme Smith25%
M. Sylla25%
A. Zorgane0%
R. Schoofs0%
D. Olaru0%
L. Patris0%
M. Biondic0%
B. Zeneli0%
Ondrej Kricfalusi0%
R. Mofokeng0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Zeneli75%
R. Schoofs50%
D. Olaru33%
M. Biondic33%
L. Patris25%
Guilherme Smith25%
A. Zorgane0%
K. Mac Allister0%
R. Florucz0%
K. Van de Perre0%
Ondrej Kricfalusi0%
R. Mofokeng0%
M. Sylla0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
B. Zeneli50%
D. Olaru33%
Guilherme Smith25%
A. Zorgane0%
K. Mac Allister0%
R. Schoofs0%
R. Florucz0%
L. Patris0%
M. Biondic0%
K. Van de Perre0%
Ondrej Kricfalusi0%
R. Mofokeng0%
M. Sylla0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
BV (26)
€9m
Charleroi's squad is €67m less valuable than Union St. Gilloise's (€31m vs €98m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
Charleroi's attack is €20m less valuable than Union St. Gilloise's (€13m vs €32m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
BV (2)
€0m
Charleroi's midfield is €34m less valuable than Union St. Gilloise's (€4m vs €38m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
Charleroi's defence is €13m less valuable than Union St. Gilloise's (€14m vs €28m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Gent
KV Mechelen
Genk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
Beerschot VA