This opponent (Portsmouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Portsmouth
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.97
2.00
1.21
1.50
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.73
1.64
1.57
1.71
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (19)
1.74
0.58
2.43
0.71
1.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Charlton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.7%
@ 1.79+3.1%
Under 2.5
44.3%
@ 1.98-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
0-0 ✓
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
Charlton goals ↓
Portsmouth goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
7.7%
7.2%
3.9%
1.6%
1
5.8%
13%
9.3%
5.0%
2.0%
2
4.5%
7.3%
5.9%
3.2%
1.3%
3
1.9%
3.1%
2.5%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Charlton goals (down), columns = Portsmouth goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Portsmouth
2.11
Derby
2.00
Bolton
1.89
Peterboro
1.83
Oxford
1.67
Barnsley
1.65
Lincoln
1.61
Blackpool
1.59
Stevenage
1.54
Wigan
1.52
Leyton Orient
1.41
Wycombe
1.41
Exeter
1.33
Northampton
1.30
Reading
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.24
Charlton
1.15
Cambridge
1.04
Shrewsbury
1.04
Burton
1.00
Cheltenham
0.96
Fleetwood Town
0.93
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.65
Charlton is 0.96 points worse than Portsmouth in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 2.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Peterboro
1.93
Bolton
1.87
Barnsley
1.78
Oxford
1.72
Derby
1.70
Portsmouth
1.70
Reading
1.48
Lincoln
1.41
Blackpool
1.41
Charlton
1.39
Wigan
1.37
Wycombe
1.30
Northampton
1.24
Stevenage
1.24
Leyton Orient
1.15
Bristol Rvs
1.13
Fleetwood Town
1.07
Exeter
1.00
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.89
Cheltenham
0.89
Cambridge
0.85
Burton
0.85
Shrewsbury
0.76
Charlton is 0.30 goals worse than Portsmouth in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derby
0.80
Lincoln
0.87
Portsmouth
0.89
Stevenage
1.00
Blackpool
1.04
Bolton
1.11
Leyton Orient
1.20
Wycombe
1.20
Oxford
1.22
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Peterboro
1.33
Barnsley
1.39
Charlton
1.41
Cheltenham
1.41
Northampton
1.43
Shrewsbury
1.46
Burton
1.46
Bristol Rvs
1.48
Reading
1.52
Fleetwood Town
1.57
Port Vale
1.61
Carlisle
1.76
Charlton is 0.52 goals worse than Portsmouth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 0.89).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Peterboro
62%
Bolton
60%
Portsmouth
59%
Exeter
54%
Barnsley
54%
Wigan
53%
Blackpool
53%
Reading
53%
Oxford
52%
Leyton Orient
52%
Charlton
52%
Derby
51%
Port Vale
49%
Northampton
49%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Wycombe
46%
Carlisle
46%
Stevenage
45%
Cambridge
44%
Cheltenham
44%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
41%
Burton
41%
Charlton is 6.4 percentage points worse than Portsmouth in terms of average possession (52% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Charlton
For 4.5 · Against 6.5 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Portsmouth
For 5.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charlton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.2
11.7
4.1
4.3
3.8
20.8
21.8
20.0
vs Stronger (1)
6.0
-
6.0
4.0
-
4.0
19.0
-
19.0
vs Similar (30)
11.8
11.1
12.5
4.7
4.5
4.9
21.9
22.3
21.5
vs Weaker (19)
11.2
11.4
11.0
3.1
4.1
2.0
19.3
21.0
17.4
% over line
72%
71%
73%
60%
67%
54%
46%
58%
35%
% under line
28%
29%
27%
40%
33%
46%
54%
42%
65%
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Portsmouth
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.8
9.8
4.9
5.1
4.7
24.2
24.9
23.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
10.9
11.7
10.1
4.5
5.2
3.7
23.9
24.0
23.9
vs Weaker (31)
10.0
10.3
9.7
5.2
5.1
5.3
24.3
25.5
23.2
% over line
60%
64%
56%
72%
84%
60%
68%
72%
64%
% under line
40%
36%
44%
28%
16%
40%
32%
28%
36%
This opponent (Charlton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Charlton
11.5
Fleetwood Town
11.2
Derby
11.0
Wycombe
11.0
Peterboro
10.9
Exeter
10.8
Port Vale
10.7
Bristol Rvs
10.7
Bolton
10.6
Oxford
10.5
Portsmouth
10.3
Shrewsbury
10.2
Reading
10.2
Barnsley
10.1
Leyton Orient
9.7
Carlisle
9.7
Cambridge
9.7
Lincoln
9.5
Blackpool
9.5
Cheltenham
9.5
Stevenage
9.4
Wigan
9.3
Burton
9.3
Northampton
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wigan
5.2
Portsmouth
4.9
Bristol Rvs
4.5
Fleetwood Town
4.5
Port Vale
4.4
Oxford
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.3
Stevenage
4.3
Lincoln
4.3
Cheltenham
4.2
Bolton
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.2
Charlton
4.1
Cambridge
4.0
Blackpool
4.0
Exeter
4.0
Barnsley
4.0
Northampton
3.9
Carlisle
3.9
Wycombe
3.9
Reading
3.8
Peterboro
3.8
Derby
3.7
Burton
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
25.0
Wigan
24.4
Portsmouth
24.2
Bristol Rvs
22.9
Cambridge
22.7
Bolton
22.7
Fleetwood Town
22.5
Cheltenham
22.5
Blackpool
22.4
Oxford
22.1
Port Vale
21.8
Shrewsbury
21.6
Lincoln
21.5
Reading
21.3
Wycombe
21.1
Northampton
21.1
Charlton
20.8
Exeter
20.8
Derby
20.7
Burton
20.7
Peterboro
20.7
Carlisle
20.7
Barnsley
20.5
Leyton Orient
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
72.4%
Under 9.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.3%
Under 3.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.6%
Under 21.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Charlton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.60
0.80
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.71
0.40
0.80
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.56
1.00
0.80
0.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Portsmouth
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
0.93
0.64
0.75
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.82
0.86
1.00
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
0.74
0.21
1.00
0.29
0.58
0.17
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Charlton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Charlton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Charlton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.97
1.20
0.73
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.00
1.40
0.70
0.82
1.27
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.89
0.80
0.80
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Portsmouth
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.53
1.07
0.57
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.82
0.71
0.71
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.00
0.37
1.43
0.43
0.75
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Charlton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Charlton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Charlton · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tyreece Campbell75%
Lloyd Jones60%
Karlan Grant25%
Sonny Carey25%
Ivan Mesík0%
Nathaniel Chalobah0%
Conor Coventry0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Danny McNamara0%
Joe Rankin-Costello0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Millenic Alli0%
Collins Sichenje0%
Miles Leaburn0%
Micah Mbick0%
Alan Nwamba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karlan Grant25%
Joe Rankin-Costello25%
Danny McNamara20%
Lloyd Jones20%
Ivan Mesík0%
Nathaniel Chalobah0%
Conor Coventry0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Sonny Carey0%
Millenic Alli0%
Collins Sichenje0%
Miles Leaburn0%
Tyreece Campbell0%
Micah Mbick0%
Alan Nwamba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sonny Carey50%
Nathaniel Chalobah25%
Conor Coventry25%
Karlan Grant25%
Joe Rankin-Costello25%
Millenic Alli25%
Ivan Mesík0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Danny McNamara0%
Lloyd Jones0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Collins Sichenje0%
Miles Leaburn0%
Tyreece Campbell0%
Micah Mbick0%
Alan Nwamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sonny Carey25%
Tyreece Campbell25%
Ivan Mesík0%
Nathaniel Chalobah0%
Conor Coventry0%
Karlan Grant0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Danny McNamara0%
Lloyd Jones0%
Joe Rankin-Costello0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Millenic Alli0%
Collins Sichenje0%
Miles Leaburn0%
Micah Mbick0%
Alan Nwamba0%
Portsmouth · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
A. Segecic40%
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen25%
Ebou Adams20%
Terry Devlin20%
M. Milovanović20%
N. Schmid0%
M. Pack0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
R. Shein0%
Odin Bailey0%
Colby Bishop0%
Z. Swanson0%
A. Kamara0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Luke Brooke-Smith0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ebou Adams20%
R. Shein20%
Terry Devlin20%
A. Segecic20%
N. Schmid0%
M. Pack0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
Odin Bailey0%
Colby Bishop0%
Z. Swanson0%
A. Kamara0%
M. Milovanović0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Luke Brooke-Smith0%
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Kamara25%
Ebou Adams20%
N. Schmid0%
M. Pack0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
R. Shein0%
Odin Bailey0%
Colby Bishop0%
Terry Devlin0%
Z. Swanson0%
A. Segecic0%
M. Milovanović0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Luke Brooke-Smith0%
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Segecic80%
A. Kamara25%
Colby Bishop20%
N. Schmid0%
Ebou Adams0%
M. Pack0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
R. Shein0%
Odin Bailey0%
Terry Devlin0%
Z. Swanson0%
M. Milovanović0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Luke Brooke-Smith0%
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
CAR (1)
€0m
Charlton's squad is €1m less valuable than Portsmouth's (€31m vs €32m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
OXF (8)
€6m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Charlton's attack is €5m more valuable than Portsmouth's (€18m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (6)
€14m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Charlton's midfield is €2m less valuable than Portsmouth's (€3m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
Charlton's defence is €4m less valuable than Portsmouth's (€10m vs €14m).
England: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →