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Chelsea vs Arsenal Result & Analysis

Date: 14/01/2026
Time: 20:00
Final 2-3
Chelsea
Chelsea
Vs
32%
29%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Chelsea and Arsenal face a finely balanced League Cup clash, with the model favouring an Arsenal victory. The odds are 32% for a home win, 29% for a draw and 39% for an away win. The expected total is 2.6 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.8% chance. Chelsea, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Arsenal, on the road, averages 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.5%), Under 5.5 (95.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.1%), Under 4.5 (88.1%), Under 5.5 cards (87.6%) and Home under 2.5 goals (87.5%). Chelsea’s recent form shows a 2-game winning streak after a 2-0 win over Luton, while Arsenal remains unbeaten in five matches, including a 3-0 triumph over Coventry.

Results analysis

Chelsea’s 2-0 win over Luton had kept their recent form on a two-game winning run, but Arsenal, unbeaten in their last five, proved the stronger side as the model predicted. The pre-match favourite, an away win at 39%, was right, and the final score of 2-3 confirmed the actual result. The model’s selections largely held up: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Under 6.5 at 98.4%, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.5%, Under 5.5 at 95.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.1%, and Home under 2.5 goals at 87.5% all came through. The only misses were Under 4.5 at 88.1% and Under 5.5 cards at 87.6%. Overall, the predictions performed impressively.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chelsea win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal win✓ Hit
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D12L20W31W22D12L22D11D12L51WA·BOU06/12A·ATA09/12H·EVE13/12A·CAR16/12A·NEW20/12H·AST27/12H·BOU30/12A·MAN04/01A·FUL07/01A·CHA10/01← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.272.001.002.061.44
vs Stronger (2)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (14)1.641.292.001.251.171.33
vs Weaker (14)2.571.142.000.502.801.40
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L30W21W10W11D21W41W32W00D41WA·AST06/12A·CLU10/12H·WOL13/12A·EVE20/12H·CRY23/12H·BRI27/12H·AST30/12A·BOU03/01H·LIV08/01A·POR11/01← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.572.380.441.930.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.500.672.000.500.501.00
vs Weaker (24)2.330.542.500.422.170.67
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
Chelsea goals ↓
Arsenal goals →
01234
08.9%9.1%7.0%3.2%1.1%
18.0%14%8.5%3.9%1.3%
25.7%7.7%5.2%2.4%0.8%
32.3%3.1%2.1%1.0%0.3%
40.7%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Arsenal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Coventry
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Watford
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Cardiff
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Barnet
0.77
Oldham
0.72
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Burton
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Accrington
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Hull
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Chelsea is 0.30 points worse than Arsenal in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Stevenage
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Cardiff
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Sheffield United
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Reading
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Preston
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Brentford
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Barnet
1.01
Coventry
1.00
Exeter
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Hull
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Derby
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Luton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Oldham
0.94
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Burton
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Chelsea is 0.30 goals better than Arsenal in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 2.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Fulham
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Coventry
0.67
Blackpool
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bristol City
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Preston
1.00
Luton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Salford
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Hull
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Barnet
2.48
Cardiff
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
Oldham
2.66
Barnsley
2.67
Cheltenham
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Burton
4.00
Wrexham
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Chelsea is 0.40 goals better than Arsenal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

For 5.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

15063112281236746824752591310151310101175A·CHAA·FULA·MANH·BOUH·ASTA·NEWA·CARH·EVEA·ATAA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

90114333115363121122762893112A·CHAA·FULA·MANH·BOUH·ASTA·NEWA·CARH·EVEA·ATAA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

28071161114125121681413951311146131518172617242714242028A·CHAA·FULA·MANH·BOUH·ASTA·NEWA·CARH·EVEA·ATAA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

For 5.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 7.9

🚩 Corners

1408635733728232851331431269105866A·PORH·LIVA·BOUH·ASTH·BRIH·CRYA·EVEH·WOLA·CLUA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

5021221323231224223445514422A·PORH·LIVA·BOUH·ASTH·BRIH·CRYA·EVEH·WOLA·CLUA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.1 · Total 20.1

⚠️ Fouls

270916109813189713912547159108102519212720219221918A·PORH·LIVA·BOUH·ASTH·BRIH·CRYA·EVEH·WOLA·CLUA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.28.84.54.34.622.322.522.1
vs Stronger (2)9.0-9.05.0-5.022.5-22.5
vs Similar (20)9.49.69.15.86.25.223.623.124.3
vs Weaker (28)9.510.78.63.52.54.221.422.020.9
% over line56%61%52%62%52%70%62%65%59%
% under line44%39%48%38%48%30%38%35%41%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.59.63.33.33.221.721.521.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.17.58.64.24.04.523.022.623.4
vs Weaker (34)9.59.010.12.83.02.621.121.121.1
% over line40%31%50%50%54%46%48%46%50%
% under line60%69%50%50%46%54%52%54%50%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
Crawley Town
11.0
Oxford
10.9
Wigan
10.9
Oldham
10.8
Huddersfield
10.8
Harrogate
10.7
Coventry
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Plymouth
10.5
Barnet
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Millwall
10.5
Bournemouth
10.4
Bromley
10.4
Hull
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.4
Portsmouth
10.3
Doncaster
10.3
Swindon
10.3
Middlesbrough
10.2
QPR
10.2
Grimsby
10.2
Shrewsbury
10.1
Port Vale
10.1
Barnsley
10.1
Derby
10.1
Chesterfield
10.1
Southampton
10.1
Luton
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Cheltenham
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
Leicester
10.0
West Brom
10.0
Liverpool
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Tottenham
9.9
Barrow
9.9
Leyton Orient
9.9
Cardiff
9.8
Preston
9.8
Salford
9.8
Bristol Rvs
9.8
Rotherham
9.8
Blackpool
9.8
Stoke
9.8
Manchester United
9.7
Bolton
9.7
Ipswich
9.7
Brentford
9.7
Wrexham
9.7
Fulham
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Burton
9.7
Exeter
9.6
Watford
9.6
Crewe
9.6
Walsall
9.6
Swansea
9.6
Everton
9.5
Aston Villa
9.5
Chelsea
9.4
Bradford
9.4
Brighton
9.4
Birmingham
9.4
Fleetwood Town
9.4
Bristol City
9.3
Mansfield
9.3
Burnley
9.3
Reading
9.3
Leeds
9.2
Accrington
9.2
Charlton
9.2
AFC Wimbledon
9.2
Notts County
9.2
Peterboro
9.2
Wycombe
9.1
Manchester City
9.1
Cambridge
9.1
Northampton
9.1
Lincoln
9.1
Wolves
9.1
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.9
Stockport
8.9
Stevenage
8.9
Colchester
8.8
Milton Keynes Dons
8.8
Tranmere
8.6
Gillingham
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Gillingham
4.8
Bournemouth
4.7
Accrington
4.6
Chelsea
4.6
Bradford
4.4
Colchester
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Crawley Town
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Watford
4.2
Shrewsbury
4.2
Crewe
4.2
Bolton
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Grimsby
4.1
Bristol Rvs
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Tranmere
4.1
Notts County
4.1
Portsmouth
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Salford
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Walsall
3.9
Bromley
3.9
Aston Villa
3.9
Plymouth
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Port Vale
3.9
Lincoln
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
Swindon
3.8
Milton Keynes Dons
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Exeter
3.8
Blackburn
3.8
Doncaster
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Everton
3.7
Southampton
3.7
Fleetwood Town
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Fulham
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Charlton
3.7
QPR
3.6
Wycombe
3.6
Cambridge
3.6
Derby
3.6
Barnet
3.6
Hull
3.6
Leyton Orient
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Burton
3.6
Norwich
3.6
Rotherham
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Sheffield United
3.5
Newport County
3.5
Preston
3.4
Luton
3.4
West Ham
3.4
Cheltenham
3.4
Reading
3.4
Barrow
3.4
Mansfield
3.4
Stevenage
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Northampton
3.4
Burnley
3.4
Stockport
3.4
Liverpool
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Wrexham
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Cardiff
3.3
Leicester
3.3
Blackpool
3.3
Bristol City
3.3
Millwall
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Leeds
3.1
Harrogate
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Oldham
25.9
Crewe
25.7
Colchester
25.4
Gillingham
24.9
Milton Keynes Dons
24.8
Salford
24.8
Cheltenham
24.7
Bradford
24.5
Grimsby
24.5
Barnet
24.4
Bournemouth
24.4
Peterboro
24.3
Wolves
24.2
Cambridge
24.2
Crawley Town
23.8
Blackburn
23.8
Stevenage
23.7
Accrington
23.7
Exeter
23.6
Fleetwood Town
23.6
Shrewsbury
23.5
Huddersfield
23.4
Doncaster
23.3
Plymouth
23.2
Notts County
23.2
Aston Villa
23.1
Tranmere
23.1
Northampton
23.1
Swansea
23.1
Luton
23.1
Bolton
23.0
Rotherham
23.0
Walsall
23.0
Lincoln
22.9
Newport County
22.9
Bristol Rvs
22.8
Southampton
22.8
West Ham
22.8
Birmingham
22.7
Stockport
22.7
AFC Wimbledon
22.7
Brighton
22.6
Mansfield
22.6
Wigan
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.6
Tottenham
22.6
Portsmouth
22.4
Charlton
22.4
QPR
22.4
Millwall
22.4
Wycombe
22.3
Chelsea
22.3
Sunderland
22.3
Cardiff
22.3
Blackpool
22.2
Ipswich
22.2
Bromley
22.2
Reading
22.1
Everton
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.1
Chesterfield
22.0
Swindon
21.9
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Harrogate
21.9
Manchester United
21.9
Hull
21.9
Sheffield United
21.8
Stoke
21.7
Arsenal
21.7
Leicester
21.6
West Brom
21.5
Burton
21.5
Norwich
21.5
Burnley
21.5
Leeds
21.4
Oxford
21.4
Port Vale
21.4
Leyton Orient
21.3
Watford
21.2
Derby
21.2
Newcastle
21.1
Barnsley
21.0
Coventry
21.0
Preston
20.9
Barrow
20.4
Fulham
20.3
Liverpool
20.3
Crystal Palace
20.3
Bristol City
20.1
Wrexham
19.8
Manchester City
19.5
Brentford
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.9%
Under 9.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.3%
Under 3.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.0%
Under 21.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Chelsea or Draw✗ Miss
61.3%
Avg Implied -
32%
29%
39%
covers Chelsea + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea or Arsenal✓ Hit
71.0%
Avg Implied -
32%
29%
39%
covers Chelsea + Arsenal
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Arsenal✓ Hit
67.7%
Avg Implied -
32%
29%
39%
covers Draw + Arsenal
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Chelsea over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.4%
Under
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.4%
Under
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.2%
Under
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.3%
Under
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Chelsea, so a minus line means Chelsea give that many goals of a start and Arsenal receive them. At -1, Chelsea must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Chelsea win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Chelsea)Actual: Arsenal
Chelsea -2
4.7%
Draw -2
9.5%
Arsenal +2
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Chelsea)Actual: Arsenal
Chelsea -1
14.2%
Draw -1
18.1%
Arsenal +1
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Chelsea)Actual: Draw
Chelsea +1
61.3%
Draw +1
20.3%
Arsenal -1
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Chelsea)Actual: Chelsea
Chelsea +2
81.6%
Draw +2
11.8%
Arsenal -2
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W00D02L10W22D01L00D10WA·BOU06/12A·ATA09/12H·EVE13/12A·CAR16/12A·NEW20/12H·AST27/12H·BOU30/12A·MAN04/01A·FUL07/01A·CHA10/01← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.601.250.330.670.78
vs Stronger (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Similar (14)0.930.571.380.380.330.83
vs Weaker (14)0.930.501.000.250.900.60
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D10W00D10W00D11D00D21WA·AST06/12A·CLU10/12H·WOL13/12A·EVE20/12H·CRY23/12H·BRI27/12H·AST30/12A·BOU03/01H·LIV08/01A·POR11/01← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.230.690.120.640.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.170.330.250.500.000.00
vs Weaker (24)0.790.210.830.000.750.42
Clean sheet %77% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L00D31W20W02L00D10W12L41WA·BOU06/12A·ATA09/12H·EVE13/12A·CAR16/12A·NEW20/12H·AST27/12H·BOU30/12A·MAN04/01A·FUL07/01A·CHA10/01← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.670.750.671.390.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (14)0.710.710.620.880.830.50
vs Weaker (14)1.640.641.000.251.900.80
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W21W00D11D11D41W21W00D20WA·AST06/12A·CLU10/12H·WOL13/12A·EVE20/12H·CRY23/12H·BRI27/12H·AST30/12A·BOU03/01H·LIV08/01A·POR11/01← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.331.690.311.290.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.330.331.750.000.501.00
vs Weaker (24)1.540.331.670.421.420.25
Clean sheet %67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.588.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards87.6%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals87.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap85.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals84.4%-------✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap81.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners76.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards75.2%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.0%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away71.0%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals70.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro35%
Enzo Fernández28%
Cole Palmer27%
Tyrique George27%
Estêvão Willian23%
Pedro Neto15%
Marc Guiu15%
Alejandro Garnacho14%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Moisés Caicedo10%
Andrey Santos7%
Tosin Adarabioyo7%
Josh Acheampong7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Malo Gusto6%
Jorrel Hato6%
Reece James5%
Liam Delap5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Marc Cucurella2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Dário Essugo0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dário Essugo40%
Moisés Caicedo33%
Tyrique George27%
Enzo Fernández26%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Marc Cucurella24%
Wesley Fofana22%
Jorrel Hato20%
Estêvão Willian20%
Andrey Santos19%
Cole Palmer18%
Mamadou Sarr17%
Reece James13%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
João Pedro12%
Pedro Neto12%
Malo Gusto10%
Tosin Adarabioyo10%
Trevoh Chalobah9%
Filip Jørgensen8%
Marc Guiu8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Robert Sánchez6%
Roméo Lavia5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Josh Acheampong3%
Levi Colwill0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Dário Essugo20%
Pedro Neto19%
Reece James15%
Marc Guiu15%
Jamie Gittens15%
Enzo Fernández13%
Malo Gusto10%
João Pedro10%
Andrey Santos10%
Tyrique George9%
Estêvão Willian9%
Marc Cucurella8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Cole Palmer6%
Wesley Fofana5%
Jorrel Hato3%
Liam Delap2%
Robert Sánchez2%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Jesse Derry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho19%
João Pedro18%
Cole Palmer18%
Enzo Fernández15%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Estêvão Willian11%
Pedro Neto8%
Jamie Gittens4%
Reece James3%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Andrey Santos0%
Dário Essugo0%
Tyrique George0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Jesse Derry0%
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres30%
Kai Havertz26%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Leandro Trossard16%
Mikel Merino15%
Noni Madueke14%
Eberechi Eze14%
Martín Zubimendi9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Magalhães8%
Max Dowman8%
Declan Rice7%
Jurriën Timber7%
Ben White3%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Piero Hincapié3%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kepa Arrizabalaga36%
Riccardo Calafiori19%
Martín Zubimendi14%
Cristhian Mosquera14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Myles Lewis-Skelly14%
Declan Rice13%
Mikel Merino12%
Gabriel Jesus11%
Viktor Gyökeres11%
Ben White10%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Kai Havertz9%
Piero Hincapié8%
Bukayo Saka6%
Leandro Trossard6%
William Saliba6%
Eberechi Eze4%
Noni Madueke2%
David Raya2%
Martin Ødegaard0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Havertz22%
Leandro Trossard20%
Martin Ødegaard19%
Declan Rice15%
Bukayo Saka14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Gabriel Martinelli13%
Myles Lewis-Skelly11%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Mikel Merino9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Ben White7%
Viktor Gyökeres6%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Noni Madueke5%
Gabriel Jesus4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres24%
Bukayo Saka18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Eberechi Eze16%
Max Dowman15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Mikel Merino12%
Noni Madueke10%
Kai Havertz9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Martinelli8%
Martin Ødegaard6%
Jurriën Timber5%
Declan Rice4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Piero Hincapié0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Chelsea and Arsenal have a similar squad value (both €1407m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Chelsea's attack is €6m more valuable than Arsenal's (€614m vs €608m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Chelsea's midfield is €12m less valuable than Arsenal's (€278m vs €290m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Chelsea's defence is €6m more valuable than Arsenal's (€514m vs €508m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
CHE wins
3
Draws
5
ARS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chelsea vs Arsenal · H/A from CHE
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25HCHE Vs Arsenal1-1
16/03/25AArsenal Vs CHE1-0
10/11/24HCHE Vs Arsenal1-1
23/04/24AArsenal Vs CHE5-0
21/10/23HCHE Vs Arsenal2-2
02/05/23AArsenal Vs CHE3-1
06/11/22HCHE Vs Arsenal0-1
20/04/22HCHE Vs Arsenal2-4

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26ACharlton Vs CHE1-5
07/01/26AFulham Vs CHE2-1
04/01/26AManchester City Vs CHE1-1
30/12/25HCHE Vs Bournemouth2-2
27/12/25HCHE Vs Aston Villa1-2
20/12/25ANewcastle Vs CHE2-2
16/12/25ACardiff Vs CHE1-3
13/12/25HCHE Vs Everton2-0
09/12/25AAtalanta Vs CHE2-1
06/12/25ABournemouth Vs CHE0-0

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/26APortsmouth Vs ARS1-4
08/01/26HARS Vs Liverpool0-0
03/01/26ABournemouth Vs ARS2-3
30/12/25HARS Vs Aston Villa4-1
27/12/25HARS Vs Brighton2-1
23/12/25HARS Vs Crystal Palace1-1
20/12/25AEverton Vs ARS0-1
13/12/25HARS Vs Wolves2-1
10/12/25AClub Brugge KV Vs ARS0-3
06/12/25AAston Villa Vs ARS2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chelsea
Chelsea
England: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.94
HomeWDWLD2.13
AwayWDDLW1.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%65%52%
AVG goals2.862.483.19
Over 1.5 %74%65%81%
Over 2.5 %62%52%70%
Over 3.5 %34%26%41%
Scored1.861.741.96
Conceded1.000.741.22
BTTS56%43%67%
Clean Sheet40%57%26%
Corners9.4410.178.81
Cards4.554.264.81
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: League Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.16
HomeWDWWD2.19
AwayLWWWW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%65%62%
AVG goals2.702.622.79
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored1.981.962.00
Conceded0.720.650.79
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet44%46%42%
Corners9.048.549.58
Cards3.353.313.39

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches