Chindia Targoviste’s recent win fuels a high-scoring outing as the model projects a 3.2 average goal total, with 3 goals the most likely aggregate. The predicted scoreline is 1-1, a 10.8% chance, while the home side is favoured to win at 55%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 21%. Home form shows 1.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Voluntari returns 1.55 scored and 1.36 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.9% with a 5% edge), Under 6.5 (95.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (92.4% with a 1% edge) and Home +2 handicap (91.2%).
Results analysis
The upset came early as FC Voluntari snatched a 0-1 win, overturning the pre-match favourite Chindia Targoviste who had been coming off a defeat. The model had tipped a home win at 54% probability, but the pick was wrong. The final score of 0-1 gave Voluntari an away victory. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.9%, Under 6.5 at 96.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.7%, Home +2 handicap at 91.1%, and Under 5.5 at 90.8%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and no number was repeated.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chindia Targoviste win✗ Miss
53.9%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.04
Edge
+24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.35
Dafabet
3.25
Betano
3.15
William Hil
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.24
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
FC Voluntari win✓ Hit
21.8%
Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.12
Edge
-20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.30
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Betano
2.15
William Hil
2.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Chindia Targoviste
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.47
1.50
1.57
1.25
1.38
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.33
1.33
1.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (21)
1.48
1.57
1.56
1.78
1.42
1.42
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.20
1.87
0.87
1.40
1.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
4.00
-
-
0.50
4.00
vs Similar (25)
1.68
1.08
1.79
0.86
1.55
1.36
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
3.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.3%
@ 1.25+9.5%
Under 1.5
17.7%
@ 3.35-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.5%
@ 1.86+9.9%
Under 2.5
40.5%
@ 1.83-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.98
SBO
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.1%
@ 3.11+7.7%
Under 3.5
62.9%
@ 1.30-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.55
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Betano
3.10
1xBet
2.97
Under
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.7%
@ 1.69+5.5%
No
40.3%
@ 2.00-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.76
Unibet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
William Hil
1.70
No
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Betano
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 6.06+4.2%
2-1
9.8%@ 10.09+5.6%
2-0
8.4%@ 14.54+5.5%
1-0
7.8%@ 9.10+3.1%
3-1
6.3%@ 23.21+4.4%
1-2
6.0%@ 8.13+0.7%
2-2
5.7%@ 12.50+2.3%
0-0
5.6%@ 8.68+0.7%
Chindia Targoviste goals ↓
FC Voluntari goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
4.3%
3.1%
1.2%
0.4%
1
7.8%
11%
6.0%
2.3%
0.7%
2
8.4%
9.8%
5.7%
2.2%
0.6%
3
5.4%
6.3%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.6%
3.0%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chindia Targoviste goals (down), columns = FC Voluntari goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arges Pitesti
2.33
Viitorul Arad
2.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.33
Gloria Bistriţa
2.29
Agricola Borcea
2.25
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
2.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.20
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Plopeni
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Farul Constanta
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
Metalul Buzău
2.00
Jiul Petroşani
2.00
Săcele
2.00
LPS HD Clinceni
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Păușești
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Universitatea Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Concordia
1.80
FC Botosani
1.75
Csikszereda
1.75
Uta Arad
1.75
Sporting Lieşti
1.67
Universitatea Craiova
1.67
Dumbrăviţa
1.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.67
Timişul Şag
1.50
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Progresul Fundulea
1.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.50
AFC Hermannstadt
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Sânmartin
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Slatina
1.40
Rapid
1.33
FCSB
1.33
Oţelul
1.33
CSM Satu Mare
1.33
Viitorul Onesti
1.33
Gloria Băneasa
1.33
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.25
Metaloglobus
1.25
CS Dinamo București
1.17
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Minaur Baia Mare
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Aerostar Bacau
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Viitorul Cluj
1.00
Voința Crevedia
0.99
CSM Targu Jiu
0.99
Bradul Putna
0.99
Berca
0.99
Cetatea Suceava
0.99
Inter Sibiu
0.99
Progresul Mogosoaia
0.99
Corona Braşov
0.99
Chiesd
0.99
Unirea Sântana
0.99
Caransebes
0.99
Unirea DMO
0.99
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
0.99
Domnesti IF
0.99
Bihorul Beiuş
0.99
Bolintin Vale
0.99
Victoria Traian
0.99
Agigea
0.99
ASA Targu Mures
0.96
Baicoi
0.67
Râmnicu Sărat
0.50
Bihor Oradea
0.50
Progresul Pecica
0.50
CS Afumati
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
U Craiova 1948
0.00
Crişul Sântandrei
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
USV Iaşi
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0.00
Academica Balș
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Blejoi
0.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
0.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
0.00
Gilortul
0.00
Tricolorul Breaza
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Unirea Braniştea
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Păuleşti
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
0.00
Chindia Targoviste is 0.50 points better than FC Voluntari in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
CSM FC Vaslui
8.00
Timişul Şag
5.00
CSM Satu Mare
4.00
Ştefăneşti
4.00
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
3.75
Râmnicu Sărat
3.50
Csikszereda
3.50
Metalul Buzău
2.83
Concordia
2.80
Gloria Bistriţa
2.57
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Chindia Targoviste
2.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.33
Sporting Lieşti
2.33
Oltul Curtişoara
2.33
Săcele
2.33
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.33
Sănătatea Cluj
2.14
U Craiova 1948
2.00
USV Iaşi
2.00
Slatina
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
2.00
Tunari
2.00
Rapid
2.00
Metaloglobus
2.00
Târgu Secuiesc
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Agricola Borcea
2.00
Tricolorul Breaza
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Gloria Băneasa
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2.00
Universitatea Craiova
1.83
Arges Pitesti
1.83
FCSB
1.67
Oţelul
1.67
Viitorul Arad
1.67
Baicoi
1.67
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Progresul Pecica
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Uta Arad
1.50
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
Voința Crevedia
1.41
CSM Targu Jiu
1.41
Bradul Putna
1.41
Berca
1.41
Cetatea Suceava
1.41
Inter Sibiu
1.41
Progresul Mogosoaia
1.41
Corona Braşov
1.41
Chiesd
1.41
Unirea Sântana
1.41
Caransebes
1.41
Unirea DMO
1.41
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
1.41
Domnesti IF
1.41
Bihorul Beiuş
1.41
Bolintin Vale
1.41
Victoria Traian
1.41
Agigea
1.41
ASA Targu Mures
1.37
Jiul Petroşani
1.33
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.33
Păușești
1.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
1.33
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.20
Crişul Sântandrei
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.00
Unirea Dej
1.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
1.00
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
CS Dinamo București
1.00
CS Afumati
1.00
Unirea Bascov
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
LPS HD Clinceni
1.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.00
Academica Balș
1.00
Axiopolis
1.00
Sânmartin
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Blejoi
1.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
1.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
1.00
Gilortul
1.00
Unirea Braniştea
1.00
Stiinta Miroslava
1.00
Păuleşti
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Bihor Oradea
0.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
Chindia Targoviste is 1.00 goals better than FC Voluntari in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.20
Farul Constanta
0.25
LPS HD Clinceni
0.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.33
Agricola Borcea
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
Uta Arad
0.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
0.67
Unirea Alba Iulia
0.67
Universitatea Craiova
0.67
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
0.67
Păușești
0.67
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.75
Csikszereda
0.75
Universitatea Cluj
0.83
CSM Adjud
1.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.00
Minerul Lupeni
1.00
Plopeni
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Bihor Oradea
1.00
Alexandria
1.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
1.00
Rapid
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Viitorul Arad
1.00
Jiul Petroşani
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
1.00
Gloria Băneasa
1.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.00
Concordia
1.00
Arges Pitesti
1.17
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Gloria Bistriţa
1.29
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Timişul Şag
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Chindia Targoviste
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CS Afumati
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Popești-Leordeni
1.50
Metalul Buzău
1.67
CSM Satu Mare
1.67
Săcele
1.67
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.75
Metaloglobus
1.75
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.75
Slatina
1.80
Crişul Sântandrei
2.00
CIL Blaj
2.00
Progresul Spartac
2.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Progresul Pecica
2.00
FCSB
2.00
Oţelul
2.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.00
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Unirea Bascov
2.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
2.00
Academica Balș
2.00
Înainte Modelu
2.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.00
Baicoi
2.00
Păuleşti
2.00
Urban Titu
2.00
Voința Crevedia
2.14
CSM Targu Jiu
2.14
Bradul Putna
2.14
Berca
2.14
Cetatea Suceava
2.14
Inter Sibiu
2.14
Progresul Mogosoaia
2.14
Corona Braşov
2.14
Chiesd
2.14
Unirea Sântana
2.14
Caransebes
2.14
Unirea DMO
2.14
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
2.14
Domnesti IF
2.14
Bihorul Beiuş
2.14
Bolintin Vale
2.14
Victoria Traian
2.14
Agigea
2.14
ASA Targu Mures
2.20
Pucioasa
2.50
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.50
Cetatea
2.67
Gheorgheni
2.67
U Craiova 1948
3.00
Sporting Lieşti
3.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
3.00
Târgu Secuiesc
3.00
Blejoi
3.00
Gilortul
3.00
Tricolorul Breaza
3.00
Unirea Braniştea
3.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3.00
Râmnicu Sărat
4.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
4.00
Valenii de Munte
4.00
Unirea Dej
4.00
Stiinta Miroslava
4.00
FC Voluntari
4.50
USV Iaşi
5.00
Axiopolis
5.00
Sânmartin
5.50
Filiaşi
9.00
Chindia Targoviste is 3.00 goals better than FC Voluntari in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 4.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Chindia Targoviste or Draw✗ Miss
78.2%
Avg Implied 57.3% · @ 1.60
Edge
+20.9%
54%
24%
22%
covers Chindia Targoviste + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
William Hil
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Chindia Targoviste or FC Voluntari✓ Hit
75.8%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.26
Edge
+2.8%
54%
24%
22%
covers Chindia Targoviste + FC Voluntari
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Draw or FC Voluntari✓ Hit
46.1%
Avg Implied 69.8% · @ 1.32
Edge
-23.7%
54%
24%
22%
covers Draw + FC Voluntari
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
85.3%
@ 1.36+17.4%
Under
14.7%
@ 2.89-17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Under
1xBet
3.00
Unibet
2.88
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.82
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
57.1%
@ 2.66+22.3%
Under
42.9%
@ 1.42-22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.85
Unibet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.61
Pinnacle
2.56
Under
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.39
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
30.1%
@ 6.40+15.6%
Under
69.9%
@ 1.09-15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.80
1xBet
6.40
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Chindia Targoviste over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 14.88+6.4%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.02-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
FC Voluntari over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.8%
@ 1.24-6.2%
Under
31.2%
@ 3.71+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Unibet
3.35
FC Voluntari over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.4%
@ 2.10-11.8%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.66+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.25
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.66
FC Voluntari over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 4.47-9.5%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.17+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
FC Voluntari over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 10.17-6.1%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Superbet
11.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Chindia Targoviste, so a minus line means Chindia Targoviste give that many goals of a start and FC Voluntari receive them. At -1, Chindia Targoviste must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Chindia Targoviste win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Chindia Targoviste)Actual: FC Voluntari
Chindia Targoviste -2
15.2%
@ 12.50+8.0%
Draw -2
16.8%
@ 7.55+4.9%
FC Voluntari +2
68.1%
@ 1.10-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Draw
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.10
Away
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.08
Handicap -1 (Chindia Targoviste)Actual: FC Voluntari
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.93
0.40
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.44
0.86
0.43
0.55
0.45
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.4%
@ 1.35+4.9%
Under 0.5
27.6%
@ 2.81-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.62-2.0%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.40+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.85
Betano
2.82
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Under
William Hil
1.44
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 6.28+5.5%
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.08-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.00
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Betano
6.20
Under
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.7%
@ 2.21+9.0%
Under
49.3%
@ 1.59-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.9%
@ 7.27+9.1%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.07-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.60
1xBet
7.30
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 20.75+1.4%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.01-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
FC Voluntari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.0%
@ 1.93-5.8%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.77+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Under
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.68
FC Voluntari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 5.55-7.2%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.12+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Superbet
5.55
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
FC Voluntari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 14.75-4.8%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chindia Targoviste
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.79
1.21
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.86
0.78
1.22
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Voluntari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Voluntari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
0.93
0.47
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.64
0.93
0.43
1.00
0.91
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
81.9%
@ 1.24+6.7%
Under 0.5
18.1%
@ 3.76-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Under
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.38
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
53.3%
@ 2.08+8.7%
Under 1.5
46.7%
@ 1.68-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
Unibet
2.16
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.66
Unibet
1.58
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.6%
@ 4.38+5.2%
Under 2.5
73.4%
@ 1.20-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.75
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.1%
@ 1.89+7.0%
Under
43.9%
@ 1.83-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.78
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 5.37+14.7%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.13-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.70
1xBet
5.30
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 14.50+3.1%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.01-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
FC Voluntari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.8%
@ 1.64-5.9%
Under
49.2%
@ 2.14+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.10
FC Voluntari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 4.05-4.6%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.20+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
FC Voluntari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 10.50-1.6%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.02+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
10.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.7%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.1%
1.17
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+17.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.8%
1.03
Superbet
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.12
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.7%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-6.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
85.3%
1.36
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
-
+17.4%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.3%
1.25
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
+9.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.24
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
-
+6.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.1%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
79.9%
1.08
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.1%
1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
-
-
-9.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.8%
1.26
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.4%
1.20
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
-
-
-5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.4%
1.35
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
+4.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Voluntari
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Remus Guțea29%
Mihai Roman II20%
Cristian Merloi17%
Marvin Schieb14%
Matko Babić0%
Daniel Toma0%
Radu Crişan0%
Ion Gheorghe0%
Denis Haruț0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Metod Jurhar0%
Daniel Dumbrăvanu0%
Florian Haită0%
Adrian Chică-Roșă0%
Mihael Onișa0%
Matej Mamić0%
Alexandru Șuteu0%
Robert Petculescu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrian Chică-Roșă50%
Mihai Roman II40%
Radu Crişan29%
Daniel Toma20%
Florian Haită20%
Ion Gheorghe14%
Denis Haruț14%
Daniel Dumbrăvanu14%
Mihael Onișa14%
Matko Babić0%
Marvin Schieb0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Metod Jurhar0%
Cristian Merloi0%
Matej Mamić0%
Alexandru Șuteu0%
Robert Petculescu0%
Remus Guțea0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Merloi17%
Ion Gheorghe14%
Matej Mamić14%
Matko Babić0%
Marvin Schieb0%
Daniel Toma0%
Radu Crişan0%
Mihai Roman II0%
Denis Haruț0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Metod Jurhar0%
Daniel Dumbrăvanu0%
Florian Haită0%
Adrian Chică-Roșă0%
Mihael Onișa0%
Alexandru Șuteu0%
Robert Petculescu0%
Remus Guțea0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matko Babić29%
Remus Guțea29%
Alexandru Șuteu14%
Marvin Schieb0%
Daniel Toma0%
Radu Crişan0%
Mihai Roman II0%
Ion Gheorghe0%
Denis Haruț0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Metod Jurhar0%
Daniel Dumbrăvanu0%
Florian Haită0%
Cristian Merloi0%
Adrian Chică-Roșă0%
Mihael Onișa0%
Matej Mamić0%
Robert Petculescu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Chindia Targoviste's squad is €2m less valuable than FC Voluntari's (€3m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
PP (5)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Chindia Targoviste and FC Voluntari have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Chindia Targoviste and FC Voluntari have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Chindia Targoviste's defence is €2m less valuable than FC Voluntari's (€1m vs €3m).
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →