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Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026
Time: 10:00
Chornomorets
Chornomorets
Vs
45%
41%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Livyi Bereh
Livyi Bereh
Ukraine: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Chornomorets, riding a win after a 1-0 victory over Kryvbas, faces Livyi Bereh, who remain unbeaten in five games with a 1-1 draw against Karpaty. The model sees a 45% chance of a home win, 41% for a draw, and only 14% for an away win, making a home win the clear favourite. The expected total is 1.2 goals, with the most likely total of one goal at 34%. The single most probable scoreline is 0-0, carrying a 30.5% probability. Chornomorets’ home form shows 1.6 goals scored and 0.3 conceded against similar opposition, while Livyi Bereh’s away form averages 1.75 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (100%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.9%), Under 5.5 (99.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (99.4% with a 13% edge), Under 4.5 (99.2% with an 11% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.9%) and Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chornomorets win
44.7%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.20
Edge
+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.38
Pinnacle
3.34
Dafabet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
10Bet
3.25
Draw
41.3%
Avg Implied 32.0% · @ 2.87
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
2.96
Betfair
2.90
Bet365
2.90
Marathonbet
2.86
Livyi Bereh win
14.0%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.35
Edge
-25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.41
William Hil
2.40
Dafabet
2.39
Pinnacle
2.38

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ChornomoretsChornomorets

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W04L30W22D00D31W10W12L02L10WH·PRO18/04A·VIK26/04H·PRY03/05A·CHE09/05H·LIV16/05A·BUK23/05H·MET01/06H·POL02/08A·LNZ16/08H·KRY30/08← Persha LigaPremier League →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.801.470.331.271.27
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.470.841.600.301.331.44
vs Weaker (9)1.330.441.250.001.400.80
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W31W00D40W31W11D10W00D11D11DA·VOR03/05H·UCS08/05A·CHO16/05H·MET22/05A·INH01/06A·OLE05/06H·OLE09/06H·KUD08/08A·KRY15/08H·KAR29/08← Persha LigaPremier League →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.601.810.561.290.64
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (18)1.780.561.800.501.750.62
vs Weaker (11)1.270.642.000.600.670.67
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

9%17%26%34%31%034%123%29%33%41%50%6+
The model estimates around 1.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (34%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.3%
@ 1.47-27.6%
Under 1.5
64.7%
@ 2.49+27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Under
Superbet
2.72
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 2.48-25.0%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.49+25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
2.56
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.52
Under
Superbet
1.56
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
3.5%
@ 4.59-16.6%
Under 3.5
96.5%
@ 1.16+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
1xBet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Under
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Both teams to score
Yes
18.4%
@ 2.06-26.4%
No
81.6%
@ 1.67+26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
No
Superbet
1.77
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
30.5%@ 6.09+24.2%
1-0
24.4%@ 6.87+18.8%
2-0
10.8%@ 14.00+8.1%
1-1
10.1%@ 5.47+3.0%
0-1
9.8%@ 5.67+3.0%
2-1
3.9%@ 11.04+0.4%
3-0
3.1%@ 37.00+2.0%
0-2
1.9%@ 9.32-2.2%
Chornomorets goals ↓
Livyi Bereh goals →
01234
031%9.8%1.9%0.2%0.0%
124%10%1.7%0.2%0.0%
211%3.9%0.7%0.1%0.0%
33.1%1.1%0.2%0.0%0.0%
40.7%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chornomorets goals (down), columns = Livyi Bereh goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Livyi Bereh
2.00
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Polessya
1.97
Dynamo Kyiv
1.90
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.70
Kolos Kovalivka
1.63
Kryvbas KR
1.60
Zorya Luhansk
1.53
Karpaty
1.37
Chornomorets
1.36
Bukovyna
1.29
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.03
Obolon'-Brovar
0.97
Kudrivka
0.94
Chornomorets is 0.64 points worse than Livyi Bereh in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.20
Kryvbas KR
1.77
Polessya
1.70
Zorya Luhansk
1.40
Karpaty
1.33
LNZ Cherkasy
1.30
Chornomorets
1.23
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.20
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.20
Bukovyna
1.17
Kudrivka
1.06
Kolos Kovalivka
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Veres Rivne
0.87
Obolon'-Brovar
0.86
Chornomorets is 0.23 goals better than Livyi Bereh in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Livyi Bereh
0.50
LNZ Cherkasy
0.57
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.63
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Polessya
0.70
Kolos Kovalivka
0.83
Karpaty
1.03
Zorya Luhansk
1.20
Dynamo Kyiv
1.20
Chornomorets
1.24
Bukovyna
1.30
Veres Rivne
1.33
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.50
Kryvbas KR
1.53
Kudrivka
1.56
Obolon'-Brovar
1.69
Chornomorets is 0.74 goals worse than Livyi Bereh in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
68%
Dynamo Kyiv
62%
Livyi Bereh
58%
Polessya
57%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
52%
Kolos Kovalivka
49%
Kudrivka
49%
Karpaty
49%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
48%
Kryvbas KR
48%
LNZ Cherkasy
44%
Veres Rivne
43%
Obolon'-Brovar
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ChornomoretsChornomorets

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh

For 10.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 13.0

🚩 Corners

13010313A·OLE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

50235A·OLE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 26.0

⚠️ Fouls

260141226A·OLE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChornomoretsChornomorets

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.69.00.60.80.421.722.420.8
vs Stronger (7)9.29.39.01.72.50.721.220.324.0
vs Similar (33)9.410.09.00.50.60.522.025.519.7
vs Weaker (10)---0.00.00.0---
% over line44%60%25%6%8%4%56%60%50%
% under line56%40%75%94%92%96%44%40%50%
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.810.00.80.80.827.630.025.2
vs Stronger (5)9.89.510.04.24.34.025.829.022.5
vs Similar (31)9.28.310.00.60.40.828.830.727.0
vs Weaker (14)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%40%60%10%8%12%80%80%80%
% under line50%60%40%90%92%88%20%20%20%
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Zorya Luhansk
10.5
Kryvbas KR
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.8
Veres Rivne
9.8
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.7
Polessya
9.5
Kudrivka
9.4
Livyi Bereh
9.2
Obolon'-Brovar
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.1
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
Chornomorets
8.8
Kolos Kovalivka
8.6
Karpaty
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Karpaty
4.9
Obolon'-Brovar
4.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.6
LNZ Cherkasy
4.5
Veres Rivne
4.4
Chornomorets
4.4
Livyi Bereh
4.4
Polessya
4.2
Zorya Luhansk
4.1
Dynamo Kyiv
4.0
Kolos Kovalivka
3.9
Kudrivka
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.9
Livyi Bereh
26.2
Kudrivka
25.1
Kryvbas KR
24.6
Karpaty
24.2
Kolos Kovalivka
24.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
23.7
LNZ Cherkasy
23.0
Veres Rivne
22.8
Chornomorets
22.4
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Dynamo Kyiv
21.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.2
Polessya
20.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.2%
Under 9.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.9%
Under 3.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.1%
Under 21.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Chornomorets or Draw
86.0%
Avg Implied 60.5% · @ 1.54
Edge
+25.6%
45%
41%
14%
covers Chornomorets + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Chornomorets or Livyi Bereh
58.7%
Avg Implied 68.5% · @ 1.36
Edge
-9.9%
45%
41%
14%
covers Chornomorets + Livyi Bereh
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
Draw or Livyi Bereh
55.3%
Avg Implied 71.0% · @ 1.31
Edge
-15.7%
45%
41%
14%
covers Draw + Livyi Bereh
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5
Over
57.5%
@ 1.51-4.1%
Under
42.5%
@ 2.42+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Under
Superbet
2.70
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.45
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.35
Chornomorets over/under 1.5
Over
21.1%
@ 3.46-5.6%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.27+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.62
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Under
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Chornomorets over/under 2.5
Over
5.6%
@ 8.62-5.2%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.04+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.50
1xBet
8.10
Superbet
7.20
Under
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Chornomorets over/under 3.5
Over
1.1%
@ 17.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 0.5
Over
30.3%
@ 1.36-37.7%
Under
69.7%
@ 2.88+37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.95
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Livyi Bereh over/under 1.5
Over
5.2%
@ 2.72-29.0%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.41+29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Under
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Livyi Bereh over/under 2.5
Over
0.6%
@ 6.44-13.8%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.08+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.30
1xBet
6.15
Under
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Livyi Bereh over/under 3.5
Over
0.1%
@ 11.00-8.4%
Under
99.9%
@ 1.02+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Chornomorets, so a minus line means Chornomorets give that many goals of a start and Livyi Bereh receive them. At -1, Chornomorets must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Chornomorets win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Chornomorets)
Chornomorets -2
4.2%
@ 21.00-0.3%
Draw -2
12.0%
@ 11.00+3.5%
Livyi Bereh +2
83.8%
@ 1.08-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.08
Handicap -1 (Chornomorets)
Chornomorets -1
16.2%
@ 7.80+4.6%
Draw -1
28.5%
@ 4.57+8.8%
Livyi Bereh +1
55.3%
@ 1.31-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Handicap +1 (Chornomorets)
Chornomorets +1
86.0%
@ 1.53+27.9%
Draw +1
11.5%
@ 3.75-12.2%
Livyi Bereh -1
2.4%
@ 4.92-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Handicap +2 (Chornomorets)
Chornomorets +2
97.6%
@ 1.13+19.9%
Draw +2
2.1%
@ 6.05-12.4%
Livyi Bereh -2
0.3%
@ 11.20-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.60

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ChornomoretsChornomorets

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L10W11D00D11D00D11D01L00DH·PRO18/04A·VIK26/04H·PRY03/05A·CHE09/05H·LIV16/05A·BUK23/05H·MET01/06H·POL02/08A·LNZ16/08H·KRY30/08← Persha LigaPremier League →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.270.200.730.60
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.470.420.200.200.780.67
vs Weaker (9)0.560.220.250.000.800.40
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L00D40W10W01L10W00D01L00DA·VOR03/05H·UCS08/05A·CHO16/05H·MET22/05A·INH01/06A·OLE05/06H·OLE09/06H·KUD08/08A·KRY15/08H·KAR29/08← Persha LigaPremier League →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.301.000.310.430.29
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (18)0.890.281.100.300.620.25
vs Weaker (11)0.550.361.000.400.170.33
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.7%
@ 1.53+5.2%
Under 0.5
34.3%
@ 2.35-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.50
Under
William Hil
2.45
Superbet
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.36
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
27.2%
@ 3.47+0.4%
Under 1.5
72.8%
@ 1.26-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.55
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.25
Under
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.22
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
8.1%
@ 9.31-1.9%
Under 2.5
91.9%
@ 1.04+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
11.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
8.85
Marathonbet
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Under
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
William Hil
1.05
Betfair
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.3%
@ 2.58+6.2%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.45-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.60
Superbet
2.37
Under
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
@ 10.00+0.2%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.02-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.2%
@ 2.25-5.9%
Under
64.8%
@ 1.57+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
2.28
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Livyi Bereh over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.1%
@ 8.40-2.9%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.04+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Livyi Bereh over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ChornomoretsChornomorets

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L20W11D00D20W10W01L01L10WH·PRO18/04A·VIK26/04H·PRY03/05A·CHE09/05H·LIV16/05A·BUK23/05H·MET01/06H·POL02/08A·LNZ16/08H·KRY30/08← Persha LigaPremier League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.401.200.130.530.67
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (19)1.000.421.400.100.560.78
vs Weaker (9)0.780.221.000.000.600.40
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W00D00D21W10W00D00D10W11DA·VOR03/05H·UCS08/05A·CHO16/05H·MET22/05A·INH01/06A·OLE05/06H·OLE09/06H·KUD08/08A·KRY15/08H·KAR29/08← Persha LigaPremier League →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.300.810.250.860.36
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (18)0.890.280.700.201.120.38
vs Weaker (11)0.730.271.000.200.500.33
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.34+2.8%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 2.98-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.31
Under
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
2.95
1xBet
2.95
William Hil
2.88
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.3%
@ 2.61+2.8%
Under 1.5
61.7%
@ 1.44-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
1xBet
2.70
William Hil
2.70
Marathonbet
2.62
Betano
2.45
Under
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.5%
@ 6.28-0.3%
Under 2.5
85.5%
@ 1.09+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.32
Marathonbet
6.20
Superbet
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.2%
@ 2.12+5.6%
Under
50.8%
@ 1.64-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.9%
@ 7.55+1.7%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.04-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.7%
@ 1.88-2.5%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.82+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Livyi Bereh over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.1%
@ 5.55-2.5%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.10+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.40
Under
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Livyi Bereh over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.5100.0%-------
Under 6.5100.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals99.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+8.4%
Under 5.599.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+4.2%
Away under 2.5 goals99.4%1.08
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
+13.8%
Under 4.599.2%1.03
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+9.5%
Home under 3.5 goals98.9%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.8%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.6%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.7%-------
Home +2 handicap97.6%1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
--+19.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.1%-------
Under 3.596.5%1.16
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
+16.6%
Home under 2.5 goals94.4%1.04
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+5.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals91.9%1.04
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
William Hil
1.05
Betfair
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+1.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.9%1.04
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
---+2.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals90.6%1.02
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
----0.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals86.1%1.04
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
----1.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.9%1.10
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
---+2.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals85.5%1.09
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
-+0.3%
Away +2 handicap83.8%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----3.2%
Under 5.5 cards82.1%-------
Home under 1.5 goals78.9%1.27
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+5.6%
Over 19.5 fouls77.9%-------
Under 1.5 HT goals72.8%1.26
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.22
-0.4%
Over 2.5 cards72.5%-------
Under 11.5 corners72.4%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals71.8%1.34
1xBet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.31
-+2.8%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Chornomorets · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleksiy Khoblenko25%
Moses Jarju14%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Denis Yanakov9%
Bogdan Butko8%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi0%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Kiril Popov0%
Ryan0%
Emil Mustafaiev0%
Danylo Udod0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jon Šporn40%
Yaroslav Kysyl40%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi38%
Ivan Petriak33%
Oleksiy Khoblenko25%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi25%
Danylo Udod25%
Ryan17%
Luka Latsabidze17%
Artem Habelok15%
Emil Mustafaiev14%
Moses Jarju14%
Kyrylo Sigeev14%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Denis Yanakov9%
Bogdan Butko8%
Kiril Popov8%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Petriak33%
Illia Shevtsov20%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi12%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Bogdan Butko8%
Kiril Popov8%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Denis Yanakov0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Ryan0%
Emil Mustafaiev0%
Danylo Udod0%
Moses Jarju0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Denis Yanakov18%
Emil Mustafaiev14%
Bogdan Butko0%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi0%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Kiril Popov0%
Ryan0%
Danylo Udod0%
Moses Jarju0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Livyi Bereh · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sidnney Silva Santos33%
Oleg Synytsia13%
Dmytro Shastal11%
Dmytro Semenov9%
Mykola Kohut9%
Andriy Yakimiv8%
Danyil Sukhoruchko7%
Yevhen Banada0%
Vladyslav Shapoval0%
Serhii Kosovskyi0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Ivan Kogut0%
Oleg Sokolov0%
Ernest Astakhov0%
Ruslan Dedukh0%
Klim Prykhodko0%
Maksym Mekhaniv0%
Andriy Riznyk0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Valerii Samar0%
Andriy Spivakov0%
Taras Galas0%
Diego Henrique0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ruslan Dedukh40%
Andriy Spivakov40%
Ernest Astakhov33%
Valerii Samar29%
Klim Prykhodko25%
Yevhen Banada23%
Andriy Riznyk20%
Ivan Kogut17%
Oleg Sokolov17%
Andriy Yakimiv15%
Diego Henrique14%
Maksym Mekhaniv12%
Dmytro Shastal11%
Dmytro Semenov9%
Vladyslav Shapoval8%
Oleg Synytsia7%
Danyil Sukhoruchko0%
Serhii Kosovskyi0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Sidnney Silva Santos0%
Mykola Kohut0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Taras Galas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Serhii Kosovskyi14%
Diego Henrique14%
Danyil Sukhoruchko13%
Dmytro Shastal11%
Mykola Kohut9%
Oleg Synytsia7%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Yevhen Banada0%
Andriy Yakimiv0%
Vladyslav Shapoval0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Sidnney Silva Santos0%
Ivan Kogut0%
Oleg Sokolov0%
Ernest Astakhov0%
Ruslan Dedukh0%
Klim Prykhodko0%
Maksym Mekhaniv0%
Andriy Riznyk0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Valerii Samar0%
Andriy Spivakov0%
Taras Galas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dmytro Shastal33%
Sidnney Silva Santos11%
Danyil Sukhoruchko7%
Oleg Synytsia7%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Yevhen Banada0%
Andriy Yakimiv0%
Vladyslav Shapoval0%
Serhii Kosovskyi0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Ivan Kogut0%
Mykola Kohut0%
Oleg Sokolov0%
Ernest Astakhov0%
Ruslan Dedukh0%
Klim Prykhodko0%
Maksym Mekhaniv0%
Andriy Riznyk0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Valerii Samar0%
Andriy Spivakov0%
Taras Galas0%
Diego Henrique0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KAR (28)
€13m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
BUK (25)
€9m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
KUD (24)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
Chornomorets and Livyi Bereh have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
KUD (8)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
Chornomorets and Livyi Bereh have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KAR (5)
€2m
KK (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
KUD (6)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
Chornomorets and Livyi Bereh have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KAR (15)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
KUD (10)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
Chornomorets and Livyi Bereh have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
CHO wins
2
Draws
2
LB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh · H/A from CHO
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HCHO Vs Livyi Bereh0-0
26/10/25ALivyi Bereh Vs CHO1-1
01/03/25HCHO Vs Livyi Bereh0-1
26/08/24ALivyi Bereh Vs CHO1-0

ChornomoretsChornomorets

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HCHO Vs Kryvbas KR1-0
16/08/26ALNZ Cherkasy Vs CHO2-0
02/08/26HCHO Vs Polessya1-2
01/06/26HCHO Vs Metal Kharkiv1-0
23/05/26ABukovyna Vs CHO1-3
16/05/26HCHO Vs Livyi Bereh0-0
09/05/26AChernihiv Vs CHO2-2
03/05/26HCHO Vs Prykarpattia3-0
26/04/26AViktoriya Mykolaivka Vs CHO4-0
18/04/26HCHO Vs Probiy Horodenka1-0

Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HLB Vs Karpaty1-1
15/08/26AKryvbas KR Vs LB1-1
08/08/26HLB Vs Kudrivka0-0
09/06/26HLB Vs Oleksandria1-0
05/06/26AOleksandria Vs LB1-1
01/06/26AInhulets Vs LB1-3
22/05/26HLB Vs Metalurh Zaporizhya4-0
16/05/26AChornomorets Vs LB0-0
08/05/26HLB Vs UCSA3-1
03/05/26AVorskla Poltava Vs LB0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chornomorets
Chornomorets
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.52
HomeWDWLW1.71
AwayWLDWL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals2.221.752.65
Over 1.5 %64%46%81%
Over 2.5 %44%33%54%
Over 3.5 %18%8%27%
Scored1.101.081.12
Conceded1.120.671.54
BTTS40%25%54%
Clean Sheet40%62%19%
Corners9.339.609.00
Cards3.333.802.75
Livyi Bereh
Livyi Bereh
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDD1.60
HomeWWWDD1.92
AwayWDWDD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals2.162.361.96
Over 1.5 %62%68%56%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.261.600.92
Conceded0.900.761.04
BTTS36%44%28%
Clean Sheet42%44%40%
Corners9.408.8010.00
Cards4.003.804.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KarpatyKarpaty410
75%
2.5
112+9
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4272.80.5
49%
2Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk49
75%
2.2
83+5
2.8
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
186
11519522.00.8
68%
3PolessyaPolessya49
75%
2.2
84+4
3.0
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
34
128142.01.0
57%
4Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi47
50%
1.8
62+4
2.0
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1231.50.5
48%
5Metalist 1925 KharkivMetalist 1925 Kharkiv46
50%
1.5
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
28
107111.21.0
56%
6Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv36
67%
2.0
45-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
91
3226331.31.7
62%
7Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk46
50%
1.5
57-2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3361.21.8
52%
8BukovynaBukovyna45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4230.80.8
-
9Veres RivneVeres Rivne44
25%
1.0
23-1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3140.50.8
43%
10Kryvbas KRKryvbas KR44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.21.8
48%
11LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy44
25%
1.0
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
8570.51.0
44%
12Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh33
0%
1.0
22+0
1.3
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.70.7
58%
13ChornomoretsChornomorets33
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2220.71.3
-
14ObolonObolon'-Brovar43
0%
0.8
03-3
0.8
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2130.00.8
42%
15KudrivkaKudrivka42
0%
0.5
18-7
2.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2130.22.0
49%
16Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5350.31.3
49%
Ukraine: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →

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