This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metal Kharkiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.15
1.54
0.83
1.83
1.43
1.29
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.75
0.40
1.80
1.67
1.67
vs Similar (5)
1.60
1.20
3.00
2.00
1.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
8% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.4%
Under 2.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.2%
0-0 ✓
8.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
Chornomorets goals ↓
Metal Kharkiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
10%
9.2%
5.0%
2.0%
1
6.1%
13%
9.5%
5.1%
2.1%
2
3.8%
6.1%
4.9%
2.7%
1.1%
3
1.3%
2.1%
1.7%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chornomorets goals (down), columns = Metal Kharkiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Chornomorets is 0.43 points better than Metal Kharkiv in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 0.73).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Chornomorets is 0.27 goals better than Metal Kharkiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.90).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Chornomorets is 0.60 goals better than Metal Kharkiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.93).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Chornomorets is 0.4 percentage points better than Metal Kharkiv in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chornomorets
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 15.5 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metal Kharkiv
For 3.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.0 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chornomorets
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
5.3
3.0
10.0
1.0
0.8
1.2
26.0
22.0
30.0
vs Stronger (2)
0.0
0.0
-
2.5
5.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.0
-
10.0
0.8
0.0
1.4
30.0
-
30.0
vs Weaker (1)
6.0
6.0
-
0.0
0.0
-
22.0
22.0
-
% over line
33%
0%
100%
17%
17%
17%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
67%
100%
0%
83%
83%
83%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metal Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
8.0
8.0
8.0
0.9
1.0
0.9
27.5
22.0
33.0
vs Stronger (8)
8.0
8.0
-
0.8
1.2
0.0
22.0
22.0
-
vs Similar (5)
8.0
-
8.0
1.2
0.0
1.5
33.0
-
33.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
15%
17%
14%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
85%
83%
86%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
11.2
Zorya Luhansk
10.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
10.2
Kryvbas KR
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.2
Oleksandria
9.0
Minai
9.0
Metal Kharkiv
8.0
Kolos Kovalivka
7.8
Inhulets
7.6
Dnipro-1
7.6
Ruh Lviv
7.0
Vorskla Poltava
5.7
Chornomorets
5.3
Lviv
4.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
10.0
Kolos Kovalivka
6.5
Lviv
6.3
Metal Kharkiv
6.0
Dynamo Kyiv
5.6
Minai
5.2
Inhulets
4.6
Oleksandria
4.5
Zorya Luhansk
4.4
Vorskla Poltava
4.3
Chornomorets
4.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.4
Dnipro-1
3.3
Veres Rivne
2.5
Kryvbas KR
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lviv
30.3
Ruh Lviv
28.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
27.8
Metal Kharkiv
27.5
Chornomorets
26.0
Inhulets
25.8
Minai
25.5
Dynamo Kyiv
25.2
Vorskla Poltava
25.0
Kolos Kovalivka
24.8
Oleksandria
22.0
Kryvbas KR
22.0
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Dnipro-1
20.9
Veres Rivne
20.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
19.8%
Under 9.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.5%
Under 3.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.3%
Under 21.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chornomorets
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.25
0.58
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.17
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.67
0.00
1.25
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
58% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metal Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.46
0.33
0.67
0.57
0.29
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.62
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chornomorets
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.42
0.83
0.67
0.83
0.17
0.83
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metal Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
1.08
0.50
1.17
0.86
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.20
1.00
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Chornomorets · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleksiy Khoblenko25%
Moses Jarju14%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Denis Yanakov9%
Bogdan Butko8%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi0%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Kiril Popov0%
Ryan0%
Emil Mustafaiev0%
Danylo Udod0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jon Šporn40%
Yaroslav Kysyl40%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi38%
Ivan Petriak33%
Oleksiy Khoblenko25%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi25%
Danylo Udod25%
Ryan17%
Luka Latsabidze17%
Artem Habelok15%
Emil Mustafaiev14%
Moses Jarju14%
Kyrylo Sigeev14%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Denis Yanakov9%
Bogdan Butko8%
Kiril Popov8%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Petriak33%
Illia Shevtsov20%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi12%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Bogdan Butko8%
Kiril Popov8%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Denis Yanakov0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Ryan0%
Emil Mustafaiev0%
Danylo Udod0%
Moses Jarju0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Denis Yanakov18%
Emil Mustafaiev14%
Bogdan Butko0%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi0%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Kiril Popov0%
Ryan0%
Danylo Udod0%
Moses Jarju0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
CHO (21)
€5m
MK (17)
€3m
LVI (9)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Chornomorets's squad is €3m more valuable than Metal Kharkiv's (€5m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
LVI (4)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Chornomorets's attack is €2m more valuable than Metal Kharkiv's (€2m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
LVI (1)
€0m
Chornomorets's midfield is €1m more valuable than Metal Kharkiv's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
INH (4)
€1m
LVI (4)
€1m
Chornomorets and Metal Kharkiv have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya