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Clyde vs Dumbarton Result & Analysis

Date: 30/11/2019
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
50%
24%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✗ Miss
49.6%
Avg Implied 46.9% · @ 1.96
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.64
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton win✓ Hit
26.6%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.29
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D61W11D21W02L22D10W03L12L00DA·FOR31/08H·STR14/09A·PET21/09A·DUM28/09H·MON05/10H·RAI19/10A·FAL26/10A·STR02/11H·PET09/11A·EAS26/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.102.130.871.001.33
vs Stronger (27)1.441.041.860.861.001.23
vs Similar (3)2.671.676.001.001.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W01L22D12L31W00D10W13L24L11DA·MON31/08H·AIR14/09A·EAS21/09H·CLY28/09H·FOR05/10A·STR19/10H·PET26/10A·AIR02/11H·EAS09/11H·FAL16/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.571.691.311.571.86
vs Stronger (22)1.641.821.551.271.732.36
vs Similar (8)1.620.882.001.401.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.7%
@ 1.59+7.3%
Under 2.5
34.3%
@ 2.23-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.8%
Under 3.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.0%
No
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-2 ✓
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
4.3%
Clyde goals ↓
Dumbarton goals →
01234
04.3%3.9%3.4%1.6%0.6%
15.7%10%6.7%3.1%1.1%
26.6%9.3%6.6%3.1%1.1%
34.3%6.1%4.3%2.0%0.7%
42.1%3.0%2.1%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Dumbarton goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Raith Rvs
1.89
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.71
Montrose
1.68
East Fife
1.61
Dumbarton
1.36
Clyde
1.21
Peterhead
0.96
Forfar
0.86
Stranraer
0.59
Clyde is 0.14 points worse than Dumbarton in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.36).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.93
Raith Rvs
1.75
Montrose
1.71
East Fife
1.57
Airdrie United
1.36
Dumbarton
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Peterhead
1.11
Stranraer
1.04
Forfar
0.93
Clyde and Dumbarton are level in goals scored per game (both 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.64
Airdrie United
0.96
Raith Rvs
1.18
East Fife
1.29
Montrose
1.36
Clyde
1.54
Dumbarton
1.57
Peterhead
1.63
Forfar
1.68
Stranraer
2.11
Clyde is 0.04 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.57).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 5.6 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

1502784962624518433819491215866126913A·EASH·PETA·STRA·FALH·RAIH·MONA·DUMA·PETH·STRA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7013222221316211214121544473353A·EASH·PETA·STRA·FALH·RAIH·MONA·DUMA·PETH·STRA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 12.8 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

2801010131313129106151018610513101371420262519212816182321A·EASH·PETA·STRA·FALH·RAIH·MONA·DUMA·PETH·STRA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

For 4.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1605754631367524837610581299413712101613H·FALH·EASA·AIRH·PETA·STRH·FORH·CLYA·EASH·AIRA·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

704312212111312221217333233413H·FALH·EASA·AIRH·PETA·STRH·FORH·CLYA·EASH·AIRA·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

2809141051061212101351610611577171123151624232116161428H·FALH·EASA·AIRH·PETA·STRH·FORH·CLYA·EASH·AIRA·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.110.28.23.53.73.320.420.320.4
vs Stronger (47)9.010.27.83.53.63.320.320.220.4
vs Similar (3)12.09.013.54.05.03.521.323.020.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line36%46%27%48%50%46%40%50%31%
% under line64%54%73%52%50%54%60%50%69%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.910.23.13.23.020.620.221.0
vs Stronger (34)9.89.610.03.43.53.220.319.720.9
vs Similar (16)10.610.610.62.52.72.321.221.221.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%50%67%34%35%33%44%31%58%
% under line42%50%33%66%65%67%56%69%42%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
11.0
Stranraer
10.5
East Fife
10.4
Falkirk
10.3
Dumbarton
10.0
Montrose
9.7
Peterhead
9.5
Forfar
9.4
Clyde
9.1
Raith Rvs
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Montrose
3.8
Peterhead
3.7
Raith Rvs
3.7
Falkirk
3.6
Clyde
3.5
Dumbarton
3.1
Forfar
3.1
East Fife
3.0
Stranraer
3.0
Airdrie United
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
23.9
Montrose
22.9
Falkirk
22.1
Raith Rvs
21.2
Airdrie United
20.9
Dumbarton
20.6
East Fife
20.5
Forfar
20.5
Stranraer
20.5
Clyde
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.1%
Under 9.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.4%
Under 21.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W11D01L02L02L00D02L02L00DA·FOR31/08H·STR14/09A·PET21/09A·DUM28/09H·MON05/10H·RAI19/10A·FAL26/10A·STR02/11H·PET09/11A·EAS26/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.670.530.330.53
vs Stronger (27)0.440.480.500.570.380.38
vs Similar (3)1.001.003.000.000.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L10W10W30W00D00D13L22D10WA·MON31/08H·AIR14/09A·EAS21/09H·CLY28/09H·FOR05/10A·STR19/10H·PET26/10A·AIR02/11H·EAS09/11H·FAL16/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.771.120.560.791.00
vs Stronger (22)1.000.951.000.641.001.27
vs Similar (8)0.880.251.400.400.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W00D20W00D20W10W01L10W00DA·FOR31/08H·STR14/09A·PET21/09A·DUM28/09H·MON05/10H·RAI19/10A·FAL26/10A·STR02/11H·PET09/11A·EAS26/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.571.470.330.670.80
vs Stronger (27)1.000.561.360.290.620.85
vs Similar (3)1.670.673.001.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D12L02L01L00D10W00D02L01LA·MON31/08H·AIR14/09A·EAS21/09H·CLY28/09H·FOR05/10A·STR19/10H·PET26/10A·AIR02/11H·EAS09/11H·FAL16/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.560.750.790.86
vs Stronger (22)0.640.860.550.640.731.09
vs Similar (8)0.750.620.601.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards85.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls84.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls72.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
CLY wins
0
Draws
0
DUM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Dumbarton · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/19ADumbarton Vs CLY1-2

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/19AEast Fife Vs CLY0-0
09/11/19HCLY Vs Peterhead1-2
02/11/19AStranraer Vs CLY3-0
26/10/19AFalkirk Vs CLY0-1
19/10/19HCLY Vs Raith Rvs2-2
05/10/19HCLY Vs Montrose0-2
28/09/19ADumbarton Vs CLY1-2
21/09/19APeterhead Vs CLY1-1
14/09/19HCLY Vs Stranraer6-1
31/08/19AForfar Vs CLY0-0

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/19HDUM Vs Falkirk1-1
09/11/19HDUM Vs East Fife2-4
02/11/19AAirdrie United Vs DUM3-1
26/10/19HDUM Vs Peterhead1-0
19/10/19AStranraer Vs DUM0-0
05/10/19HDUM Vs Forfar3-1
28/09/19HDUM Vs Clyde1-2
21/09/19AEast Fife Vs DUM2-2
14/09/19HDUM Vs Airdrie United0-1
31/08/19AMontrose Vs DUM1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.90
HomeWWLDL2.08
AwayDWWLD1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%62%50%
AVG goals2.682.922.46
Over 1.5 %72%75%69%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.661.961.38
Conceded1.020.961.08
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet40%46%35%
Corners9.1410.178.19
Cards3.503.673.35
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.28
HomeLWWLD1.50
AwayWWDDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals3.283.123.46
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %66%62%71%
Over 3.5 %44%35%54%
Scored1.581.691.46
Conceded1.701.422.00
BTTS68%69%67%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners10.049.9210.17
Cards3.083.192.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1
RR
Raith Rvs
2853
54%
1.9
4933+16
2.9
71%
46%
32%
9.5
46%
3.7
61%
21.5
36%
0
0001.81.2
-
2FalkirkFalkirk2852
50%
1.9
5418+36
2.6
75%
50%
25%
10.3
50%
3.4
46%
25.4
86%
6
2131.90.6
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2848
50%
1.7
3827+11
2.3
61%
43%
32%
11.3
64%
3.5
50%
20.9
50%
0
0001.41.0
-
4MontroseMontrose2847
54%
1.7
4838+10
3.1
71%
61%
36%
10.3
61%
4.1
61%
24.0
71%
0
0001.71.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife2845
43%
1.6
4436+8
2.9
68%
46%
36%
9.8
46%
3.9
57%
23.0
64%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DumbartonDumbarton2838
39%
1.4
3544-9
2.8
71%
50%
32%
10.0
54%
3.1
36%
21.0
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
7ClydeClyde2834
32%
1.2
3543-8
2.8
75%
54%
29%
9.8
39%
3.5
39%
21.4
43%
0
0001.21.5
-
8PeterheadPeterhead2726
26%
1.0
3044-14
2.7
78%
56%
22%
9.1
37%
4.0
59%
22.1
56%
0
0001.11.6
-
9ForfarForfar2824
21%
0.9
2647-21
2.6
71%
46%
21%
8.2
21%
2.8
21%
21.5
36%
0
0000.91.7
-
10StranraerStranraer2716
7%
0.6
2857-29
3.1
85%
59%
37%
9.6
48%
3.1
44%
21.0
48%
0
0001.02.1
-
Scotland: League One 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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