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Clyde vs Dumbarton Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
53%
22%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✓ Hit
52.8%
Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.90
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.64
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.47
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W02L33D21W12L02L01L01L32W21WH·AIR21/12A·PET28/12H·STR04/01H·EAS25/01A·FOR01/02A·AIR15/02A·RAI22/02A·DUM25/02H·FAL29/02H·MON03/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.502.201.200.601.80
vs Stronger (24)1.251.421.921.000.581.83
vs Similar (6)2.001.833.332.000.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D03L01L24L00D12L10W10W20WA·RAI21/12H·STR28/12A·FAL04/01A·PET25/01A·EAS01/02H·AIR08/02A·MON15/02H·CLY25/02H·RAI29/02H·FOR03/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.471.310.941.432.07
vs Stronger (20)1.101.700.891.001.272.27
vs Similar (10)1.901.001.860.862.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.6%
Under 1.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.3%
@ 1.69+15.4%
Under 2.5
29.7%
@ 2.06-15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.2%
Under 3.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.9%
No
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
2-0 ✓
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
Clyde goals ↓
Dumbarton goals →
01234
03.5%3.0%2.8%1.4%0.5%
14.9%9.2%6.2%3.0%1.1%
26.2%9.1%6.7%3.3%1.2%
34.5%6.6%4.8%2.4%0.9%
42.4%3.6%2.6%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Dumbarton goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Raith Rvs
1.89
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.71
Montrose
1.68
East Fife
1.61
Dumbarton
1.36
Clyde
1.21
Peterhead
0.96
Forfar
0.86
Stranraer
0.59
Clyde is 0.14 points worse than Dumbarton in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.36).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.93
Raith Rvs
1.75
Montrose
1.71
East Fife
1.57
Airdrie United
1.36
Dumbarton
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Peterhead
1.11
Stranraer
1.04
Forfar
0.93
Clyde and Dumbarton are level in goals scored per game (both 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.64
Airdrie United
0.96
Raith Rvs
1.18
East Fife
1.29
Montrose
1.36
Clyde
1.54
Dumbarton
1.57
Peterhead
1.63
Forfar
1.68
Stranraer
2.11
Clyde is 0.04 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.57).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 5.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

200796145422266285646367162094881310913H·MONH·FALA·DUMA·RAIA·AIRA·FORH·EASH·STRA·PETH·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

903123121111134513331312491H·MONH·FALA·DUMA·RAIA·AIRA·FORH·EASH·STRA·PETH·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

260131212121011151111713771481041181025242126182021181518H·MONH·FALA·DUMA·RAIA·AIRA·FORH·EASH·STRA·PETH·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

For 3.4 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

16025744533313265631017410711961681113814H·FORH·RAIH·CLYA·MONH·AIRA·EASA·PETA·FALH·STRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 0.7 · Total 2.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50413341411245033551240H·FORH·RAIH·CLYA·MONH·AIRA·EASA·PETA·FALH·STRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

2501077611101778713913810128178917132124152221222517H·FORH·RAIH·CLYA·MONH·AIRA·EASA·PETA·FALH·STRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.48.43.33.53.220.220.619.8
vs Stronger (44)9.310.87.93.23.33.120.120.519.7
vs Similar (6)9.77.312.04.04.73.320.720.720.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%52%24%38%40%36%36%48%24%
% under line62%48%76%62%60%64%64%52%76%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.59.72.93.02.820.319.820.8
vs Stronger (33)10.310.89.93.03.12.919.919.020.8
vs Similar (17)9.810.29.12.62.72.420.921.120.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%58%62%34%35%33%40%31%50%
% under line40%42%38%66%65%67%60%69%50%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.7
Falkirk
10.5
Stranraer
10.3
Dumbarton
10.1
East Fife
10.0
Montrose
9.7
Raith Rvs
9.5
Peterhead
9.5
Clyde
9.4
Forfar
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Montrose
3.9
Peterhead
3.7
Raith Rvs
3.7
Falkirk
3.5
East Fife
3.4
Clyde
3.3
Airdrie United
3.1
Stranraer
3.0
Forfar
3.0
Dumbarton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
23.7
Falkirk
23.6
Peterhead
22.5
Raith Rvs
21.2
Forfar
21.0
East Fife
21.0
Airdrie United
20.8
Dumbarton
20.3
Clyde
20.2
Stranraer
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.2%
Under 9.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.2%
Under 3.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.3%
Under 21.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L02L00D01L02L00D00D21W10WH·AIR21/12A·PET28/12H·STR04/01H·EAS25/01A·FOR01/02A·AIR15/02A·RAI22/02A·DUM25/02H·FAL29/02H·MON03/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.870.730.130.80
vs Stronger (24)0.460.710.750.670.170.75
vs Similar (6)0.671.001.331.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L00D12L00D01L00D00D10WA·RAI21/12H·STR28/12A·FAL04/01A·PET25/01A·EAS01/02H·AIR08/02A·MON15/02H·CLY25/02H·RAI29/02H·FOR03/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.770.810.310.791.29
vs Stronger (20)0.650.900.560.440.731.27
vs Similar (10)1.100.501.140.141.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L31W21W11D00D01L01L11D11DH·AIR21/12A·PET28/12H·STR04/01H·EAS25/01A·FOR01/02A·AIR15/02A·RAI22/02A·DUM25/02H·FAL29/02H·MON03/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.731.330.470.471.00
vs Stronger (24)0.790.711.170.330.421.08
vs Similar (6)1.330.832.001.000.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D02L01L12L00D11D10W10W10WA·RAI21/12H·STR28/12A·FAL04/01A·PET25/01A·EAS01/02H·AIR08/02A·MON15/02H·CLY25/02H·RAI29/02H·FOR03/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.500.620.640.79
vs Stronger (20)0.450.800.330.560.551.00
vs Similar (10)0.800.500.710.711.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.588.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards77.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.3%1.69-----+15.4%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
CLY wins
0
Draws
2
DUM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Dumbarton · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/20ADumbarton Vs CLY1-0
30/11/19HCLY Vs Dumbarton1-2
28/09/19ADumbarton Vs CLY1-2

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/20HCLY Vs Montrose2-1
29/02/20HCLY Vs Falkirk3-2
25/02/20ADumbarton Vs CLY1-0
22/02/20ARaith Rvs Vs CLY1-0
15/02/20AAirdrie United Vs CLY2-0
01/02/20AForfar Vs CLY2-1
25/01/20HCLY Vs East Fife2-1
04/01/20HCLY Vs Stranraer3-3
28/12/19APeterhead Vs CLY2-0
21/12/19HCLY Vs Airdrie United3-1

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/20HDUM Vs Forfar2-0
29/02/20HDUM Vs Raith Rvs1-0
25/02/20HDUM Vs Clyde1-0
15/02/20AMontrose Vs DUM2-1
08/02/20HDUM Vs Airdrie United0-0
01/02/20AEast Fife Vs DUM4-2
25/01/20APeterhead Vs DUM1-0
04/01/20AFalkirk Vs DUM3-0
28/12/19HDUM Vs Stranraer1-1
21/12/19ARaith Rvs Vs DUM0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.68
HomeWDWWW2.16
AwayLLLLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%64%32%
AVG goals2.743.122.36
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %24%36%12%
Scored1.542.081.00
Conceded1.201.041.36
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners9.3810.368.40
Cards3.323.483.16
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.40
HomeDDWWW1.54
AwayWLLLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%33%
AVG goals3.102.653.58
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %60%46%75%
Over 3.5 %38%27%50%
Scored1.521.501.54
Conceded1.581.152.04
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners10.1410.549.71
Cards2.882.962.79

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1
RR
Raith Rvs
2853
54%
1.9
4933+16
2.9
71%
46%
32%
9.5
46%
3.7
61%
21.5
36%
0
0001.81.2
-
2FalkirkFalkirk2852
50%
1.9
5418+36
2.6
75%
50%
25%
10.3
50%
3.4
46%
25.4
86%
6
2131.90.6
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2848
50%
1.7
3827+11
2.3
61%
43%
32%
11.3
64%
3.5
50%
20.9
50%
0
0001.41.0
-
4MontroseMontrose2847
54%
1.7
4838+10
3.1
71%
61%
36%
10.3
61%
4.1
61%
24.0
71%
0
0001.71.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife2845
43%
1.6
4436+8
2.9
68%
46%
36%
9.8
46%
3.9
57%
23.0
64%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DumbartonDumbarton2838
39%
1.4
3544-9
2.8
71%
50%
32%
10.0
54%
3.1
36%
21.0
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
7ClydeClyde2834
32%
1.2
3543-8
2.8
75%
54%
29%
9.8
39%
3.5
39%
21.4
43%
0
0001.21.5
-
8PeterheadPeterhead2726
26%
1.0
3044-14
2.7
78%
56%
22%
9.1
37%
4.0
59%
22.1
56%
0
0001.11.6
-
9ForfarForfar2824
21%
0.9
2647-21
2.6
71%
46%
21%
8.2
21%
2.8
21%
21.5
36%
0
0000.91.7
-
10StranraerStranraer2716
7%
0.6
2857-29
3.1
85%
59%
37%
9.6
48%
3.1
44%
21.0
48%
0
0001.02.1
-
Scotland: League One 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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