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Clyde vs Dumbarton Result & Analysis

Date: 15/04/2021
Time: 19:00
Final 0-1
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✗ Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied 46.3% · @ 1.98
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.41
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton win✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.43
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W24L13L22D20W01L11D30W12L02LA·COV19/12H·AIR26/12H·EAS20/03A·MON27/03A·PET30/03A·EAS01/04H·COV06/04H·FOR08/04A·FAL10/04A·PAR13/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.731.691.560.641.93
vs Stronger (25)1.201.801.621.540.752.08
vs Similar (5)1.201.402.001.670.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W04L01L01L11D01L00D21W01LA·PAR05/12H·COV12/12A·MON19/12H·FOR20/03H·PET27/03A·FAL30/03H·AIR01/04H·MON06/04H·EAS08/04A·COV10/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.170.640.710.941.56
vs Stronger (21)0.621.290.440.890.751.58
vs Similar (9)1.220.891.000.401.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.1%
@ 1.92+1.4%
Under 2.5
49.9%
@ 1.82-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-1 ✓
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
Clyde goals ↓
Dumbarton goals →
01234
08.1%6.7%4.6%1.8%0.5%
19.2%13%7.0%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.2%5.3%2.1%0.6%
34.0%4.7%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.5%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Dumbarton goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.73
Cove Rangers
1.64
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Falkirk
1.45
Peterhead
1.32
Clyde
1.18
Dumbarton
1.14
Forfar
0.77
Clyde is 0.05 points better than Dumbarton in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.59
Montrose
1.50
East Fife
1.36
Falkirk
1.32
Cove Rangers
1.27
Clyde
1.23
Peterhead
1.09
Forfar
0.82
Dumbarton
0.64
Clyde is 0.59 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 0.64).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.82
Partick
0.82
Dumbarton
1.09
Airdrie United
1.09
Falkirk
1.18
Peterhead
1.23
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Forfar
1.68
Clyde
1.73
Clyde is 0.64 goals worse than Dumbarton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.09).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 4.1 · Against 7.4 · Total 11.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

17048393685411516547106101212913155791716A·PARA·FALH·FORH·COVA·EASA·PETA·MONH·EASH·AIRA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

601342111312223234621442035A·PARA·FALH·FORH·COVA·EASA·PETA·MONH·EASH·AIRA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 8.9 · Total 18.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

2405111396971591381011610101011121622157242121162023A·PARA·FALH·FORH·COVA·EASA·PETA·MONH·EASH·AIRA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

For 3.4 · Against 7.5 · Total 10.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

2109675162939336552341119132111126117712A·COVH·EASH·MONH·AIRA·FALH·PETH·FORA·MONH·COVA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70342152131214122127217435323A·COVH·EASH·MONH·AIRA·FALH·PETH·FORA·MONH·COVA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

270121113109913101091215121091615814823231823192722252322A·COVH·EASH·MONH·AIRA·FALH·PETH·FORA·MONH·COVA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.59.73.43.33.620.921.620.3
vs Stronger (42)10.211.19.33.43.13.620.821.620.0
vs Similar (8)9.57.211.83.84.23.221.521.521.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%52%44%42%36%48%42%52%32%
% under line52%48%56%58%64%52%58%48%68%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.59.53.13.23.021.420.022.9
vs Stronger (35)10.711.310.23.13.03.220.719.122.3
vs Similar (15)8.39.07.22.93.42.222.921.624.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line54%58%50%36%38%33%58%46%71%
% under line46%42%50%64%62%67%42%54%29%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.8
Partick
10.7
Falkirk
10.7
Clyde
10.1
Dumbarton
10.0
Cove Rangers
10.0
East Fife
9.9
Montrose
9.9
Peterhead
9.1
Forfar
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.1
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.6
Falkirk
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Dumbarton
3.1
Forfar
3.0
Partick
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
24.4
Montrose
23.2
Peterhead
22.9
Cove Rangers
22.6
East Fife
22.6
Dumbarton
21.4
Forfar
21.2
Airdrie United
20.9
Clyde
20.9
Partick
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.1%
Under 9.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.9%
Under 3.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
47.1%
Under 21.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L13L01L22D00D01L00D20W01L00DA·COV19/12H·AIR26/12H·EAS20/03A·MON27/03A·PET30/03A·EAS01/04H·COV06/04H·FOR08/04A·FAL10/04A·PAR13/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.620.690.211.07
vs Stronger (25)0.480.880.690.620.251.17
vs Similar (5)0.200.800.331.000.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L00D00D00D00D00D10W00DA·PAR05/12H·COV12/12A·MON19/12H·FOR20/03H·PET27/03A·FAL30/03H·AIR01/04H·MON06/04H·EAS08/04A·COV10/04
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.530.210.210.440.81
vs Stronger (21)0.240.570.110.330.330.75
vs Similar (9)0.560.440.400.000.751.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D12L00D20W00D11D10W11D02LA·COV19/12H·AIR26/12H·EAS20/03A·MON27/03A·PET30/03A·EAS01/04H·COV06/04H·FOR08/04A·FAL10/04A·PAR13/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.871.060.880.430.86
vs Stronger (25)0.720.920.920.920.500.92
vs Similar (5)1.000.601.670.670.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W01L01L01L11D01L00D11D01LA·PAR05/12H·COV12/12A·MON19/12H·FOR20/03H·PET27/03A·FAL30/03H·AIR01/04H·MON06/04H·EAS08/04A·COV10/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.430.500.500.75
vs Stronger (21)0.380.710.330.560.420.83
vs Similar (9)0.670.440.600.400.750.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners72.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
PAR (20)
€3m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
PAR (8)
€1m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Clyde and Dumbarton have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
CLY wins
0
Draws
3
DUM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Dumbarton · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/20ADumbarton Vs CLY1-0
07/03/20HCLY Vs Dumbarton2-0
25/02/20ADumbarton Vs CLY1-0
30/11/19HCLY Vs Dumbarton1-2
28/09/19ADumbarton Vs CLY1-2

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/21APartick Vs CLY2-0
10/04/21AFalkirk Vs CLY2-1
08/04/21HCLY Vs Forfar3-0
06/04/21HCLY Vs Cove Rangers1-1
01/04/21AEast Fife Vs CLY1-0
30/03/21APeterhead Vs CLY0-2
27/03/21AMontrose Vs CLY2-2
20/03/21HCLY Vs East Fife1-3
26/12/20HCLY Vs Airdrie United2-4
19/12/20ACove Rangers Vs CLY2-3

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/21ACove Rangers Vs DUM1-0
08/04/21HDUM Vs East Fife2-1
06/04/21HDUM Vs Montrose0-0
01/04/21HDUM Vs Airdrie United0-1
30/03/21AFalkirk Vs DUM1-1
27/03/21HDUM Vs Peterhead0-1
20/03/21HDUM Vs Forfar0-1
19/12/20AMontrose Vs DUM4-0
12/12/20HDUM Vs Cove Rangers1-0
05/12/20APartick Vs DUM0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.28
HomeLLLDW1.68
AwayDWLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.963.402.52
Over 1.5 %78%88%68%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.381.960.80
Conceded1.581.441.72
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners10.1210.529.72
Cards3.443.323.56
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.32
HomeLLLDW1.58
AwayLDLDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.402.152.67
Over 1.5 %62%54%71%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %22%15%29%
Scored1.081.151.00
Conceded1.321.001.67
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners10.0010.509.46
Cards3.063.152.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PartickPartick2240
50%
1.8
4018+22
2.6
68%
45%
36%
10.0
64%
3.6
41%
21.2
55%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2238
55%
1.7
3524+11
2.7
77%
41%
27%
10.4
50%
3.3
45%
20.5
36%
0
0001.61.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers2236
45%
1.6
2818+10
2.1
64%
27%
18%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
23.4
55%
0
0001.30.8
-
4MontroseMontrose2233
41%
1.5
3333+0
3.0
77%
64%
45%
9.3
41%
3.2
36%
22.3
41%
0
0001.51.5
-
5East FifeEast Fife2233
45%
1.5
3033-3
2.9
91%
68%
27%
9.9
59%
3.4
41%
22.7
55%
0
0001.41.5
-
6FalkirkFalkirk2232
41%
1.5
2926+3
2.5
82%
50%
18%
10.0
59%
4.0
55%
24.5
64%
6
2131.31.2
-
7PeterheadPeterhead2229
41%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
68%
41%
14%
8.7
36%
4.4
73%
25.8
82%
0
0001.11.2
-
8ClydeClyde2226
36%
1.2
2738-11
3.0
82%
59%
32%
10.3
64%
3.2
45%
20.8
50%
0
0001.21.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton2225
32%
1.1
1424-10
1.7
45%
27%
9%
10.2
64%
3.2
32%
23.0
73%
0
0000.61.1
-
10ForfarForfar2217
18%
0.8
1837-19
2.5
73%
50%
27%
9.1
41%
3.4
55%
22.0
64%
0
0000.81.7
-
Scotland: League One 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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