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Clyde vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2019
Time: 15:00
Final 6-1
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
47%
28%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✓ Hit
46.9%
Avg Implied 48.9% · @ 1.88
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.64
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.55
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D21W50W30W12L11D25L13L10W00DH·PET06/04A·EDI13/04H·BER20/04H·QUE27/04A·COW04/05H·EAS03/08A·RAI10/08A·AIR17/08H·FAL24/08A·FOR31/08← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.932.000.671.531.20
vs Stronger (30)1.770.932.000.671.531.20
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W32W30W12L14L22D01L32W13L12LH·FOR06/04A·RAI13/04H·BRE20/04A·DUM27/04H·AIR04/05H·MON03/08A·FOR10/08H·RAI17/08A·DUM24/08H·PET31/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.771.471.871.271.67
vs Stronger (22)1.501.821.501.921.501.70
vs Similar (8)1.001.621.331.670.801.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.8%
@ 1.66-8.4%
Under 2.5
52.2%
@ 2.13+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
Clyde goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
08.8%6.8%4.2%1.5%0.4%
110%13%6.4%2.3%0.6%
28.8%9.3%4.9%1.7%0.5%
34.5%4.7%2.5%0.9%0.2%
41.7%1.8%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Raith Rvs
1.89
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.71
Montrose
1.68
East Fife
1.61
Dumbarton
1.36
Clyde
1.21
Peterhead
0.96
Forfar
0.86
Stranraer
0.59
Clyde is 0.62 points better than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 0.59).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.93
Raith Rvs
1.75
Montrose
1.71
East Fife
1.57
Airdrie United
1.36
Dumbarton
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Peterhead
1.11
Stranraer
1.04
Forfar
0.93
Clyde is 0.21 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.04).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.64
Airdrie United
0.96
Raith Rvs
1.18
East Fife
1.29
Montrose
1.36
Clyde
1.54
Dumbarton
1.57
Peterhead
1.63
Forfar
1.68
Stranraer
2.11
Clyde is 0.58 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 2.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

140941135553546445523781131410891097109A·FORH·FALA·AIRA·RAIH·EASA·COWH·QUEH·BERA·EDIH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6012121222331431114213334653253A·FORH·FALA·AIRA·RAIH·EASA·COWH·QUEH·BERA·EDIH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

28071411121071113131591212781281091321231724282119201822A·FORH·FALA·AIRA·RAIH·EASA·COWH·QUEH·BERA·EDIH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

For 6.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

160122534636656353937932148109119812165H·PETA·DUMH·RAIA·FORH·MONH·AIRA·DUMH·BREA·RAIH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 1.1 · Total 1.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50122311312213501400321H·PETA·DUMH·RAIA·FORH·MONH·AIRA·DUMH·BREA·RAIH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

28011613121381081017871211151371112817252118271523281820H·PETA·DUMH·RAIA·FORH·MONH·AIRA·DUMH·BREA·RAIH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.010.08.13.63.43.720.419.221.3
vs Stronger (50)9.010.08.13.63.43.720.419.221.3
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line36%48%26%50%43%56%46%43%48%
% under line64%52%74%50%57%44%54%57%52%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.510.63.02.83.220.020.219.8
vs Stronger (39)10.910.910.83.23.03.519.920.419.3
vs Similar (11)9.28.69.72.22.02.320.519.021.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%68%48%42%36%48%34%28%40%
% under line42%32%52%58%64%52%66%72%60%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.7
East Fife
10.6
Stranraer
10.5
Peterhead
10.3
Falkirk
10.2
Dumbarton
10.1
Forfar
10.0
Montrose
9.5
Raith Rvs
9.3
Clyde
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Montrose
3.8
Raith Rvs
3.7
Clyde
3.6
Peterhead
3.5
Falkirk
3.5
Forfar
3.2
Airdrie United
3.1
Dumbarton
3.0
East Fife
3.0
Stranraer
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.7
Montrose
23.1
Raith Rvs
21.1
Airdrie United
21.1
Falkirk
21.1
Clyde
20.4
Forfar
20.3
Dumbarton
20.2
Stranraer
20.0
East Fife
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.6%
Under 9.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.2%
Under 3.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
35.3%
Under 21.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W10W01L10W02L10W10W00DH·PET06/04A·EDI13/04H·BER20/04H·QUE27/04A·COW04/05H·EAS03/08A·RAI10/08A·AIR17/08H·FAL24/08A·FOR31/08← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.330.600.330.730.33
vs Stronger (30)0.670.330.600.330.730.33
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D20W02L03L10W00D10W11D02LH·FOR06/04A·RAI13/04H·BRE20/04A·DUM27/04H·AIR04/05H·MON03/08A·FOR10/08H·RAI17/08A·DUM24/08H·PET31/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.730.670.400.93
vs Stronger (22)0.590.860.750.750.401.00
vs Similar (8)0.500.620.670.330.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W21W40W20W11D01L23L03L00D00DH·PET06/04A·EDI13/04H·BER20/04H·QUE27/04A·COW04/05H·EAS03/08A·RAI10/08A·AIR17/08H·FAL24/08A·FOR31/08← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.601.400.330.800.87
vs Stronger (30)1.100.601.400.330.800.87
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W10W11D12L01L22D02L10WH·FOR06/04A·RAI13/04H·BRE20/04A·DUM27/04H·AIR04/05H·MON03/08A·FOR10/08H·RAI17/08A·DUM24/08H·PET31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.970.731.200.870.73
vs Stronger (22)0.910.950.751.171.100.70
vs Similar (8)0.501.000.671.330.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls89.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards88.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls79.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners73.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Clyde and Stranraer have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Clyde and Stranraer have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Clyde and Stranraer have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
CLY wins
0
Draws
0
STR wins

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Stranraer · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/19AForfar Vs CLY0-0
24/08/19HCLY Vs Falkirk1-0
17/08/19AAirdrie United Vs CLY3-1
10/08/19ARaith Rvs Vs CLY5-2
03/08/19HCLY Vs East Fife1-1
04/05/19ACowdenbeath Vs CLY2-1
27/04/19HCLY Vs Queens Park3-0
20/04/19HCLY Vs Berwick5-0
13/04/19AEdinburgh City Vs CLY1-2
06/04/19HCLY Vs Peterhead3-3

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/19HSTR Vs Peterhead1-2
24/08/19ADumbarton Vs STR3-1
17/08/19HSTR Vs Raith Rvs3-2
10/08/19AForfar Vs STR1-0
03/08/19HSTR Vs Montrose2-2
04/05/19HSTR Vs Airdrie United1-4
27/04/19ADumbarton Vs STR2-1
20/04/19HSTR Vs Brechin3-0
13/04/19ARaith Rvs Vs STR2-3
06/04/19HSTR Vs Forfar2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.98
HomeDWWDW2.26
AwayWLLLD1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%70%52%
AVG goals2.682.742.63
Over 1.5 %74%74%74%
Over 2.5 %54%48%59%
Over 3.5 %22%26%19%
Scored1.721.911.56
Conceded0.960.831.07
BTTS48%43%52%
Clean Sheet42%52%33%
Corners9.0210.048.15
Cards3.563.393.70
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.22
HomeWLDWL1.16
AwayLWLLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals3.023.162.88
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %62%64%60%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.361.441.28
Conceded1.661.721.60
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners10.5210.4810.56
Cards2.982.763.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1
RR
Raith Rvs
2853
54%
1.9
4933+16
2.9
71%
46%
32%
9.5
46%
3.7
61%
21.5
36%
0
0001.81.2
-
2FalkirkFalkirk2852
50%
1.9
5418+36
2.6
75%
50%
25%
10.3
50%
3.4
46%
25.4
86%
6
2131.90.6
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2848
50%
1.7
3827+11
2.3
61%
43%
32%
11.3
64%
3.5
50%
20.9
50%
0
0001.41.0
-
4MontroseMontrose2847
54%
1.7
4838+10
3.1
71%
61%
36%
10.3
61%
4.1
61%
24.0
71%
0
0001.71.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife2845
43%
1.6
4436+8
2.9
68%
46%
36%
9.8
46%
3.9
57%
23.0
64%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DumbartonDumbarton2838
39%
1.4
3544-9
2.8
71%
50%
32%
10.0
54%
3.1
36%
21.0
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
7ClydeClyde2834
32%
1.2
3543-8
2.8
75%
54%
29%
9.8
39%
3.5
39%
21.4
43%
0
0001.21.5
-
8PeterheadPeterhead2726
26%
1.0
3044-14
2.7
78%
56%
22%
9.1
37%
4.0
59%
22.1
56%
0
0001.11.6
-
9ForfarForfar2824
21%
0.9
2647-21
2.6
71%
46%
21%
8.2
21%
2.8
21%
21.5
36%
0
0000.91.7
-
10StranraerStranraer2716
7%
0.6
2857-29
3.1
85%
59%
37%
9.6
48%
3.1
44%
21.0
48%
0
0001.02.1
-
Scotland: League One 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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