PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Clyde vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 04/01/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 3-3
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
58%
23%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✗ Miss
57.9%
Avg Implied 55.7% · @ 1.65
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.5%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.81
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied 20.2% · @ 4.56
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D10W03L12L00D12L00D04L31W02LH·RAI19/10A·FAL26/10A·STR02/11H·PET09/11A·EAS26/11H·DUM30/11H·FOR07/12A·MON14/12H·AIR21/12A·PET28/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.332.121.000.861.71
vs Stronger (26)1.421.271.930.930.831.67
vs Similar (4)2.251.753.501.501.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L30W13L02L03L03L02L24L11DH·DUM19/10A·MON26/10H·CLY02/11A·RAI09/11H·AIR16/11A·FAL30/11A·PET07/12H·EAS14/12H·FOR21/12A·DUM28/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.031.271.731.002.33
vs Stronger (21)1.102.051.091.911.102.20
vs Similar (9)1.222.001.751.250.802.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.69+3.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
@ 2.07-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
Clyde goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
05.8%4.0%2.7%0.9%0.2%
18.5%11%5.3%1.9%0.5%
29.4%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
36.2%6.6%3.5%1.2%0.3%
43.1%3.3%1.7%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Raith Rvs
1.89
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.71
Montrose
1.68
East Fife
1.61
Dumbarton
1.36
Clyde
1.21
Peterhead
0.96
Forfar
0.86
Stranraer
0.59
Clyde is 0.62 points better than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 0.59).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.93
Raith Rvs
1.75
Montrose
1.71
East Fife
1.57
Airdrie United
1.36
Dumbarton
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Peterhead
1.11
Stranraer
1.04
Forfar
0.93
Clyde is 0.21 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.04).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.64
Airdrie United
0.96
Raith Rvs
1.18
East Fife
1.29
Montrose
1.36
Clyde
1.54
Dumbarton
1.57
Peterhead
1.63
Forfar
1.68
Stranraer
2.11
Clyde is 0.58 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 2.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

150636772452127849626249139939121586A·PETH·AIRA·MONH·FORH·DUMA·EASH·PETA·STRA·FALH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90451112141322222139113515444A·PETH·AIRA·MONH·FORH·DUMA·EASH·PETA·STRA·FALH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 11.7 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

2604118109891361510101313131291061515181722212026251921A·PETH·AIRA·MONH·FORH·DUMA·EASH·PETA·STRA·FALH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

For 4.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

15071346568694366957768711141549151213A·DUMH·FORH·EASA·PETA·FALH·AIRA·RAIH·CLYA·MONH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

804214421131222114382114422A·DUMH·FORH·EASA·PETA·FALH·AIRA·RAIH·CLYA·MONH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

25017881111141071114713139121359131025192517252022251423A·DUMH·FORH·EASA·PETA·FALH·AIRA·RAIH·CLYA·MONH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.68.43.53.63.419.920.419.3
vs Stronger (46)9.09.98.03.43.53.419.720.319.2
vs Similar (4)9.86.013.54.25.03.521.222.020.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line34%40%28%46%48%44%36%48%24%
% under line66%60%72%54%52%56%64%52%76%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.810.43.12.93.320.820.521.2
vs Stronger (36)10.911.210.73.23.13.320.320.420.2
vs Similar (14)9.79.99.62.92.63.122.120.723.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%72%44%44%36%52%44%32%56%
% under line42%28%56%56%64%48%56%68%44%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.9
Stranraer
10.6
Falkirk
10.4
East Fife
10.2
Dumbarton
10.1
Montrose
9.8
Forfar
9.4
Raith Rvs
9.3
Peterhead
9.2
Clyde
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
3.9
Montrose
3.9
Peterhead
3.7
Falkirk
3.6
Clyde
3.5
East Fife
3.2
Forfar
3.1
Stranraer
3.1
Airdrie United
3.1
Dumbarton
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
23.5
Peterhead
23.0
Falkirk
22.6
Raith Rvs
21.6
Forfar
21.3
Airdrie United
21.3
Dumbarton
21.0
East Fife
20.9
Stranraer
20.8
Clyde
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.9%
Under 9.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
45.9%
Under 21.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D02L02L00D11D00D01L21W01LH·RAI19/10A·FAL26/10A·STR02/11H·PET09/11A·EAS26/11H·DUM30/11H·FOR07/12A·MON14/12H·AIR21/12A·PET28/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.750.620.210.71
vs Stronger (26)0.420.620.570.640.250.58
vs Similar (4)1.001.002.000.500.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W01L00D02L01L00D02L00DH·DUM19/10A·MON26/10H·CLY02/11A·RAI09/11H·AIR16/11A·FAL30/11A·PET07/12H·EAS14/12H·FOR21/12A·DUM28/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.600.600.401.07
vs Stronger (21)0.520.760.550.550.501.00
vs Similar (9)0.441.000.750.750.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W01L10W00D01L00D03L10W01LH·RAI19/10A·FAL26/10A·STR02/11H·PET09/11A·EAS26/11H·DUM30/11H·FOR07/12A·MON14/12H·AIR21/12A·PET28/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.671.380.380.641.00
vs Stronger (26)1.000.651.360.290.581.08
vs Similar (4)1.250.751.501.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W12L02L01L02L02L22D11DH·DUM19/10A·MON26/10H·CLY02/11A·RAI09/11H·AIR16/11A·FAL30/11A·PET07/12H·EAS14/12H·FOR21/12A·DUM28/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.200.671.130.601.27
vs Stronger (21)0.571.290.551.360.601.20
vs Similar (9)0.781.001.000.500.601.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls82.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards70.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls70.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Clyde and Stranraer have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Clyde and Stranraer have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Clyde and Stranraer have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
CLY wins
0
Draws
1
STR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Stranraer · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/19AStranraer Vs CLY3-0
14/09/19HCLY Vs Stranraer6-1

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/19APeterhead Vs CLY2-0
21/12/19HCLY Vs Airdrie United3-1
14/12/19AMontrose Vs CLY4-0
07/12/19HCLY Vs Forfar0-0
30/11/19HCLY Vs Dumbarton1-2
26/11/19AEast Fife Vs CLY0-0
09/11/19HCLY Vs Peterhead1-2
02/11/19AStranraer Vs CLY3-0
26/10/19AFalkirk Vs CLY0-1
19/10/19HCLY Vs Raith Rvs2-2

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/19ADumbarton Vs STR1-1
21/12/19HSTR Vs Forfar2-4
14/12/19HSTR Vs East Fife0-2
07/12/19APeterhead Vs STR3-0
30/11/19AFalkirk Vs STR3-0
16/11/19HSTR Vs Airdrie United0-2
09/11/19ARaith Rvs Vs STR3-1
02/11/19HSTR Vs Clyde3-0
26/10/19AMontrose Vs STR2-1
19/10/19HSTR Vs Dumbarton0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.80
HomeDLLDW2.04
AwayWLDLL1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals2.722.922.52
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.601.961.24
Conceded1.120.961.28
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners9.029.608.44
Cards3.503.603.40
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.96
HomeDWLLL1.04
AwayLLLLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals3.063.043.08
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.201.281.12
Conceded1.861.761.96
BTTS62%52%72%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners10.6010.8410.36
Cards3.102.923.28

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1
RR
Raith Rvs
2853
54%
1.9
4933+16
2.9
71%
46%
32%
9.5
46%
3.7
61%
21.5
36%
0
0001.81.2
-
2FalkirkFalkirk2852
50%
1.9
5418+36
2.6
75%
50%
25%
10.3
50%
3.4
46%
25.4
86%
6
2131.90.6
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2848
50%
1.7
3827+11
2.3
61%
43%
32%
11.3
64%
3.5
50%
20.9
50%
0
0001.41.0
-
4MontroseMontrose2847
54%
1.7
4838+10
3.1
71%
61%
36%
10.3
61%
4.1
61%
24.0
71%
0
0001.71.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife2845
43%
1.6
4436+8
2.9
68%
46%
36%
9.8
46%
3.9
57%
23.0
64%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DumbartonDumbarton2838
39%
1.4
3544-9
2.8
71%
50%
32%
10.0
54%
3.1
36%
21.0
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
7ClydeClyde2834
32%
1.2
3543-8
2.8
75%
54%
29%
9.8
39%
3.5
39%
21.4
43%
0
0001.21.5
-
8PeterheadPeterhead2726
26%
1.0
3044-14
2.7
78%
56%
22%
9.1
37%
4.0
59%
22.1
56%
0
0001.11.6
-
9ForfarForfar2824
21%
0.9
2647-21
2.6
71%
46%
21%
8.2
21%
2.8
21%
21.5
36%
0
0000.91.7
-
10StranraerStranraer2716
7%
0.6
2857-29
3.1
85%
59%
37%
9.6
48%
3.1
44%
21.0
48%
0
0001.02.1
-
Scotland: League One 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

← all matches