Cordoba enter the match on a positive note, having won their last game 2-1 against Girona, while Granada CF also finish a win, 2-0 over Mallorca. The model’s most confident outcome is a Cordoba victory, with a 38% chance, compared to a 28% draw and 34% for Granada. The average goal tally is 2.7, but the most probable total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 13.3% probability. Cordoba’s home form shows they score and concede 1.29 goals on average against similarly strong opponents, whereas Granada CF away averages 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 97.8% with a 2% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5% with a 6% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5% with a 2% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.4% with no edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.6% with an 8% edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.4% with a 6% edge.
Results analysis
The upset was stark: Cordoba’s home form, a string of losses, could not prevent Granada CF from turning the tables, ending the match 1-3 in the visitors’ favour. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was given a 38% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections proved largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.8%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.4%, and Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.6%. The only miss was Away under 2.5 2H goals, which fell short.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cordoba win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied 51.1% · @ 1.82
Edge
-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Dafabet
1.85
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.42
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
1xBet
3.44
Granada CF win✓ Hit
34.4%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.32
Edge
+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.73
Pinnacle
4.71
Betano
4.65
Marathonbet
4.60
Dafabet
4.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cordoba
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.53
1.33
1.27
1.47
1.80
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
2.33
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.46
1.29
1.29
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.27
1.33
1.13
1.00
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.17
1.27
1.33
1.13
1.00
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cordoba) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.0%
@ 1.23+1.0%
Under 1.5
23.0%
@ 3.88-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.13
Betfair
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.79-1.4%
Under 2.5
48.5%
@ 2.00+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Under
1xBet
2.09
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
SBO
2.03
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.3%
@ 2.87-3.2%
Under 3.5
70.7%
@ 1.39+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Pinnacle
2.95
Superbet
2.95
10Bet
2.95
Under
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.7%
@ 1.67+1.3%
No
43.3%
@ 2.08-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Unibet
1.72
10Bet
1.65
No
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 6.18+6.2%
2-1
8.5%@ 7.47+2.6%
1-2
8.1%@ 12.32+4.5%
1-0
7.9%@ 7.01+1.6%
0-0
7.7%@ 9.83+3.2%
0-1
7.4%@ 11.83+3.7%
2-0
6.4%@ 8.48+1.1%
0-2
5.8%@ 22.80+3.8%
Cordoba goals ↓
Granada CF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
7.4%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
1
7.9%
13%
8.1%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.4%
8.5%
5.7%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.0%
4.0%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.0%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cordoba goals (down), columns = Granada CF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Leganes
1.10
Valladolid
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Cordoba is 0.31 points better than Granada CF in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Cordoba is 0.17 goals better than Granada CF in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Cordoba is 0.12 goals worse than Granada CF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Cordoba is 8.0 percentage points better than Granada CF in terms of average possession (58% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cordoba
For 7.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Granada CF
For 4.3 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.1 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cordoba
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.0
11.2
5.5
5.5
5.5
29.7
28.7
30.8
vs Stronger (7)
8.7
7.0
11.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
29.3
30.0
28.3
vs Similar (43)
10.9
10.6
11.3
5.4
5.4
5.4
29.8
28.4
31.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
56%
67%
86%
88%
84%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
39%
44%
33%
14%
12%
16%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.5
8.9
5.3
5.2
5.3
27.1
27.0
27.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
9.2
9.5
8.9
5.4
5.2
5.5
27.1
27.0
27.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
38%
42%
76%
75%
77%
88%
92%
84%
% under line
60%
62%
58%
24%
25%
23%
12%
8%
16%
This opponent (Cordoba) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.8
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.2
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eibar
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Oviedo
9.3
Girona
9.2
Granada CF
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
Valladolid
9.0
FC Andorra
8.9
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Burgos
8.4
Las Palmas
8.1
Celta de Vigo II
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Celta de Vigo II
6.5
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Cordoba
5.7
Burgos
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Valladolid
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.5
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Leganes
5.0
Tenerife
4.8
Sabadell
4.7
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.4
Mallorca
4.3
Oviedo
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Celta de Vigo II
32.0
Cordoba
29.6
Real Sociedad II
28.7
Valladolid
28.3
Castellón
28.3
FC Andorra
27.8
AD Ceuta FC
27.8
Las Palmas
27.6
Sabadell
27.6
Tenerife
27.1
Granada CF
27.0
Almeria
26.6
Burgos
26.5
Leganes
26.0
Eibar
25.7
Cadiz
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.6
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.0%
@ 1.77-4.5%
Under 9.5
52.0%
@ 1.96+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Under
Unibet
2.10
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
81.5%
Under 3.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.7%
Under 21.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cordoba or Draw✗ Miss
65.6%
Avg Implied 78.3% · @ 1.19
Edge
-12.8%
38%
28%
34%
covers Cordoba + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Cordoba or Granada CF✓ Hit
72.0%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.27
Edge
-1.4%
38%
28%
34%
covers Cordoba + Granada CF
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Draw or Granada CF✓ Hit
62.5%
Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.93
Edge
+14.2%
38%
28%
34%
covers Draw + Granada CF
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.02
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cordoba over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.4%
@ 1.15-5.5%
Under
24.6%
@ 4.85+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Cordoba over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 1.79-11.4%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.95+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.84
Unibet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Under
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Betano
2.00
Cordoba over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 3.47-10.2%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.27+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.55
Under
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Cordoba over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 7.25-7.5%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.07+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.50
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Granada CF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.6%
@ 1.43+8.7%
Under
26.4%
@ 2.65-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.77
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.75
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Granada CF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.5%
@ 3.17+9.1%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.32-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.37
Unibet
3.30
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.16
Under
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Granada CF over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.1%
@ 8.33+3.8%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.05-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.20
Superbet
7.90
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Granada CF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 20.00-0.2%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.01+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cordoba, so a minus line means Cordoba give that many goals of a start and Granada CF receive them. At -1, Cordoba must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cordoba win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cordoba)Actual: Granada CF
Cordoba -2
6.7%
@ 6.45-7.3%
Draw -2
11.4%
@ 5.19-5.9%
Granada CF +2
81.9%
@ 1.31+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.25
Superbet
6.00
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Away
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Handicap -1 (Cordoba)Actual: Granada CF
Cordoba -1
18.1%
@ 3.12-10.6%
Draw -1
19.5%
@ 3.61-5.3%
Granada CF +1
62.5%
@ 1.92+15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Unibet
3.05
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.50
Away
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Handicap +1 (Cordoba)Actual: Granada CF
Cordoba +1
65.6%
@ 1.18-9.2%
Draw +1
18.5%
@ 5.67+2.9%
Granada CF -1
15.9%
@ 9.24+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.40
Handicap +2 (Cordoba)Actual: Draw
Cordoba +2
84.1%
@ 1.04-6.4%
Draw +2
10.3%
@ 14.00+3.6%
Granada CF -2
5.6%
@ 33.50+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Betfair
41.00
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cordoba
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.47
0.67
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.88
0.36
0.71
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
1.07
0.53
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.77
0.57
1.07
0.53
0.47
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Cordoba) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.4%
@ 1.36-2.3%
Under 0.5
33.6%
@ 3.00+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.6%
@ 2.62-4.0%
Under 1.5
68.4%
@ 1.44+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Unibet
2.63
Under
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 6.29-4.8%
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.09+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.10
Under
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cordoba over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.7%
@ 1.74-6.7%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.99+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Unibet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Cordoba over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.6%
@ 4.57-6.6%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.16+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.45
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Cordoba over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 12.00-5.4%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Granada CF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.0%
@ 2.50+1.9%
Under
61.0%
@ 1.48-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.49
Unibet
2.48
Betano
2.47
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Unibet
1.46
Granada CF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 8.86-0.9%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Marathonbet
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.40
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Granada CF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 34.00-98.3%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cordoba
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.87
0.60
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.58
0.93
0.57
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.27
0.60
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.40
0.70
0.27
0.60
0.53
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cordoba) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.20-0.5%
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 4.19+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.30
Superbet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.2%
@ 1.96-5.5%
Under 1.5
57.8%
@ 1.79+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.9%
@ 3.92-6.9%
Under 2.5
83.1%
@ 1.22+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Superbet
4.25
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cordoba over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.5%
@ 1.49-7.9%
Under
45.5%
@ 2.47+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Under
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Cordoba over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.1%
@ 3.25-10.4%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.29+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.50
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Cordoba over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 8.40-6.9%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.04+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Superbet
9.00
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Granada CF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.2%
@ 1.99+2.7%
Under
50.8%
@ 1.73-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.98
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Under
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.65
Granada CF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
13.9%
@ 6.16-1.1%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.09+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.35
Superbet
6.30
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Granada CF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
3.1%
@ 17.92-2.2%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.6%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.0%
1.03
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
BetVictor
1.02
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.09
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.09
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
+1.1%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
85.8%
1.13
Betano
1.18
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
84.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-3.8%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
84.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
-6.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
83.3%
1.27
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.28
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+6.9%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
81.9%
1.31
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
+13.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.2%
1.20
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.0%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
-5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.1%
1.36
Unibet
1.45
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.6%
1.43
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.0%
1.27
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.7%
1.39
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+3.2%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cordoba
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Youssouf Diarra33%
Diego Percan33%
Eder Garcia33%
Iker Álvarez0%
Rubén0%
Enol Rodríguez0%
Cristian Carracedo0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Dani Tasende0%
Kevin Medina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eder Garcia67%
Rubén33%
Enol Rodríguez33%
Juan Gutiérrez33%
Youssouf Diarra33%
Iker Álvarez0%
Cristian Carracedo0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Dani Tasende0%
Diego Percan0%
Kevin Medina0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Carracedo33%
Eder Garcia33%
Iker Álvarez0%
Rubén0%
Enol Rodríguez0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Youssouf Diarra0%
Dani Tasende0%
Diego Percan0%
Kevin Medina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eder Garcia33%
Iker Álvarez0%
Rubén0%
Enol Rodríguez0%
Cristian Carracedo0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Youssouf Diarra0%
Dani Tasende0%
Diego Percan0%
Kevin Medina0%
Granada CF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pedro Alemañ33%
Alejandro Marqués33%
Bourama Dembelé33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Manuel Lama0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Owen Emeka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio López67%
Gerard Gumbau33%
Rubén Alcaraz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Lama33%
Sergio López33%
Baïla Diallo33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Manuel Arnáiz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Cordoba's squad is €2m less valuable than Granada CF's (€16m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Cordoba's attack is €1m less valuable than Granada CF's (€4m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Cordoba's midfield is €1m more valuable than Granada CF's (€4m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Cordoba's defence is €2m less valuable than Granada CF's (€7m vs €9m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Eibar
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Valladolid
Eldense
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC