Çorum FK is expected to win, with a slight edge in recent form coming off a draw, while Kasımpaşa is coming off a win. The match is likely to be a low-scoring, closely contested affair, with 2.5 goals expected on average. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.5%.
At home, Çorum FK has a strong record, scoring 1.91 goals and conceding 0.73, particularly against weaker opponents. Meanwhile, Kasımpaşa has struggled away from home, scoring 0.43 goals and conceding 2.0, especially against stronger opponents.
The model picks Çorum FK to win, with a 47% chance of winning at home, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 24% chance of Kasımpaşa winning away.
The model's selections include Çorum FK to win (47%), the draw (28%), and Kasımpaşa to win (24%). The model also suggests Over 21.5 fouls (82%), Over 3.5 cards (80%), and Under 3.5 (75.3%), as well as Over 1.5 (72.9%).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Çorum FK, fell short as Kasimpasa clinched a 0-1 victory, extending their recent win streak. The model’s call was wrong, with a 48% probability for home success. The final score matched the away win prediction, but the model’s favourite missed. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.6%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.4%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.6%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.1%. The match delivered a low-scoring upset, confirming the model’s selections on total-goals and half-time figures while the favourite prediction was off.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Çorum FK win✗ Miss
47.6%
Avg Implied 44.5% · @ 2.10
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.28
888Sport
2.25
1xBet
2.13
Unibet
2.12
Dafabet
2.12
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.42
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
1xBet
3.56
Dafabet
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Kasımpaşa win✓ Hit
24.1%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.33
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.56
Pinnacle
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Çorum FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.10
1.73
1.00
1.40
1.20
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (17)
2.06
0.88
2.22
0.67
1.88
1.12
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kasımpaşa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.53
0.87
1.00
1.13
2.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.80
0.80
1.20
0.60
2.40
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.40
0.90
0.90
1.40
1.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.9%
@ 1.26-0.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
@ 3.57+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.85
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.52
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.2%
@ 1.88-4.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.91+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.92
SBO
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
SBO
1.93
Betano
1.91
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.7%
@ 3.16-4.8%
Under 3.5
75.3%
@ 1.33+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.8%
@ 1.70-3.9%
No
49.2%
@ 2.05+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
888Sport
1.70
No
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Betano
2.05
888Sport
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 6.18+6.2%
1-0
10.9%@ 7.47+4.9%
2-1
9.3%@ 8.10+3.7%
0-0
9.3%@ 10.26+4.9%
2-0
9.2%@ 9.97+4.7%
0-1 ✓
6.9%@ 9.71+2.3%
1-2
6.2%@ 10.58+2.0%
2-2
4.7%@ 12.90+1.2%
Çorum FK goals ↓
Kasımpaşa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
6.9%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
1
11%
13%
6.2%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.2%
9.3%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.6%
4.7%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Çorum FK goals (down), columns = Kasımpaşa goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Çorum FK is 0.08 points worse than Kasımpaşa in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Çorum FK is 0.04 goals worse than Kasımpaşa in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Çorum FK is 0.45 goals worse than Kasımpaşa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.89 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Çorum FK
For 6.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kasımpaşa
For 3.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 13.4 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Çorum FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
10.1
8.6
4.6
4.6
4.6
22.9
22.3
23.4
vs Stronger (1)
9.0
-
9.0
2.0
-
2.0
17.0
-
17.0
vs Similar (18)
10.4
10.7
10.1
5.2
5.4
5.0
22.6
22.6
22.7
vs Weaker (31)
8.8
9.8
7.7
4.3
4.1
4.6
23.2
22.1
24.3
% over line
50%
65%
36%
70%
60%
80%
58%
52%
64%
% under line
50%
35%
64%
30%
40%
20%
42%
48%
36%
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kasımpaşa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.4
8.5
4.9
4.3
5.4
27.8
28.4
27.2
vs Stronger (18)
9.3
10.5
7.4
5.4
4.9
6.1
27.4
27.9
26.6
vs Similar (32)
8.8
8.5
9.0
4.6
3.9
5.1
28.1
28.9
27.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
40%
35%
66%
65%
67%
90%
92%
87%
% under line
62%
60%
65%
34%
35%
33%
10%
8%
13%
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Beşiktaş
10.2
Samsunspor
9.9
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Gaziantep FK
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.5
Trabzonspor
9.5
Rizespor
9.4
Çorum FK
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Eyüpspor
9.1
Kasımpaşa
9.0
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Erzurumspor FK
8.4
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.9
Fenerbahçe
5.7
Konyaspor
5.2
Çorum FK
5.2
Göztepe
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Alanyaspor
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Amed
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Başakşehir
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Samsunspor
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.6
Rizespor
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.2
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.8
Göztepe
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.3
Rizespor
26.1
Eyüpspor
26.0
Samsunspor
25.9
Fenerbahçe
25.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.3
Konyaspor
25.0
Galatasaray
23.8
Erzurumspor FK
23.6
Çorum FK
22.8
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Unibet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Under
Superbet
2.80
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Çorum FK or Draw✗ Miss
75.9%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.31
Edge
+4.6%
48%
28%
24%
covers Çorum FK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Çorum FK or Kasımpaşa✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.28
Edge
-1.3%
48%
28%
24%
covers Çorum FK + Kasımpaşa
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Draw or Kasımpaşa✓ Hit
52.4%
Avg Implied 55.7% · @ 1.68
Edge
-3.3%
48%
28%
24%
covers Draw + Kasımpaşa
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
SBO
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Çorum FK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.9%
@ 1.21+1.0%
Under
22.1%
@ 4.03-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.46
Marathonbet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Çorum FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.6%
@ 2.06-0.7%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.71+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.20
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
BetVictor
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Çorum FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.4%
@ 4.39-1.9%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.18+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.00
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.38
1xBet
4.35
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Çorum FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 10.34-2.5%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.04+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
13.00
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Superbet
9.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.6%
@ 1.36-4.6%
Under
36.4%
@ 2.92+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Under
10Bet
3.20
888Sport
3.10
Pinnacle
3.03
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.8%
@ 2.78-6.7%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.40+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.02
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Under
10Bet
1.48
888Sport
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 6.98-5.1%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.08+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Under
888Sport
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Kasımpaşa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 17.62-3.5%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
19.00
888Sport
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Çorum FK, so a minus line means Çorum FK give that many goals of a start and Kasımpaşa receive them. At -1, Çorum FK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Çorum FK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Çorum FK)Actual: Kasımpaşa
Çorum FK -2
9.9%
@ 8.40-0.8%
Draw -2
14.8%
@ 5.94-0.3%
Kasımpaşa +2
75.3%
@ 1.21+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.30
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Draw
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.70
Unibet
5.50
Away
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Handicap -1 (Çorum FK)Actual: Kasımpaşa
Çorum FK -1
24.7%
@ 3.92+1.9%
Draw -1
22.9%
@ 3.78-0.8%
Kasımpaşa +1
52.4%
@ 1.67-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
3.78
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.75
Unibet
3.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.62
Handicap +1 (Çorum FK)Actual: Draw
Çorum FK +1
75.9%
@ 1.33+8.1%
Draw +1
14.9%
@ 4.79-3.9%
Kasımpaşa -1
9.2%
@ 6.70-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Unibet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Superbet
6.50
10Bet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Çorum FK)Actual: Çorum FK
Çorum FK +2
90.8%
@ 1.09+6.9%
Draw +2
6.6%
@ 8.75-3.8%
Kasımpaşa -2
2.6%
@ 16.00-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
10Bet
7.50
Away
Bet365
19.00
10Bet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Çorum FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
0.76
0.47
0.67
0.33
0.88
0.62
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kasımpaşa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.40
0.47
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
0.40
0.30
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.9%
@ 1.37-1.2%
Under 0.5
33.1%
@ 2.92+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.14
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.90
William Hil
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.5%
@ 2.73-2.5%
Under 1.5
68.5%
@ 1.41+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.81
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Unibet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 6.85-0.2%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.07+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.85
Under
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Çorum FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.9%
@ 1.89-3.5%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.84+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Unibet
1.86
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Çorum FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 5.61-2.5%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.11+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
1xBet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.30
Superbet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Çorum FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 14.12-4.1%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.8%
@ 2.29-3.9%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.57+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.37
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Under
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.60
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 7.96-3.0%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.05+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Marathonbet
8.90
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Under
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 20.75-2.9%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Çorum FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.53
1.13
0.40
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.58
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (17)
1.29
0.41
1.56
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kasımpaşa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.53
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.40
0.40
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.65
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.0%
Under 0.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.9%
Under 1.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.5%
Under 2.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Çorum FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.4%
Under
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Çorum FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.2%
Under
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Çorum FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.3%
Under
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.03
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
1.08
888Sport
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.4%
1.05
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.8%
1.09
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.8%
1.10
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
888Sport
1.11
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.07
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.0%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.6%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.9%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+1.0%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
75.9%
1.31
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
75.9%
1.33
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
+8.1%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
75.3%
1.21
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.3%
1.33
Pinnacle
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Betfair
1.33
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.2%
1.40
10Bet
1.48
888Sport
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.9%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.7%
1.28
1xBet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
-1.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Çorum FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez33%
Mohammed Diomande33%
Marcos Felipe0%
Hrvoje Smolčić0%
Fredy0%
Serdar Gürler0%
Mame Thiam0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Berat Özdemir0%
Gökhan Sazdağı0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Andrei Borza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gökhan Sazdağı33%
Jesús Ramírez33%
Marcos Felipe0%
Hrvoje Smolčić0%
Fredy0%
Serdar Gürler0%
Mame Thiam0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Berat Özdemir0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Andrei Borza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fredy33%
Andrei Borza33%
Marcos Felipe0%
Hrvoje Smolčić0%
Serdar Gürler0%
Mame Thiam0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Berat Özdemir0%
Gökhan Sazdağı0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez67%
Fredy33%
Marcos Felipe0%
Hrvoje Smolčić0%
Serdar Gürler0%
Mame Thiam0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Berat Özdemir0%
Gökhan Sazdağı0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Andrei Borza0%
Kasımpaşa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Fousseni Diabaté33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Cláudio Winck0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cláudio Winck33%
Andri Fannar Baldursson33%
Matei Ilie33%
Ayberk Karapo33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Adrian Benedyczak0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cláudio Winck33%
Adrian Benedyczak33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Cláudio Winck33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Çorum FK's squad is €16m more valuable than Kasımpaşa's (€47m vs €31m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Çorum FK's attack is €2m less valuable than Kasımpaşa's (€12m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Çorum FK's midfield is €10m more valuable than Kasımpaşa's (€14m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Çorum FK's defence is €9m more valuable than Kasımpaşa's (€21m vs €12m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor