This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.20
1.07
1.07
1.00
1.31
vs Stronger (14)
1.00
1.43
1.14
1.29
0.86
1.57
vs Similar (16)
1.06
1.00
1.00
0.86
1.11
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.0%
Under 1.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.6%
@ 2.35-6.5%
Under 2.5
66.4%
@ 1.57+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.1%
Under 3.5
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.1%
No
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.3%
1-0
13.0%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
Cosenza goals ↓
Ascoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
11%
5.6%
1.7%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.3%
1.9%
0.5%
2
8.0%
7.5%
3.5%
1.1%
0.3%
3
3.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosenza goals (down), columns = Ascoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Cosenza is 0.16 points better than Ascoli in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Cosenza is 0.24 goals better than Ascoli in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Cosenza and Ascoli are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Cosenza is 4.5 percentage points better than Ascoli in terms of average possession (49% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cosenza
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ascoli
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.7
7.2
8.5
1.3
1.2
1.4
27.6
24.5
32.2
vs Stronger (27)
7.8
6.7
9.5
1.2
1.5
0.9
28.6
27.3
30.5
vs Similar (23)
7.6
7.7
7.5
1.3
0.8
1.9
26.6
21.7
34.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
20%
17%
25%
16%
15%
17%
80%
67%
100%
% under line
80%
83%
75%
84%
85%
83%
20%
33%
0%
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.3
10.3
1.1
1.1
1.1
30.1
31.0
29.2
vs Stronger (22)
8.8
6.5
10.0
1.3
0.7
1.8
29.5
30.0
29.2
vs Similar (28)
10.8
10.8
11.0
1.0
1.4
0.5
30.7
31.5
29.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
67%
50%
16%
12%
20%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
42%
33%
50%
84%
88%
80%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Como
10.5
Bari
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cremonese
9.6
Sampdoria
9.6
Cittadella
9.5
Reggiana
9.5
Palermo
9.3
Spezia
9.2
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Pisa
5.8
Ascoli
5.7
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cremonese
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Reggiana
5.1
Palermo
5.0
Ternana
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Bari
4.6
Spezia
4.6
Sampdoria
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
33.4
Pisa
32.8
Reggiana
31.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.0
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Cremonese
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Bari
28.3
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Spezia
26.9
Sampdoria
26.9
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.1%
Under 9.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.3%
Under 3.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.2%
Under 21.5
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.57
0.31
0.50
0.21
0.64
vs Stronger (16)
0.38
0.69
0.57
0.57
0.22
0.78
vs Similar (14)
0.14
0.43
0.11
0.44
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.40
0.29
0.43
0.25
0.38
vs Stronger (14)
0.21
0.43
0.29
0.43
0.14
0.43
vs Similar (16)
0.31
0.38
0.29
0.43
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.62
0.31
0.36
1.14
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.94
0.43
0.29
0.22
1.44
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.43
0.78
0.33
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.79
0.64
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (14)
0.79
1.00
0.86
0.86
0.71
1.14
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.62
0.71
0.43
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Tutino46%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Gianluca Frabotta20%
Massimo Zilli17%
Simone Mazzocchi11%
Francesco Forte10%
Idriz Voca9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Michael Venturi7%
Manuel Marras6%
Michele Camporese5%
Valerio Crespi5%
Luigi Canotto4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Aldo Florenzi0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Venturi50%
Tommaso D'Orazio44%
Mateusz Praszelik42%
Alessandro Fontanarosa33%
Aldo Florenzi29%
Mattia Viviani27%
Gianluca Frabotta27%
Michele Camporese26%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Federico Zuccon24%
Gennaro Tutino23%
Manuel Marras21%
Alessandro Micai19%
Giacomo Calò19%
Bright Gyamfi18%
Luigi Canotto17%
Idriz Voca15%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Filippo Sgarbi12%
Baldovino Cimino12%
Pietro Martino10%
Andrea Meroni9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Valerio Crespi5%
Christian D'Urso0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian D'Urso33%
Giacomo Calò22%
Manuel Marras18%
Federico Zuccon10%
Bright Gyamfi9%
Simone Mazzocchi9%
Gennaro Tutino9%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Andrea Rispoli8%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Baldovino Cimino6%
Idriz Voca6%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Francesco Forte3%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Valerio Crespi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Tutino31%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Valerio Crespi5%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Manuel Marras3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Ascoli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pedro Mendes30%
Dávid Ďuriš18%
Eric Botteghin16%
Fabrizio Caligara12%
Pablo Rodríguez11%
Ilija Nestorovski10%
Patrizio Masini8%
Giuseppe Bellusci7%
Giacomo Manzari7%
Valerio Mantovani6%
Danilo Quaranta4%
Marcello Falzerano3%
Karim Zedadka0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Vincenzo Millico0%
Claud Adjapong0%
Emiliano Viviano0%
Sauli Väisänen0%
Luca Valzania0%
Nicola Falasco0%
Francesco Di Tacchio0%
Jeremiah Streng0%
Raffaele Celia0%
Devis Vásquez0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Samuel Giovane0%
Davide Barosi0%
Erdis Kraja0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Kevin Haveri0%
Yehiya Maiga Silvestri0%
Jacopo Tarantino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giuseppe Bellusci40%
Francesco Di Tacchio39%
Nicola Falasco35%
Patrizio Masini28%
Jeremiah Streng27%
Fabrizio Caligara27%
Danilo Quaranta23%
Samuel Giovane22%
Marcello Falzerano21%
Vincenzo Millico20%
Ilija Nestorovski20%
Erdis Kraja20%
Kevin Haveri17%
Eric Botteghin16%
Luca Valzania15%
Sauli Väisänen14%
Karim Zedadka13%
Simone D'Uffizi13%
Pablo Rodríguez11%
Devis Vásquez10%
Pedro Mendes7%
Tommaso Milanese7%
Claud Adjapong7%
Giacomo Manzari7%
Valerio Mantovani6%
Brian Bayeye5%
Emiliano Viviano4%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Raffaele Celia0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Davide Barosi0%
Yehiya Maiga Silvestri0%
Jacopo Tarantino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Giacomo Manzari13%
Raffaele Celia12%
Pablo Rodríguez11%
Luca Valzania8%
Pedro Mendes7%
Tommaso Milanese7%
Valerio Mantovani6%
Marcello Falzerano6%
Nicola Falasco6%
Giuseppe Bellusci3%
Samuel Giovane3%
Francesco Di Tacchio3%
Karim Zedadka0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Vincenzo Millico0%
Claud Adjapong0%
Emiliano Viviano0%
Sauli Väisänen0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Ilija Nestorovski0%
Eric Botteghin0%
Jeremiah Streng0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Devis Vásquez0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Davide Barosi0%
Erdis Kraja0%
Patrizio Masini0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Kevin Haveri0%
Yehiya Maiga Silvestri0%
Jacopo Tarantino0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Mendes22%
Fabrizio Caligara15%
Ilija Nestorovski15%
Jeremiah Streng9%
Eric Botteghin8%
Luca Valzania8%
Giuseppe Bellusci3%
Marcello Falzerano3%
Pablo Rodríguez3%
Karim Zedadka0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Vincenzo Millico0%
Claud Adjapong0%
Emiliano Viviano0%
Sauli Väisänen0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Nicola Falasco0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Francesco Di Tacchio0%
Raffaele Celia0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Devis Vásquez0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Samuel Giovane0%
Davide Barosi0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Erdis Kraja0%
Patrizio Masini0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Kevin Haveri0%
Yehiya Maiga Silvestri0%
Jacopo Tarantino0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →