This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.50
0.73
1.33
0.87
1.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
1.71
0.62
1.62
0.83
1.83
vs Similar (16)
0.88
1.31
0.86
1.00
0.89
1.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.5%
Under 1.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.5%
Under 2.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.6%
Under 3.5
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.0%
No
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.1%
1-0 ✓
11.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.4%
Cosenza goals ↓
Brescia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.5%
5.4%
1.8%
0.4%
1
12%
15%
6.6%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.1%
8.1%
4.1%
1.4%
0.3%
3
3.3%
3.3%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosenza goals (down), columns = Brescia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Cosenza is 0.08 points better than Brescia in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.02).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Cosenza is 0.12 goals worse than Brescia in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Cosenza is 0.12 goals better than Brescia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cosenza
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Brescia
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
7.2
8.3
1.5
1.2
1.8
27.3
24.5
30.2
vs Stronger (28)
7.8
6.7
9.0
1.4
1.5
1.3
29.2
27.3
31.0
vs Similar (22)
7.7
7.7
7.7
1.6
0.8
2.5
25.5
21.7
29.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
17%
17%
17%
20%
16%
24%
75%
67%
83%
% under line
83%
83%
83%
80%
84%
76%
25%
33%
17%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.7
13.3
10.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
26.2
26.0
26.5
vs Stronger (21)
10.0
12.0
9.5
1.0
0.4
1.5
24.4
22.0
25.0
vs Similar (29)
12.9
13.6
11.0
1.0
1.2
0.6
27.6
26.8
29.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
75%
83%
67%
18%
16%
20%
83%
83%
83%
% under line
25%
17%
33%
82%
84%
80%
17%
17%
17%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.3%
Under 9.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
76.6%
Under 3.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
91.9%
Under 21.5
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.70
0.38
0.62
0.21
0.79
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
0.76
0.62
0.75
0.22
0.78
vs Similar (13)
0.15
0.62
0.12
0.50
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.67
0.33
0.47
0.20
0.87
vs Stronger (14)
0.14
0.93
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.44
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.56
0.31
0.29
1.29
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
0.88
0.38
0.25
0.22
1.44
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.62
0.75
0.38
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.40
0.87
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
0.79
0.38
1.12
0.83
0.33
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.88
0.43
0.57
0.56
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joaquín Larrivey15%
Marco Nasti15%
Aldo Florenzi13%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Christian D'Urso11%
Enrico Brignola10%
Andrea Meroni8%
Marco Brescianini8%
Karlo Butić8%
Davide Merola7%
Emil Kornvig7%
Michele Rigione7%
Manuel Marras6%
Sauli Väisänen3%
Andrea Rispoli3%
Paolo Gozzi Iweru0%
Mauro Zárate0%
Ivan Delić0%
Mattia Finotto0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Leonardo Marson0%
Andrea Vallocchia0%
Michael Venturi0%
Kristjan Matošević0%
Ciro Panico0%
Alessandro Cortinovis0%
Salvatore Dario La Vardera0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Salvatore Dario La Vardera50%
Manuel Marras44%
Marco Nasti37%
Idriz Voca31%
Tommaso D'Orazio29%
Michael Venturi28%
Aldo Florenzi26%
Sauli Väisänen24%
Giacomo Calò20%
Michele Rigione17%
Pietro Martino17%
Andrea Rispoli16%
Andrea Meroni16%
Marco Brescianini15%
Alessandro Cortinovis15%
Leonardo Marson11%
Ciro Panico11%
Enrico Brignola10%
Joaquín Larrivey10%
Massimo Zilli10%
Alessandro Micai10%
Karlo Butić8%
Davide Merola7%
Mattia Finotto6%
Christian D'Urso5%
Paolo Gozzi Iweru0%
Mauro Zárate0%
Ivan Delić0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Andrea Vallocchia0%
Kristjan Matošević0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Marras19%
Ivan Delić15%
Christian D'Urso13%
Andrea Vallocchia9%
Alessandro Cortinovis8%
Davide Merola7%
Massimo Zilli6%
Mattia Finotto6%
Michael Venturi6%
Marco Brescianini5%
Pietro Martino3%
Andrea Rispoli3%
Idriz Voca3%
Paolo Gozzi Iweru0%
Mauro Zárate0%
Enrico Brignola0%
Michele Rigione0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Sauli Väisänen0%
Tommaso D'Orazio0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Karlo Butić0%
Leonardo Marson0%
Kristjan Matošević0%
Ciro Panico0%
Joaquín Larrivey0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Salvatore Dario La Vardera0%
Aldo Florenzi0%
Marco Nasti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mauro Zárate33%
Davide Merola21%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Andrea Meroni8%
Karlo Butić8%
Marco Nasti7%
Emil Kornvig7%
Mattia Finotto6%
Marco Brescianini5%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Andrea Rispoli3%
Massimo Zilli3%
Paolo Gozzi Iweru0%
Ivan Delić0%
Christian D'Urso0%
Enrico Brignola0%
Michele Rigione0%
Sauli Väisänen0%
Manuel Marras0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Leonardo Marson0%
Andrea Vallocchia0%
Michael Venturi0%
Kristjan Matošević0%
Ciro Panico0%
Joaquín Larrivey0%
Alessandro Cortinovis0%
Salvatore Dario La Vardera0%
Pietro Martino0%
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Ayé21%
Giacomo Olzer20%
Pablo Rodríguez18%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Adryan11%
Flavio Bianchi11%
Andrea Cistana11%
Stefano Moreo11%
Massimo Bertagnoli8%
Emanuele Ndoj7%
Marcin Listkowski7%
Nicolas Galazzi7%
Massimiliano Mangraviti6%
Alexander Jallow5%
Tom Van De Looi3%
Fran Karačić0%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Federico Viviani0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
John Björkengren0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fran Karačić42%
Ahmad Benali38%
Vincenzo Garofalo33%
Andrea Papetti30%
Emanuele Ndoj29%
Matthieu Huard22%
Marcin Listkowski21%
Davide Adorni21%
Giacomo Olzer20%
Massimiliano Mangraviti19%
Tom Van De Looi18%
Pablo Rodríguez18%
Andrea Cistana16%
John Björkengren16%
Jakub Łabojko16%
Massimo Bertagnoli15%
Federico Viviani14%
Reuven Niemeijer13%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Stefano Moreo11%
Alexander Jallow10%
Lorenzo Andrenacci8%
Flavio Bianchi8%
Nicolas Galazzi7%
Florian Ayé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Adryan0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi14%
Fran Karačić12%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Pablo Rodríguez12%
Emanuele Ndoj11%
John Björkengren11%
Massimo Bertagnoli8%
Jakub Łabojko6%
Stefano Moreo5%
Florian Ayé5%
Alexander Jallow5%
Matthieu Huard4%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Federico Viviani0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Marcin Listkowski0%
Adryan0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Flavio Bianchi0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefano Moreo21%
Florian Ayé21%
Adryan11%
Dimitri Bisoli9%
Federico Viviani7%
Emanuele Ndoj7%
Marcin Listkowski7%
Flavio Bianchi6%
Alexander Jallow5%
Fran Karačić4%
Nicolas Galazzi4%
Tom Van De Looi3%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
John Björkengren0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Pablo Rodríguez0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Frosinone
Genoa
Cagliari
Bari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cittadella
Ternana
Perugia
Spal
Benevento