This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.33
1.07
1.47
1.00
1.20
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.85
1.54
0.86
1.57
0.83
1.50
vs Weaker (16)
1.19
1.19
1.29
1.43
1.11
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.48+4.2%
Under 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.52-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
Cosenza goals ↓
Pisa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
6.9%
2.8%
0.8%
1
9.5%
14%
7.9%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.3%
7.6%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.4%
2.9%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosenza goals (down), columns = Pisa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Cosenza is 0.03 points better than Pisa in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Cosenza is 0.11 goals worse than Pisa in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Cosenza is 0.32 goals better than Pisa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Cosenza is 7.1 percentage points worse than Pisa in terms of average possession (49% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cosenza
For 5.1 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 16.1 · Total 31.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pisa
For 6.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.6
9.6
2.9
2.7
3.1
28.5
26.5
30.5
vs Stronger (29)
9.9
9.7
10.0
3.3
3.0
3.5
28.7
28.0
29.2
vs Similar (21)
9.1
9.6
8.0
2.3
2.4
2.1
28.0
24.6
36.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
36%
55%
40%
42%
38%
86%
91%
82%
% under line
55%
64%
45%
60%
58%
62%
14%
9%
18%
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
9.1
3.0
3.1
2.8
27.0
27.5
26.4
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
10.0
-
3.0
6.0
0.0
22.0
22.0
-
vs Similar (21)
10.2
10.5
10.0
3.0
3.2
2.8
25.2
27.8
23.5
vs Weaker (27)
8.1
8.2
8.0
3.0
2.9
3.2
29.0
28.3
29.8
% over line
41%
36%
45%
44%
44%
44%
86%
91%
82%
% under line
59%
64%
55%
56%
56%
56%
14%
9%
18%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Parma
10.7
Brescia
10.6
Bari
10.4
Venezia
10.3
Ternana
10.3
Modena
10.3
Pisa
10.1
Palermo
10.0
Como
9.9
Ascoli
9.8
Spezia
9.7
Cremonese
9.6
Reggiana
9.3
Cosenza
9.2
Lecco
9.0
Cittadella
8.8
Catanzaro
8.7
Sampdoria
8.7
FeralpiSalo
8.6
Sudtirol
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pisa
6.4
Cosenza
6.2
Cittadella
6.1
Ascoli
6.0
Lecco
6.0
Sudtirol
5.7
Spezia
5.6
Modena
5.6
Reggiana
5.5
Parma
5.5
Como
5.4
FeralpiSalo
5.4
Sampdoria
5.4
Bari
5.3
Cremonese
5.3
Palermo
5.3
Catanzaro
5.3
Brescia
5.2
Ternana
5.0
Venezia
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.5
Ascoli
30.9
Reggiana
30.7
Palermo
30.1
Pisa
29.9
Como
29.7
Bari
29.6
Sudtirol
29.5
Modena
29.1
Sampdoria
29.0
Cremonese
28.5
Cosenza
28.4
Parma
28.3
Spezia
28.3
Catanzaro
28.2
Brescia
28.0
Lecco
27.7
Ternana
27.7
FeralpiSalo
26.7
Venezia
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
87.8%
Under 3.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.3%
Under 21.5
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.33
0.80
0.40
0.20
0.27
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.35
0.75
0.62
0.22
0.11
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.31
0.86
0.14
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.53
0.87
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.77
0.57
0.86
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (16)
0.50
0.44
0.57
0.86
0.44
0.11
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.67
0.73
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
0.76
0.50
0.88
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.62
0.86
0.57
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.77
0.29
0.71
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.75
0.71
0.57
0.67
0.89
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Tutino46%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Gianluca Frabotta20%
Massimo Zilli17%
Simone Mazzocchi11%
Francesco Forte10%
Idriz Voca9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Michael Venturi7%
Manuel Marras6%
Michele Camporese5%
Valerio Crespi5%
Luigi Canotto4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Aldo Florenzi0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Venturi50%
Tommaso D'Orazio44%
Mateusz Praszelik42%
Alessandro Fontanarosa33%
Aldo Florenzi29%
Mattia Viviani27%
Gianluca Frabotta27%
Michele Camporese26%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Federico Zuccon24%
Gennaro Tutino23%
Manuel Marras21%
Alessandro Micai19%
Giacomo Calò19%
Bright Gyamfi18%
Luigi Canotto17%
Idriz Voca15%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Filippo Sgarbi12%
Baldovino Cimino12%
Pietro Martino10%
Andrea Meroni9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Valerio Crespi5%
Christian D'Urso0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian D'Urso33%
Giacomo Calò22%
Manuel Marras18%
Federico Zuccon10%
Bright Gyamfi9%
Simone Mazzocchi9%
Gennaro Tutino9%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Andrea Rispoli8%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Baldovino Cimino6%
Idriz Voca6%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Francesco Forte3%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Valerio Crespi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Tutino31%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Valerio Crespi5%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Manuel Marras3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Pisa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicholas Bonfanti31%
Matteo Tramoni29%
Mattia Valoti24%
Marco D'Alessandro13%
Jan Mlakar12%
Stefano Moreo12%
Ernesto Torregrossa11%
Tommaso Barbieri10%
Lisandru Tramoni9%
Antonio Caracciolo8%
Simone Canestrelli8%
Alessandro Arena8%
Arturo Calabresi8%
Gaetano Masucci8%
Marius Marin6%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Miguel Veloso4%
Tomás Esteves3%
Pietro Beruatto3%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Maxime Leverbe0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Nícolas0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Idrissa Touré0%
Roko Jureškin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roko Jureškin67%
Marius Marin39%
Maxime Leverbe36%
Simone Canestrelli33%
Antonio Caracciolo29%
Lisandru Tramoni26%
Tomás Esteves24%
Arturo Calabresi23%
Tommaso Barbieri23%
Hjörtur Hermannsson20%
Nícolas19%
Gabriele Piccinini18%
Idrissa Touré16%
Gaetano Masucci15%
Mattia Valoti15%
Miguel Veloso15%
Pietro Beruatto13%
Marco D'Alessandro13%
Stefano Moreo12%
Alessandro Arena12%
Ádám Nagy9%
Jan Mlakar4%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matteo Tramoni14%
Pietro Beruatto13%
Marco D'Alessandro13%
Miguel Veloso11%
Ernesto Torregrossa11%
Idrissa Touré11%
Mattia Valoti9%
Lisandru Tramoni9%
Jan Mlakar8%
Gaetano Masucci8%
Tomás Esteves7%
Tommaso Barbieri6%
Marius Marin6%
Stefano Moreo6%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Antonio Caracciolo4%
Alessandro Arena4%
Arturo Calabresi4%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Maxime Leverbe0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Nícolas0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefano Moreo21%
Nicholas Bonfanti19%
Alessandro Arena16%
Mattia Valoti15%
Emanuel Vignato8%
Pietro Beruatto7%
Ernesto Torregrossa6%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Marco D'Alessandro4%
Lisandru Tramoni4%
Jan Mlakar4%
Miguel Veloso4%
Tomás Esteves3%
Tommaso Barbieri3%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Arturo Calabresi0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Maxime Leverbe0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Marius Marin0%
Gaetano Masucci0%
Nícolas0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Idrissa Touré0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Venezia
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Brescia
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Cittadella
Bari
Ternana
Spezia
Ascoli
FeralpiSalo
Lecco