This opponent (Sudtirol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sudtirol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.37
1.27
1.27
1.20
1.47
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.80
0.00
1.50
1.67
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.38
1.38
1.70
1.50
1.09
1.27
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.33
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.59+3.2%
Under 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.47-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2 ✓
5.2%
Cosenza goals ↓
Sudtirol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.1%
5.2%
1.7%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.6%
2.2%
0.5%
2
8.3%
8.3%
4.2%
1.4%
0.3%
3
3.5%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosenza goals (down), columns = Sudtirol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Cosenza is 0.32 points worse than Sudtirol in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Cosenza is 0.47 goals worse than Sudtirol in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Cosenza is 0.03 goals better than Sudtirol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Cosenza is 5.3 percentage points better than Sudtirol in terms of average possession (49% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cosenza
For 4.2 · Against 8.8 · Total 13.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 14.1 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sudtirol
For 4.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 13.7 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.1
11.1
5.7
5.5
5.9
27.6
27.2
27.9
vs Stronger (33)
10.4
10.2
10.7
5.7
5.4
6.1
28.1
27.9
28.3
vs Similar (17)
11.0
9.9
12.1
5.5
5.6
5.4
26.3
25.6
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
48%
73%
82%
85%
79%
82%
87%
77%
% under line
40%
52%
27%
18%
15%
21%
18%
13%
23%
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sudtirol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.1
9.7
4.8
4.7
4.9
29.7
29.9
29.5
vs Stronger (8)
8.0
7.0
9.0
5.4
6.2
4.5
30.2
33.0
27.5
vs Similar (36)
9.2
7.8
10.7
4.5
4.3
4.8
29.3
28.9
29.8
vs Weaker (6)
8.5
11.3
5.7
5.5
5.0
6.0
31.2
31.3
31.0
% over line
38%
30%
45%
72%
65%
79%
93%
91%
95%
% under line
62%
70%
55%
28%
35%
21%
7%
9%
5%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Salernitana
10.6
Palermo
10.6
Juve Stabia
10.5
Sassuolo
10.5
Cosenza
10.4
Cremonese
10.1
Frosinone
10.1
Brescia
10.0
Bari
9.7
Cesena
9.7
Spezia
9.6
Modena
9.4
Catanzaro
9.1
Reggiana
9.0
Cittadella
9.0
Sudtirol
8.9
Carrarese
8.9
Mantova
8.9
Pisa
8.7
Sampdoria
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Juve Stabia
6.6
Spezia
6.1
Cosenza
6.1
Pisa
6.0
Sampdoria
5.8
Bari
5.7
Reggiana
5.7
Modena
5.6
Sudtirol
5.3
Mantova
5.1
Cittadella
5.1
Catanzaro
5.1
Carrarese
5.1
Cremonese
5.1
Brescia
5.1
Palermo
5.0
Salernitana
4.8
Frosinone
4.7
Cesena
4.2
Sassuolo
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
36.4
Juve Stabia
33.2
Spezia
31.6
Cittadella
30.7
Reggiana
30.1
Sampdoria
29.8
Sudtirol
29.7
Bari
29.5
Cesena
29.1
Modena
28.6
Brescia
28.6
Catanzaro
28.5
Carrarese
28.4
Pisa
28.1
Palermo
27.5
Cosenza
27.3
Cremonese
26.9
Salernitana
25.7
Frosinone
24.7
Sassuolo
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.6%
Under 9.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.4%
Under 3.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.7%
Under 21.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.67
0.60
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (22)
0.59
0.59
0.69
0.62
0.44
0.56
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sudtirol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.40
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.62
0.60
0.70
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (22)
0.55
0.50
0.62
0.54
0.44
0.44
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sudtirol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.87
0.73
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
0.00
1.00
1.33
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.76
1.10
0.80
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.33
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Sudtirol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Gori22%
Niklas Pyyhtiä22%
Antonio Barreca20%
Silvio Merkaj14%
Matteo Rover14%
Nicola Pietrangeli14%
Daniele Casiraghi14%
Raphael Odogwu13%
Salvatore Molina11%
Alessandro Mallamo9%
Simone Davì7%
Karim Zedadka6%
Fabian Tait5%
Hamza El Kaouakibi5%
Tommaso Arrigoni5%
Mateusz Praszelik4%
Raphael Kofler3%
Andrea Giorgini3%
Andrea Masiello0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Giacomo Drago0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Jasmin Kurtić0%
Frédéric Veseli0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Marius Adamonis0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Jacopo Martini0%
Federico Davi0%
Valerio Crespi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabriele Gori33%
Andrea Cagnano33%
Silvio Merkaj31%
Hamza El Kaouakibi30%
Frédéric Veseli25%
Andrea Masiello24%
Jasmin Kurtić23%
Niklas Pyyhtiä22%
Luca Ceppitelli18%
Jacopo Martini18%
Matteo Rover17%
Raphael Kofler17%
Andrea Giorgini16%
Salvatore Molina16%
Tommaso Arrigoni14%
Valerio Crespi14%
Alessandro Mallamo14%
Daniele Casiraghi14%
Karim Zedadka11%
Simone Davì11%
Luca Belardinelli8%
Raphael Odogwu8%
Nicola Pietrangeli7%
Giacomo Poluzzi5%
Fabian Tait5%
Mateusz Praszelik4%
Antonio Barreca0%
Giacomo Drago0%
Marius Adamonis0%
Federico Davi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Niklas Pyyhtiä17%
Fabian Tait16%
Raphael Odogwu16%
Silvio Merkaj8%
Daniele Casiraghi8%
Salvatore Molina8%
Simone Davì7%
Valerio Crespi7%
Frédéric Veseli6%
Andrea Masiello6%
Karim Zedadka6%
Tommaso Arrigoni5%
Matteo Rover3%
Andrea Giorgini3%
Antonio Barreca0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Giacomo Drago0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Jasmin Kurtić0%
Gabriele Gori0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Marius Adamonis0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Hamza El Kaouakibi0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Nicola Pietrangeli0%
Jacopo Martini0%
Raphael Kofler0%
Federico Davi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matteo Rover14%
Raphael Odogwu13%
Gabriele Gori11%
Niklas Pyyhtiä11%
Silvio Merkaj11%
Daniele Casiraghi5%
Simone Davì4%
Mateusz Praszelik4%
Salvatore Molina3%
Karim Zedadka0%
Antonio Barreca0%
Andrea Masiello0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Giacomo Drago0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Jasmin Kurtić0%
Frédéric Veseli0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Fabian Tait0%
Marius Adamonis0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Hamza El Kaouakibi0%
Tommaso Arrigoni0%
Nicola Pietrangeli0%
Andrea Giorgini0%
Jacopo Martini0%
Raphael Kofler0%
Federico Davi0%
Valerio Crespi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →