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Cove Rangers vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Vs
51%
28%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Cove Rangers a 51% win probability against East Fife in the Scotland: League One on 2026-05-02, with 28% for the draw and 21% for East Fife. The model estimates around 2.4 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (77%), Over 1.5 (71%).

Results analysis

Cove Rangers finished 0-0 against East Fife (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 51% home win, 28% draw and 21% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (77%). Missed: Over 1.5 (71%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cove Rangers win✗ Miss
51.3%
Avg Implied 43.1% · @ 2.08
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.28
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.03
Edge
-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L21W11D22D01L32W02L20W20WH·KEL21/02A·STE28/02H·PET07/03A·INV14/03H·HAM21/03H·ALL04/04A·MON07/04A·QUE11/04H·STE18/04A·KEL25/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.170.931.001.531.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.501.250.891.112.001.36
vs Weaker (10)0.701.001.000.830.251.25
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L02L03L11D22D22D01L21W02L11DA·PET21/02H·ALL28/02H·HAM07/03A·KEL14/03A·QUE21/03H·STE28/03A·MON04/04H·PET11/04A·ALL18/04H·INV25/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.771.061.560.792.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.001.571.081.670.911.45
vs Weaker (7)0.712.431.001.250.334.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.9%
Under 1.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.6%
@ 1.72-9.6%
Under 2.5
56.4%
@ 1.96+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
0-0 ✓
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
Cove Rangers goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
010%6.7%3.5%1.0%0.2%
112%13%5.4%1.6%0.4%
210%9.3%4.1%1.2%0.3%
35.3%4.7%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.1%1.8%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cove Rangers goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Inverness CT
2.06
Stenhousemuir
1.86
Hamilton
1.53
Queen of Sth
1.50
Alloa
1.47
Clyde
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Kelty Hearts
0.81
Spartans
0.50
Forfar
0.00
Cove Rangers is 0.06 points better than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Clyde
1.75
Inverness CT
1.67
Queen of Sth
1.61
Hamilton
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Alloa
1.39
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
Forfar
1.00
East Fife
0.94
Kelty Hearts
0.92
Spartans
0.50
Cove Rangers is 0.19 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 0.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inverness CT
0.67
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Alloa
1.06
Hamilton
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.22
Queen of Sth
1.31
Spartans
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Kelty Hearts
1.72
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Forfar
2.50
Cove Rangers is 0.47 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.69).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 5.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

140284357568821514951031071211810651413A·KELH·STEA·QUEA·MONH·ALLH·HAMA·INVH·PETA·STEH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

602315112211211322225622313444A·KELH·STEA·QUEA·MONH·ALLH·HAMA·INVH·PETA·STEH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

3101113171191113111510613952011111114524282024251914312219A·KELH·STEA·QUEA·MONH·ALLH·HAMA·INVH·PETA·STEH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 4.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

14031031454104104583525653134914149117118H·INVA·ALLH·PETA·MONH·STEA·QUEA·KELH·HAMH·ALLA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6011224113211124412454031165H·INVA·ALLH·PETA·MONH·STEA·QUEA·KELH·HAMH·ALLA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

3201411711191312711101511155310129151725183219212620132132H·INVA·ALLH·PETA·MONH·STEA·QUEA·KELH·HAMH·ALLA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.89.83.13.72.621.222.220.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)9.89.610.03.33.92.721.822.521.2
vs Weaker (19)8.57.49.62.83.22.420.021.818.4
% over line41%32%50%36%50%23%48%50%46%
% under line59%68%50%64%50%77%52%50%54%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.09.53.74.03.423.023.522.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (35)9.59.49.53.94.23.522.723.721.5
vs Weaker (15)10.311.39.53.43.43.423.922.924.8
% over line52%52%52%54%56%52%58%68%48%
% under line48%48%48%46%44%48%42%32%52%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamilton
10.4
East Fife
9.7
Alloa
9.7
Clyde
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.5
Inverness CT
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Kelty Hearts
9.1
Forfar
8.8
Peterhead
8.8
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Queen of Sth
8.6
Montrose
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.1
Queen of Sth
4.9
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Forfar
4.4
Clyde
4.4
Alloa
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Montrose
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Inverness CT
3.5
Hamilton
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.3

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
Stenhousemuir
25.3
Forfar
24.1
Queen of Sth
23.8
East Fife
23.0
Alloa
22.6
Montrose
22.4
Kelty Hearts
22.3
Clyde
22.1
Inverness CT
21.7
Hamilton
21.0
Cove Rangers
20.9
Spartans
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.2%
Under 9.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.1%
Under 21.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ē 6. Odd / Even

ðŸĨ… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 8. Handicap

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
QOS (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
HAM (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
ALL (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Cove Rangers and East Fife have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
MON (1)
€0m
ALL (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
HAM (0)
€0m
QOS (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Cove Rangers and East Fife have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
HAM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
QOS (0)
€0m
ALL (0)
€0m
MON (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
Cove Rangers and East Fife have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QOS (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
HAM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
ALL (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Cove Rangers and East Fife have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Cove Rangers vs East Fife · H/A from CR
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26AEast Fife Vs CR2-1
13/12/25HCR Vs East Fife0-1
04/10/25AEast Fife Vs CR2-0
30/04/22AEast Fife Vs CR2-3
26/12/21HCR Vs East Fife4-2
16/10/21AEast Fife Vs CR4-2
14/08/21HCR Vs East Fife5-2
27/03/21AEast Fife Vs CR0-0

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AKelty Hearts Vs CR0-2
18/04/26HCR Vs Stenhousemuir2-0
11/04/26AQueen of Sth Vs CR2-0
07/04/26AMontrose Vs CR2-3
04/04/26HCR Vs Alloa0-1
21/03/26HCR Vs Hamilton2-2
14/03/26AInverness CT Vs CR1-1
07/03/26HCR Vs Peterhead2-1
28/02/26AStenhousemuir Vs CR1-0
21/02/26HCR Vs Kelty Hearts1-1

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HEF Vs Inverness CT1-1
18/04/26AAlloa Vs EF2-0
11/04/26HEF Vs Peterhead2-1
04/04/26AMontrose Vs EF1-0
28/03/26HEF Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
21/03/26AQueen of Sth Vs EF2-2
14/03/26AKelty Hearts Vs EF1-1
07/03/26HEF Vs Hamilton0-3
28/02/26HEF Vs Alloa0-2
21/02/26APeterhead Vs EF3-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.16
HomeDWDLW1.12
AwayLDWLW1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%25%31%
AVG goals2.522.332.69
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %28%21%35%
Scored1.281.081.46
Conceded1.241.251.23
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners9.338.779.83
Cards3.374.002.79
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.16
HomeLLDWD1.44
AwayLDDLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.642.642.64
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.081.280.88
Conceded1.561.361.76
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners9.749.969.52
Cards3.724.003.44

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inverness CTInverness CT3674
58%
2.1
6024+36
2.3
72%
39%
25%
9.1
39%
3.5
47%
22.2
53%
0
0001.70.7
-
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3667
50%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
64%
33%
22%
8.6
39%
5.2
81%
27.0
81%
0
0001.40.8
-
3
H
Hamilton		3655
44%
1.5
5442+12
2.7
75%
58%
33%
9.7
44%
3.2
42%
20.4
39%
0
0001.51.2
-
4
QO
Queen of Sth		3654
39%
1.5
5847+11
2.9
92%
53%
33%
8.9
33%
5.2
75%
24.3
67%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
A
Alloa		3653
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
67%
44%
22%
9.4
42%
4.5
61%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.1
-
6PeterheadPeterhead3643
33%
1.2
4864-16
3.1
92%
67%
42%
9.5
44%
5.0
78%
27.9
86%
0
0001.31.8
-
7MontroseMontrose3642
31%
1.2
4867-19
3.2
89%
61%
39%
8.6
31%
3.7
61%
23.7
69%
0
0001.31.9
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers3638
25%
1.1
4144-3
2.4
69%
39%
22%
9.4
44%
3.5
47%
22.3
53%
0
0001.11.2
-
9East FifeEast Fife3636
25%
1.0
3461-27
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.6
47%
3.4
50%
22.8
56%
0
0000.91.7
-
10Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3629
17%
0.8
3362-29
2.6
86%
50%
22%
9.4
42%
4.7
75%
23.8
61%
1
1000.91.7
-
11Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical410
75%
2.5
106+4
4.0
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.5
-
12ClydeClyde45
25%
1.2
76+1
3.2
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
13SpartansSpartans21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
14ForfarForfar20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
Scotland: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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