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Cove Rangers vs Peterhead Result & Analysis

Date: 02/01/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Vs
51%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cove Rangers win✓ Hit
51.0%
Avg Implied 60.3% · @ 1.52
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.21
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Peterhead win✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 18.0% · @ 5.09
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W10W30W01L11D12L01L23L10WH·EAS17/10A·PET24/10H·PAR31/10H·FOR07/11A·FAL21/11A·AIR28/11H·MON05/12A·DUM12/12H·CLY19/12A·FOR26/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.132.200.732.071.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.860.932.140.571.571.29
vs Weaker (16)2.381.312.250.882.501.75
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L20W23L10W01L12L21W10W11DA·AIR17/10H·COV24/10A·CLY31/10A·MON07/11H·DUM21/11H·FOR28/11A·FAL05/12H·EAS12/12A·PAR19/12H·MON22/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.531.071.001.132.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.002.000.891.441.092.45
vs Weaker (10)1.300.601.330.331.251.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.9%
@ 1.68+3.3%
Under 2.5
41.1%
@ 2.10-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0 ✓
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
Cove Rangers goals ↓
Peterhead goals →
01234
05.8%4.7%3.5%1.4%0.4%
17.6%12%6.4%2.6%0.8%
28.0%9.7%5.9%2.4%0.7%
34.9%6.0%3.6%1.5%0.4%
42.3%2.7%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cove Rangers goals (down), columns = Peterhead goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.73
Cove Rangers
1.64
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Falkirk
1.45
Peterhead
1.32
Clyde
1.18
Dumbarton
1.14
Forfar
0.77
Cove Rangers is 0.32 points better than Peterhead in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.32).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.59
Montrose
1.50
East Fife
1.36
Falkirk
1.32
Cove Rangers
1.27
Clyde
1.23
Peterhead
1.09
Forfar
0.82
Dumbarton
0.64
Cove Rangers is 0.18 goals better than Peterhead in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.09).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.82
Partick
0.82
Dumbarton
1.09
Airdrie United
1.09
Falkirk
1.18
Peterhead
1.23
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Forfar
1.68
Clyde
1.73
Cove Rangers is 0.41 goals better than Peterhead in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 1.23).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 5.5 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

16052106438575374225765716713121067135A·FORH·CLYA·DUMH·MONA·AIRA·FALH·FORH·PARA·PETH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5023322121312222145523430245A·FORH·CLYA·DUMH·MONA·AIRA·FALH·FORH·PARA·PETH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

3409121211815101416181110106610824151821232324342116163233A·FORH·CLYA·DUMH·MONA·AIRA·FALH·FORH·PARA·PETH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

For 4.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

15024261545132473556671468691511811135H·MONA·PARH·EASA·FALH·FORH·DUMA·MONA·CLYH·COVA·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802316212432423222315183456544H·MONA·PARH·EASA·FALH·FORH·DUMA·MONA·CLYH·COVA·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 11.2 · Total 24.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

3201310751110141491414141381212248141723122128232821243231H·MONA·PARH·EASA·FALH·FORH·DUMA·MONA·CLYH·COVA·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)9.910.79.23.63.83.322.922.423.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)10.110.49.73.84.23.424.123.624.6
vs Weaker (20)9.810.98.83.43.53.221.921.422.5
% over line47%47%47%47%53%42%61%63%58%
% under line53%53%53%53%47%58%39%37%42%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.39.54.03.94.022.622.922.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)9.18.79.44.14.14.123.224.622.0
vs Weaker (19)9.910.19.83.73.63.921.720.623.2
% over line42%40%44%60%56%64%60%60%60%
% under line58%60%56%40%44%36%40%40%40%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Partick
10.8
Airdrie United
10.7
Falkirk
10.6
Cove Rangers
9.9
Clyde
9.9
East Fife
9.8
Dumbarton
9.8
Montrose
9.7
Peterhead
9.4
Forfar
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.0
Montrose
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.6
East Fife
3.5
Falkirk
3.5
Clyde
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2
Partick
3.0
Forfar
2.8
Dumbarton
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
24.2
Montrose
23.4
Cove Rangers
22.9
Peterhead
22.6
East Fife
22.0
Forfar
21.3
Airdrie United
21.0
Dumbarton
20.5
Clyde
20.5
Partick
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.6%
Under 9.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.2%
Under 3.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.5%
Under 21.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D20W00D10W10W00D21W00DH·EAS17/10A·PET24/10H·PAR31/10H·FOR07/11A·FAL21/11A·AIR28/11H·MON05/12A·DUM12/12H·CLY19/12A·FOR26/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.400.930.071.200.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.070.211.140.001.000.43
vs Weaker (16)1.060.560.750.121.381.00
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D11D10W01L02L11D10W10WA·AIR17/10H·COV24/10A·CLY31/10A·MON07/11H·DUM21/11H·FOR28/11A·FAL05/12H·EAS12/12A·PAR19/12H·MON22/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.530.470.531.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.551.250.560.670.551.73
vs Weaker (10)0.500.200.500.170.500.25
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W10W10W01L01L02L01L02L10WH·EAS17/10A·PET24/10H·PAR31/10H·FOR07/11A·FAL21/11A·AIR28/11H·MON05/12A·DUM12/12H·CLY19/12A·FOR26/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.731.270.670.870.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.711.000.570.570.86
vs Weaker (16)1.310.751.500.751.120.75
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W12L00D00D10W10W00D01LA·AIR17/10H·COV24/10A·CLY31/10A·MON07/11H·DUM21/11H·FOR28/11A·FAL05/12H·EAS12/12A·PAR19/12H·MON22/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.530.530.600.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.450.750.330.780.550.73
vs Weaker (10)0.800.400.830.170.750.75
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.581.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards70.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
PAR (20)
€3m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
PAR (8)
€1m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
CR wins
0
Draws
0
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cove Rangers vs Peterhead · H/A from CR
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/20APeterhead Vs CR0-2

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/20AForfar Vs CR0-1
19/12/20HCR Vs Clyde2-3
12/12/20ADumbarton Vs CR1-0
05/12/20HCR Vs Montrose1-2
28/11/20AAirdrie United Vs CR1-1
21/11/20AFalkirk Vs CR1-0
07/11/20HCR Vs Forfar3-0
31/10/20HCR Vs Partick1-0
24/10/20APeterhead Vs CR0-2
17/10/20HCR Vs East Fife3-1

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/12/20HPET Vs Montrose1-1
19/12/20APartick Vs PET0-1
12/12/20HPET Vs East Fife2-1
05/12/20AFalkirk Vs PET2-1
28/11/20HPET Vs Forfar0-1
21/11/20HPET Vs Dumbarton1-0
07/11/20AMontrose Vs PET3-2
31/10/20AClyde Vs PET0-2
24/10/20HPET Vs Cove Rangers0-2
17/10/20AAirdrie United Vs PET2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW2.21
HomeWWWLL2.68
AwayWLDLW1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %71%89%53%
AVG goals3.503.163.84
Over 1.5 %87%89%84%
Over 2.5 %71%74%68%
Over 3.5 %39%32%47%
Scored2.372.472.26
Conceded1.130.681.58
BTTS53%42%63%
Clean Sheet39%58%21%
Corners9.9510.689.21
Cards3.583.843.32
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.34
HomeLWLWD1.60
AwayLWLLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.522.043.00
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %46%32%60%
Over 3.5 %18%8%28%
Scored1.181.121.24
Conceded1.340.921.76
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners9.409.329.48
Cards3.963.884.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PartickPartick2240
50%
1.8
4018+22
2.6
68%
45%
36%
10.0
64%
3.6
41%
21.2
55%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2238
55%
1.7
3524+11
2.7
77%
41%
27%
10.4
50%
3.3
45%
20.5
36%
0
0001.61.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers2236
45%
1.6
2818+10
2.1
64%
27%
18%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
23.4
55%
0
0001.30.8
-
4MontroseMontrose2233
41%
1.5
3333+0
3.0
77%
64%
45%
9.3
41%
3.2
36%
22.3
41%
0
0001.51.5
-
5East FifeEast Fife2233
45%
1.5
3033-3
2.9
91%
68%
27%
9.9
59%
3.4
41%
22.7
55%
0
0001.41.5
-
6FalkirkFalkirk2232
41%
1.5
2926+3
2.5
82%
50%
18%
10.0
59%
4.0
55%
24.5
64%
6
2131.31.2
-
7PeterheadPeterhead2229
41%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
68%
41%
14%
8.7
36%
4.4
73%
25.8
82%
0
0001.11.2
-
8ClydeClyde2226
36%
1.2
2738-11
3.0
82%
59%
32%
10.3
64%
3.2
45%
20.8
50%
0
0001.21.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton2225
32%
1.1
1424-10
1.7
45%
27%
9%
10.2
64%
3.2
32%
23.0
73%
0
0000.61.1
-
10ForfarForfar2217
18%
0.8
1837-19
2.5
73%
50%
27%
9.1
41%
3.4
55%
22.0
64%
0
0000.81.7
-
Scotland: League One 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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