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Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2019
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
46%
27%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✓ Hit
45.7%
Avg Implied 43.8% · @ 2.09
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.57
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.00
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L21W03L10W23L31W21W30W30WA·STI20/04A·ANN27/04H·CLY04/05A·ELG03/08H·STI10/08A·COV17/08H·ANN24/08H·BRE31/08A·STE14/09A·QUE21/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.301.571.211.251.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.311.191.330.831.301.40
vs Weaker (14)1.501.431.751.501.171.33
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W30W02L32W44D23L01L21W11D13LH·EDI20/04A·BER27/04H·ANN04/05A·STE03/08H·COV10/08A·ANN17/08H·BRE24/08H·STI31/08A·QUE14/09H·EDI21/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.900.882.121.291.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.201.670.882.001.571.29
vs Weaker (15)0.932.130.882.251.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.70-0.7%
Under 2.5
45.7%
@ 2.08+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0 ✓
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
06.9%5.9%4.3%1.8%0.5%
18.2%13%7.0%2.9%0.9%
27.7%9.4%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.2%5.1%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Cowdenbeath is 0.60 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 0.92).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Cowdenbeath is 0.05 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Cowdenbeath is 0.67 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.96).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 4.1 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

15037434539345857467731210791271312101415A·QUEA·STEH·BREH·ANNA·COVH·STIA·ELGH·CLYA·ANNA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6051333212233142411136653546514A·QUEA·STEH·BREH·ANNA·COVH·STIA·ELGH·CLYA·ANNA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

360131215681691619171313191012967111025212425362629211321A·QUEA·STEH·BREH·ANNA·COVH·STIA·ELGH·CLYA·ANNA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

120352107464221514735524812111046510106H·EDIA·QUEH·STIH·BREA·ANNH·COVA·STEH·ANNA·BERH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

702141341121142123413571326155H·EDIA·QUEH·STIH·BREA·ANNH·COVA·STEH·ANNA·BERH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

29014141010141149141313161015131181314828202513272925242122H·EDIA·QUEH·STIH·BREA·ANNH·COVA·STEH·ANNA·BERH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.410.14.03.84.223.023.422.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)8.88.09.44.03.94.123.724.423.1
vs Weaker (23)9.78.711.34.03.64.422.222.621.6
% over line48%38%58%56%50%62%60%77%42%
% under line52%62%42%44%50%38%40%23%58%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.310.02.93.02.921.621.921.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)10.710.710.82.82.53.020.321.019.6
vs Weaker (21)9.39.78.83.13.52.723.423.123.8
% over line58%58%58%30%35%25%52%54%50%
% under line42%42%42%70%65%75%48%46%50%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.7
Stirling
10.2
Albion Rvs
10.1
Brechin
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.9
Elgin
9.8
Queens Park
9.6
Cowdenbeath
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.1
Cove Rangers
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.7
Brechin
3.7
Queens Park
3.6
Stenhousemuir
3.6
Stirling
3.4
Elgin
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.0
Albion Rvs
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Cove Rangers
24.3
Edinburgh City
24.2
Annan Athletic
23.3
Cowdenbeath
23.0
Stirling
22.3
Brechin
22.1
Elgin
21.8
Albion Rvs
21.6
Stenhousemuir
19.9
Queens Park
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.8%
Under 9.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.7%
Under 21.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W01L00D01L10W21W10W00DA·STI20/04A·ANN27/04H·CLY04/05A·ELG03/08H·STI10/08A·COV17/08H·ANN24/08H·BRE31/08A·STE14/09A·QUE21/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.710.570.440.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.690.670.670.500.70
vs Weaker (14)0.570.710.750.500.331.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W00D10W13L13L01L01L10W02LH·EDI20/04A·BER27/04H·ANN04/05A·STE03/08H·COV10/08A·ANN17/08H·BRE24/08H·STI31/08A·QUE14/09H·EDI21/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.310.880.860.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.670.500.881.140.43
vs Weaker (15)0.331.070.120.880.571.29
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W11D02L10W22D21W00D20W30WA·STI20/04A·ANN27/04H·CLY04/05A·ELG03/08H·STI10/08A·COV17/08H·ANN24/08H·BRE31/08A·STE14/09A·QUE21/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.860.640.810.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.500.670.170.800.70
vs Weaker (14)0.930.711.001.000.830.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W02L22D31W10W00D20W01L11DH·EDI20/04A·BER27/04H·ANN04/05A·STE03/08H·COV10/08A·ANN17/08H·BRE24/08H·STI31/08A·QUE14/09H·EDI21/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.030.561.250.430.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.401.000.381.120.430.86
vs Weaker (15)0.601.070.751.380.430.71
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners78.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls73.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls73.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards70.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
COW wins
3
Draws
3
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/19AAlbion Rvs Vs COW1-0
19/02/19HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0
01/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs COW1-1
22/09/18HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-1
16/04/16AAlbion Rvs Vs COW0-0
09/02/16HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-2
24/11/15AAlbion Rvs Vs COW2-1
22/08/15HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/19AQueens Park Vs COW0-3
14/09/19AStenhousemuir Vs COW0-3
31/08/19HCOW Vs Brechin2-1
24/08/19HCOW Vs Annan Athletic3-1
17/08/19ACove Rangers Vs COW3-2
10/08/19HCOW Vs Stirling1-0
03/08/19AElgin Vs COW3-0
04/05/19HCOW Vs Clyde2-1
27/04/19AAnnan Athletic Vs COW3-2
20/04/19AStirling Vs COW0-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/19HAR Vs Edinburgh City1-3
14/09/19AQueens Park Vs AR1-1
31/08/19HAR Vs Stirling2-1
24/08/19HAR Vs Brechin0-1
17/08/19AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-2
10/08/19HAR Vs Cove Rangers4-4
03/08/19AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-3
04/05/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-2
27/04/19ABerwick Vs AR0-3
20/04/19HAR Vs Edinburgh City3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.24
HomeWWWWW1.54
AwayLLLWW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.542.732.33
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored1.241.381.08
Conceded1.301.351.25
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners9.228.3810.12
Cards3.983.774.21
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL0.70
HomeLDLWL0.73
AwayDWWLD0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%19%17%
AVG goals2.883.042.71
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored0.900.920.88
Conceded1.982.121.83
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners10.1210.279.96
Cards2.922.962.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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