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Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 03/03/2020
Time: 19:45
Final 2-1
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
51%
26%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✓ Hit
50.6%
Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.11
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.59
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 2.96
Edge
-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L31W02L31W13L32W01L22D14L11DA·BRE14/12H·STE21/12A·EDI28/12H·ANN04/01A·COV18/01H·BRE25/01A·QUE01/02A·STE08/02H·STI15/02H·EDI29/02
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.301.811.061.141.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.291.501.431.001.142.00
vs Weaker (16)1.691.122.111.111.141.14
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D42W00D03L22D22D41W01L12L12LA·ELG14/12H·ANN21/12A·BRE28/12H·STI04/01A·QUE25/01H·COV01/02H·BRE08/02A·STE15/02A·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.871.622.001.211.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.441.691.752.121.121.25
vs Weaker (14)1.432.071.501.881.332.33
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.6%
@ 1.74-1.0%
Under 2.5
47.4%
@ 2.01+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
07.3%5.6%3.6%1.3%0.4%
19.4%13%6.2%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.7%5.2%1.9%0.5%
35.1%5.5%3.0%1.1%0.3%
42.1%2.3%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Cowdenbeath is 0.60 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 0.92).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Cowdenbeath is 0.05 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Cowdenbeath is 0.67 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.96).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 3.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

14047956171685326653711146878881110H·EDIH·STIA·STEA·QUEH·BREA·COVH·ANNA·EDIH·STEA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

10041445422732521234454962107358H·EDIH·STIA·STEA·QUEH·BREA·COVH·ANNA·EDIH·STEA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

300148129181210101010111211161491510131122213020202327232524H·EDIH·STIA·STEA·QUEH·BREA·COVH·ANNA·EDIH·STEA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 5.4 · Against 6.5 · Total 11.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

18095654579624663510513271411916810915189H·ELGA·ANNA·STEH·BREH·COVA·QUEH·STIA·BREH·ANNA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7032225211112231315207222444H·ELGA·ANNA·STEH·BREH·COVA·QUEH·STIA·BREH·ANNA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

26096912116598109119151213129111515211714182024252126H·ELGA·ANNA·STEH·BREH·COVA·QUEH·STIA·BREH·ANNA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.510.04.44.24.723.224.122.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)8.77.89.54.64.34.923.725.521.8
vs Weaker (24)9.89.310.54.24.14.422.622.722.5
% over line46%38%54%64%62%67%66%81%50%
% under line54%62%46%36%38%33%34%19%50%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.611.03.03.32.821.921.522.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)12.011.812.12.93.12.820.820.421.2
vs Weaker (23)9.59.49.63.13.52.723.222.723.8
% over line62%52%72%36%44%28%52%52%52%
% under line38%48%28%64%56%72%48%48%48%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.8
Brechin
10.6
Stirling
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.5
Cove Rangers
10.3
Queens Park
9.9
Elgin
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Cowdenbeath
9.2
Edinburgh City
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.9
Cove Rangers
3.8
Elgin
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.7
Brechin
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Stirling
3.7
Albion Rvs
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.7
Edinburgh City
23.3
Cowdenbeath
23.2
Cove Rangers
22.4
Stirling
22.0
Albion Rvs
21.9
Queens Park
21.8
Brechin
21.3
Elgin
21.2
Stenhousemuir
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.0%
Under 3.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.5%
Under 21.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W00D30W02L20W01L21W13L10WA·BRE14/12H·STE21/12A·EDI28/12H·ANN04/01A·COV18/01H·BRE25/01A·QUE01/02A·STE08/02H·STI15/02H·EDI29/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.631.190.500.290.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.861.000.570.141.14
vs Weaker (16)0.940.441.330.440.430.43
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W00D03L20W01L21W01L02L12LA·ELG14/12H·ANN21/12A·BRE28/12H·STI04/01A·QUE25/01H·COV01/02H·BRE08/02A·STE15/02A·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.691.190.640.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.810.751.380.750.25
vs Weaker (14)0.571.000.621.000.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W02L01L11D12L00D01L01L01LA·BRE14/12H·STE21/12A·EDI28/12H·ANN04/01A·COV18/01H·BRE25/01A·QUE01/02A·STE08/02H·STI15/02H·EDI29/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.620.560.860.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.710.640.430.431.000.86
vs Weaker (16)0.750.690.780.670.710.71
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L22D00D00D02L21W20W00D10W00DA·ELG14/12H·ANN21/12A·BRE28/12H·STI04/01A·QUE25/01H·COV01/02H·BRE08/02A·STE15/02A·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.970.940.810.571.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.881.000.750.381.00
vs Weaker (14)0.861.070.880.880.831.33
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards79.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
COW wins
3
Draws
3
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/19HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0
26/03/19AAlbion Rvs Vs COW1-0
19/02/19HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0
01/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs COW1-1
22/09/18HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-1
16/04/16AAlbion Rvs Vs COW0-0
09/02/16HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-2
24/11/15AAlbion Rvs Vs COW2-1

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/02/20HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-1
15/02/20HCOW Vs Stirling1-4
08/02/20AStenhousemuir Vs COW2-2
01/02/20AQueens Park Vs COW1-0
25/01/20HCOW Vs Brechin3-2
18/01/20ACove Rangers Vs COW3-1
04/01/20HCOW Vs Annan Athletic3-1
28/12/19AEdinburgh City Vs COW2-0
21/12/19HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
14/12/19ABrechin Vs COW2-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/02/20HAR Vs Elgin1-2
22/02/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-1
15/02/20AStenhousemuir Vs AR1-0
08/02/20HAR Vs Brechin4-1
01/02/20HAR Vs Cove Rangers2-2
25/01/20AQueens Park Vs AR2-2
04/01/20HAR Vs Stirling0-3
28/12/19ABrechin Vs AR0-0
21/12/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic4-2
14/12/19AElgin Vs AR2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.38
HomeWWWLD1.88
AwayLLLLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%58%21%
AVG goals2.602.732.46
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %28%35%21%
Scored1.321.541.08
Conceded1.281.191.38
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners9.228.549.96
Cards4.424.194.67
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL0.88
HomeWLDWL1.04
AwayDDDLL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%28%16%
AVG goals3.023.242.80
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.141.241.04
Conceded1.882.001.76
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners10.8410.6411.04
Cards3.023.282.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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