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Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 03/04/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
48%
26%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
48.4%
Avg Implied 49.8% · @ 1.85
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.62
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.71
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D02L25L03L01L20W00D11D13LA·EDI24/10H·STE31/10A·STR07/11A·ELG28/11H·QUE05/12A·STI12/12H·BRE19/12A·ANN20/03H·STR27/03H·EDI30/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.531.311.500.641.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.251.921.291.291.202.80
vs Weaker (18)0.831.281.331.670.330.89
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L32W01L25L31W04L02L12L11D03LH·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03H·ANN27/03H·QUE30/03
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.101.471.800.872.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.291.791.621.750.831.83
vs Weaker (16)1.062.381.291.860.892.78
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.86+7.0%
Under 2.5
42.7%
@ 1.88-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.6%
No
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
06.2%5.2%3.8%1.6%0.5%
17.8%12%6.7%2.8%0.9%
27.8%9.6%5.9%2.4%0.7%
34.5%5.6%3.4%1.4%0.4%
42.0%2.4%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Cowdenbeath is 0.18 points worse than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 1.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Cowdenbeath is 0.45 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (0.68 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Cowdenbeath is 0.27 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.73).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 4.4 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

16057145685395683312741212511131211114916H·EDIH·STRA·ANNH·BREA·STIH·QUEA·ELGA·STRH·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90222231212326312312451352934H·EDIH·STRA·ANNH·BREA·STIH·QUEA·ELGA·STRH·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

3307513141418118111217145917161312111012273219233114332521H·EDIH·STRA·ANNH·BREA·STIH·QUEA·ELGA·STRH·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1302105752168558487424361212771313121169H·QUEH·ANNA·STEA·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

801143216212221210245183431H·QUEH·ANNH·EDIA·STEA·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

370810913108159191514141314201714104618221824342827372410H·QUEH·ANNA·STEA·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.610.24.33.84.823.923.824.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)9.49.19.84.74.25.224.226.022.4
vs Weaker (26)10.410.110.83.93.54.423.722.025.6
% over line56%50%62%62%58%67%64%69%58%
% under line44%50%38%38%42%33%36%31%42%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.010.33.33.43.222.622.422.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)11.611.811.43.33.23.421.221.420.9
vs Weaker (25)9.610.09.33.33.72.924.023.524.4
% over line59%58%60%44%48%40%55%58%52%
% under line41%42%40%56%52%60%45%42%48%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.8
Albion Rvs
10.6
Brechin
10.6
Stenhousemuir
10.1
Elgin
10.0
Cowdenbeath
9.9
Queens Park
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.9
Stranraer
9.7
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Elgin
4.1
Edinburgh City
3.9
Queens Park
3.8
Stirling
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Brechin
3.4
Albion Rvs
3.3
Stranraer
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.9
Cowdenbeath
23.9
Edinburgh City
23.4
Queens Park
22.7
Albion Rvs
22.6
Stirling
22.5
Elgin
21.7
Stenhousemuir
21.7
Stranraer
21.5
Brechin
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.2%
Under 9.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.2%
Under 21.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L02L01L00D10W00D10W12LA·EDI24/10H·STE31/10A·STR07/11A·ELG28/11H·QUE05/12A·STI12/12H·BRE19/12A·ANN20/03H·STR27/03H·EDI30/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.701.000.750.210.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.920.860.570.201.40
vs Weaker (18)0.670.561.110.890.220.22
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D01L14L01L00D01L01L00D02LH·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03H·ANN27/03H·QUE30/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.000.601.130.400.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.641.000.621.250.670.67
vs Weaker (16)0.381.000.571.000.221.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L23L02L01L10W00D01L01LA·EDI24/10H·STE31/10A·STR07/11A·ELG28/11H·QUE05/12A·STI12/12H·BRE19/12A·ANN20/03H·STR27/03H·EDI30/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.830.310.750.430.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.671.000.430.711.001.40
vs Weaker (18)0.170.720.220.780.110.67
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L32W00D11D30W04L01L11D11D01LH·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03H·ANN27/03H·QUE30/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.100.870.670.471.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.791.000.500.171.17
vs Weaker (16)0.691.380.710.860.671.78
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls77.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
COW wins
3
Draws
2
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/20HCOW Vs Albion Rvs2-1
28/09/19HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0
26/03/19AAlbion Rvs Vs COW1-0
19/02/19HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0
01/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs COW1-1
22/09/18HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-1
16/04/16AAlbion Rvs Vs COW0-0
09/02/16HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-2

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/21HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-3
27/03/21HCOW Vs Stranraer1-1
20/03/21AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-0
19/12/20HCOW Vs Brechin2-0
12/12/20AStirling Vs COW1-0
05/12/20HCOW Vs Queens Park0-3
28/11/20AElgin Vs COW5-2
07/11/20AStranraer Vs COW2-0
31/10/20HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
24/10/20AEdinburgh City Vs COW0-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/21HAR Vs Queens Park0-3
27/03/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
23/03/21HAR Vs Edinburgh City1-2
20/03/21AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-0
19/12/20AStranraer Vs AR4-0
12/12/20HAR Vs Elgin3-1
05/12/20AEdinburgh City Vs AR5-2
28/11/20HAR Vs Stirling0-1
07/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-3
31/10/20HAR Vs Brechin0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.28
HomeDLWDL1.81
AwayWLLLD0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%54%17%
AVG goals2.602.772.42
Over 1.5 %68%77%58%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored1.201.460.92
Conceded1.401.311.50
BTTS52%65%38%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners9.929.6210.25
Cards4.303.854.79
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.96
HomeLWLDL1.12
AwayLWLLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%32%20%
AVG goals3.103.203.00
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %62%64%60%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored1.201.361.04
Conceded1.901.841.96
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners10.6310.9610.32
Cards3.303.443.16

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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