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Cowdenbeath vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 04/01/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
50%
27%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✓ Hit
49.6%
Avg Implied 39.4% · @ 2.33
Edge
+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.44
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.71
Edge
-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D13L01L10W00D12L31W02LH·ALB28/09H·EDI05/10A·STI29/10H·COV02/11A·ANN09/11H·QUE16/11H·ELG07/12A·BRE14/12H·STE21/12A·EDI28/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.171.530.930.931.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.001.311.001.001.001.62
vs Weaker (14)1.501.002.140.860.861.14
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W04L10W52W02L61W21W02L24L32WA·QUE05/10A·ELG02/11H·COW09/11H·BRE12/11A·STI16/11H·COV30/11A·STE07/12H·EDI14/12A·ALB21/12H·QUE28/12
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.472.671.131.201.80
vs Stronger (21)2.331.383.401.101.361.64
vs Similar (8)1.001.621.201.200.672.33
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.0%
@ 1.73-2.9%
Under 2.5
49.0%
@ 2.02+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
3-1 ✓
5.2%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
07.8%5.9%3.8%1.4%0.4%
19.7%13%6.2%2.2%0.6%
29.0%9.6%5.1%1.8%0.5%
34.9%5.2%2.8%1.0%0.3%
42.0%2.2%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Cowdenbeath is 0.37 points better than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.15).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Cowdenbeath is 0.15 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Cowdenbeath is 0.70 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 3.6 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1502665373233562921335788111056111115815A·EDIH·STEA·BREH·ELGH·QUEA·ANNH·COVA·STIH·EDIH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

12021234433662322222235861254044A·EDIH·STEA·BREH·ELGH·QUEA·ANNH·COVA·STIH·EDIH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

330149151013111913141615181399151211132023252432303322242333A·EDIH·STEA·BREH·ELGH·QUEA·ANNH·COVA·STIH·EDIH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 5.1 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1802513545482343446551279718912578111716H·QUEA·ALBH·EDIA·STEH·COVA·STIH·BREH·COWA·ELGA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8031131113262123325214424835553H·QUEA·ALBH·EDIA·STEH·COVA·STIH·BREH·COWA·ELGA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.6 · Total 27.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

3501218912121512151520141113201815161081030212727352533332618H·QUEA·ALBH·EDIA·STEH·COVA·STIH·BREH·COWA·ELGA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.610.14.14.14.223.724.722.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)8.98.39.54.44.54.324.326.122.4
vs Weaker (22)10.09.110.93.83.54.022.922.822.9
% over line50%40%60%58%56%60%66%84%48%
% under line50%60%40%42%44%40%34%16%52%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.210.93.84.33.424.526.322.7
vs Stronger (32)10.49.411.43.94.23.624.526.422.5
vs Similar (14)10.210.010.43.74.62.924.926.123.7
vs Weaker (4)7.05.58.53.53.53.523.225.521.0
% over line54%44%64%54%64%44%78%88%68%
% under line46%56%36%46%36%56%22%12%32%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
11.0
Stirling
10.9
Stenhousemuir
10.8
Brechin
10.2
Annan Athletic
10.1
Cove Rangers
9.9
Queens Park
9.7
Elgin
9.7
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.1
Brechin
3.9
Edinburgh City
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Queens Park
3.8
Elgin
3.5
Stirling
3.5
Cove Rangers
3.5
Albion Rvs
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.5
Edinburgh City
24.1
Cowdenbeath
23.7
Cove Rangers
23.6
Brechin
22.4
Albion Rvs
22.3
Stirling
22.2
Elgin
21.9
Queens Park
21.7
Stenhousemuir
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.2%
Under 3.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.6%
Under 21.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D12L00D10W00D02L21W00DH·ALB28/09H·EDI05/10A·STI29/10H·COV02/11A·ANN09/11H·QUE16/11H·ELG07/12A·BRE14/12H·STE21/12A·EDI28/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.870.530.200.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.880.750.750.251.00
vs Weaker (14)0.570.431.000.290.140.57
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L00D32W01L31W11D00D02L21WA·QUE05/10A·ELG02/11H·COW09/11H·BRE12/11A·STI16/11H·COV30/11A·STE07/12H·EDI14/12A·ALB21/12H·QUE28/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.601.270.470.400.73
vs Stronger (21)1.050.621.700.500.450.73
vs Similar (8)0.380.620.400.400.331.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L01L00D00D10W10W02LH·ALB28/09H·EDI05/10A·STI29/10H·COV02/11A·ANN09/11H·QUE16/11H·ELG07/12A·BRE14/12H·STE21/12A·EDI28/12
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.670.400.730.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.440.250.250.750.62
vs Weaker (14)0.930.571.140.570.710.57
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W20W01L30W10W02L22D11DA·QUE05/10A·ELG02/11H·COW09/11H·BRE12/11A·STI16/11H·COV30/11A·STE07/12H·EDI14/12A·ALB21/12H·QUE28/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.871.400.670.801.07
vs Stronger (21)1.290.761.700.600.910.91
vs Similar (8)0.621.000.800.800.331.33
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls82.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.571.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners70.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
COW wins
1
Draws
5
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Annan Athletic · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/19AAnnan Athletic Vs COW1-0
24/08/19HCOW Vs Annan Athletic3-1
27/04/19AAnnan Athletic Vs COW3-2
16/02/19HCOW Vs Annan Athletic2-4
10/11/18AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-2
11/08/18HCOW Vs Annan Athletic1-2
28/04/18HCOW Vs Annan Athletic0-2
03/02/18AAnnan Athletic Vs COW1-1

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/19AEdinburgh City Vs COW2-0
21/12/19HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
14/12/19ABrechin Vs COW2-1
07/12/19HCOW Vs Elgin0-0
16/11/19HCOW Vs Queens Park1-0
09/11/19AAnnan Athletic Vs COW1-0
02/11/19HCOW Vs Cove Rangers1-3
29/10/19AStirling Vs COW0-0
05/10/19HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-0
28/09/19HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/19HAA Vs Queens Park3-2
21/12/19AAlbion Rvs Vs AA4-2
14/12/19HAA Vs Edinburgh City0-2
07/12/19AStenhousemuir Vs AA1-2
30/11/19HAA Vs Cove Rangers6-1
16/11/19AStirling Vs AA2-0
12/11/19HAA Vs Brechin5-2
09/11/19HAA Vs Cowdenbeath1-0
02/11/19AElgin Vs AA4-0
05/10/19AQueens Park Vs AA1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.38
HomeWLWDW1.84
AwayWDLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%56%24%
AVG goals2.442.562.32
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.261.441.08
Conceded1.181.121.24
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners9.388.6410.12
Cards4.124.084.16
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.66
HomeWWWLW1.92
AwayWLLWL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals3.163.522.80
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %36%52%20%
Scored1.782.321.24
Conceded1.381.201.56
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.069.2410.88
Cards3.844.283.40

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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