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Cowdenbeath vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 17/10/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
52%
25%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
51.6%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.40
Edge
+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.38
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
23.0%
Avg Implied 34.5% · @ 2.67
Edge
-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W13L32W01L22D14L11D21W00D23LH·ANN04/01A·COV18/01H·BRE25/01A·QUE01/02A·STE08/02H·STI15/02H·EDI29/02H·ALB03/03A·ANN07/03A·ELG10/03
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.301.671.071.131.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.361.571.431.001.292.14
vs Weaker (16)1.441.061.881.121.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W13L04L23L02L03L03L21W02L00DH·QUE28/12A·COW04/01H·ELG11/01H·STI18/01A·COV25/01H·STE01/02A·EDI08/02H·ALB22/02A·QUE29/02H·COW07/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.871.801.600.932.13
vs Stronger (21)1.711.762.401.501.092.00
vs Similar (9)0.562.110.601.800.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.91+6.8%
Under 2.5
44.2%
@ 1.84-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
06.5%5.0%3.5%1.3%0.4%
18.6%12%6.2%2.3%0.7%
28.6%9.8%5.5%2.1%0.6%
35.1%5.8%3.3%1.2%0.4%
42.3%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Cowdenbeath is 0.05 points worse than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Cowdenbeath is 0.45 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (0.68 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Cowdenbeath is 0.23 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.23).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 4.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

140295585479561716853111013111468788A·ELGA·ANNH·ALBH·EDIH·STIA·STEA·QUEH·BREA·COVH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

10051223141445422732564454962107A·ELGA·ANNH·ALBH·EDIH·STIA·STEA·QUEH·BREA·COVH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

33097181514151481291812101010101112111616332922213020202327A·ELGA·ANNH·ALBH·EDIH·STIA·STEA·QUEH·BREA·COVH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 3.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

110552456312732742735251061149511987H·COWA·QUEH·ALBA·EDIH·STEA·COVH·STIH·ELGA·COWH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7022222322212352314225243374H·COWA·QUEH·ALBA·EDIH·STEA·COVH·STIH·ELGA·COWH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

3301518131112911131610989171571611121833242124261726222730H·COWA·QUEH·ALBA·EDIH·STEA·COVH·STIH·ELGA·COWH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.810.04.44.24.623.324.422.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)9.08.29.64.74.35.023.626.221.4
vs Weaker (24)9.99.310.54.14.14.223.022.723.5
% over line50%40%60%66%64%68%64%80%48%
% under line50%60%40%34%36%32%36%20%52%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.410.23.84.03.624.826.523.2
vs Stronger (33)10.29.211.14.04.23.924.926.823.1
vs Similar (14)9.610.58.53.53.93.025.426.224.2
vs Weaker (3)7.35.08.53.33.03.521.723.021.0
% over line54%52%56%54%56%52%78%84%72%
% under line46%48%44%46%44%48%22%16%28%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.9
Brechin
10.6
Stirling
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Stranraer
10.1
Queens Park
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.8
Elgin
9.8
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Edinburgh City
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Annan Athletic
3.8
Stenhousemuir
3.8
Elgin
3.8
Queens Park
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.7
Brechin
3.7
Stirling
3.6
Albion Rvs
3.0
Stranraer
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.8
Cowdenbeath
23.3
Edinburgh City
23.1
Stirling
22.1
Albion Rvs
22.0
Queens Park
21.6
Elgin
21.4
Brechin
21.1
Stenhousemuir
20.6
Stranraer
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.6%
Under 9.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
62.7%
Under 21.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W02L20W01L21W13L10W11D00D10WH·ANN04/01A·COV18/01H·BRE25/01A·QUE01/02A·STE08/02H·STI15/02H·EDI29/02H·ALB03/03A·ANN07/03A·ELG10/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.601.200.530.270.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.791.140.570.141.00
vs Weaker (16)0.810.441.250.500.380.38
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W03L01L01L01L03L01L20W02L00DH·QUE28/12A·COW04/01H·ELG11/01H·STI18/01A·COV25/01H·STE01/02A·EDI08/02H·ALB22/02A·QUE29/02H·COW07/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.931.070.730.201.13
vs Stronger (21)0.810.901.500.600.181.18
vs Similar (9)0.221.000.201.000.251.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D12L00D01L01L01L10W00D13LH·ANN04/01A·COV18/01H·BRE25/01A·QUE01/02A·STE08/02H·STI15/02H·EDI29/02H·ALB03/03A·ANN07/03A·ELG10/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.470.530.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.710.790.290.431.141.14
vs Weaker (16)0.620.620.620.620.620.62
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W03L22D01L00D02L01L00D00DH·QUE28/12A·COW04/01H·ELG11/01H·STI18/01A·COV25/01H·STE01/02A·EDI08/02H·ALB22/02A·QUE29/02H·COW07/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.930.730.870.731.00
vs Stronger (21)0.900.860.900.900.910.82
vs Similar (9)0.331.110.400.800.251.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards77.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
COW wins
1
Draws
4
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Annan Athletic · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/20AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-0
04/01/20HCOW Vs Annan Athletic3-1
09/11/19AAnnan Athletic Vs COW1-0
24/08/19HCOW Vs Annan Athletic3-1
27/04/19AAnnan Athletic Vs COW3-2
16/02/19HCOW Vs Annan Athletic2-4
10/11/18AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-2
11/08/18HCOW Vs Annan Athletic1-2

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/20AElgin Vs COW3-2
07/03/20AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-0
03/03/20HCOW Vs Albion Rvs2-1
29/02/20HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-1
15/02/20HCOW Vs Stirling1-4
08/02/20AStenhousemuir Vs COW2-2
01/02/20AQueens Park Vs COW1-0
25/01/20HCOW Vs Brechin3-2
18/01/20ACove Rangers Vs COW3-1
04/01/20HCOW Vs Annan Athletic3-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/20HAA Vs Cowdenbeath0-0
29/02/20AQueens Park Vs AA2-0
22/02/20HAA Vs Albion Rvs2-1
08/02/20AEdinburgh City Vs AA3-0
01/02/20HAA Vs Stenhousemuir0-3
25/01/20ACove Rangers Vs AA2-0
18/01/20HAA Vs Stirling2-3
11/01/20HAA Vs Elgin0-4
04/01/20ACowdenbeath Vs AA3-1
28/12/19HAA Vs Queens Park3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDL1.34
HomeWWLDW1.96
AwayLLDDL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%60%16%
AVG goals2.622.762.48
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.301.561.04
Conceded1.321.201.44
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners9.408.7610.04
Cards4.424.204.64
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.52
HomeLLLWD1.92
AwayLLLLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals3.203.442.96
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %36%48%24%
Scored1.662.201.12
Conceded1.541.241.84
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners9.849.4410.24
Cards3.844.043.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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