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Cowdenbeath vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Date: 29/02/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
36%
27%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
36.1%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.27
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.2%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.41
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City win✗ Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.04
Edge
-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L31W02L31W13L32W01L22D14LH·ELG07/12A·BRE14/12H·STE21/12A·EDI28/12H·ANN04/01A·COV18/01H·BRE25/01A·QUE01/02A·STE08/02H·STI15/02
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.301.871.071.071.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.201.471.431.001.001.88
vs Weaker (15)1.731.132.251.121.141.14
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W20W10W12L21W01L30W12L00DA·ANN14/12A·STI21/12H·COW28/12A·ELG04/01H·QUE11/01A·STE25/01H·STI01/02H·ANN08/02A·COV15/02H·BRE22/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.231.800.801.531.67
vs Stronger (19)1.531.681.561.001.502.30
vs Similar (10)2.000.302.400.201.600.40
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.89+5.4%
Under 2.5
45.1%
@ 1.85-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Edinburgh City goals →
01234
06.8%7.0%5.9%2.8%1.0%
16.9%13%8.4%4.1%1.5%
25.8%8.3%6.0%2.9%1.0%
32.8%4.0%2.9%1.4%0.5%
41.0%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Edinburgh City goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Cowdenbeath is 0.52 points worse than Edinburgh City in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 2.04).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Cowdenbeath is 0.44 goals worse than Edinburgh City in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.81).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Cowdenbeath is 0.26 goals worse than Edinburgh City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.04).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 3.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1409561716853266537321468788811105H·STIA·STEA·QUEH·BREA·COVH·ANNA·EDIH·STEA·BREH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

10044542273252123443349621073586H·STIA·STEA·QUEH·BREA·COVH·ANNA·EDIH·STEA·BREH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.2 · Total 24.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

3201291812101010101112111614915101311191321302020232723252432H·STIA·STEA·QUEH·BREA·COVH·ANNA·EDIH·STEA·BREH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 5.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

170237913713645336212554516489968179H·BREA·COVH·ANNH·STIA·STEH·QUEA·ELGH·COWA·STIA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50233214222311222112355424342H·BREA·COVH·ANNH·STIA·STEH·QUEA·ELGH·COWA·STIA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

270101110101311918791591311914511151221202427162424231627H·BREA·COVH·ANNH·STIA·STEH·QUEA·ELGH·COWA·STIA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.49.84.54.24.823.424.222.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)8.67.89.34.74.35.124.025.522.6
vs Weaker (23)9.89.210.54.24.04.422.722.822.5
% over line44%36%52%64%60%68%66%80%52%
% under line56%64%48%36%40%32%34%20%48%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.78.83.73.83.623.325.521.2
vs Stronger (34)8.38.48.23.83.83.824.226.821.6
vs Similar (14)9.99.110.73.53.73.322.223.421.0
vs Weaker (2)8.010.06.04.05.03.016.018.014.0
% over line32%32%32%58%60%56%64%76%52%
% under line68%68%68%42%40%44%36%24%48%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.8
Brechin
10.6
Stirling
10.6
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Cove Rangers
10.3
Queens Park
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.8
Elgin
9.8
Cowdenbeath
9.1
Edinburgh City
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.5
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Annan Athletic
4.0
Brechin
3.8
Cove Rangers
3.8
Queens Park
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.7
Elgin
3.7
Stirling
3.7
Albion Rvs
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.6
Cowdenbeath
23.4
Edinburgh City
23.3
Cove Rangers
22.7
Albion Rvs
22.1
Stirling
21.9
Queens Park
21.8
Elgin
21.5
Brechin
21.2
Stenhousemuir
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.4%
Under 9.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.3%
Under 3.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.5%
Under 21.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L21W00D30W02L20W01L21W13LH·ELG07/12A·BRE14/12H·STE21/12A·EDI28/12H·ANN04/01A·COV18/01H·BRE25/01A·QUE01/02A·STE08/02H·STI15/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.671.200.530.270.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.530.871.000.570.121.12
vs Weaker (15)0.930.471.380.500.430.43
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D10W10W01L00D10W00D00DA·ANN14/12A·STI21/12H·COW28/12A·ELG04/01H·QUE11/01A·STE25/01H·STI01/02H·ANN08/02A·COV15/02H·BRE22/02
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.430.600.200.470.67
vs Stronger (19)0.630.580.560.330.700.80
vs Similar (10)0.400.200.800.000.000.40
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W02L01L11D12L00D01L01LH·ELG07/12A·BRE14/12H·STE21/12A·EDI28/12H·ANN04/01A·COV18/01H·BRE25/01A·QUE01/02A·STE08/02H·STI15/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.670.530.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.600.430.430.880.75
vs Weaker (15)0.800.670.880.620.710.71
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W20W00D02L20W01L20W12L00DA·ANN14/12A·STI21/12H·COW28/12A·ELG04/01H·QUE11/01A·STE25/01H·STI01/02H·ANN08/02A·COV15/02H·BRE22/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.801.200.601.071.00
vs Stronger (19)0.891.111.000.670.801.50
vs Similar (10)1.600.101.600.201.600.00
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
COW wins
1
Draws
5
EC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Edinburgh City · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/19AEdinburgh City Vs COW2-0
05/10/19HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-0
06/04/19HCOW Vs Edinburgh City4-1
23/02/19AEdinburgh City Vs COW2-0
22/12/18HCOW Vs Edinburgh City0-2
29/09/18AEdinburgh City Vs COW1-0
13/03/18AEdinburgh City Vs COW1-1
06/01/18HCOW Vs Edinburgh City0-2

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/20HCOW Vs Stirling1-4
08/02/20AStenhousemuir Vs COW2-2
01/02/20AQueens Park Vs COW1-0
25/01/20HCOW Vs Brechin3-2
18/01/20ACove Rangers Vs COW3-1
04/01/20HCOW Vs Annan Athletic3-1
28/12/19AEdinburgh City Vs COW2-0
21/12/19HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
14/12/19ABrechin Vs COW2-1
07/12/19HCOW Vs Elgin0-0

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/20HEC Vs Brechin0-0
15/02/20ACove Rangers Vs EC2-1
08/02/20HEC Vs Annan Athletic3-0
01/02/20HEC Vs Stirling0-1
25/01/20AStenhousemuir Vs EC1-2
11/01/20HEC Vs Queens Park1-2
04/01/20AElgin Vs EC0-1
28/12/19HEC Vs Cowdenbeath2-0
21/12/19AStirling Vs EC0-1
14/12/19AAnnan Athletic Vs EC0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.42
HomeDWWWL1.92
AwayLLLLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%60%24%
AVG goals2.622.762.48
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.361.561.16
Conceded1.261.201.32
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners9.128.449.80
Cards4.484.164.80
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.82
HomeWLLWD2.00
AwayWWWWL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%60%48%
AVG goals2.762.443.08
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %32%20%44%
Scored1.681.721.64
Conceded1.080.721.44
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners8.748.688.80
Cards3.723.843.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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