PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Cowdenbeath vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Date: 30/03/2021
Time: 19:45
Final 1-3
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
26%
25%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 20.3% · @ 4.55
Edge
+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.84
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City win✓ Hit
49.1%
Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.66
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L10W11D02L25L03L01L20W00D11DH·ANN17/10A·EDI24/10H·STE31/10A·STR07/11A·ELG28/11H·QUE05/12A·STI12/12H·BRE19/12A·ANN20/03H·STR27/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.431.311.310.641.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.231.771.251.121.202.80
vs Weaker (17)0.821.181.381.500.330.89
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L01L40W52W33D23L21W21W31WH·ELG31/10A·STE07/11H·STR21/11A·ANN28/11H·ALB05/12A·QUE12/12H·STI19/12A·ELG20/03A·ALB23/03H·STE27/03
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.031.880.942.001.14
vs Stronger (19)1.951.161.800.902.111.44
vs Similar (10)2.100.802.401.001.800.60
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.5%
@ 1.84+7.6%
Under 2.5
41.5%
@ 1.91-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.1%
Under 3.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.4%
No
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-3 ✓
5.7%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Edinburgh City goals →
01234
05.9%7.5%7.7%4.6%2.1%
14.9%12%9.6%5.7%2.6%
23.7%6.7%6.0%3.6%1.6%
31.5%2.8%2.5%1.5%0.7%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Edinburgh City goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Cowdenbeath is 0.77 points worse than Edinburgh City in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 1.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Cowdenbeath is 1.14 goals worse than Edinburgh City in terms of goals scored per game (0.68 vs 1.82).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Cowdenbeath is 0.23 goals worse than Edinburgh City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.23).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 4.7 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

17014568539568331274128951113121111491617H·STRA·ANNH·BREA·STIH·QUEA·ELGA·STRH·STEA·EDIH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

9022231212326312314513529340H·STRA·ANNH·BREA·STIH·QUEA·ELGA·STRH·STEA·EDIH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

330131414181181112171459171613121110111027321923311433252121H·STRA·ANNH·BREA·STIH·QUEA·ELGA·STRH·STEA·EDIH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 5.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

1603244332385634444741245865139881116H·STEA·ELGH·STIA·QUEH·ALBA·ANNH·STRA·STEH·ELGH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8022412352221326214224438435854H·STEA·ALBA·ELGH·STIA·QUEH·ALBA·ANNH·STRA·STEH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

320151216151511815141471891215171213101127312623282521322521H·STEA·ELGH·STIA·QUEH·ALBA·ANNH·STRA·STEH·ELGH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.510.24.43.94.824.024.323.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)9.49.19.84.74.25.224.226.022.4
vs Weaker (26)10.39.910.74.13.64.523.922.825.0
% over line56%48%64%64%60%68%64%72%56%
% under line44%52%36%36%40%32%36%28%44%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.88.83.94.13.723.425.221.7
vs Stronger (32)8.79.18.33.73.73.824.526.722.1
vs Similar (15)8.97.99.93.94.33.622.523.321.8
vs Weaker (3)8.09.06.05.36.53.017.719.514.0
% over line29%32%25%60%64%56%63%72%54%
% under line71%68%75%40%36%44%37%28%46%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.7
Albion Rvs
10.7
Brechin
10.6
Stenhousemuir
10.1
Elgin
9.9
Queens Park
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.9
Cowdenbeath
9.9
Stranraer
9.7
Edinburgh City
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Elgin
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.9
Queens Park
3.8
Stirling
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Albion Rvs
3.3
Brechin
3.3
Stranraer
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.9
Cowdenbeath
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.4
Queens Park
22.7
Albion Rvs
22.5
Stirling
22.4
Elgin
21.8
Stenhousemuir
21.6
Stranraer
21.5
Brechin
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.0%
Under 9.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.5%
Under 3.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.9%
Under 21.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D01L02L01L00D10W00D10WH·ANN17/10A·EDI24/10H·STE31/10A·STR07/11A·ELG28/11H·QUE05/12A·STI12/12H·BRE19/12A·ANN20/03H·STR27/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.631.000.620.210.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.850.880.500.201.40
vs Weaker (17)0.650.471.120.750.220.22
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D01L20W41W10W03L21W10W10WH·ELG31/10A·STE07/11H·STR21/11A·ANN28/11H·ALB05/12A·QUE12/12H·STI19/12A·ELG20/03A·ALB23/03H·STE27/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.400.810.500.640.29
vs Stronger (19)0.840.370.900.400.780.33
vs Similar (10)0.600.400.800.600.400.20
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W11D01L23L02L01L10W00D01LH·ANN17/10A·EDI24/10H·STE31/10A·STR07/11A·ELG28/11H·QUE05/12A·STI12/12H·BRE19/12A·ANN20/03H·STR27/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.800.310.690.430.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.920.380.621.001.40
vs Weaker (17)0.180.710.250.750.110.67
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L00D20W11D23L20W00D11D21WH·ELG31/10A·STE07/11H·STR21/11A·ANN28/11H·ALB05/12A·QUE12/12H·STI19/12A·ELG20/03A·ALB23/03H·STE27/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.631.060.441.360.86
vs Stronger (19)1.110.790.900.501.331.11
vs Similar (10)1.500.401.600.401.400.40
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.581.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards73.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls70.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
COW wins
1
Draws
4
EC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Edinburgh City · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/20AEdinburgh City Vs COW0-1
29/02/20HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-1
28/12/19AEdinburgh City Vs COW2-0
05/10/19HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-0
06/04/19HCOW Vs Edinburgh City4-1
23/02/19AEdinburgh City Vs COW2-0
22/12/18HCOW Vs Edinburgh City0-2
29/09/18AEdinburgh City Vs COW1-0

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/21HCOW Vs Stranraer1-1
20/03/21AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-0
19/12/20HCOW Vs Brechin2-0
12/12/20AStirling Vs COW1-0
05/12/20HCOW Vs Queens Park0-3
28/11/20AElgin Vs COW5-2
07/11/20AStranraer Vs COW2-0
31/10/20HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
24/10/20AEdinburgh City Vs COW0-1
17/10/20HCOW Vs Annan Athletic0-3

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/21HEC Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
23/03/21AAlbion Rvs Vs EC1-2
20/03/21AElgin Vs EC1-2
19/12/20HEC Vs Stirling2-3
12/12/20AQueens Park Vs EC3-3
05/12/20HEC Vs Albion Rvs5-2
28/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs EC0-4
21/11/20HEC Vs Stranraer0-1
07/11/20AStenhousemuir Vs EC2-0
31/10/20HEC Vs Elgin1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.28
HomeLDLWD1.88
AwayWLLLD0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%56%16%
AVG goals2.562.722.40
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.181.480.88
Conceded1.381.241.52
BTTS50%64%36%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners9.889.5210.24
Cards4.383.924.84
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.78
HomeWLWLW1.96
AwayLWDWW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%60%48%
AVG goals2.902.563.24
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %34%24%44%
Scored1.741.761.72
Conceded1.160.801.52
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners8.768.768.75
Cards3.884.083.68

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches