The encounter between Cracovia Krakow and Gornik Zabrze is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the margins are narrow: 36% for Cracovia, 30% for a draw, and 34% for Gornik. The average number of goals expected is 2.5, and the most probable single scoreline is 1-1, a 14.2% chance. Cracovia, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.36 conceded, while Gornik, on the road, averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%, edge 6), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%, edge 6), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%, edge 5), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7%, edge 5), and Home under 3.5 goals (96.1%, edge 5). Both teams have recently struggled, with Cracovia coming off a defeat and Gornik after three straight losses, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cracovia Krakow win
35.0%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.38
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.44
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.40
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Draw
29.7%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.38
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.46
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.40
Gornik Zabrze win
35.4%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.81
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.90
Unibet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
1xBet
2.83
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cracovia Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.30
1.14
1.29
0.56
1.31
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.67
1.33
1.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (23)
0.83
1.22
1.09
1.36
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gornik Zabrze
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.20
1.80
1.20
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.00
1.33
1.67
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.54
1.04
1.92
1.08
1.17
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.2%
@ 1.27-1.0%
Under 1.5
27.8%
@ 3.47+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.88
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.2%
@ 1.90-4.3%
Under 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.86+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Betfair
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.9%
@ 3.21-5.0%
Under 3.5
76.1%
@ 1.31+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
51.9%
@ 1.70-2.5%
No
48.1%
@ 2.03+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
Superbet
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.72
William Hil
1.70
No
BetVictor
2.10
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.06
William Hil
2.05
Unibet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 6.15+7.0%
0-0
9.6%@ 9.77+5.1%
0-1
9.1%@ 8.53+3.9%
1-0
9.0%@ 7.79+3.3%
1-2
8.0%@ 9.55+3.4%
2-1
8.0%@ 8.69+2.9%
0-2
6.5%@ 13.17+3.1%
2-0
6.4%@ 11.08+2.4%
Cracovia Krakow goals ↓
Gornik Zabrze goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
9.1%
6.5%
2.7%
0.8%
1
9.0%
14%
8.0%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.4%
8.0%
5.0%
2.1%
0.6%
3
2.6%
3.3%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cracovia Krakow goals (down), columns = Gornik Zabrze goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Cracovia Krakow is 1.07 points worse than Gornik Zabrze in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Cracovia Krakow is 1.20 goals worse than Gornik Zabrze in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Cracovia Krakow is 0.23 goals better than Gornik Zabrze in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Cracovia Krakow is 4.6 percentage points worse than Gornik Zabrze in terms of average possession (48% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cracovia Krakow
For 7.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 10.2 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gornik Zabrze
For 6.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cracovia Krakow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.5
10.8
3.9
4.1
3.7
25.6
25.1
26.2
vs Stronger (10)
10.6
10.2
10.8
4.5
5.8
3.7
25.1
26.0
24.4
vs Similar (39)
10.1
9.4
10.8
3.8
3.7
3.9
25.8
24.9
26.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
55%
43%
67%
50%
48%
52%
72%
74%
71%
% under line
45%
57%
33%
50%
52%
48%
28%
26%
29%
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gornik Zabrze
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.6
9.4
3.2
3.5
2.8
22.7
23.2
22.2
vs Stronger (5)
10.0
13.5
6.5
3.2
4.3
1.5
22.8
25.5
20.0
vs Similar (42)
10.1
10.4
9.6
3.2
3.2
3.2
22.6
22.7
22.5
vs Weaker (3)
10.5
9.0
12.0
2.3
6.0
0.5
24.0
27.0
21.0
% over line
52%
59%
45%
40%
46%
35%
57%
55%
60%
% under line
48%
41%
55%
60%
54%
65%
43%
45%
40%
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
10.7
Wieczysta Kraków
10.4
Pogon Szczecin
10.3
Lech Poznan
10.3
Zaglebie Lubin
10.2
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Radomiak Radom
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Cracovia Krakow
10.1
Piast Gliwice
10.0
GKS Katowice
9.9
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.4
Widzew Łódź
9.2
Legia Warszawa
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.2
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.8
Raków Częstochowa
4.7
Slask Wroclaw
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.6
Jagiellonia
4.6
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Pogon Szczecin
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Wisla Plock
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
Wisla Krakow
3.7
GKS Katowice
3.7
Piast Gliwice
3.6
Wieczysta Kraków
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.9
Wieczysta Kraków
26.6
Jagiellonia
26.6
Widzew Łódź
26.4
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Wisla Krakow
25.7
Korona Kielce
25.6
Cracovia Krakow
25.3
Motor Lublin
25.2
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.7
Slask Wroclaw
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.2
Lech Poznan
24.1
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
GKS Katowice
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.8
Wisla Plock
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.2%
@ 1.41-18.5%
Under 9.5
52.8%
@ 2.70+18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
Unibet
1.47
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
3.10
Superbet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.74
Pinnacle
2.53
Unibet
2.38
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.1%
@ 1.56-1.6%
Under 3.5
42.9%
@ 2.22+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Under
Superbet
2.22
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.4%
Under 21.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cracovia Krakow or Draw
64.6%
Avg Implied 66.5% · @ 1.40
Edge
-1.9%
35%
30%
35%
covers Cracovia Krakow + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Cracovia Krakow or Gornik Zabrze
70.3%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.28
Edge
-2.3%
35%
30%
35%
covers Cracovia Krakow + Gornik Zabrze
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Draw or Gornik Zabrze
65.0%
Avg Implied 60.9% · @ 1.53
Edge
+4.2%
35%
30%
35%
covers Draw + Gornik Zabrze
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.53
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5
Over
71.0%
@ 1.25-2.9%
Under
29.0%
@ 3.55+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.94
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5
Over
35.1%
@ 2.25-6.1%
Under
64.9%
@ 1.58+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5
Over
12.9%
@ 5.12-5.2%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.14+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
BetVictor
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Cracovia Krakow over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
@ 12.17-4.1%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Gornik Zabrze over/under 0.5
Over
71.3%
@ 1.31+0.4%
Under
28.7%
@ 3.17-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.44
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Gornik Zabrze over/under 1.5
Over
35.4%
@ 2.55-1.0%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.46+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.57
Betano
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
BetVictor
1.47
Betano
1.47
Gornik Zabrze over/under 2.5
Over
13.1%
@ 5.97-2.4%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.10+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.90
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Gornik Zabrze over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 14.83-2.6%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cracovia Krakow, so a minus line means Cracovia Krakow give that many goals of a start and Gornik Zabrze receive them. At -1, Cracovia Krakow must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cracovia Krakow win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cracovia Krakow)
Cracovia Krakow -2
5.3%
@ 9.66-3.9%
Draw -2
10.4%
@ 6.27-3.7%
Gornik Zabrze +2
84.4%
@ 1.15+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.70
10Bet
9.50
Unibet
9.50
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.40
Superbet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Away
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Cracovia Krakow)
Cracovia Krakow -1
15.6%
@ 4.53-4.0%
Draw -1
19.3%
@ 3.93-3.3%
Gornik Zabrze +1
65.0%
@ 1.54+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Away
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Handicap +1 (Cracovia Krakow)
Cracovia Krakow +1
64.6%
@ 1.40+0.9%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 4.35-1.1%
Gornik Zabrze -1
15.9%
@ 5.66+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Unibet
4.20
Away
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.65
Unibet
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Handicap +2 (Cracovia Krakow)
Cracovia Krakow +2
84.1%
@ 1.10+1.9%
Draw +2
10.5%
@ 8.00-0.8%
Gornik Zabrze -2
5.4%
@ 14.00-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Away
Bet365
15.00
10Bet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cracovia Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.47
0.36
0.43
0.06
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.22
0.35
0.36
0.36
0.08
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gornik Zabrze
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.87
0.40
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.33
0.92
0.33
0.75
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.9%
@ 1.37+0.1%
Under 0.5
32.1%
@ 2.88-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
William Hil
3.10
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Unibet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.4%
@ 2.71-0.7%
Under 1.5
66.6%
@ 1.41+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Under
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 6.82-2.5%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
6.80
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Under
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.5%
@ 2.01-3.8%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.73+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.97
Under
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.4%
@ 6.05-4.0%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.10+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
Superbet
6.10
1xBet
6.00
Betano
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
@ 16.50-4.0%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Gornik Zabrze over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.5%
@ 2.15+3.3%
Under
53.5%
@ 1.63-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.16
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
10Bet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Gornik Zabrze over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.9%
@ 6.88-0.6%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.07+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Gornik Zabrze over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 18.25-2.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cracovia Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.79
0.86
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gornik Zabrze
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.93
0.80
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.71
1.00
0.75
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.4%
@ 1.23+0.0%
Under 0.5
24.6%
@ 3.76-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.88
Betano
3.85
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.9%
@ 2.10-4.4%
Under 1.5
60.1%
@ 1.67+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.07
Under
1xBet
1.71
William Hil
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.4%
@ 4.44-3.4%
Under 2.5
82.6%
@ 1.17+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.80
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.40
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.1%
@ 1.71-5.3%
Under
50.9%
@ 2.03+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.66
Under
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
1.95
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.2%
@ 4.47-6.5%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.17+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.30
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
@ 11.88-5.0%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Gornik Zabrze over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.4%
@ 1.81+4.2%
Under
44.6%
@ 1.90-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.79
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Superbet
1.87
Gornik Zabrze over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.1%
@ 5.13+0.0%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.13-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Gornik Zabrze over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
@ 13.25-2.3%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.02+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.0%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
Under 5.5
95.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+3.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
Under 4.5
89.3%
1.10
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
+4.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.07
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
+2.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.10
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+4.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+0.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
87.1%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+5.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+2.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.8%
1.17
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
+6.5%
Away +2 handicap
84.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+7.7%
Home +2 handicap
84.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
-
-
-
+1.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
+3.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
-0.0%
Under 5.5 cards
78.1%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+7.7%
Over 2.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.1%
1.31
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+5.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.4%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.22
+0.0%
Over 1.5
72.2%
1.27
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
-1.0%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.31
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
+0.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
71.0%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
-2.9%
Over 21.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.3%
1.28
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-2.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cracovia Krakow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ajdin Hasić33%
M. Minchev17%
D. Piła17%
M. Perković17%
Mateusz Klich0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Otar Kakabadze0%
S. Madejski0%
B. Traoré0%
D. Kameri0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mateusz Klich40%
D. Kameri40%
Amir Al-Ammari33%
Ajdin Hasić17%
Gustav Henriksson17%
Otar Kakabadze17%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
D. Piła0%
S. Madejski0%
M. Perković0%
B. Traoré0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateusz Klich40%
Ajdin Hasić17%
Otar Kakabadze17%
D. Piła17%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
S. Madejski0%
M. Perković0%
B. Traoré0%
D. Kameri0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ajdin Hasić67%
D. Kameri40%
M. Perković33%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam17%
Mateusz Klich0%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Otar Kakabadze0%
D. Piła0%
S. Madejski0%
B. Traoré0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Gornik Zabrze
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Janis Antiste33%
Kacper Urbański29%
Yvan Ikia Dimi20%
Sondre Liseth17%
Josema17%
Michal Sáček17%
Erik Prekop17%
Peter González17%
Lukáš Sadílek14%
Maksym Khlan14%
Erik Janža0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Rafał Janicki0%
Taofeek Ismaheel0%
Ondřej Zmrzlý0%
Paulo Bernardo0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Philipp Schulze0%
Patryk Warczak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maximilian Dietz43%
Erik Janža40%
Sondre Liseth33%
Josema33%
Peter González33%
Rafał Janicki14%
Lukáš Sadílek14%
Philipp Schulze14%
Maksym Khlan14%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Taofeek Ismaheel0%
Michal Sáček0%
Ondřej Zmrzlý0%
Erik Prekop0%
Paulo Bernardo0%
Kacper Urbański0%
Janis Antiste0%
Patryk Warczak0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josema33%
Erik Janža20%
Paulo Bernardo20%
Erik Prekop17%
Rafał Janicki14%
Sondre Liseth0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Taofeek Ismaheel0%
Michal Sáček0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Ondřej Zmrzlý0%
Kacper Urbański0%
Janis Antiste0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Philipp Schulze0%
Maksym Khlan0%
Peter González0%
Patryk Warczak0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maksym Khlan57%
Peter González17%
Erik Janža0%
Sondre Liseth0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Rafał Janicki0%
Josema0%
Taofeek Ismaheel0%
Michal Sáček0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Ondřej Zmrzlý0%
Erik Prekop0%
Paulo Bernardo0%
Kacper Urbański0%
Janis Antiste0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Philipp Schulze0%
Patryk Warczak0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Cracovia Krakow's squad is €8m less valuable than Gornik Zabrze's (€21m vs €29m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Cracovia Krakow's attack is €6m less valuable than Gornik Zabrze's (€11m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Cracovia Krakow's midfield is €4m less valuable than Gornik Zabrze's (€2m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Cracovia Krakow's defence is €2m more valuable than Gornik Zabrze's (€8m vs €6m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa