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CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol Result & Analysis

Date: 03/12/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 3-1
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Vs
17%
27%
56%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSF Bălți win✓ Hit
16.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol win✗ Miss
56.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D04L04L51W30W32W01L51W03LA·ZIM26/08H·SPA17/09H·PET23/09A·SHE30/09A·DAC07/10H·MIL21/10A·FLO29/10H·ZIM05/11A·SPA11/11A·PET25/11
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.371.311.151.001.53
vs Stronger (19)0.471.631.001.670.231.62
vs Similar (9)2.220.781.500.673.671.00
vs Weaker (2)2.501.502.001.003.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L00D40W11D40W21W12L40W20W23LA·SLA05/10H·PET08/10H·SPA21/10H·SER26/10A·DAC29/10H·MIL05/11A·SER09/11A·FLO12/11H·ZIM25/11H·SLA30/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.902.440.621.431.21
vs Stronger (3)1.003.671.502.500.006.00
vs Similar (16)1.250.751.500.381.001.12
vs Weaker (11)3.270.364.000.332.400.40
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
11.8%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
CSF Bălți goals ↓
Sheriff Tiraspol goals →
01234
09.9%13%12%6.5%2.7%
15.8%13%9.4%5.1%2.1%
22.8%4.5%3.7%2.0%0.8%
30.7%1.2%1.0%0.5%0.2%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSF Bălți goals (down), columns = Sheriff Tiraspol goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Victoria Bardar
2.38
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.17
Petrocub
2.17
Olimp Comrat
2.00
Zimbru
1.75
Milsami Orhei
1.58
Saxan
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Floreşti
1.38
CSF Bălți
1.25
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.17
Dacia-Buiucani
0.67
Spartanii Selemet
0.60
Speranța Drochia
0.09
Făleşti
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
CSF Bălți is 0.92 points worse than Sheriff Tiraspol in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 2.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petrocub
2.46
Victoria Bardar
2.15
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.12
FCM Ungheni
2.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.92
Floreşti
1.62
Olimp Comrat
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Saxan
1.38
Zimbru
1.38
CSF Bălți
1.38
Milsami Orhei
1.29
Iskra
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.96
Dacia-Buiucani
0.83
Speranța Drochia
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
CSF Bălți is 0.75 goals worse than Sheriff Tiraspol in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 2.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Petrocub
0.50
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.67
Victoria Bardar
0.92
Zimbru
0.96
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Saxan
1.15
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.58
Floreşti
1.62
CSF Bălți
1.83
Dacia-Buiucani
2.42
Iskra
2.50
Speranis Nisporeni
2.50
Spartanii Selemet
2.52
Speranța Drochia
2.82
Făleşti
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
CSF Bălți is 1.17 goals worse than Sheriff Tiraspol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L03L21W00D11D00D10W03LA·ZIM26/08H·SPA17/09H·PET23/09A·SHE30/09A·DAC07/10H·MIL21/10A·FLO29/10H·ZIM05/11A·SPA11/11A·PET25/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.600.310.150.240.94
vs Stronger (19)0.050.740.170.170.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.560.330.330.171.000.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D20W01L10W10W10W10W20W11DA·SLA05/10H·PET08/10H·SPA21/10H·SER26/10A·DAC29/10H·MIL05/11A·SER09/11A·FLO12/11H·ZIM25/11H·SLA30/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.371.560.250.710.50
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.501.000.003.00
vs Similar (16)0.750.310.880.250.620.38
vs Weaker (11)2.000.092.830.001.000.20
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D03L01L30W30W21W01L41W00DA·ZIM26/08H·SPA17/09H·PET23/09A·SHE30/09A·DAC07/10H·MIL21/10A·FLO29/10H·ZIM05/11A·SPA11/11A·PET25/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.771.001.000.760.59
vs Stronger (19)0.420.890.831.500.230.62
vs Similar (9)1.670.441.170.502.670.33
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D20W10W30W11D02L30W00D12LA·SLA05/10H·PET08/10H·SPA21/10H·SER26/10A·DAC29/10H·MIL05/11A·SER09/11A·FLO12/11H·ZIM25/11H·SLA30/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.880.380.710.71
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.001.500.003.00
vs Similar (16)0.500.440.620.120.380.75
vs Weaker (11)1.270.271.170.331.400.20
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Sheriff Tiraspol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cristian Tovar29%
Amine Talal14%
Jerome Mbekeli14%
David Ankeye14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Ricardinho0%
Maksym Koval0%
Luvannor Henrique0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabi Kiki75%
Amine Talal57%
Armel Zohouri50%
Cedric Badolo33%
Konstantinos Apostolakis29%
Maksym Koval29%
Cristian Tovar29%
Jerome Mbekeli29%
Luvannor Henrique17%
Alejandro Artunduaga17%
João Paulo17%
Ricardinho14%
David Ankeye0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ricardinho29%
David Ankeye14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Amine Talal0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Maksym Koval0%
Luvannor Henrique0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cristian Tovar0%
Jerome Mbekeli0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Talal29%
David Ankeye29%
Luvannor Henrique17%
Jerome Mbekeli14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Ricardinho0%
Maksym Koval0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cristian Tovar0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
CSF Bălți's squad is €5m less valuable than Sheriff Tiraspol's (€1m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
CSF Bălți's attack is €2m less valuable than Sheriff Tiraspol's (€0m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
CSF Bălți's midfield is €1m less valuable than Sheriff Tiraspol's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
CSF Bălți's defence is €2m less valuable than Sheriff Tiraspol's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
CB wins
1
Draws
4
ST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol · H/A from CB
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB4-0
22/04/23ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB1-1
13/03/23ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB1-0
16/10/22ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB2-1
21/08/22HCB Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-3

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/23APetrocub Vs CB3-0
11/11/23ASpartanii Selemet Vs CB1-5
05/11/23HCB Vs Zimbru0-1
29/10/23AFloreşti Vs CB2-3
21/10/23HCB Vs Milsami Orhei3-0
07/10/23ADacia-Buiucani Vs CB1-5
30/09/23ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB4-0
23/09/23HCB Vs Petrocub0-4
17/09/23HCB Vs Spartanii Selemet1-1
26/08/23AZimbru Vs CB1-0

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/23HST Vs Slavia Praha2-3
25/11/23HST Vs Zimbru2-0
12/11/23AFloreşti Vs ST0-4
09/11/23AServette FC Vs ST2-1
05/11/23HST Vs Milsami Orhei2-1
29/10/23ADacia-Buiucani Vs ST0-4
26/10/23HST Vs Servette FC1-1
21/10/23HST Vs Spartanii Selemet4-0
08/10/23HST Vs Petrocub0-0
05/10/23ASlavia Praha Vs ST6-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.11
HomeWDLWL1.19
AwayLWWWL1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals2.382.382.38
Over 1.5 %65%75%57%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %19%19%19%
Scored1.111.121.10
Conceded1.271.251.29
BTTS35%31%38%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.88
HomeWDWWL2.18
AwayWLWLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%68%45%
AVG goals2.562.542.59
Over 1.5 %70%64%77%
Over 2.5 %48%50%45%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.641.891.32
Conceded0.920.641.27
BTTS36%39%32%
Clean Sheet46%50%41%
Corners9.198.0910.40
Cards4.904.275.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub2452
62%
2.2
5912+47
3.0
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.50.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2452
67%
2.2
5116+35
2.8
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru2442
54%
1.8
3323+10
2.3
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2438
46%
1.6
3126+5
2.4
75%
54%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.1
-
5FloreştiFloreşti2433
42%
1.4
3939+0
3.2
83%
79%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
6Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1331
77%
2.4
2812+16
3.1
69%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2430
38%
1.2
3344-11
3.2
88%
75%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.8
-
8SaxanSaxan1320
46%
1.5
1815+3
2.5
62%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2416
12%
0.7
2058-38
3.2
92%
67%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.82.4
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2515
16%
0.6
2463-39
3.5
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
11Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport1214
33%
1.2
2319+4
3.5
100%
83%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat24
50%
2.0
30+3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
13Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
14IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia111
0%
0.1
531-26
3.3
91%
73%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.8
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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