This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.73
1.27
0.87
1.20
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
1.43
1.33
2.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.26
1.17
1.83
1.08
0.64
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.3%
Under 1.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.3%
Under 2.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.0%
No
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
CSKA Sofia goals ↓
Levski Krumovgrad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.7%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.1%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.7%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
6.1%
4.3%
1.5%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.3%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSKA Sofia goals (down), columns = Levski Krumovgrad goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ludogorets
2.34
Cherno More Varna
2.14
CSKA Sofia
1.86
Levski Sofia
1.83
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.66
CSKA 1948
1.49
Arda Kardzhali
1.42
Levski Krumovgrad
1.40
Botev Plovdiv
1.25
Beroe
1.20
Slavia Sofia
1.19
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.11
Marek
1.00
Hebar 1918
0.97
Botev Vratsa
0.94
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.91
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.49
CSKA Sofia is 0.46 points better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ludogorets
2.49
Cherno More Varna
1.60
CSKA Sofia
1.56
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.51
Levski Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.39
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Arda Kardzhali
1.08
Marek
1.00
CSKA 1948
1.00
Hebar 1918
1.00
Slavia Sofia
0.97
Beroe
0.86
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.86
Botev Vratsa
0.81
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.74
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.63
CSKA Sofia is 0.27 goals better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ludogorets
0.69
Cherno More Varna
0.74
CSKA Sofia
0.81
CSKA 1948
0.81
Levski Sofia
0.86
Arda Kardzhali
0.97
Marek
1.00
Botev Plovdiv
1.17
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.26
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Beroe
1.31
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.37
Hebar 1918
1.40
Slavia Sofia
1.42
Botev Vratsa
1.58
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.66
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.89
CSKA Sofia is 0.48 goals better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
61%
Ludogorets
58%
Botev Plovdiv
55%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
54%
CSKA Sofia
54%
Cherno More Varna
52%
CSKA 1948
52%
Hebar 1918
50%
Arda Kardzhali
49%
Slavia Sofia
49%
Levski Krumovgrad
46%
Lokomotiv Sofia
44%
Botev Vratsa
44%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
43%
Beroe
43%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
42%
CSKA Sofia is 7.5 percentage points better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of average possession (54% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
CSKA Sofia
For 8.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 13.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Krumovgrad
For 4.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 19.0 · Against 9.9 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.5
5.8
5.6
6.0
24.7
23.8
25.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
9.7
8.7
10.7
7.3
8.1
6.4
26.8
29.0
24.5
vs Weaker (36)
9.6
10.2
9.0
5.2
4.7
5.8
23.9
22.0
26.0
% over line
51%
48%
55%
78%
77%
79%
77%
70%
86%
% under line
49%
52%
45%
22%
23%
21%
23%
30%
14%
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.9
9.0
3.1
3.1
3.0
27.4
27.2
27.6
vs Stronger (9)
9.1
8.0
10.2
3.9
3.8
4.0
26.5
27.0
26.0
vs Similar (38)
8.9
9.2
8.5
3.1
3.1
3.1
27.7
27.3
28.2
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
34%
20%
50%
42%
46%
38%
79%
73%
86%
% under line
66%
80%
50%
58%
54%
62%
21%
27%
14%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Botev Plovdiv
10.1
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.7
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
9.7
CSKA Sofia
9.5
Ludogorets
9.5
Arda Kardzhali
9.4
CSKA 1948
9.3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
9.2
Hebar 1918
9.0
Levski Krumovgrad
8.9
Levski Sofia
8.8
Beroe
8.5
Slavia Sofia
8.3
Cherno More Varna
8.2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.2
Botev Vratsa
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
CSKA Sofia
6.1
Beroe
6.1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
5.9
Levski Sofia
5.7
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.6
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
5.4
Botev Vratsa
5.3
Levski Krumovgrad
5.3
Slavia Sofia
5.3
Arda Kardzhali
5.2
Cherno More Varna
5.2
Ludogorets
5.2
Botev Plovdiv
5.1
Hebar 1918
5.1
CSKA 1948
5.0
Lokomotiv Sofia
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Levski Krumovgrad
27.4
Levski Sofia
27.3
CSKA 1948
27.0
Botev Vratsa
26.5
Cherno More Varna
26.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
26.1
Beroe
26.0
Slavia Sofia
25.7
Hebar 1918
25.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
25.0
CSKA Sofia
24.9
Pirin Blagoevgrad
24.7
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
24.2
Arda Kardzhali
24.1
Botev Plovdiv
24.0
Ludogorets
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.9%
Under 3.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.2%
Under 21.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
CSKA Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.13
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.62
0.75
0.25
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.23
1.09
0.09
0.82
0.36
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
1.07
0.60
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.57
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.70
1.17
0.50
0.18
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSKA Sofia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
CSKA Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.43
0.80
0.47
1.07
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.62
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.36
0.82
0.45
1.09
0.27
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.67
0.67
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.86
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.48
0.67
0.58
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSKA Sofia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
CSKA Sofia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Duckens Nazon33%
Fernando Karanga33%
Jonathan Lindseth29%
Matthias Phaeton24%
Danilo Asprilla20%
Olaus Jair Skarsem9%
Stanislav Shopov7%
Tobias Heintz7%
Marcelino Carreazo6%
Amos Youga6%
Hristiyan Petrov6%
Thibaut Vion6%
Ivan Turitsov0%
Brayan Córdoba0%
Michael Estrada0%
Dimitar Evtimov0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Jurgen Matheij0%
Menno Koch0%
Enes Mahmutović0%
Gustavo Busatto0%
Martin Stoychev0%
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski0%
Sainey Sanyang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enes Mahmutović38%
Jurgen Matheij33%
Fernando Karanga33%
Matthias Phaeton29%
Danilo Asprilla27%
Amos Youga25%
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski25%
Thibaut Vion24%
Brayan Córdoba22%
Emanuel Šakić21%
Ivan Turitsov17%
Duckens Nazon17%
Stanislav Shopov13%
Gustavo Busatto13%
Olaus Jair Skarsem9%
Marcelino Carreazo6%
Jonathan Lindseth6%
Michael Estrada0%
Dimitar Evtimov0%
Menno Koch0%
Tobias Heintz0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Martin Stoychev0%
Sainey Sanyang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Heintz20%
Thibaut Vion18%
Matthias Phaeton18%
Duckens Nazon17%
Amos Youga12%
Jonathan Lindseth12%
Olaus Jair Skarsem9%
Stanislav Shopov7%
Marcelino Carreazo6%
Ivan Turitsov0%
Brayan Córdoba0%
Michael Estrada0%
Dimitar Evtimov0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Jurgen Matheij0%
Menno Koch0%
Danilo Asprilla0%
Enes Mahmutović0%
Fernando Karanga0%
Gustavo Busatto0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Martin Stoychev0%
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski0%
Sainey Sanyang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fernando Karanga56%
Tobias Heintz53%
Duckens Nazon33%
Matthias Phaeton29%
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski25%
Michael Estrada20%
Danilo Asprilla13%
Amos Youga12%
Jonathan Lindseth12%
Stanislav Shopov7%
Marcelino Carreazo6%
Hristiyan Petrov6%
Thibaut Vion6%
Ivan Turitsov0%
Brayan Córdoba0%
Dimitar Evtimov0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Jurgen Matheij0%
Menno Koch0%
Olaus Jair Skarsem0%
Enes Mahmutović0%
Gustavo Busatto0%
Martin Stoychev0%
Sainey Sanyang0%
Levski Krumovgrad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandar Kolev43%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Patrick17%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Dzuniet Ali14%
Matej Šimić14%
Diego Raposo11%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Santana Dos Santos50%
Vyacheslav Velev43%
Jefferson Granado40%
Klaidher Macedo36%
Serkan Ussein36%
Bozhidar Katsarov33%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov33%
Momchil Tsvetanov29%
Aleksandar Kolev29%
Renan Areias29%
Patrick25%
Dimitar Tonev23%
Dzuniet Ali21%
Matej Šimić21%
Rayan Senhadji20%
Yanko Georgiev17%
Diego Raposo11%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov8%
Oktay Yusein8%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Kolev21%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Patrick8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Matej Šimić7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Kolev57%
Dimitar Tonev8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Serkan Ussein0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Patrick0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Matej Šimić0%
Renan Areias0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Bulgaria: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →