This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.83
1.44
1.44
0.64
2.29
vs Stronger (9)
1.22
2.56
3.00
2.33
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (21)
1.00
1.52
1.08
1.23
0.88
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
0-2 ✓
10.9%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
De Graafschap goals ↓
Heracles goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
10%
11%
6.9%
3.3%
1
4.3%
11%
9.9%
6.3%
3.0%
2
2.5%
4.7%
4.5%
2.9%
1.4%
3
0.7%
1.4%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = De Graafschap goals (down), columns = Heracles goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
Heerenveen
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Utrecht
2.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Heracles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
Feyenoord
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
De Graafschap
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Winterswijk
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
Quick '20
2.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Hercules
1.67
Blauw Geel
1.67
Ajax
1.50
Groningen
1.50
Twente
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
RKAVV
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
HV & CV Quick
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Kolping Boys
1.33
Dovo
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Spakenburg
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
EVV
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
HBC
1.00
De Bilt
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Geldrop
1.00
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Roda
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
HHC
0.00
URK
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Heerjansdam
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
ACV
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Huizen
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
SVBO
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
UNA
0.00
ONS Sneek
0.00
DEM
0.00
De Graafschap is 0.20 points worse than Heracles in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Utrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
De Graafschap
2.67
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
FC Volendam
2.50
Hercules
2.33
Blauw Geel
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Feyenoord
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Katwijk
2.00
GOES
2.00
TEC
2.00
URK
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Kolping Boys
1.67
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
MVV
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
Heracles
1.40
SC Genemuiden
1.33
Winterswijk
1.33
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Roda
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
De Treffers
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Heerjansdam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
SVBO
1.00
RKAVV
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
UNA
1.00
ONS Sneek
1.00
DEM
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Emmen
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
EVV
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
De Graafschap is 1.27 goals better than Heracles in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EVV
0.00
Winterswijk
0.33
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
ASWH
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
RKAVV
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Utrecht
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Ajax
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Telstar
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
HHC
1.00
Gemert
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Blauw Geel
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Achilles Veen
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Excelsior
1.67
Hercules
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Willem II
2.00
Groningen
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Capelle
2.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
2.00
Forum Sport
2.00
Huizen
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
Zwaluw VFC
2.00
DAW Schaijk
2.00
Blauw Wit '34
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
DEM
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Twente
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Kolping Boys
2.67
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Almere City FC
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
TEC
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
SVBO
3.00
ONS Sneek
3.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
De Treffers
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Heerjansdam
4.00
TOGB
4.00
UNA
4.00
ACV
5.00
Laar
6.00
De Graafschap is 0.60 goals worse than Heracles in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
De Graafschap
For 5.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heracles
For 4.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
De Graafschap
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.7
3.0
3.0
2.9
20.3
20.5
20.2
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
11.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
17.5
17.5
-
vs Similar (48)
10.3
9.9
10.7
2.9
3.0
2.9
20.5
20.8
20.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
61%
58%
42%
42%
42%
40%
35%
46%
% under line
40%
39%
42%
58%
58%
58%
60%
65%
54%
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.7
11.5
3.2
3.3
3.1
22.1
21.8
22.4
vs Stronger (17)
11.1
10.2
11.9
3.4
4.0
2.8
21.4
21.6
21.2
vs Similar (33)
11.1
10.9
11.3
3.1
2.9
3.3
22.5
21.9
23.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
71%
67%
75%
40%
40%
40%
54%
54%
54%
% under line
29%
33%
25%
60%
60%
60%
46%
46%
46%
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Vitesse
11.3
Heracles
11.1
NEC Nijmegen
11.0
Waalwijk
11.0
Dordrecht
11.0
Sparta Rotterdam
10.9
Feyenoord
10.9
Cambuur
10.9
FC Volendam
10.8
PSV Eindhoven
10.6
GO Ahead Eagles
10.6
Den Bosch
10.5
PEC Zwolle
10.4
FC Eindhoven
10.4
Utrecht
10.4
FC OSS
10.3
Telstar
10.3
Heerenveen
10.3
Willem II
10.3
De Graafschap
10.2
Emmen
10.2
Helmond Sport
10.2
Almere City FC
10.2
Excelsior
10.2
MVV
10.0
Roda
10.0
Fortuna Sittard
10.0
ADO Den Haag
9.9
VVV Venlo
9.9
Twente
9.9
Groningen
9.8
NAC Breda
9.6
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
Ajax
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ajax
4.2
Cambuur
4.1
ADO Den Haag
4.1
Excelsior
4.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.0
Feyenoord
3.9
Roda
3.9
Emmen
3.8
Groningen
3.8
Vitesse
3.8
Almere City FC
3.8
NAC Breda
3.8
Dordrecht
3.7
Den Bosch
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
Helmond Sport
3.7
VVV Venlo
3.6
FC Volendam
3.6
Telstar
3.6
FC OSS
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.5
Willem II
3.5
De Graafschap
3.5
Twente
3.5
Heracles
3.5
Sparta Rotterdam
3.4
PSV Eindhoven
3.4
Waalwijk
3.3
MVV
3.2
Heerenveen
3.1
FC Eindhoven
3.1
GO Ahead Eagles
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.7
Vitesse
24.2
Dordrecht
24.1
ADO Den Haag
24.0
Emmen
23.8
FC OSS
23.8
Cambuur
23.3
VVV Venlo
23.1
Helmond Sport
22.9
Roda
22.6
Almere City FC
22.4
Heracles
22.0
Den Bosch
21.9
MVV
21.8
Ajax
21.8
Groningen
21.4
NAC Breda
21.1
NEC Nijmegen
21.1
AZ Alkmaar
21.0
Fortuna Sittard
20.7
FC Eindhoven
20.6
PEC Zwolle
20.5
De Graafschap
20.5
Utrecht
20.4
Heerenveen
20.2
Feyenoord
20.1
Willem II
20.0
FC Volendam
19.7
Twente
19.7
GO Ahead Eagles
19.6
Waalwijk
19.1
Sparta Rotterdam
18.8
Excelsior
18.7
PSV Eindhoven
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.3%
Under 9.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.4%
Under 3.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.8%
Under 21.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
De Graafschap or Draw✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers De Graafschap + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap or Heracles✓ Hit
76.2%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers De Graafschap + Heracles
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Heracles✓ Hit
83.7%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Draw + Heracles
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
De Graafschap over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
59.8%
Under
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.2%
Under
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.3%
Under
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
57.1%
Under
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
30.1%
Under
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to De Graafschap, so a minus line means De Graafschap give that many goals of a start and Heracles receive them. At -1, De Graafschap must win by two or more to land; a one-goal De Graafschap win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (De Graafschap)Actual: Heracles
De Graafschap -2
1.4%
Draw -2
4.2%
Heracles +2
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (De Graafschap)Actual: Heracles
De Graafschap -1
5.6%
Draw -1
10.6%
Heracles +1
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (De Graafschap)Actual: Heracles
De Graafschap +1
40.1%
Draw +1
23.5%
Heracles -1
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (De Graafschap)Actual: Draw
De Graafschap +2
63.6%
Draw +2
18.8%
Heracles -2
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
De Graafschap
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.80
1.50
0.62
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.07
0.79
1.47
0.60
0.64
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.69
0.62
0.36
0.86
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.00
2.00
0.67
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.62
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
De Graafschap over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
De Graafschap
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.73
1.44
0.69
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.10
0.76
1.47
0.73
0.71
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.10
0.75
0.81
0.29
1.43
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.56
1.00
1.67
0.17
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.90
0.69
0.62
0.38
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
De Graafschap over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
De Graafschap
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Blind Azad Umer40%
Jack Cooper-Love33%
Stan Wevers33%
Tristan van Gilst26%
Anis Yadir25%
Sam Bisselink25%
Jesse van de Haar25%
Ibrahim El Kadiri21%
Mimoun Mahi21%
Reuven Niemeijer20%
Philip Brittijn15%
Donny Warmerdam12%
Joran Hardeman10%
Arjen Van Der Heide9%
Yannick Eduardo8%
Ralf Seuntjens8%
Wanya Marcal Madivadua7%
Youssef El Jebli6%
Jeffrey Fortes5%
Rio Hillen5%
Maas Willemsen3%
Levi Schoppema3%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Joshua Smits0%
Lion Kaak0%
Anass Najah0%
Simon Colyn0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Kaya Symons0%
Rowan Besselink0%
Tygo Grotenhuis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rowan Besselink33%
Stan Wevers33%
Donny Warmerdam22%
Kaya Symons19%
Jeffrey Fortes16%
Reuven Niemeijer13%
Wanya Marcal Madivadua13%
Ralf Seuntjens13%
Anass Najah12%
Youssef El Jebli11%
Ibrahim El Kadiri11%
Joran Hardeman10%
Arjen Van Der Heide9%
Lion Kaak8%
Levi Schoppema8%
Yannick Eduardo8%
Philip Brittijn8%
Rio Hillen7%
Maas Willemsen7%
Tristan van Gilst6%
Jesse van de Haar6%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Joshua Smits0%
Mimoun Mahi0%
Simon Colyn0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Jack Cooper-Love0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Anis Yadir0%
Sam Bisselink0%
Blind Azad Umer0%
Tygo Grotenhuis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Colyn33%
Sam Bisselink25%
Jeffrey Fortes21%
Mimoun Mahi21%
Seth Saarinen20%
Jesse van de Haar14%
Ibrahim El Kadiri11%
Donny Warmerdam10%
Arjen Van Der Heide9%
Tristan van Gilst9%
Yannick Eduardo8%
Wanya Marcal Madivadua7%
Maas Willemsen7%
Kaya Symons6%
Youssef El Jebli6%
Levi Schoppema6%
Ralf Seuntjens5%
Rowan Besselink4%
Philip Brittijn3%
Rio Hillen0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Joshua Smits0%
Lion Kaak0%
Anass Najah0%
Jack Cooper-Love0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Joran Hardeman0%
Anis Yadir0%
Stan Wevers0%
Blind Azad Umer0%
Tygo Grotenhuis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim El Kadiri29%
Sam Bisselink25%
Reuven Niemeijer20%
Tristan van Gilst20%
Blind Azad Umer20%
Jesse van de Haar19%
Joran Hardeman10%
Arjen Van Der Heide9%
Lion Kaak8%
Jack Cooper-Love8%
Donny Warmerdam7%
Ralf Seuntjens5%
Rio Hillen5%
Jeffrey Fortes3%
Philip Brittijn3%
Youssef El Jebli0%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Joshua Smits0%
Mimoun Mahi0%
Anass Najah0%
Simon Colyn0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Wanya Marcal Madivadua0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Kaya Symons0%
Levi Schoppema0%
Anis Yadir0%
Rowan Besselink0%
Yannick Eduardo0%
Stan Wevers0%
Tygo Grotenhuis0%
Heracles
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Kulenović33%
Jizz Hornkamp24%
Justin Hoogma17%
Thomas Bruns16%
Mario Engels12%
Mats Rots12%
Brian De Keersmaecker11%
Juho Talvitie9%
Suf Podgoreanu8%
Damon Mirani8%
Sem Scheperman8%
Ruben Roosken6%
Shiloh 't Zand6%
Ivan Mesík3%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Jordy Bruijn0%
Daniel van Kaam0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Bryan Limbombe0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Lorenzo Milani0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Diego van Oorschot0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sem Scheperman36%
Ruben Roosken29%
Ivan Mesík27%
Jizz Hornkamp21%
Thomas Bruns20%
Jannes Wieckhoff20%
Diego van Oorschot17%
Mimeirhel Benita13%
Jan Žambůrek12%
Brian De Keersmaecker11%
Lorenzo Milani11%
Jordy Bruijn10%
Mario Engels9%
Suf Podgoreanu8%
Damon Mirani8%
Luka Kulenović7%
Daniel van Kaam7%
Shiloh 't Zand6%
Juho Talvitie3%
Fabian de Keijzer3%
Justin Hoogma0%
Bryan Limbombe0%
Mats Rots0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thomas Bruns16%
Mario Engels15%
Suf Podgoreanu14%
Ruben Roosken12%
Brian De Keersmaecker11%
Daniel van Kaam10%
Jan Žambůrek8%
Jannes Wieckhoff8%
Jizz Hornkamp7%
Sem Scheperman4%
Luka Kulenović4%
Mimeirhel Benita3%
Fabian de Keijzer3%
Ivan Mesík0%
Justin Hoogma0%
Jordy Bruijn0%
Damon Mirani0%
Bryan Limbombe0%
Lorenzo Milani0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Shiloh 't Zand0%
Mats Rots0%
Diego van Oorschot0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luka Kulenović19%
Jizz Hornkamp17%
Mario Engels12%
Jordy Bruijn10%
Thomas Bruns8%
Brian De Keersmaecker6%
Suf Podgoreanu6%
Shiloh 't Zand6%
Juho Talvitie3%
Ivan Mesík3%
Damon Mirani3%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Justin Hoogma0%
Daniel van Kaam0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Ruben Roosken0%
Bryan Limbombe0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Lorenzo Milani0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Mats Rots0%
Diego van Oorschot0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
De Graafschap's squad is €2m less valuable than Heracles's (€6m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
De Graafschap's attack is €2m less valuable than Heracles's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
De Graafschap and Heracles have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
De Graafschap and Heracles have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Volendam
Excelsior
Cambuur
ADO Den Haag
Dordrecht
Telstar
Emmen
Den Bosch
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
Roda
Helmond Sport
Vitesse
VVV Venlo
MVV
FC OSS
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21
Jong Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Feyenoord
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
NAC Breda
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC