The model predicts an away win, with a 55% chance for NEC Nijmegen, 25% for De Treffers and 20% for a draw. The expected total of 4.4 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely total is 6 + goals, a 27% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-2 for NEC, with a 7.6% chance. De Treffers, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded, while NEC, on the road, averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 (93.8%), Away over 0.5 goals (92.5%), Under 7.5 (92.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (89.5%), Away +2 handicap (87.3%), Under 6.5 (84.8%), Home over 0.5 goals (83.1%) and Over 2.5 (81.1%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as NEC Nijmegen secured a 1-2 away victory, extending their recent form after a narrow defeat. The pre-match favourite, Away win, carried a 55% probability and the result matched the forecast. Every suggested selection also hit the mark: Over 1.5 goals (93.8%) was confirmed, Away over 0.5 goals (92.5%) and Home under 3.5 goals (89.5%) both came through, as did the Under 7.5 (92.4%) and Under 6.5 (84.8%) totals. The Away +2 handicap (87.3%) and Home over 0.5 goals (83.1%) were also successful, with Over 2.5 goals (81.1%) delivering another hit. The match’s final score of 1-2 aligned perfectly with the model’s most likely outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
De Treffers win✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen win✓ Hit
54.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
De Treffers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.75
2.00
3.33
2.67
1.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.67
1.67
2.00
2.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
3.00
6.00
3.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NEC Nijmegen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.57
2.67
1.42
2.11
1.67
vs Stronger (6)
2.83
2.17
2.50
2.75
3.50
1.00
vs Similar (13)
1.69
1.54
2.67
1.33
1.40
1.60
vs Weaker (11)
2.82
1.27
2.80
0.40
2.83
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (De Treffers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.8%
Under 1.5
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
81.1%
Under 2.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.4%
Under 3.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
77.4%
No
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2 ✓
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-3
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-4
4.2%
De Treffers goals ↓
NEC Nijmegen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.9%
2.7%
4.3%
3.7%
2.4%
1
1.7%
6.4%
7.6%
6.5%
4.2%
2
2.0%
5.2%
6.7%
5.8%
3.8%
3
1.2%
3.1%
4.0%
3.4%
2.2%
4
0.5%
1.4%
1.8%
1.5%
1.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = De Treffers goals (down), columns = NEC Nijmegen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Heracles
2.60
Noordwijk
2.50
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
Sparta Nijkerk
2.25
Barendrecht
2.25
Eemdijk
2.25
Quick Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
PSV Eindhoven
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
De Graafschap
2.00
Blauw Geel
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Hercules
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
SC Genemuiden
2.00
Dovo
2.00
AFC Amsterdam
2.00
Capelle
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Sparta Rotterdam
2.00
Excelsior
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Willem II
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
Katwijk
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Groningen
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Twente
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
Ajax
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Lisse
1.33
Hoogeveen
1.00
Walcheren
1.00
Dongen
1.00
ARC
1.00
Groene Ster
1.00
Halsteren
1.00
Velocitas
1.00
Sportclub 25
1.00
't Zand
1.00
Westlandia
1.00
Erp
1.00
AWC
1.00
VV Scherpenzeel
1.00
HZVV
1.00
Staphorst
1.00
Roosendaal
1.00
Zwaluwen
1.00
DVO
1.00
Heino
1.00
VVOG
1.00
Kampong
1.00
Aalsmeer
1.00
De Foresters
1.00
Mierlo-Hout
1.00
Olde Veste '54
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
Spakenburg
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
URK
0.00
Hsc 21
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
RKAV Volendam
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
ACV
0.00
TOGB
0.00
SVV Scheveningen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
Roda
0.00
Huizen
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
PEC Zwolle
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
HHC
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
UNA
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
De Treffers is 1.50 points worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
4.00
FC Eindhoven
4.00
Sparta Nijkerk
3.75
Sparta Rotterdam
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Katwijk
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Excelsior
3.00
PEC Zwolle
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
De Graafschap
2.67
Blauw Geel
2.67
Hercules
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Quick Boys
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Juliana '31
2.50
Capelle
2.33
Eemdijk
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Willem II
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
GOES
2.00
Noordwijk
2.00
URK
2.00
AFC Amsterdam
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
ACV
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
NEC Nijmegen
2.00
TEC
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Heracles
1.60
Hoogeveen
1.55
Walcheren
1.55
Dongen
1.55
ARC
1.55
Groene Ster
1.55
Halsteren
1.55
Velocitas
1.55
Sportclub 25
1.55
't Zand
1.55
Westlandia
1.55
Erp
1.55
AWC
1.55
VV Scherpenzeel
1.55
HZVV
1.55
Staphorst
1.55
Roosendaal
1.55
Zwaluwen
1.55
DVO
1.55
Heino
1.55
VVOG
1.55
Kampong
1.55
Aalsmeer
1.55
De Foresters
1.55
Mierlo-Hout
1.55
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
Dovo
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
De Treffers
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Hoek
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Roda
1.00
Huizen
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
UNA
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
De Treffers is 1.00 goals worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heracles
0.40
Sportlust '46
0.50
ASWH
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
Barendrecht
0.75
Noordwijk
0.83
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
Telstar
1.00
SC Genemuiden
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
Gemert
1.00
HHC
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Ajax
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Feyenoord
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
FC Volendam
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Olde Veste '54
1.50
PSV Eindhoven
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
MVV
1.50
Heerenveen
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Willem II
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Blauw Geel
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Capelle
2.00
Groningen
2.00
SVV Scheveningen
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
Huizen
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
NEC Nijmegen
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Hoogeveen
2.15
Walcheren
2.15
Dongen
2.15
ARC
2.15
Groene Ster
2.15
Halsteren
2.15
Velocitas
2.15
Sportclub 25
2.15
't Zand
2.15
Westlandia
2.15
Erp
2.15
AWC
2.15
VV Scherpenzeel
2.15
HZVV
2.15
Staphorst
2.15
Roosendaal
2.15
Zwaluwen
2.15
DVO
2.15
Heino
2.15
VVOG
2.15
Kampong
2.15
Aalsmeer
2.15
De Foresters
2.15
Mierlo-Hout
2.15
Excelsior
2.33
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Twente
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Almere City FC
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
Hsc 21
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
RKAV Volendam
3.00
Roda
3.00
TEC
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Hercules
3.33
De Treffers
4.00
Spakenburg
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
TOGB
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
PEC Zwolle
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
UNA
4.00
ACV
5.00
De Treffers is 2.00 goals worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
De Treffers
For 4.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 6.5 · Total 9.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NEC Nijmegen
For 5.3 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
De Treffers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (4)
8.5
10.0
7.0
4.8
2.7
11.0
28.0
23.0
33.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
8.5
10.0
7.0
6.3
4.0
11.0
28.0
23.0
33.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
50%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
50%
67%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NEC Nijmegen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.6
10.2
3.8
4.0
3.6
23.6
24.2
23.1
vs Stronger (9)
10.3
9.7
11.7
5.6
6.0
4.7
24.1
23.2
26.0
vs Similar (23)
10.3
11.6
9.6
3.4
3.0
3.7
24.2
25.5
23.5
vs Weaker (18)
9.2
7.3
10.6
3.3
3.4
3.2
22.5
23.6
21.7
% over line
54%
43%
63%
56%
59%
54%
58%
57%
59%
% under line
46%
57%
37%
44%
41%
46%
42%
43%
41%
This opponent (De Treffers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gemert
16.0
Sparta Nijkerk
14.0
Quick Boys
12.0
Excelsior Maassluis
12.0
Den Bosch
11.6
Dordrecht
11.4
De Graafschap
11.4
Waalwijk
11.2
VVV Venlo
11.2
SC Genemuiden
11.0
FC OSS
11.0
GO Ahead Eagles
10.9
Almere City FC
10.8
Willem II
10.7
PSV Eindhoven
10.7
Helmond Sport
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Heracles
10.5
Fortuna Sittard
10.4
MVV
10.4
FC Volendam
10.3
Telstar
10.3
Vitesse
10.3
Roda
10.1
AZ Alkmaar
10.1
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
Emmen
9.9
Feyenoord
9.9
Excelsior
9.9
ADO Den Haag
9.8
Heerenveen
9.8
FC Eindhoven
9.8
Utrecht
9.7
Ajax
9.6
NAC Breda
9.5
Katwijk
9.5
Twente
9.4
Groningen
9.4
PEC Zwolle
9.3
Cambuur
9.3
Hoek
9.0
AFC Amsterdam
9.0
Hoogeveen
9.0
GVVV Veenendaal
9.0
De Treffers
8.5
Spakenburg
8.0
HHC
8.0
Hsc 21
7.0
Sportlust '46
7.0
Rijnsburgse Boys
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sportlust '46
11.0
De Treffers
9.5
Sparta Nijkerk
6.0
AFC Amsterdam
5.0
Vitesse
4.3
AZ Alkmaar
4.2
Dordrecht
4.2
FC OSS
4.2
ADO Den Haag
4.2
Twente
4.2
Ajax
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
4.0
Gemert
4.0
Hoek
4.0
Excelsior Maassluis
4.0
Spakenburg
4.0
Hsc 21
4.0
HHC
4.0
Rijnsburgse Boys
4.0
Fortuna Sittard
3.9
Emmen
3.9
Utrecht
3.8
Cambuur
3.8
NAC Breda
3.8
Groningen
3.8
Den Bosch
3.7
Heracles
3.7
Sparta Rotterdam
3.7
Helmond Sport
3.6
Feyenoord
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
Excelsior
3.6
De Graafschap
3.5
FC Volendam
3.5
VVV Venlo
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
Roda
3.4
Telstar
3.4
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
FC Eindhoven
3.2
MVV
3.1
Heerenveen
3.1
Almere City FC
3.1
Katwijk
3.0
Willem II
3.0
Quick Boys
3.0
Waalwijk
3.0
GVVV Veenendaal
3.0
Hoogeveen
2.0
SC Genemuiden
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sportlust '46
33.0
Rijnsburgse Boys
32.0
FC OSS
29.8
De Treffers
28.0
Vitesse
27.2
Helmond Sport
27.1
Cambuur
27.1
ADO Den Haag
27.0
Emmen
26.1
Dordrecht
26.0
AFC Amsterdam
25.0
Roda
24.2
MVV
24.1
Sparta Nijkerk
24.0
HHC
24.0
Fortuna Sittard
24.0
VVV Venlo
24.0
Telstar
23.8
NEC Nijmegen
23.7
De Graafschap
23.4
Heracles
23.3
Den Bosch
23.3
Utrecht
23.2
Gemert
23.0
SC Genemuiden
23.0
Ajax
23.0
Excelsior
22.7
FC Volendam
22.5
PEC Zwolle
22.5
AZ Alkmaar
22.4
FC Eindhoven
22.3
NAC Breda
22.0
Heerenveen
22.0
Twente
21.9
Feyenoord
21.5
Quick Boys
21.0
GVVV Veenendaal
21.0
Willem II
20.9
Waalwijk
20.9
Groningen
20.6
Almere City FC
20.5
Excelsior Maassluis
20.5
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
Hoek
19.0
Sparta Rotterdam
18.8
PSV Eindhoven
18.6
Katwijk
17.0
Hsc 21
16.0
Hoogeveen
16.0
Spakenburg
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.4%
Under 9.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.9%
Under 3.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.5%
Under 21.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
De Treffers or Draw✗ Miss
45.1%
Avg Implied -
25%
20%
55%
covers De Treffers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
De Treffers or NEC Nijmegen✓ Hit
80.4%
Avg Implied -
25%
20%
55%
covers De Treffers + NEC Nijmegen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or NEC Nijmegen✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied -
25%
20%
55%
covers Draw + NEC Nijmegen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
De Treffers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.1%
Under
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Treffers over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.0%
Under
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Treffers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.3%
Under
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Treffers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.5%
Under
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
73.0%
Under
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
47.9%
Under
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
26.1%
Under
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to De Treffers, so a minus line means De Treffers give that many goals of a start and NEC Nijmegen receive them. At -1, De Treffers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal De Treffers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (De Treffers)Actual: NEC Nijmegen
De Treffers -2
5.1%
Draw -2
7.5%
NEC Nijmegen +2
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (De Treffers)Actual: NEC Nijmegen
De Treffers -1
12.7%
Draw -1
12.8%
NEC Nijmegen +1
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (De Treffers)Actual: Draw
De Treffers +1
45.1%
Draw +1
18.9%
NEC Nijmegen -1
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (De Treffers)Actual: De Treffers
De Treffers +2
64.0%
Draw +2
15.9%
NEC Nijmegen -2
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
De Treffers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.75
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NEC Nijmegen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.83
0.75
0.67
0.78
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.33
1.00
1.75
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.62
1.00
0.33
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
0.64
0.60
0.20
0.83
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (De Treffers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
De Treffers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Treffers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Treffers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
De Treffers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.25
2.67
1.67
0.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
1.33
1.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
1.00
5.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NEC Nijmegen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.80
1.83
0.67
1.44
0.89
vs Stronger (6)
2.00
0.83
1.50
1.00
3.00
0.50
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.92
1.67
1.00
0.80
0.90
vs Weaker (11)
2.09
0.64
2.20
0.20
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (De Treffers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
De Treffers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Treffers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Treffers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ajax
Twente
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
Heracles