Dekani vs Krka Result & Analysis

Dekani face Krka with the model favouring an away win, a 42% chance versus 29% each for a home win or draw. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, with the most likely total of two goals (27%). The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.9% probability. Dekani’s home form shows an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded against similar opponents, while Krka’s away record averages 1.36 goals scored and only one conceded. The suggested picks are Under 3.5 goals at 75.8% and Over 1.5 goals at 72.5%. The home win probability is 29%, the draw 29%, and the away win 42%. This match will test both teams’ defensive resilience and ability to convert chances into goals.

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win with a 42% chance, failed to materialise, and Dekani seized the day. The final score of 3-2 gave the home side a win, extending their recent run with a draw and two victories. The model’s prediction of an away triumph was therefore incorrect. The model also suggested Under 3.5 goals at 75.8% probability, which missed, and Over 1.5 goals at 72.5% probability, which hit. Dekani’s 3-2 victory, against a Krka side that had been struggling after three straight defeats, proved the most likely scoreline of 1-1 had not occurred, and the expected total of 2.5 goals was surpassed.