This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elche
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.43
0.87
1.40
0.93
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.69
1.50
0.57
1.43
0.78
1.56
vs Weaker (14)
1.14
1.36
1.12
1.38
1.17
1.33
Clean sheet %
10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.9%
Under 1.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.8%
Under 2.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.8%
No
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.7%
Deportivo La Coruna goals ↓
Elche goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.9%
4.7%
1.4%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.1%
8.4%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.9%
3.6%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Deportivo La Coruna goals (down), columns = Elche goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Osasuna
2.07
Granada CF
1.88
Malaga
1.76
Albacete
1.69
Mallorca
1.64
Deportivo La Coruna
1.62
Cadiz
1.52
Oviedo
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.45
Almeria
1.43
Elche
1.31
Las Palmas
1.29
Extremadura UD
1.26
Alcorcon
1.24
Zaragoza
1.21
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.17
Lugo
1.12
Rayo Majadahonda
1.07
Gimnastic
0.86
Cordoba
0.81
Reus Deportiu
0.50
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.31 points better than Elche in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.31).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osasuna
1.40
Albacete
1.29
Cadiz
1.26
Mallorca
1.26
Granada CF
1.24
Malaga
1.21
Almeria
1.21
Deportivo La Coruna
1.19
Elche
1.17
Zaragoza
1.17
Cordoba
1.14
Las Palmas
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Rayo Majadahonda
1.10
Numancia
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Tenerife
0.95
Alcorcon
0.86
Gimnastic
0.71
Reus Deportiu
0.38
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.02 goals better than Elche in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Granada CF
0.67
Malaga
0.74
Deportivo La Coruna
0.76
Osasuna
0.83
Cadiz
0.86
Mallorca
0.88
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Albacete
0.90
Almeria
0.93
Alcorcon
1.00
Extremadura UD
1.12
Reus Deportiu
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.19
Las Palmas
1.19
Lugo
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Elche
1.24
Rayo Majadahonda
1.45
Gimnastic
1.50
Cordoba
1.88
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.48 goals better than Elche in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna
For 5.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 15.2 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elche
For 6.1 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 15.9 · Total 31.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Deportivo La Coruna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.5
11.7
4.9
5.4
4.5
26.7
27.3
26.1
vs Stronger (15)
11.1
9.7
12.4
3.9
4.1
3.8
25.3
25.0
25.5
vs Similar (32)
11.1
10.8
11.4
5.2
5.9
4.5
26.5
28.3
24.5
vs Weaker (3)
11.7
-
11.7
7.0
-
7.0
35.3
-
35.3
% over line
64%
50%
77%
66%
67%
65%
74%
75%
73%
% under line
36%
50%
23%
34%
33%
35%
26%
25%
27%
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elche
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.0
9.8
0.9
0.9
0.8
31.6
31.2
32.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
11.5
12.5
10.5
0.8
0.9
0.8
32.8
33.5
32.0
vs Weaker (24)
9.2
9.5
9.0
0.9
0.9
0.8
30.5
29.0
32.0
% over line
75%
75%
75%
12%
16%
8%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
25%
25%
25%
88%
84%
92%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Extremadura UD
11.8
Rayo Majadahonda
11.4
Deportivo La Coruna
11.1
Lugo
11.0
Zaragoza
10.6
Numancia
10.6
Almeria
10.4
Elche
10.4
Granada CF
10.2
Mallorca
10.1
Cadiz
10.0
Sporting Gijon
10.0
Alcorcon
9.9
Tenerife
9.8
Cordoba
9.6
Osasuna
9.4
Las Palmas
9.4
Gimnastic
9.4
Oviedo
9.1
Albacete
9.0
Malaga
8.4
Reus Deportiu
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Extremadura UD
6.2
Osasuna
6.0
Gimnastic
6.0
Rayo Majadahonda
6.0
Oviedo
6.0
Tenerife
5.8
Cordoba
5.8
Lugo
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Las Palmas
5.5
Elche
5.4
Albacete
5.2
Alcorcon
5.2
Numancia
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Granada CF
5.0
Deportivo La Coruna
4.9
Malaga
4.9
Zaragoza
4.9
Mallorca
4.8
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Reus Deportiu
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Extremadura UD
35.4
Alcorcon
32.3
Cordoba
32.1
Elche
31.6
Oviedo
31.5
Gimnastic
31.4
Osasuna
31.3
Las Palmas
31.0
Lugo
31.0
Rayo Majadahonda
30.9
Tenerife
30.8
Almeria
30.8
Albacete
30.6
Sporting Gijon
29.6
Mallorca
29.2
Malaga
29.0
Granada CF
28.8
Cadiz
28.4
Zaragoza
28.4
Numancia
27.7
Reus Deportiu
27.4
Deportivo La Coruna
26.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.3%
Under 9.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.8%
Under 3.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
94.2%
Under 21.5
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Deportivo La Coruna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.77
0.43
0.79
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.25
0.33
1.67
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.58
0.45
0.55
0.12
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
-
-
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elche
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.20
0.60
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.71
0.44
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.64
0.38
0.50
0.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Deportivo La Coruna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.79
0.79
0.56
1.12
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.88
1.00
1.33
0.40
2.20
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.74
0.73
0.64
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elche
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.67
0.80
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.44
1.00
0.57
0.71
0.33
1.22
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.71
0.75
0.88
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Deportivo La Coruna · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang100%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Mario Soriano0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ximo Navarro67%
Giacomo Quagliata33%
Mario Soriano33%
Adrià Altimira33%
Lorenzo Amatucci33%
Bil Nsongo33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mario Soriano33%
Luismi Cruz33%
Lorenzo Amatucci33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang0%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang67%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Mario Soriano0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
Elche · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fernando Niño33%
Marc Aguado33%
Buba Sangaré33%
Matías Dituro0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Ali Houary0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gonzalo Villar33%
Ali Houary33%
Matías Dituro0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Fernando Niño0%
Marc Aguado0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gonzalo Villar33%
Tete Morente33%
Lucas Cepeda33%
Matías Dituro0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Fernando Niño0%
Marc Aguado0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Ali Houary0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fernando Niño33%
Matías Dituro0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Marc Aguado0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Ali Houary0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
Deportivo La Coruna's squad is €5m more valuable than Elche's (€84m vs €79m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (9)
€49m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
Deportivo La Coruna's attack is €15m more valuable than Elche's (€49m vs €34m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
MAL (5)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
Deportivo La Coruna and Elche have a similar midfield value (both €13m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
DLC (13)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
Deportivo La Coruna's defence is €11m less valuable than Elche's (€22m vs €33m).
Spain: Segunda División 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Osasuna
Granada CF
Malaga
Albacete
Mallorca
Cadiz
Oviedo
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
Las Palmas
Alcorcon
Zaragoza
Tenerife
Numancia
Lugo
Rayo Majadahonda
Gimnastic
Cordoba